• 제목/요약/키워드: qualitative risk assessment model

검색결과 33건 처리시간 0.032초

가치구조화기법에 의한 매립지 유해성 등급화 (Assessment of Landfill Hazard Using the Value-Structured Approach)

  • 홍상표;김정욱
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 1997
  • LHR(Landfill Site Hazard Ranking Model) was developed for ranking the relative hazard of landfill sites by using the method of value-structured approach. LHR consists of combining a multiattribute decision-making method with a Qualitative risk assessment approach. A pairwise com parisian method was applied to determine weights of landfill site factors related. To determine the hazard of landfill site, hydrogeological factors, waste characteristics factors and receptors factors were evaluated by LHR. LHR can help decision-makers prioritization of remediation of landfill sites through the relatively convenient and concise evaluation method of landfill site features related. LHR focuses mainly on pathways of groundwater and surfacewater for evaluating landfill hazard to receptors including humans. To validiate the applicability of LHR, Nanjido Landfill site, Metropolitan Landfill site, and Hwasung Landfill site were evaluated.

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다중 종속 고장상태를 갖는 공정시스템의 신뢰성 모델 (A Reliability Model of Process Systems with Multiple Dependent Failure States)

  • 최수형
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2018
  • Process safety technology has developed from qualitative methods such as HAZOP (hazard and operability study) to semi-quantitative methods such as LOPA (layer of protection analysis), and quantitative methods are actively studied these days. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often based on fault tree analysis (FTA). FTA is efficient, but difficult to apply when failure events are not independent of each other. This problem can be avoided using a Markov process (MP). MP requires definition of all possible states, and thus, generally, is more complicated than FTA. A method is proposed in this work that uses an MP model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for multiple dependent failures. As a case study, a pressure safety valve (PSV) is considered, for which there are three kinds of failure, i.e. open failure, close failure, and gas tight failure. According to recently reported inspection results, open failure and close failure are dependent on each other. A reliability model for a PSV group is proposed in this work that is to reproduce these results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to QRA of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

라돈 우선관리 대상 지역 선정에 적합한 공간분석모형의 선정 및 활용에 관한 연구 (Study on the Selection and Application of a Spatial Analysis Model Appropriate for Selecting the Radon Priority Management Target Area)

  • 남궁선주;최길용;홍형진;윤단기;김윤신;박시현;김윤관;이철민
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.82-96
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The aims of this study were to provide the basic data for establishing a precautionary management policy and to develop a methodology for selecting a radon management priority target area suitable for the Korean domestic environment. Methods: A suitable mapping method for the domestic environment was derived by conducting a quantitative comparison of predicted values and measured values that were calculated through implementation of two models such as IDW and RBF methods. And a qualitative comparison including the clarity of information transmission of the written radon map was carried out. Results: The predicted and measured values were obtained through the implementation of the spatial analysis models. The IDW method showed the lowest in the calculated mean square error and had a higher correlation coefficient than the other methods. As results of comparing the uncertainty using the jackknife concept and the concept of error distance for comparison of the differences according to the model interpolation method, the sum of the error distances showed a modest increase compared with the RBF method. As a result of qualitatively comparing the information transfer clarity between the radon maps prepared with the predicted values through the model implementation, it was found that the maps plotted using the predicted values by the implementation of the IDW method had greater clarity in terms of highness and lowness of radon concentration per area compared with the maps plotted by other methods. Conclusions: The radon management priority area suggests selecting a metropolitan city including an area with a high radon concentration.

원전 화재방호구역의 화재위험 분석을 위한 FDS 적용성 (Applicability of FDS for the Fire Hazard Analysis of the Fire Zone at Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 지문학;이병곤
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2006
  • 원자력발전소의 화재방호규정은 정성적인 화재위험성평가와 정량적인 화재위험도분석에 기반을 두며, 화재위험은 심층화재방어개념인 화재 예방, 화재 진압, 및 피해 최소화의 3가지 요소에 균형을 유지하면서 화재방호계획에 의해 관리되고 있다. 최근 화재위험 상세평가는 일반적으로 존모델 또는 필드모델을 이용하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이런 추세에 따라 최신 화재모델링 도구인 FDS를 이용하여 원자력 발전소의 방화지역에 대한 정량적 화재위험분석 및 화재영향 평가가 가능한지 그 여부를 확인하였다. 이의 결과 화재모델링을 이용한 정량적 위험분석은 원자력발전소의 방화지역에 대한 정량적 위험도 분석뿐만 아니라 화재로 인한 원자로 노심 손상빈도를 개선할 수 있는 응용 도구로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

A quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk based on the meta feature system of network security data

  • Lin, Weiwei;Yang, Chaofan;Zhang, Zeqing;Xue, Xingsi;Haga, Reiko
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.4531-4544
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    • 2021
  • Because the traditional network information security vulnerability risk assessment method does not set the weight, it is easy for security personnel to fail to evaluate the value of information security vulnerability risk according to the calculation value of network centrality, resulting in poor evaluation effect. Therefore, based on the network security data element feature system, this study designed a quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk under single transmission state. In the case of single transmission state, the multi-dimensional analysis of network information security vulnerability is carried out by using the analysis model. On this basis, the weight is set, and the intrinsic attribute value of information security vulnerability is quantified by using the qualitative method. In order to comprehensively evaluate information security vulnerability, the efficacy coefficient method is used to transform information security vulnerability associated risk, and the information security vulnerability risk value is obtained, so as to realize the quantitative evaluation of network information security vulnerability detection under single transmission state. The calculated values of network centrality of the traditional method and the proposed method are tested respectively, and the evaluation of the two methods is evaluated according to the calculated results. The experimental results show that the proposed method can be used to calculate the network centrality value in the complex information security vulnerability space network, and the output evaluation result has a high signal-to-noise ratio, and the evaluation effect is obviously better than the traditional method.

