• Title/Summary/Keyword: random parameter

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Bayesian Parameter Estimation using the MCMC method for the Mean Change Model of Multivariate Normal Random Variates

  • Oh, Mi-Ra;Kim, Eoi-Lyoung;Sim, Jung-Wook;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2004
  • In this thesis, Bayesian parameter estimation procedure is discussed for the mean change model of multivariate normal random variates under the assumption of noninformative priors for all the parameters. Parameters are estimated by Gibbs sampling method. In Gibbs sampler, the change point parameter is generated by Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We apply our methodology to numerical data to examine it.

A Development of Traffic Accident Estimation Model by Random Parameter Negative Binomial Model: Focus on Multilane Rural Highway (확률모수를 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발: 지방부 다차로 도로를 중심으로)

  • Lim, Joon Beom;Lee, Soo Beom;Kim, Joon-Ki;Kim, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.662-674
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    • 2014
  • In this study, accident frequency prediction models were constructed by collecting variables such as geometric structures, safety facilities, traffic volume and weather conditions, land use, highway design-satisfaction criteria along 780km (4,372 sections) of 4 lane-highways over 8 areas. As for models, a fixed parameter model and a random parameter model were employed. In the random parameter model, some influences were reversed as the range was expressed based on specific probability in the case of no fixed coefficients. In the fixed parameter model, the influences of independent variables on accident frequency were interpreted by using one coefficient, but in the random parameter model, more various interpretations were took place. In particular, curve radius, securement of shoulder lane, vertical grade design criteria satisfaction showed both positive and negative influence, according to specific probability. This means that there could be a reverse effect depending on the behavioral characteristics of drivers and the characteristics of highway sections. Rather, they influence the increase of accident frequency through the all sections.

An Algorithm for Scaling Parameter Optimization of Watermarking using Random Dot Images (랜덤한 점분포를 가진 영상을 사용한 워터마킹에서 스켈링 파라메타의 최적화 알고리즘)

  • Lee, In-Jung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.6C
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    • pp.901-906
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    • 2004
  • For a digital image watermarking some autostereograms are used such as random dot images. In there, the extraction efficiency is good and the distortion rate is low. In this paper, we shall select an optimized scaling parameter which derives low distortion rate and high extraction efficiency, when we use a random dot images as like as autostereograms into some images except for extremely biased gray level images.

ON THE LARGE AND SMALL INCREMENTS OF GAUSSIAN RANDOM FIELDS

  • Zhengyan Lin;Park, Yong-Kab
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.577-594
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we establish limit theorems on the large and small increments of a two-parameter Gaussian random process on rectangles in the Euclidean plane via estimating upper bounds of large deviation probabilities on suprema of the two-parameter Gaussian random process.

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Developing an Accident Model for Rural Signalized Intersections Using a Random Parameter Negative Binomial Method (RPNB모형을 이용한 지방부 신호교차로 교통사고 모형개발)

  • PARK, Min Ho;LEE, Dongmin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.554-563
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    • 2015
  • This study dealt with developing an accident model for rural signalized intersections with random parameter negative binomial method. The limitation of previous count models(especially, Poisson/Negative Binomial model) is not to explain the integrated variations in terms of time and the distinctive characters a specific point/segment has. This drawback of the traditional count models results in the underestimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) of the derived coefficient and finally affects the low-reliability of the whole model. To solve this problem, this study improves the limitation of traditional count models by suggesting the use of random parameter which takes account of heterogeneity of each point/segment. Through the analyses, it was found that the increase of traffic flow and pedestrian facilities on minor streets had positive effects on the increase of traffic accidents. Left turning lanes and median on major streets reduced the number of accidents. The analysis results show that the random parameter modeling is an effective method for investigating the influence on traffic accident from road geometries. However, this study could not analyze the effects of sequential changes of driving conditions including geometries and safety facilities.

A Dynamic Discount Approach to the Poisson Process

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 1997
  • A dynamic discount approach is proposed for the estimation of the Poisson parameter and the forecasting of the Poisson random variable, where the parameter of the Poisson distribution varies over time intervals. The recursive estimation procedure of the Poisson parameter is provided. Also the forecasted distribution of the Poisson random variable in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the current time interval is provided.

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A Note on Admissibility and Finite Admissibility in Estimation

  • Byung Hwee Kim;Tae Ryoung Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 1994
  • Consider the problem of estimating the parameter of the model in which an observable random variable is represented by a unknown scalar parameter plus another random variable and the parameter, sample, and decision spaces consist of all integers. We first characterize the class of all admissible estimators and then characterize the class of all finitely admissible estimators. Finally, we show that two classes are identical.

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The influence of the random censorship model on the estimation of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution (중도절단모형이 지수분포의 척도모수추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2014
  • The simplest and the most important distribution in survival analysis is the exponential distribution. In this paper, we investigate the influence of the random censorship model on the estimation of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution. The considered random censorship models are Koziol-Green model and the generalized exponential distribution model. Two models have different meanings. Through the simulation study, the averages of the estimated values of the parameter do not show big differences, however the MSE of the estimator tends to be bigger when the supposed model is significantly different from the true model.

A hybrid inverse method for small scale parameter estimation of FG nanobeams

  • Darabi, A.;Vosoughi, Ali R.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.1119-1131
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    • 2016
  • As a first attempt, an inverse hybrid numerical method for small scale parameter estimation of functionally graded (FG) nanobeams using measured frequencies is presented. The governing equations are obtained with the Eringen's nonlocal elasticity assumptions and the first-order shear deformation theory (FSDT). The equations are discretized by using the differential quadrature method (DQM). The discretized equations are transferred from temporal domain to frequency domain and frequencies of the nanobeam are obtained. By applying random error to these frequencies, measured frequencies are generated. The measured frequencies are considered as input data and inversely, the small scale parameter of the beam is obtained by minimizing a defined functional. The functional is defined as root mean square error between the measured frequencies and calculated frequencies by the DQM. Then, the conjugate gradient (CG) optimization method is employed to minimize the functional and the small scale parameter is obtained. Efficiency, convergence and accuracy of the presented hybrid method for small scale parameter estimation of the beams for different applied random error, boundary conditions, length-to-thickness ratio and volume fraction coefficients are demonstrated.

RESPONSE ANALYSIS OF A STOCHSTIC UNDER PARAMETRIC ND EXTERNL EXCITATION HAVING COLORED NOISE CHARACTERISTICS (유색잡음 매개변수가진과 외부가진을 받는 확률 시스템의 응답해석)

  • Heo, Hoon;Paik, Jong-Han;Oh, Jin-Hyong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.55-59
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    • 1993
  • Interaction between system and disturbance results in system with time-dependent parameter. Parameter variation due to interaction has random characteristics. Most of the randomly varying parameters in control problem is regarded as white noise random process, which is not a realistic model. In real situation those random variation is colored noise random process. Modified F-P-K equation is proposed to get the response of the random parametric system using some correction factor. Proposed technique is employed to obtain the colored noise parametric system response and confirmed via Monte-Carlo Simulation.

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