• 제목/요약/키워드: public transportation demand

검색결과 205건 처리시간 0.034초

A Study on Predicting the demand for Public Shared Bikes using linear Regression

  • HAN, Dong Hun;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2022
  • As the need for eco-friendly transportation increases due to the deepening climate crisis, many local governments in Korea are introducing shared bicycles. Due to anxiety about public transportation after COVID-19, bicycles have firmly established themselves as the axis of daily transportation. The use of shared bicycles is spread, and the demand for bicycles is increasing by rental offices, but there are operational and management difficulties because the demand is managed under a limited budget. And unfortunately, user behavior results in a spatial imbalance of the bike inventory over time. So, in order to easily operate the maintenance of shared bicycles in Seoul, bicycles should be prepared in large quantities at a time of high demand and withdrawn at a low time. Therefore, in this study, by using machine learning, the linear regression algorithm and MS Azure ML are used to predict and analyze when demand is high. As a result of the analysis, the demand for bicycles in 2018 is on the rise compared to 2017, and the demand is lower in winter than in spring, summer, and fall. It can be judged that this linear regression-based prediction can reduce maintenance and management costs in a shared society and increase user convenience. In a further study, we will focus on shared bike routes by using GPS tracking systems. Through the data found, the route used by most people will be analyzed to derive the optimal route when installing a bicycle-only road.

부산지역 도시교통체계의 개선방안에 관한 연구 (Improvement on the Urban Transportation System in Pusan Area)

    • 한국항만학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 1994
  • Most of Cities are suffering from the traffic congestion problem with the vehicles increased. Especially, the City of Pusan is experiencing the severest traffic congestion with the lower read capacity and the higher travel demand than any other cities in the country. Thus, the purpose of this study was to grasp the conditions, review the problems and finally suggest the improvements which we faced at this time for the construction of the Urban Transportation System considered in Pusan area. Based upon the results, it was concluded that firstly the Urban Transportation System(UTS) in Pusan area should be constructed by the Public Transportation System in the center of the Public Transit Modes(i.e., bus and subway), secondly the Para-transit Modes(i.e., Light Rail Transit, LRT) introduced, and thirdly the Transportation Demand Management(TDM) implemented with the expansion of the transportation facilities if possible.

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서울시 역세권의 TOD환경과 대중교통이용수요 관계분석 (An Empirical Analysis on Public Transportation Demand and TOD Design Factors in Seoul subway adjacent area)

  • 문영일;노정현
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2011
  • 최근 대중교통지향형개발(TOD)이 활발해지며, 역세권의 환경 변화를 통하여 국내의 대중교통 이용 증진을 시키기 위해서는 TOD 통합계획요소를 종합적으로 고려한 역세권 유형과 이용수요에 관한 실증분석이 전제되어야 향후 계획수립시 활용이 가능 할 것이다. 본 연구는 서울시 역세권을 대상으로 다양한 TOD 영향요인을 파악하고, 대중교통 이용수요와 연관성을 규명하기 위한 실증분석을 진행하였다. TOD의 대표적 요소인 Density, Diversity, Accessibility에 대한 자료를 수집하고, 요인분석과 회귀모형을 구축하였다. 분석결과 (1) 요인분석을 토대로 7개 영향요인이 도출되었으며, Factor 1(Diversity/토지이용복합도 (LUM)), Factor 2(Density/개발밀도수준), Factor 3(Accessibility/대중교통시설공급수준), Factor 4(Design/가로설계수준), Factor 5(Green/연계교통시설(보행자, 자전거), Factor 6(Design/지하철시설규모), Factor 7(Accessibility/대중교통운영수준)로 유형화되었다. (2) 요인-회귀분석 결과를 토대로 역세권 승하차 인원에 긍정적(+) 영향을 미치는 주요 요인은 Factor 1(Diversity : 토지이용복합도(LUM) 요인), Factor 3(Accessibility : 대중교통시설공급수준), Factor 2(Density : 개발밀도수준), Factor 5(Design/연계교통시설(보행자, 자전거), Factor 6(지하철시설규모)로 나타났다. 다음으로 역세권의 승하차 인원에 부정적(-) 영향은 Factor 7(Accessibility/대중교통운영수준)로 나타났으며, 가장 높은 영향력을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 지하철과 버스의 배차간격이 증가할 경우 이용수요가 감소하기 때문이다.

지방자치단체의 대중교통 소외지역 수요응답형 교통수단(DRT) 제도 도입에 따른 모형 및 기여도 분석 (Analysis of Models and Contributions of Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) for Public Transportation Service Weak Areas)

  • 지민경;김응철
    • 도시과학
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • In this study, Analysis of DRT model and contribustion based on the case of local governments adopting the Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) in order to provide transportation in public transportation service weak area. Based on the case of Yeoju Area, the contribution of the DRT was analyzed. The DRT model was established as a fixed and call type model with taxi and bus transportation. Based on the results of the happy taxi service in Yeoju Area in 2016, the contribution of DRT was analyzed. According to the happy taxi performance of Yeoju city, it was introduced to 27 villages, and operated 4,188 times. And 9,111 people used it and Yeoju Area supported about 53 million Won. The contribution of local governments was analyzed in terms of local government, users, and social aspects. On local government aspects, we analyzed the budget cuts and complaints resolution. On the user aspects, we analyzed waiting time reduction, walking time reduction, travel time reduction, comfort, punctuality, and stability. On social aspects, we analyzed taxi and regional economy activation, and convenience of mobility.

