• 제목/요약/키워드: proportional hazards function

검색결과 32건 처리시간 0.024초

Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Predicts Poststroke Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Patients without Atrial Fibrillation and Coronary Heart Disease

  • Lee, Jeong-Yoon;Sunwoo, Jun-Sang;Kwon, Kyum-Yil;Roh, Hakjae;Ahn, Moo-Young;Lee, Min-Ho;Park, Byoung-Won;Hyon, Min Su;Lee, Kyung Bok
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • 제48권12호
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    • pp.1148-1156
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    • 2018
  • Background and Objectives: It is controversial that decreased left ventricular function could predict poststroke outcomes. The purpose of this study is to elucidate whether left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) can predict cardiovascular events and mortality in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) without atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods: Transthoracic echocardiography was conducted consecutively in patients with AIS or transient ischemic attack at Soonchunhyang University Hospital between January 2008 and July 2016. The clinical data and echocardiographic LVEF of 1,465 patients were reviewed after excluding AF and CHD. Poststroke disability, major adverse cardiac events (MACE; nonfatal stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) and all-cause mortality during 1 year after index stroke were prospectively captured. Cox proportional hazards regressions analysis were applied adjusting traditional risk factors and potential determinants. Results: The mean follow-up time was $259.9{\pm}148.8days$ with a total of 29 non-fatal strokes, 3 myocardial infarctions, 33 cardiovascular deaths, and 53 all-cause mortality. The cumulative incidence of MACE and all-cause mortality were significantly higher in the lowest LVEF (<55) group compared with the others (p=0.022 and 0.009). In prediction models, LVEF (per 10%) had hazards ratios of 0.54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36-0.80, p=0.002) for MACE and 0.61 (95% CI, 0.39-0.97, p=0.037) for all-cause mortality. Conclusions: LVEF could be an independent predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality after AIS in the absence of AF and CHD.

Renal function is associated with prognosis in stent-change therapy for malignant ureteral obstruction

  • Yoon, Ji Hyung;Park, Sejun;Park, Sungchan;Moon, Kyung Hyun;Cheon, Sang Hyeon;Kwon, Taekmin
    • Investigative and Clinical Urology
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.376-382
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The authors performed this study to investigate the risk factors for predicting stent failure and to evaluate its impact on prognosis. Materials and Methods: Between January 2002 and March 2017, we retrospectively reviewed 117 consecutive patients who underwent retrograde ureteral stenting and exchanging at least once every 3 months for malignant ureteral obstruction. The patients were classified according to their pre-stenting chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage. The factors affecting stent failure were analyzed using a logistic regression model. Overall survival (OS) was estimated, and the prognostic significance of each variable was estimated using Cox proportional-hazards regression modeling. Results: Before stenting, 91 patients were CKD stages 1-3 and 26 patients were CKD stages 4-5. These two groups differed significantly only in pre-stenting estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), bilateral obstruction, and pre-stenting pyuria. Among the 117 patients, stent failure occurred in 30 patients (25.6%), and there were no differences between the groups. Pre-stenting pyuria and post-stenting complications were significant predictors of stent failure. There were 79 deaths in total, including 56 in the CKD stages 1-3 group and 23 in the CKD stages 4-5 group. In the multivariate analysis predicting patient OS, pre-stenting eGFR and post-stenting disease progression were significant factors. Conclusions: Internal ureteral stenting was effective for maintaining renal function in malignant ureteral obstruction. However, it did not restore renal function, which is related to the prognosis of the patients. Therefore, to improve patients' renal function and prognosis, patients who require stenting must be quickly recognized and treated.

