• Title/Summary/Keyword: public transportation demand

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A Study on Predicting the demand for Public Shared Bikes using linear Regression

  • HAN, Dong Hun;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2022
  • As the need for eco-friendly transportation increases due to the deepening climate crisis, many local governments in Korea are introducing shared bicycles. Due to anxiety about public transportation after COVID-19, bicycles have firmly established themselves as the axis of daily transportation. The use of shared bicycles is spread, and the demand for bicycles is increasing by rental offices, but there are operational and management difficulties because the demand is managed under a limited budget. And unfortunately, user behavior results in a spatial imbalance of the bike inventory over time. So, in order to easily operate the maintenance of shared bicycles in Seoul, bicycles should be prepared in large quantities at a time of high demand and withdrawn at a low time. Therefore, in this study, by using machine learning, the linear regression algorithm and MS Azure ML are used to predict and analyze when demand is high. As a result of the analysis, the demand for bicycles in 2018 is on the rise compared to 2017, and the demand is lower in winter than in spring, summer, and fall. It can be judged that this linear regression-based prediction can reduce maintenance and management costs in a shared society and increase user convenience. In a further study, we will focus on shared bike routes by using GPS tracking systems. Through the data found, the route used by most people will be analyzed to derive the optimal route when installing a bicycle-only road.

Improvement on the Urban Transportation System in Pusan Area (부산지역 도시교통체계의 개선방안에 관한 연구)

    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 1994
  • Most of Cities are suffering from the traffic congestion problem with the vehicles increased. Especially, the City of Pusan is experiencing the severest traffic congestion with the lower read capacity and the higher travel demand than any other cities in the country. Thus, the purpose of this study was to grasp the conditions, review the problems and finally suggest the improvements which we faced at this time for the construction of the Urban Transportation System considered in Pusan area. Based upon the results, it was concluded that firstly the Urban Transportation System(UTS) in Pusan area should be constructed by the Public Transportation System in the center of the Public Transit Modes(i.e., bus and subway), secondly the Para-transit Modes(i.e., Light Rail Transit, LRT) introduced, and thirdly the Transportation Demand Management(TDM) implemented with the expansion of the transportation facilities if possible.

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An Empirical Analysis on Public Transportation Demand and TOD Design Factors in Seoul subway adjacent area (서울시 역세권의 TOD환경과 대중교통이용수요 관계분석)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2011
  • TOD(Transit Oriented Development) has recently been active, which presents that TOD planning elements should be comprehensively taken into consideration in order to enhance domestic transit ridership by changing environments in rail station areas and an empirical analysis on the type of rail station areas and transportation demand should be a prerequisite for usage of future development planning. This study aims to grasp a variety of TOD of influence factors in Seoul rail station area and to perform analysis to identify relationship between public transportation demand and these TOD design factors. To make it come true, we gathered data with respect to Density, Diversity, and Accessibility as representative TOD planning elements and carried out factorial and regression analysis. Consequently, we drew 7 influence factors base on factorial analysis: Factor 1(Diversity/ -Use Mix(LUM)), Factor 2(Density/development density), Factor 3(Accessibility/public transportation facility supply), Factor 4(Design/street design), Factor 5(Green/access mode (pedestrian, bike), Factor 6(Design/subway size), Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) As the result of model development by using factorial and regression analysis, positive influence factors on passenger flow in rail station area are Factor 1(Diversity : Land-Use Mix), Factor 3(Accessibility : public transportation facility supply), Factor 2(Density : development density), Factor 5(Design/ access mode) and Factor 6(subway size) Next, negative influence factor on passenger flow in rail station area shows Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) as the most influential factor. This is because the growth of service interval of linked subway and bus leads to reduced demand.

Analysis of Models and Contributions of Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) for Public Transportation Service Weak Areas (지방자치단체의 대중교통 소외지역 수요응답형 교통수단(DRT) 제도 도입에 따른 모형 및 기여도 분석)

  • Ji, Minkyung;Kim, Eungcheol
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • In this study, Analysis of DRT model and contribustion based on the case of local governments adopting the Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) in order to provide transportation in public transportation service weak area. Based on the case of Yeoju Area, the contribution of the DRT was analyzed. The DRT model was established as a fixed and call type model with taxi and bus transportation. Based on the results of the happy taxi service in Yeoju Area in 2016, the contribution of DRT was analyzed. According to the happy taxi performance of Yeoju city, it was introduced to 27 villages, and operated 4,188 times. And 9,111 people used it and Yeoju Area supported about 53 million Won. The contribution of local governments was analyzed in terms of local government, users, and social aspects. On local government aspects, we analyzed the budget cuts and complaints resolution. On the user aspects, we analyzed waiting time reduction, walking time reduction, travel time reduction, comfort, punctuality, and stability. On social aspects, we analyzed taxi and regional economy activation, and convenience of mobility.