한국형 경량 전철 모델 연구 (A Model Design on the Korean AGT System)

  • 최출헌;한석윤;신학수
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2001
  • As of these, the exterior design of the public transportation systems, especially electric multiple, tends to mimic advanced country's design rather than design of car shape reflecting cultural and spiritual background. However, in the new transportation system, the design which satisfies the transportation demand must be changed into the design which creates transportation demand. In this respect, this research focuses on the factor's embodiment which is perceived by Korean passenger sympathetic to cultural and spiritual needs. The results of this research are Korean AGT design on rubber tire AGT, steel wheel AGT, LM AGT system and environmental design related to AGT systems.

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최적의 대중교통요금 결정원리 (Optimal Pricing Rules for Public Transport)

  • 손의영
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 1990
  • The first-best pricing rule which achieves economic efficiency is to equate price with marginal cost. Since public transport demand is derived from some other demand, the user cost as well as the producer cost are considered in its pricing. The optimal price is derived from a derivative of the total social cost with respect to demand. In case of the bus, if there is enough capacity for demand increase, the optimal price is determined by the marginal producer cost resulting from bus sped decrease and by the marginal user cost resulting from journey time increase. Both are caused by boarding and fare collecting time of an additional passenger. Because of the budget constraints, the marginal cost pricing cannot be applied in practice. Then price discrimination as the second-best pricing is introduced. The Ramsey pricing, to charge different prices for different demand elasticities, and nonuniform prices such as travelcards can be applied. However, there is practical difficulty in implementing these prices because of great informational requirements, the costs of administration and the ease to users.

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소비자 지출 행태를 통한 교통과 통신의 상호연관성 연구 (Exploring Relationships between Transportation and Communications Using Consumer Expenditure Patterns)

  • 추상호
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제23권8호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 미국의 소비자 지출(1984-2002) 자료를 이용하여 교통과 통신간의 상호연관성을 분석하였다. 먼저 소비자 지출 전체 항목 중 교통 및 통신 관련 항목을 12가지로 분류하였으며, 데이터의 수가 적어 이 세부항목을 다시 5개의 대 항목(대중교통, 차량구입, 차량운영, 전자통신매체 인쇄통신매체)으로 그룹화한 후 Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System(LA/AIDS) 기법을 이용하여 소비자 수요 모형을 개발하였다. 또한 평균 소비자 지출 분담율을 기준으로 교통과 통신의 소득 및 가격 탄력성을 산출하였다. 모형추정결과, 교통과 통신의 상호관계는 항목별로 대체(예, 대중교통 이용과 전자통신미디어 이용) 및 보완(예, 개인차량 구입과 전자통신미디어 이용)관계가 있는 것으로 규명되었다. 그리고 교통관련 항목의 소비자 지출이 통신관련 항목의 지출보다 소득면에서 보다 탄력적인 것으로 나타났다.

노선배정시 트럭 교통량을 고려한 BPR 함수 개발 (Development of BPR Functions with Truck Traffic Impacts for Network Assignment)

  • 윤성순;윤대식
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.117-134
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    • 2004
  • 도로교통량의 상당부분을 차지하는 트럭교통(truck traffic)은 교통혼잡, 주차, 교통안전 문제의 큰 요인이 되고 있다. 그러나 그 동안 교통수요예측 및 교통계획에서 트럭교통은 사람교통(passenger trip)에 비해 상대적으로 그 중요성이 간과되어 왔다. 트럭교통의 정확한 모형화가 선행되지 않으면 각종 교통수요예측 및 교통정책의 신뢰성은 낮아질 것이다. 본 연구의 목적은 교통수요예측 과정에서 트럭교통을 교통망(network)에 배정하는 기법을 개선하는데 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 노선배정(network assignment)의 핵심적인 요소인 기존의 BPR(Bureau of Public Road) 함수에 트럭 교통량 변수를 포함하여, 수정된 새로운 BPR 함수를 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 방법은 교통수요예측시 트럭 교통량을 고려하여 보다 현실적이고 신뢰성 있는 도로교통수요 예측치를 담보할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

버스운행관리 및 수송전략에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Bus Operation Management and Transport Strategy)

    • 한국항만학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.323-332
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    • 1999
  • The bus should supply an equal service to the whole community as feeder trip. However the existing bus route can not supply an effective feeder service in spite of the changes in the latent demand by the variety of regional structural change. This study aimed to establish the concept which frames the bus operation and management to cope with the latent demand to the bus. This study tackled this evidence by analyzing the transportation problems in terms of the urban growth emphasizing the following issues ; First, the strategy to improve the bus operation Second the land use control appropriate for the public transportation network Third economical range to justify the bus operation Second, the land use control appropriate for the public transportation network Third, economical range to justify the bus operation Fourth, the allowance for the private transportation mode On the latter part, the difference on the bus operation was compared to determine the range within which the bus operation could be justified. This study would provide some implications to improve the management for bus operation and fundamental information to develop the bus operation system.

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