• Title/Summary/Keyword: rRMSE

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Power peaking factor prediction using ANFIS method

  • Ali, Nur Syazwani Mohd;Hamzah, Khaidzir;Idris, Faridah;Basri, Nor Afifah;Sarkawi, Muhammad Syahir;Sazali, Muhammad Arif;Rabir, Hairie;Minhat, Mohamad Sabri;Zainal, Jasman
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.608-616
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    • 2022
  • Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R2 values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.

An Analysis of the Key Factors Affecting Apartment Sales Price in Gwangju, South Korea (광주광역시 아파트 매매가 영향요인 분석)

  • Lim, Sung Yeon;Ko, Chang Wan;Jeong, Young-Seon
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.62-73
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    • 2022
  • Researches on the prediction of domestic apartment sales price have been continuously conducted, but it is not easy to accurately predict apartment prices because various characteristics are compounded. Prior to predicting apartment sales price, the analysis of major factors, influencing on sale prices, is of paramount importance to improve the accuracy of sales price. Therefore, this study aims to analyze what are the factors that affect the apartment sales price in Gwangju, which is currently showing a steady increase rate. With 6 years of Gwangju apartment transaction price and various social factor data, several maching learning techniques such as multiple regression analysis, random forest, and deep artificial neural network algorithms are applied to identify major factors in each model. The performances of each model are compared with RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and R2 (coefficient of determination). The experiment shows that several factors such as 'contract year', 'applicable area', 'certificate of deposit', 'mortgage rate', 'leading index', 'producer price index', 'coincident composite index' are analyzed as main factors, affecting the sales price.

Moment-rotational analysis of soil during mining induced ground movements by hybrid machine learning assisted quantification models of ELM-SVM

  • Dai, Bibo;Xu, Zhijun;Zeng, Jie;Zandi, Yousef;Rahimi, Abouzar;Pourkhorshidi, Sara;Khadimallah, Mohamed Amine;Zhao, Xingdong;El-Arab, Islam Ezz
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.831-850
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    • 2021
  • Surface subsidence caused by mining subsidence has an impact on neighboring structures and utilities. In other words, subsurface voids created by mining or tunneling activities induce soil movement, exposing buildings to physical and/or functional destruction. Soil-structure is evaluated employing probability distribution laws to account for their uncertainty and complexity to estimate structural vulnerability. In this study, to investigate the displacement field and surface settlement profile caused by mining subsidence, on the basis of a Winklersoil model, analytical equations for the moment-rotation response ofsoil during mining induced ground movements are developed. To define the full static moment-rotation response, an equation for the uplift-yield state is constructed and integrated with equations for the uplift- and yield-only conditions. The constructed model's findings reveal that the inverse of the factor of safety (x) has a considerable influence on the moment-rotation curve. The maximal moment-rotation response of the footing is defined by X = 0:6. Despite the use of Winkler model, the computed moment-rotation response results derived from the literature were analyzed through the ELM-SVM hybrid of Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Also, Monte Carlo simulations are used to apply continuous random parameters to assess the transmission of ground motions to structures. Following the findings of RMSE and R2, the results show that the choice of probabilistic laws of input parameters has a substantial impact on the outcome of analysis performed.

Noncontact measurements of the morphological phenotypes of sorghum using 3D LiDAR point cloud

  • Eun-Sung, Park;Ajay Patel, Kumar;Muhammad Akbar Andi, Arief;Rahul, Joshi;Hongseok, Lee;Byoung-Kwan, Cho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.483-493
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    • 2022
  • It is important to improve the efficiency of plant breeding and crop yield to fulfill increasing food demands. In plant phenotyping studies, the capability to correlate morphological traits such as plant height, stem diameter, leaf length, leaf width, leaf angle and size of panicle of the plants has an important role. However, manual phenotyping of plants is prone to human errors and is labor intensive and time-consuming. Hence, it is important to develop techniques that measure plant phenotypic traits accurately and rapidly. The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of point cloud data based on a 3D light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system for plant phenotyping. The obtained results were then verified through manually acquired data from the sorghum samples. This study measured the plant height, plant crown diameter and the panicle height and diameter. The R2 of each trait was 0.83, 0.94, 0.90, and 0.90, and the root mean square error (RMSE) was 6.8 cm, 1.82 cm, 5.7 mm, and 7.8 mm, respectively. The results showed good correlation between the point cloud data and manually acquired data for plant phenotyping. The results indicate that the 3D LiDAR system has potential to measure the phenotypes of sorghum in a rapid and accurate way.