A Model Design on the Korean AGT System (한국형 경량 전철 모델 연구)

  • 최출헌;한석윤;신학수
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2001
  • As of these, the exterior design of the public transportation systems, especially electric multiple, tends to mimic advanced country's design rather than design of car shape reflecting cultural and spiritual background. However, in the new transportation system, the design which satisfies the transportation demand must be changed into the design which creates transportation demand. In this respect, this research focuses on the factor's embodiment which is perceived by Korean passenger sympathetic to cultural and spiritual needs. The results of this research are Korean AGT design on rubber tire AGT, steel wheel AGT, LM AGT system and environmental design related to AGT systems.

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Optimal Pricing Rules for Public Transport (최적의 대중교통요금 결정원리)

  • 손의영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 1990
  • The first-best pricing rule which achieves economic efficiency is to equate price with marginal cost. Since public transport demand is derived from some other demand, the user cost as well as the producer cost are considered in its pricing. The optimal price is derived from a derivative of the total social cost with respect to demand. In case of the bus, if there is enough capacity for demand increase, the optimal price is determined by the marginal producer cost resulting from bus sped decrease and by the marginal user cost resulting from journey time increase. Both are caused by boarding and fare collecting time of an additional passenger. Because of the budget constraints, the marginal cost pricing cannot be applied in practice. Then price discrimination as the second-best pricing is introduced. The Ramsey pricing, to charge different prices for different demand elasticities, and nonuniform prices such as travelcards can be applied. However, there is practical difficulty in implementing these prices because of great informational requirements, the costs of administration and the ease to users.

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Exploring Relationships between Transportation and Communications Using Consumer Expenditure Patterns (소비자 지출 행태를 통한 교통과 통신의 상호연관성 연구)

  • Choo, Sang-Ho;Mokhtarian Patricia L.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.8 s.86
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzed the relationships between expenditures on transportation and those on communications, using consumer expenditure data from the U.S. for the 19 years 1984-2002. We first identified 12 categories of goods for transportation and communications, and then applied the linear approximate Almost Ideal Demand System(LA/AIDS) method for estimating consumer demand functions based on aggregating the categories to five (public transportation, personal vehicle capital, personal vehicle operation, electronic communications media, and print communications media) due to the small sample size. Expenditure and price elasticities were also calculated at mean values of expenditure shares. The results indicate that transportation and communications categories have both substitutive(e.g. public transportation and electronic communications media) and complementary(e.g. private vehicle capital and electronic communications media) relationships. Additionally, expenditures in the transportation categories are generally more income-elastic than those in communications.

Development of BPR Functions with Truck Traffic Impacts for Network Assignment (노선배정시 트럭 교통량을 고려한 BPR 함수 개발)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.4 s.75
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    • pp.117-134
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    • 2004
  • Truck traffic accounts for a substantial fraction of the traffic stream in many regions and is often the source of localized traffic congestion, potential parking and safety problems. Truck trips tend to be ignored or treated superficially in travel demand models. It reduces the effectiveness and accuracy of travel demand forecasting and may result in misguided transportation policy and project decisions. This paper presents the development of speed-flow relationships with truck impacts based on CORSIM simulation results in order to enhance travel demand model by incorporating truck trips. The traditional BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function representing the speed-flow relationships for roadway facilities is modified to specifically include the impacts of truck traffics. A number of new speed-flow functions have been developed based on CORSIM simulation results for freeways and urban arterials.

A Study on the Bus Operation Management and Transport Strategy (버스운행관리 및 수송전략에 관한 연구)

    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.323-332
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    • 1999
  • The bus should supply an equal service to the whole community as feeder trip. However the existing bus route can not supply an effective feeder service in spite of the changes in the latent demand by the variety of regional structural change. This study aimed to establish the concept which frames the bus operation and management to cope with the latent demand to the bus. This study tackled this evidence by analyzing the transportation problems in terms of the urban growth emphasizing the following issues ; First, the strategy to improve the bus operation Second the land use control appropriate for the public transportation network Third economical range to justify the bus operation Second, the land use control appropriate for the public transportation network Third, economical range to justify the bus operation Fourth, the allowance for the private transportation mode On the latter part, the difference on the bus operation was compared to determine the range within which the bus operation could be justified. This study would provide some implications to improve the management for bus operation and fundamental information to develop the bus operation system.

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