• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall trend

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Change Analysis and Trend Analysis of Annual Maximum Hourly Precipitation and Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics according to each Cause of Heavy Rain (연최대시간강우량의 변동성.경향성 분석과 호우원인별 강우 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Sil;Moon, Young-Il;Oh, Tae-Suk;Park, Gu-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1332-1336
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    • 2010
  • 우리나라는 여름철의 큰 호우로 인해 피해가 빈번하게 발생하며, 이러한 호우는 주로 태풍과 집중호우로 인해 발생한다. 그런데 기후변화에 따른 이상기후로 인하여 이러한 호우사상들의 규모가 점차 커지고 있으며 그 특성 또한 변화하고 있는 추세이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라 기상청에서 관할하는 총 78개의 기상 관측소 중에서 17개의 기상관측소를 대상으로 연최대시간강우량을 추출하여 각각의 지속시간에 대한 평균과 표준편차에 대한 변동성과 경향성에 대한 분석을 수행하였다. 또 호우의 원인을 태풍과 집중호우로 구분하여 각각의 지속시간별 연최대시간강우량을 구분하여 추출하고 이를 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과에서 연최대시간 강우량은 변동성이 있지만 경향성은 나타나지 않는 것으로 분석되었고, 지역에 따라 호우원인별 강우특성이 다르게 나타났다. 본 연구 결과를 기후변화에 따른 강우패턴의 변화를 예측하는데 있어 기초자료로 활용할 수 있고, 또 수공구조물의 설계에 반영한다면 호우로 인한 피해를 감소시킬 수 있는 것으로 사료된다.

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A Study on the Characteristics of Parameters in Groundwater Table Fluctuation Model (지하수위 변동 해석모델의 매개변수 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Kim, Youn-Jung;Chung, Il-Moon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.615-623
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    • 2014
  • The groundwater level varies according to the characteristics and composite materials of aquifer. In this study, specific yield and reaction factor which are the major two hydrogeological parameters in the WTF(Water Table Fluctuation) method were estimated and analyzed spatial characteristics. 8 groundwater level stations which have enough measuring period and high correlation with rainfall in the Hancheon watershed were used. The results showed that specific yield was randomly distributed and reaction factor showed inverse trend with altitude. If the enough data were collected, reaction factor according to altitude in ungauged points could be estimated by using these parameter characteristics.

A Research on the Safety Condition of Power Utilities Installed on Underground Premises (지하구내 수.변전설비 안전실태 조사)

  • Jung, Jong-Wook;Jung, Jin-Soo;Yi, Geon-Ho;Kim, Young-Seok;Bae, Seok-Myung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.410-413
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes the safety condition of power utilities installed on underground premises when flooding occurs. As advance preparations, the statistical data were investigated based on the rainfall trend; the flooding damage; the power utilities installation; the electric shock accidents, and domestic md foreign regulations pertaining to the power utilities installation on underground premises were also compared and analyzed. After the preliminaries, the safety condition of underground power utilities was inspected at site and the results were reflected on considering countermeasures. Based on the further studies, the regulations closely related to the underground power utilities installation can be modified.

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Non-stationarity Analysis with Trend and Climate Variability for Annual Maximum of Hourly Rainfall in Miho watershed (미호천 유역의 시단위 연최대치 강우계열의 경향성 및 기후변동을 고려한 비정상성 빈도분석)

  • Lee, Jung-Ki;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.345-345
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    • 2012
  • 정상성 기반의 전통적 극한치 이론은 기후변화 및 변동에 의한 외부변화 요인을 반영하기에는 한계가 있음이 지적되어왔다. 따라서 강우의 빈도분석 시 매개변수의 시간에 따른 변화를 반영한 비정상성 빈도분석 방법이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 미호천 유역의 강우관측소 중 기상청에서 관리하는 청주 관측소 및 국토해양부에서 관리하는 가덕, 병천, 증평, 진천 관측소의 24시간 연최대치 강우자료를 대상으로 시간에 따른 경향성 분석을 하였다. 또한 자료의 경향성을 고려하여 비정상성 빈도분석을 하였고 외부상관기상변수로써 ENSO(El Nino Southern Oscillation)를 이용하여 비정상성 빈도분석을 실시하였다.