Effects of mining activities on Nano-soil management using artificial intelligence models of ANN and ELM

  • Liu, Qi;Peng, Kang;Zeng, Jie;Marzouki, Riadh;Majdi, Ali;Jan, Amin;Salameh, Anas A.;Assilzadeh, Hamid
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.549-566
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    • 2022
  • Mining of ore minerals (sfalerite, cinnabar, and chalcopyrite) from the old mine has led in significant environmental effects as contamination of soils and plants and acidification of water. Also, nanoparticles (NP) have obtained global importance because of their widespread usage in daily life, unique properties, and rapid development in the field of nanotechnology. Regarding their usage in various fields, it is suggested that soil is the final environmental sink for NPs. Nanoparticles with excessive reactivity and deliverability may be carried out as amendments to enhance soil quality, mitigate soil contaminations, make certain secure land-software of the traditional change substances and enhance soil erosion control. Meanwhile, there's no record on the usage of Nano superior substances for mine soil reclamation. In this study, five soil specimens have been tested at 4 sites inside the region of mine (<100 m) to study zeolites, and iron sulfide nanoparticles. Also, through using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), this study has tried to appropriately estimate the mechanical properties of soil under the effect of these Nano particles. Considering the RMSE and R2 values, Zeolite Nano materials could enhance the mine soil fine through increasing the clay-silt fractions, increasing the water holding capacity, removing toxins and improving nutrient levels. Also, adding iron sulfide minerals to the soils would possibly exacerbate the soil acidity problems at a mining site.

Three dimensional dynamic soil interaction analysis in time domain through the soft computing

  • Han, Bin;Sun, J.B.;Heidarzadeh, Milad;Jam, M.M. Nemati;Benjeddou, O.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.761-773
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    • 2021
  • This study presents a 3D non-linear finite element (FE) assessment of dynamic soil-structure interaction (SSI). The numerical investigation has been performed on the time domain through a Finite Element (FE) system, while considering the nonlinear behavior of soil and the multi-directional nature of genuine seismic events. Later, the FE outcomes are analyzed to the recorded in-situ free-field and structural movements, emphasizing the numerical model's great result in duplicating the observed response. In this work, the soil response is simulated using an isotropic hardening elastic-plastic hysteretic model utilizing HSsmall. It is feasible to define the non-linear cycle response from small to large strain amplitudes through this model as well as for the shift in beginning stiffness with depth that happens during cyclic loading. One of the most difficult and unexpected tasks in resolving soil-structure interaction concerns is picking an appropriate ground motion predicted across an earthquake or assessing the geometrical abnormalities in the soil waves. Furthermore, an artificial neural network (ANN) has been utilized to properly forecast the non-linear behavior of soil and its multi-directional character, which demonstrated the accuracy of the ANN based on the RMSE and R2 values. The total result of this research demonstrates that complicated dynamic soil-structure interaction processes may be addressed directly by passing the significant simplifications of well-established substructure techniques.

Prediction of Inhalation Exposure to Benzene by Activity Stage Using a Caltox Model at the Daesan Petrochemical Complex in South Korea (CalTOX 모델을 이용한 대산 석유화학단지의 활동단계에 따른 벤젠 흡입 노출평가)

  • Lee, Jinheon;Lee, Minwoo;Park, Changyong;Park, Sanghyun;Song, Youngho;Kim, Ok;Shin, Jihun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2022
  • Background: Chemical emissions in the environment have rapidly increased with the accelerated industrialization taking place in recent decades. Residents of industrial complexes are concerned about the health risks posed by chemical exposure. Objectives: This study was performed to suggest modeling methods that take into account multimedia and multi-pathways in human exposure and risk assessment. Methods: The concentration of benzene emitted at industrial complexes in Daesan, South Korea and the exposure of local residents was estimated using the Caltox model. The amount of human exposure based on inhalation rate was stochastically predicted for various activity stages such as resting, normal walking, and fast walking. Results: The coefficient of determination (R2) for the CalTOX model efficiency was 0.9676 and the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 0.0035, indicating good agreement between predictions and measurements. However, the efficiency index (EI) appeared to be a negative value at -1094.4997. This can be explained as the atmospheric concentration being calculated only from the emissions from industrial facilities in the study area. In the human exposure assessment, the higher the inhalation rate percentile value, the higher the inhalation rate and lifetime average daily dose (LADD) at each activity step. Conclusions: Prediction using the Caltox model might be appropriate for comparing with actual measurements. The LADD of females was higher ratio with an increase in inhalation rate than those of males. This finding would imply that females may be more susceptible to benzene as their inhalation rate increases.

Tunnel wall convergence prediction using optimized LSTM deep neural network

  • Arsalan, Mahmoodzadeh;Mohammadreza, Taghizadeh;Adil Hussein, Mohammed;Hawkar Hashim, Ibrahim;Hanan, Samadi;Mokhtar, Mohammadi;Shima, Rashidi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.545-556
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    • 2022
  • Evaluation and optimization of tunnel wall convergence (TWC) plays a vital role in preventing potential problems during tunnel construction and utilization stage. When convergence occurs at a high rate, it can lead to significant problems such as reducing the advance rate and safety, which in turn increases operating costs. In order to design an effective solution, it is important to accurately predict the degree of TWC; this can reduce the level of concern and have a positive effect on the design. With the development of soft computing methods, the use of deep learning algorithms and neural networks in tunnel construction has expanded in recent years. The current study aims to employ the long-short-term memory (LSTM) deep neural network predictor model to predict the TWC, based on 550 data points of observed parameters developed by collecting required data from different tunnelling projects. Among the data collected during the pre-construction and construction phases of the project, 80% is randomly used to train the model and the rest is used to test the model. Several loss functions including root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were used to assess the performance and precision of the applied method. The results of the proposed models indicate an acceptable and reliable accuracy. In fact, the results show that the predicted values are in good agreement with the observed actual data. The proposed model can be considered for use in similar ground and tunneling conditions. It is important to note that this work has the potential to reduce the tunneling uncertainties significantly and make deep learning a valuable tool for planning tunnels.