Risk Assessment for Metalworking Fluids and Respiratory Outcomes

  • Park, Robert M.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.428-436
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    • 2019
  • Background: Metalworking fluids (MWFs) are mixtures with inhalation exposures as mists, dusts, and vapors, and dermal exposure in the dispersed and bulk liquid phase. A quantitative risk assessment was performed for exposure to MWF and respiratory disease. Methods: Risks associated with MWF were derived from published studies and NIOSH Health Hazard Evaluations, and lifetime risks were calculated. The outcomes analyzed included adult onset asthma, hypersensitivity pneumonitis, pulmonary function impairment, and reported symptoms. Incidence rates were compiled or estimated, and annual proportional loss of respiratory capacity was derived from cross-sectional assessments. Results: A strong healthy worker survivor effect was present. New-onset asthma and hypersensitivity pneumonitis, at 0.1 mg/㎥ MWF under continuous outbreak conditions, had a lifetime risk of 45%; if the associated microbiological conditions occur with only 5% prevalence, then the lifetime risk would be about 3%. At 0.1 mg/㎥, the estimate of excess lifetime risk of attributable pulmonary impairment was 0.25%, which may have been underestimated by a factor of 5 or more by a strong healthy worker survivor effect. The symptom prevalence associated with respiratory impairment at 0.1 mg/㎥ MWF was estimated to be 5% (published studies) and 21% (Health Hazard Evaluations). Conclusion: Significant risks of impairment and chronic disease occurred at 0.1 mg/㎥ for MWFs in use mostly before 2000. Evolving MWFs contain new ingredients with uncharacterized long-term hazards.

미국 위탁아동의 친권상실선고 이후 입양 결정요인에 관한 생존분석 (Timing and Risk Factors of Adoption for Legally-Free Foster Children after Having Parental Rights Terminated in the U. S.)

  • 송민경
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.301-327
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구의 목적은 미국에서 친권상실이 선고된 위탁아동의 입양률 추이를 살펴보고, 입양결정에 영향을 미치는 주된 요인을 규명하는 데 있다. 본 연구는 미국 위탁보호와 입양에 관한 패널데이터 FY1999-FY2002를 이용하여 1998년 10월부터 2002년 9월까지 32개 주를 추출하여 총 26,895명을 분석에 활용하였다. 사건사 분석의 Kaplan-Meier 분석과 비례적 위험회귀모형(Cox proportional hazards regression model)을 이용하여 친권상실선고 이후 소요되는 위탁기간에 따른 입양률 추이와 위험 입양배율(hazard ratios for adoption)를 산출하였다. 본 연구의 주요 결과로는 친권상실선고 이후 3개월-19개월까지 입양률이 급속히 증가하다가 20개월이 지나면서 오히려 감소추세를 보이고 있었다. 입양여부와 관련한 주요 요인으로서는 백인아동일 경우, 나이가 어릴수록, 선입양가족, 도시소재의 위탁보호일 경우, 양부모 위탁가족, 또는 인종적으로 동일한 위탁부모에 의해 위탁보호 될 경우 입양가능성이 상대적으로 높게 나타났다. 또한, 아동이 지체나 장애가 있을 경우, 신체학대나 성학대를 경험한 경우, 친부모의 양육능력부족으로 위탁보호 된 경우 상대적으로 낮은 입양가능성을 보이고 있다. 본 연구결과 친권상실 이전에 발생한 위탁보호 원인이 친권상실 이후에도 입양에 영향을 미치고 있으며, 입양촉진방안으로 친권상실선고 이후 제공된 위탁서비스 활용과 적극적 지원방안 모색의 필요성이 제기되었다. 끝으로 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 한국사회에서 요보호아동의 친권개입의 정책적 방향과 항구적 보호마련을 위한 함의와 제언을 개괄적으로 제시하였다.

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한국 제조업의 임금분포구조 (The Wage Distribution Structure of Korean Manufacturing Industry)

  • 정강수;김범식;이철원
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.67-116
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 대표치가 아니라 임금분포 자체를 분석대상으로 하여 그것을 고용구조적 견지에서 다양한 기술통계적 방법과 반모수적 계량분석 방법을 활용하여 분석하였다. 한국 제조업의 대표적 임금분포는 형태상 상당한 차이를 가지는 후진형, 중진형, 그리고 선진형 분포로 구별된다. 분포 형태의 차이는 그것을 구성하는 노동유형 분포와 가중치의 차이로 규정되고, 노동유형 분포를 사용한 다양한 기술통계적 분석을 통해서 유형 차이의 발생 이유가 명백히 된다. 그러나 기술통계 분석은 개별 속성변수들의 영향이 혼재된 복합적 결과라는 한계점을 가진다. 이 문제는 비례적 해저드함수를 활용한 반모수적 추정, 그리고 변수 변화의 한계효과를 함수 차원이 아니라 추정된 함수가 가져오는 분포 차원에서 평가하는 방법으로 해결된다. 한계분석의 결과로서 후진형, 중진형, 그리고 선진형 분포에 영향을 미치는 속성변수의 공통적 특징과 차이점, 그리고 영향의 강도가 밝혀진다.