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Basic Monitoring Concept for Revised Unit Load on NPS (비점오염원 원단위 개정을 위한 조사연구 방향)

  • Shin, Dongseok
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.429-433
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    • 2007
  • Many researchers have made a study of NPS unit-loads and the scientific evaluation method which need for formulating and enforcing a Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) management system and modifying a pollutant discharge loadings function. Some showed the event mean concentration (EMC) on single land-use. For the most parts, as the results showed on multiple land-uses, those cannot be used for NPS unit-loads calculation. NPS runoff shows various phenomena depending on rainfall monitoring data, therefore sampling methods and frequency for NPS monitoring must be different from the general monitoring for water quality trend assessment.

Trend Analysis using Scaling Exponent for Monthly Rainfall Data (월별 스케일 지수를 이용한 경향성 분석)

  • Jung, Younghun;Shin, Ju-Young;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.306-306
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    • 2018
  • 일반적으로 경향성 분석은 연최대강우량으로부터 산정하고 있으나 본 연구에서는 강우자료 이외의 자료를 이용하여 경향성 분석을 하고자 한다. 이를 위해 국내에서 가장 신뢰할 수 있는 기상청 산하의 강우량으로부터 연최대강우량을 추출하고 월단위인 월별 스케일 지수를 추정하였다. 비교를 위해 경향성 분석 방법 중 가장 널리 사용되고 있는 Mann-Kendall (MK) 분석을 사용하였고, 추가적으로 MK 분석의 단점을 보완할 수 있는 the block bootstrap-based MK (BBS-MK) 분석을 적용하였다. 연최대강우량을 이용한 경향성 분석 결과는 홍수기 기간에 해당하는 7월부터 10월까지의 경향성은 뚜렷하게 나타나지 않았다. 그러나 스케일 지수에 대한 경향성 분석 결과에서는 몇몇 지점에서 감소 또는 증가하는 경향을 보이는 강우 지점들을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 경향성 분석을 위해서는 연최대강우량뿐만이 아니라 다양한 인자를 이용한 경향성 분석이 필요함을 확인하였다.

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Flood Risk Assessment with Climate Change (기후 변화를 고려한 홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il;Stedinger, Jery R.;Sung, Jang-Hyun;Kim, Young-Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • The evidence of changes in the climate system is obvious in the world. Nevertheless, at the current techniques for flood frequency analysis, the flood distribution can not reflect climate change or long-term climate cycles. Using a linear regression and a Mann-Kendall test, trends in annual maximum precipitation and flood data for several major gauging sites were evaluated. Moreover, this research considered incorporating flood trends by climate change effects in flood frequency analyses. For five rainfall gauging sites (Seoul, Incheon, Ulleungdo, Jeonju, and Gangneung), upward trends were observed in all gauged annual maximum precipitation records but they were not statistically significant. For three streamflow gauging sites (Andong Dam, Soyanggang Dam, and Daecheong Dam), upward trends were also observed in all gauged annual maximum flood records, but only the flood at Andong Dam was statistically significant. A log-normal trend model was introduced to reflect the observed linear trends in annual maximum flood series and applied to estimate flood frequency and risk for Andong Dam and Soyanggang Dam. As results, when the target year was 2005, 50-year floods of the log-normal trend model were 41% and 21% larger then those of a log-normal model for Andong Dam and Soyanggang Dam, respectively. Moreover, the estimated floods of the log-normal trend model increases as the target year increases.