The change of rainfall quantiles calculated with artificial neural network model from RCP4.5 climate change scenario (RCP4.5 기후변화 시나리오와 인공신경망을 이용한 우리나라 확률강우량의 변화)

  • Lee, Joohyung;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.130-130
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화로 인한 기상이변 현상으로 폭우와 홍수 등 수문학적 극치 사상의 출현 빈도가 잦아지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 기상이변 현상에 적응하기 위하여 보다 정확한 확률강우량 측정의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 대장 지점의 미래 확률강우량 계산을 위해선 기후변화 시나리오의 비정상성을 고려해야 한다. 본 연구는 비정상적인 미래 기후에서 확률강우량이 어떻게 변화하는지 측정하는 것을 목표로 한다. Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP4.5)에 따른 우리나라의 확률강우량 계산에 인공신경망을 포함한 정상성, 비정상성 확률강우량 산정 모델들이 사용되었다. 지점빈도해석(AFA), 홍수지수법(IFM), 모분포홍수지수법(PIF), 인공신경망을 이용한 Quantile & Parameter regression technique(QRT & PRT)이 정상성 자료에 대해 확률강우량을 계산하는 모델로 사용되었으며, 비정상성 자료에 대해서는 비정상성 지점빈도해석(NS-AFA), 비정상성 홍수지수법(NS-IFM), 비정상성 모분포홍수지수법(NS-PIF), 인공신경망을 사용한 비정상성 Quantile & Parameter regression technique(NS-QRT & NS-PRT)이 사용되었다. Rescaled Akaike information criterion(rAIC)를 사용한 불확실성 분석과 적합도 검정을 통해서 generalized extreme value(GEV) 분포형 모델이 정상성 및 비정상성 확률강우량 산정에 가장 적합한 모델로 선정되었다. 이후, 관측자료가 GEV(0,0,0)을 따르고 시나리오 자료가 GEV(1,0,0)을 따르는 지점들을 선택하여 미래의 확률강우량 변화를 추정하였다. 각 빈도해석 모델들은 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통해 bias, relative bias(Rbias), root mean square error(RMSE), relative root mean square error(RRMSE)를 바탕으로 측정하여 정확도를 계산하였으며 그 결과 QRT와 NS-QRT가 각각 정상성과 비정상성 자료로부터 가장 정확하게 확률강우량을 계산하였다. 본 연구를 통해 향후 기후변화의 영향으로 확률강우량이 증가할 것으로 예상되며, 비정상성을 고려한 빈도분석 또한 필요함을 제안하였다.

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Measurement and Prediction of Spray Targeting Points according to Injector Parameter and Injection Condition (인젝터 설계변수 및 분사조건에 따른 분무타겟팅 지점의 측정 및 예측)

  • Mengzhao Chang;Bo Zhou;Suhan Park
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • In the cylinder of gasoline direct injection engines, the spray targeting from injectors is of great significance for fuel consumption and pollutant emissions. The automotive industry is putting a lot of effort into improving injector targeting accuracy. To improve the targeting accuracy of injectors, it is necessary to develop models that can predict the spray targeting positions. When developing spray targeting models, the most used technique is computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Recently, due to the superiority of machine learning in prediction accuracy, the application of machine learning in this field is also receiving constant attention. The purpose of this study is to build a machine learning model that can accurately predict spray targeting based on the design parameters of injectors. To achieve this goal, this study firstly used laser sheet beam visualization equipment to obtain many spray cross-sectional images of injectors with different parameters at different injection pressures and measurement planes. The spray images were processed by MATLAB code to get the targeting coordinates of sprays. A total of four models were used for the prediction of spray targeting coordinates, namely ANN, LSTM, Conv1D and Conv1D & LSTM. Features fed into the machine learning model include injector design parameters, injection conditions, and measurement planes. Labels to be output from the model are spray targeting coordinates. In addition, the spray data of 7 injectors were used for model training, and the spray data of the remaining one injector were used for model performance verification. Finally, the prediction performance of the model was evaluated by R2 and RMSE. It is found that the Conv1D&LSTM model has the highest accuracy in predicting the spray targeting coordinates, which can reach 98%. In addition, the prediction bias of the model becomes larger as the distance from the injector tip increases.