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국회 법안 검토 기간의 생존함수 추정: 제 17, 18, 19대 국회의 사례를 바탕으로 (Estimation of the survival function of the legislative process in Korea: based on the experiences of the 17th, 18th, and 19th National Assembly of Korea)

  • 윤영규;조윤수;정혜영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 제 17, 18, 19대 국회에 제출된 법안의 검토 기간의 생존함수를 추정하고, 정치상황적 요인들이 법안 검토 기간에 미치는 영향을 분석했다. 본 연구는 입법 데이터에 존재하는 절단과 사건 종료의 종속성 문제를 완화하고자 새로운 관점에서 입법 과정 종료를 정의했다. 또한 비례위험 가정이 분석 대상 데이터에 대해 성립하지 않는다는 것을 보이고, 이에 따라 로그정규분포 가정 하의 가속종료시간모형을 통해 정치상황 상의 요인들이 법안 검토 기간에 미치는 영향을 분석했다. 분석 결과 정책 분야별로 법안 검토 기간이 상이하게 나타났고, 여소야대 시기에 발의된 법안이 그렇지 않은 시기에 발의된 법안보다 신속하게 검토된 것으로 나타났다.

The Effect of Cognitive Impairment on the Association Between Social Network Properties and Mortality Among Older Korean Adults

  • Eunji Kim;Kiho Sung;Chang Oh Kim;Yoosik Youm;Hyeon Chang Kim
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제56권1호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: This study investigated the effect of cognitive impairment on the association between social network properties and mortality among older Korean adults. Methods: This study used data from the Korean Social Life, Health, and Aging Project. It obtained 814 older adults' complete network maps across an entire village in 2011-2012. Participants' deaths until December 31, 2020 were confirmed by cause-of-death statistics. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the risks of poor social network properties (low degree centrality, perceived loneliness, social non-participation, group-level segregation, and lack of support) on mortality according to cognitive impairment. Results: In total, 675 participants (5510.4 person-years) were analyzed, excluding those with missing data and those whose deaths could not be verified. Along with cognitive impairment, all social network properties except loneliness were independently associated with mortality. When stratified by cognitive function, some variables indicating poor social relations had higher risks among older adults with cognitive impairment, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.12 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34 to 3.35) for social nonparticipation, 1.58 (95% CI, 0.94 to 2.65) for group-level segregation, and 3.44 (95% CI, 1.55 to 7.60) for lack of support. On the contrary, these effects were not observed among those with normal cognition, with adjusted HRs of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.31 to 1.71), 0.96 (95% CI, 0.42 to 2.21), and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.23 to 3.96), respectively. Conclusions: The effect of social network properties was more critical among the elderly with cognitive impairment. Older adults with poor cognitive function are particularly encouraged to participate in social activities to reduce the risk of mortality.

농촌지역 노인들의 인지기능 장애와 사망과의 관련성 (The Relationship between the Cognitive Impairment and Mortality in the Rural Elderly)