발전소 및 수전해 시스템의 수소 폭발 사고 사례 기반 위험성 평가 및 개선 방안 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment and Improvement Methods Based on Hydrogen Explosion Accidents of a Power Plant and Water Electrolysis System)

  • 전민재;장대진;이민철
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2024
  • This study addresses the escalating issue of worldwide hydrogen gas accidents, which has seen a significant increase in occurrences. To comprehensively evaluate the risks associated with hydrogen, a two approach was employed in this study. Firstly, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted using the bow-tie method. Secondly, a quantitative consequence analysis was carried out utilizing the areal locations of hazardous atmospheres (ALOHA) model. The study applied this method to two incidents, the hydrogen explosion accident occurred at the Muskingum River power plant in Ohio, USA, 2007 and the hydrogen storage tank explosion accident occurred at the K Technopark water electrolysis system in Korea, 2019. The results of the risk assessments revealed critical issues such as deterioration of gas pipe, human errors in incident response and the omission of important gas cleaning facility. By analyzing the cause of accidents and assessing risks quantitatively, the effective accident response plans are proposed and the effectiveness is evaluated by comparing the effective distance obtained by ALOHA simulation. Notably, the implementation of these measures led to a significant 54.5% reduction in the risk degree of potential explosions compared to the existing risk levels.

Development of Multimedia Exposure Model for PCBs

  • Park, Shinai;Han, Jee-Yeun;Park, Jongsei
    • 한국환경독성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국환경독성학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.166-166
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    • 2003
  • In terms of the risk assessment, qualitative and quantitative informations are needed to estimate the exposures of environmental pollutants, which may be potentiality of risks, and those are the information about the changes caused by the chemical transportation among environmental media and transformation in environmental media by duration. The various fate mechanism of chemical is possible for estimation of chemical concentration in environmental media. Since there are limitations in measuring the change of chemical concentration within all medium according to the time period, estimating method through modeling are developed.

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위험 평가 모델 기반의 정량적 사이버 보안 평가 체계 (Quantitative Cyber Security Scoring System Based on Risk Assessment Model)

  • 김인경;박남제
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.1179-1189
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    • 2019
  • 사이버보안성 평가란 자산분석, 위협분석, 취약성 분석을 통하여 자산 및 시스템의 위험 수준을 평가하여 적절한 보안조치를 적용하는 일련의 과정으로 증가하는 사이버 공격에 대한 대비를 위해 체계적인 사이버보안성 평가가 요구된다. 이에 CWSS, CVSS 등 사이버 보안 수준 측정을 위한 다양한 지표가 개발되고 있으나 표준화된 보안성 평가 결과를 통해 위험 우선순위에 따라 적절한 보안조치를 적용하기 위한 정량적 방법은 미흡한 실정으로 대상자산이 가지는 특성, 적용되어 있는 환경, 자산에 미치는 영향 등을 고려한 평가 체계가 필요하다. 이에 본 논문에서는 기존의 사이버 보안 평가 방법 분석을 기반으로 정량적 위험 평가 모델을 정립하고 정립한 모델에 적용하기 위한 평가 요소들의 정량화를 위한 방법을 제시한다. 사이버 보안성 평가 시 필요한 정성적 속성 요소들의 수준을 AHP 기법을 통한 보안요건별 가중치, 위협 별 영향도, 취약점 요소 별 점수화를 통한 위협 성공 가능성에 대한 확률값 산출을 통해 통계적 데이터를 적용해야 하는 정량적 방법의 한계점을 보완하여 표준화된 사이버 보안 평가 체계를 확립할 것으로 기대된다.

건강신념모델을 기반한 소규모 산업장 생산직 남성근로자의 대사증후군 감소 프로그램 개발을 위한 요구사정 (Health Belief Model-based Needs Assessment for Development of a Metabolic Syndrome Risk Reduction Program for Korean Male Blue-collar Workers in Small-sized Companies)

  • 박윤희;김두리
    • 한국직업건강간호학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.235-246
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study aimed to comprehend the real context of metabolic syndrome-related factors of Korean male blue-collar workers from small-sized companies based on the health belief model. Methods: A total of 37 workers from three companies were interviewed, and three series of focus group interviews were conducted. Data were analyzed using deductive content analysis. Results: Data were classified into four categories: knowledge, perceived susceptibility and severity, perceived barriers, and beliefs. Knowledge referred to low knowledge level; perceived susceptibility and severity referred to unawareness of susceptibility and severity; perceived barriers referred to shift work, overtime work, and a social context including having no choice but to drink; and beliefs referred to believing that health promotion behaviors do not relate to preventing metabolic syndrome, believing that one cannot prevent metabolic syndrome oneself, and believing that professional help is required. Conclusion: To prevent and reduce the risk of metabolic syndrome among Korean male blue-collar workers, interventions should focus on strategies to increase metabolic syndrome-related knowledge and perceptions, social support, and self-efficacy for practicing health behaviors. In addition, it is necessary to develop policies for establishing a healthy drinking culture in companies.

독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials)

  • 김성빈;김윤화;이철;엄성인;고재욱;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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