Application of Common Land Model in the Nakdong River Basin, Korea for Simulation of Runoff and Land Surface Temperature (Common Land Model의 국내 적용성 평가를 위한 유량 및 지면온도 모의)

  • Lee, Keon Haeng;Choi, Hyun Il;Kwon, Hyun Han;Kim, Sangdan;Chung, Eu Gene;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.247-258
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    • 2013
  • A grid-based configuration of Land Surface Models (LSMs) coupled with a climate model can be advantageous in impact assessment of climate change for a large scale area. We assessed the applicability of Common Land Model (CoLM) to runoff and land surface temperature (LST) simulations at the domain that encompasses the Nakdong river basin. To establish a high resolution model configuration of a $1km{\times}1km$ grid size, both surface boundary condition and atmospheric inputs from the observed weather data in 2009 were adjusted to the same resolution. The Leaf Area Index (LAI) was collected from MODerate esolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the downward short wave flux was produced by a nonstationary multi-site weather state model. Compared with the observed runoffs at the stations on Nakdong river, simulated runoffs properly responded to rainfall. The spatial features and the seasonal variations of the domain fairly well were captured in the simulated LSTs as well. The monthly and seasonal trend of LST were described well compared to the observations, however, the monthly averaged simulated LST exceeded the observed up to $2^{\circ}C$ at the 24 stations. From the results of our study, it is shown that high resolution LSMs can be used to evaluate not only quantity but also quality of water resources as it can capture the geographical features of the area of interest and its rainfall-runoff response.

Analyses of Seasonal Water Quality Pollution for Side Planning (수변계획을 위한 계절별 수질오염 분석)

  • Lee, Yang-Kyoo;Han, Jung-Geun;Hong, Chang-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2006
  • Anyang Stream including its main branch is the biggest branch stream of Han River in Korea. The geological and geomorphological characteristics were investigated to the affected area of Anyang Stream, in which rainfall characteristic was analyzed. The water quality surveyed that the analysis of water pollution used to biotic index and biological water pollution. The rainfall pattern in this area was like to that of typical Korea, but the rate of trigger and runoff during summer season(June~August) is more higher than mean of Korea. Before 2003, a dried stream is severe status, which was due to abundant runoff, but this status are improved. After 1997, water quality of stream is recovering status such as water pollution of stream steeply decreased. Especially after 2003, this trend is more quickly improved. Although, owing to the increasing of a T-N and SS at upstream wastewater were due to bad collection of industrial factories, livestock's and mans living, the water quality worsted at upstream. Water quality in total section of main stream was severely contaminated that water-quality limit is 5 with polysaprobic by water self-purification. That of main branch was 1~3limits with ${\alpha}$- and ${\beta}$-mesosaprobic in Anyang city area, But water quality in all area about another branch of Anyang stream except Anyang city area was almost under of 3 grades. Though trying of Anyang city for recover movement(completion of 2nd Sewage Treatment Plant and Water supply pipe system) on Anyang stream, water pollution states of upper branch in Anyang stream was not better than its of 2002 because it may be difference of control area on other cities.

The Influences of Meteorological Factors, Discount rate, and Weekend Effect on the Sales Volume of Apparel Products (기상요인, 가격할인 및 주말효과가 의류상품 판매량에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwangbo, Hyunwoo;Kim, Eun Hie;Chae, Jin Mie
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.434-447
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    • 2017
  • This study investigated the effects of influencing factors on the sales volume of apparel products. Based on previous studies, weekend effect, discount rate, and meteorological factors including daily average temperature, rainfall, sea level pressure, and fine dust were selected as independent variables to calculate their effects on sales quantity of apparel products. The daily sales data during 2015 - 2016 were collected from casual brands and outdoor brands which "A" apparel manufacturing company had operated. The actual data of "A" company were analyzed using SAS(R) 9.4 and SAS(R) Enterprise Miner 14.1. The results of this study were as follows: First, the influencing factors on total sales volume of apparel products were proved to be the weekend effect, discount rate, and fine dust. Second, the analysis of influencing factors on sales volume of apparel products according to season showed: 1) In casual brands, the average temperature had a significant influence on the sales volume of spring/summer products, and the sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/winter products significantly. 2) In outdoor brands, the average temperature and the fine dust had a significant influence on the sales volume of all season's products. The sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/ winter products significantly. The weekend effect and the discount effect affected the sales volume of apparel products partly. Third, the effect of rainfall was not proven significant, which was different from the results of past studies.