  • 선병환;박경수;나백주;박요섭;남해성;신준호;손석준;이정애
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.630-642
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    • 1997
  • 60세이상 노인인구를 대상으로 '농촌지역 노인들의 우울 및 인지기능 장애에 관한 연구'를 한 이정애와 정향균의 연구대상 558명에 대해 농촌지역 노인들의 인지기능 장애와 사망과의 관련성을 살펴본 결과는 다음과 같다. 1) 3년동안 동안 전체 대상자의 사망률은 558명중 57명인 10.2%이었으며 353명의 정상 인지기능군 중 사망자는 30명으로 사망률 8.5%, 126명 의 경도 인지장애군중 사망자는 14명으로 사망률 11.1%, 79명의 중증 인지장애군중 사망자는 13명으로 사망률 16.5% 이었다(표 3). 2) 3년동안 전체 연구 대상자의 생존율은 0.91이었으며 정상, 경도, 중증 인지기능 장애군의 3년 생존율은 각각 0.92, 0.90, 0.86이었다. 로그 순위 검정법으로 인지기능 정상군과 경도 및 중증의 각 인지기능 장애군의 생존곡선을 비교한 결과 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다. 또한 인지기능 정상군과 경도 이상의 인지기능 장애군간 생존곡선을 비교한 결과도 유의한 차이는 없었다. 3) 혼란변인을 보정하지 않는 Cox의 비례위험 회귀 모형의 단변량분석의 결과 95% 신뢰구간(C.I. : Confidence Interval)에서 사망위험도가 유의한 변인은 연령, 월수입, 흡연습관, 신체장애 등이었으며, 인지기능 장애정도를 정상 그리고 경도 및 중증으로 분류한 분석에서는 정상군에 비해 경도 및 중증의 사망위험도가 유의하게 높지 않았으나, 인지기능 점수(MMSEK score)의 증가에 따른 분석 결과 사망위험도가 0.94로 유의하게 낮게 나타났다(표 4). 4) 잠재적 혼란변인들의 영향을 보정한 Cox의 비례위험 회귀모형의 다변량 분석의 결과 인지기능 장애정도 및 MMSEK 점수증가에 따른 사망위험도는 어느 모형에서도 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 위험도는 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다(표 5). 5) 남녀별로 각각 인지기능 장애와 사망위험도와의 관계를 알아보기 위해 다변량 분석을 시행한 결과 인지기능 장애정도 및 MMSEK 점수 증가에 따른 사망위험도는 어느 모형에서도 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 위험도는 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다(표 6, 표 7). 이상 본 연구는 농촌지역 노인들에서 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하였지만, 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 영향을 통계적으로 유의하게 고찰하지 못하였다.

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Elevated Circulating CD19+ Lymphocytes Predict Survival Advantage in Patients with Gastric Cancer

  • Yu, Qi-Ming;Yu, Chuan-Ding;Ling, Zhi-Qiang
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.2219-2224
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    • 2012
  • Background: Circulating lymphocyte subsets reflect the immunological status and might therefore be a prognostic indicator in cancer patients. Our aim was to evaluate the clinical significance of circulating lymphocyte subset in gastric cancer (GC) cases. Methods: A retrospective study on a prevalent cohort of 846 GC patients hospitalized at Hospital from Aug 2006 to Jul 2010 was conducted. We calculated the patient's disease free survival (DFS) after first hospital admission, and hazard ratios (HR) from the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Our findings indicated a significantly decreased percentage of CD3+, and CD8+ cells, a significantly increased proportion of $CD4^+$, $CD19^+$, $CD44^+$, $CD25^+$, NK cells, and an increased $CD4^+/CD8^+$ ratio in GC patients as compared with healthy controls (all P < 0.05). Alteration of lymphocyte subsets was positively correlated with sex, age, smoking, tumor stage and distant metastasis of GC patients (all P<0.05). Follow-up analysis indicated significantly higher DFS for patients with high circulating $CD19^+$ lymphocytes compared to those with low $CD19^+$ lymphocytes (P=0.037), with $CD19^+$ showing an important cutoff of $7.91{\pm}2.98%$ Conclusion: Circulating lymphocyte subsets in GC patients are significantly changed, and elevated CD19+ cells may predict a favorable survival.

The Effects of Social Activities and Living Arrangements on Cognitive Functions in Middle-aged and Elderly Adults: A Panel Study Using the 2006-2018 Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging

  • Choi, Yoon-Jung;Hong, Yun-Chul;Do, Young-Kyung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: Previous studies have shown that participation in social activities (SA) can prevent cognitive decline (CD) and that living arrangements (LA) can affect cognitive function. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of SA and LA on CD, as well as their interactions, using longitudinal data. Methods: Data were used from the 2006-2018 Korean Longitudinal Study for Aging, which followed 10 254 adults older than 45 years over a 12-year period. CD was defined as a ≥4-point score decrease in the Mini-Mental Status Exam over 2 years. We developed an extended Cox proportional hazards model for time-dependent covariates to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of CD in 4 groups: (1) socially active and living with others, (2) socially active and living alone, (3) socially inactive and living with others (SILO), and (4) socially inactive and living alone (SILA). The model was stratified by gender and adjusted for important confounders. Results: The HR of CD was significantly higher in the SILO group in men (HR,1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08 to 1.78) and in the SILA group in women (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.08 to 2.75). However, the interaction term for gender was not significant. Conclusions: Among socially inactive elderly adults, the HR of CD was elevated in men who lived with others and in women who lived alone, although the interaction term for gender was not significant. Socially inactive men who live with others and socially inactive women who live alone are particularly encouraged to participate in SA to prevent CD.