• 제목/요약/키워드: prognosis model

검색결과 245건 처리시간 0.028초

The Younger Patients Have More Better Prognosis in Limited Disease Small Cell Lung Cancer

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Choi, Chang-Min;Kim, Seul-Gi
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • 제79권4호
    • /
    • pp.274-281
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: Factors associated with the prognosis of patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is relatively unknown, than of those with non-small cell lung cancer. This study was undertaken to identify the prognostic factors of SCLC. Methods: The medical records of 333 patients diagnosed with SCLC at tertiary hospital from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2012 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized by age (${\leq}65$ years vs. >65 years) and by extent of disease (limited disease [LD] vs extensive disease [ED]). Overall survival and progression free survival rates were determined. Factors associated with prognosis were calculated using Cox's proportional hazard regression model. Results: Most baseline characteristics were similar in the LD and ED groups. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS), first chemotherapy regimen, and prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) differed significantly in patients with LD and ED. Mean ECOG PS was significantly lower (p<0.001), first-line chemotherapy with etoposide-cisplatin was more frequent than with etoposide-carboplatin (p<0.001), and PCI was performed more frequently (p=0.019) in LD-SCLC than in ED-SCLC. Prognosis in the LD group was better in younger (${\leq}65$ years) than in older (>65 years) patients, but prognosis in the ED group was unrelated to age. Conclusion: This study showed that overall survival (OS) was significantly improved in younger than in older patients with LD-SCLC. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that age, PCI and the sum of cycles were significant predictors of OS in patients with LD-SCLC. However, prognosis in the ED group was unrelated to age.

Involvement of MicroRNA-198 Overexpression in the Poor Prognosis of Esophageal Cancer

  • Qi, Bo;Yao, Wen-Jian;Zhao, Bao-Sheng;Qin, Xiu-Guang;Wang, Yi;Wang, Wen-Ju;Wang, Tian-Yun;Liu, Shang-Guo;Li, Han-Chen
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제14권9호
    • /
    • pp.5073-5076
    • /
    • 2013
  • Objective: This study aimed to investigate whether the miR-198 expression level is related to clinicopathological factors and prognosis of esophageal cancer. Methods: MicroRNA was extracted from esophageal cancer patients who underwent surgery for assessment using the Taqman@ MicroRNA assay. The correlation between miR-198 expression and clinicopathological features was analyzed, and the significance of miR-198 as a prognostic factor and its relationship with survival was determined. Results: MicroRNA-198 (miR-198) expression was higher in patients with poor prognosis than those with good prognosis (P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis results showed that the miR-198 expression level had a significant correlation with survival time (P=0.030) and that patients with a higher expression of miR-198 had a shorter survival time. Cox multi-factor model analysis showed that patient prognosis (P=0.014), tumor length (P=0.040) and expression (P=0.012), and survival time had a significant correlation; the corresponding risks were 7.268, 1.246, and 3.524, respectively. Conclusion: miR-198 overexpression is involved in the poor prognosis of esophageal cancer and can be used as a biomarker for selection of cases requiring especial attention.

마이크로어레이 데이터와 PPI 데이터를 이용한 에스트로겐 수용체 음성 유방암 환자의 예후 특이 네트워크 식별 및 예후 예측 (Identification of prognosis-specific network and prediction for estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer using microarray data and PPI data)

  • 황유현;오민;윤영미
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.137-147
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 유전자 네트워크를 기반으로 유방암 환자의 예후를 예측하는 알고리듬을 제안한다. 유방암 환자의 마이크로어레이 데이터와 PPI(Protein-protein interaction)데이터를 이용하여 알고리듬의 분류자로 사용될 예후 특이 네트워크(Prognosis specific gene network)를 추출한다. PPI에 속한 모든 유전자 네트워크에 대하여 각각의 네트워크가 예후 좋음과 나쁨을 잘 구분하는지에 대한 점수를 피어슨 상관계수(Pearson's correlation coefficient)와 마이크로어레이 데이터를 이용하여 계산한다. 이들 중 가장 예후에 유의한 네트워크를 식별하고, 이 네트워크를 분류자로 사용하여 에스트로겐 수용체 음성 유방암 환자의 예후를 분류 분석 한다. 본 연구와 기존 연구의 알고리듬 정확도를 비교 분석 하기 위하여 독립 실험을 진행하고, 본 연구에서 제안된 알고리듬의 성능이 더 우수함을 보인다. 또한, Gene Ontology 데이터베이스를 활용하여 식별된 예후 특이 네트워크를 기능적으로 검증 한다.

Providing Reliable Prognosis to Patients with Gastric Cancer in the Era of Neoadjuvant Therapies: Comparison of AJCC Staging Schemata

  • Kim, Gina;Friedmann, Patricia;Solsky, Ian;Muscarella, Peter;McAuliffe, John;In, Haejin
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • 제20권4호
    • /
    • pp.385-394
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: Patients with gastric cancer who receive neoadjuvant therapy are staged before treatment (cStage) and after treatment (ypStage). We aimed to compare the prognostic reliability of cStage and ypStage, alone and in combination. Materials and Methods: Data for all patients who received neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery for gastric adenocarcinoma from 2004 to 2015 were extracted from the National Cancer Database. Kaplan-Meier (KM)curves were used to model overall survival based on cStage alone, ypStage alone, cStage stratified by ypStage, and ypStage stratified by cStage. P-values were generated to summarize the differences in KM curves. The discriminatory power of survival prediction was examined using Harrell's C-statistics. Results: We included 8,977 patients in the analysis. As expected, increasing cStage and ypStage were associated with worse survival. The discriminatory prognostic power provided by cStage was poor (C-statistic 0.548), while that provided by ypStage was moderate (C-statistic 0.634). Within each cStage, the addition of ypStage information significantly altered the prognosis (P<0.0001 within cStages I-IV). However, for each ypStage, the addition of cStage information generally did not alter the prognosis (P=0.2874, 0.027, 0.061, 0.049, and 0.007 within ypStages 0-IV, respectively). The discriminatory prognostic power provided by the combination of cStage and ypStage was similar to that of ypStage alone (C-statistic 0.636 vs. 0.634). Conclusions: The cStage is unreliable for prognosis, and ypStage is moderately reliable. Combining cStage and ypStage does not improve the discriminatory prognostic power provided by ypStage alone. A ypStage-based prognosis is minimally affected by the initial cStage.

A Particle Filtering Approach for On-Line Failure Prognosis in a Planetary Carrier Plate

  • Orchard, Marcos E.;Vachtsevanos, George J.
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제7권4호
    • /
    • pp.221-227
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper introduces an on-line particle-filtering-based framework for failure prognosis in nonlinear, non-Gaussian systems. This framework uses a nonlinear state-space model of the plant(with unknown time-varying parameters) and a particle filtering(PF) algorithm to estimate the probability density function(pdf) of the state in real-time. The state pdf estimate is then used to predict the evolution in time of the fault indicator, obtaining as a result the pdf of the remaining useful life(RUL) for the faulty subsystem. This approach provides information about the precision and accuracy of long-term predictions, RUL expectations, and 95% confidence intervals for the condition under study. Data from a seeded fault test for a UH-60 planetary carrier plate are used to validate the proposed methodology.

GIS-based Metallogenic Prognosis of Lead-Zinc Deposits in China

  • Tang, Panke;Wang, Chunyan
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제20권12호
    • /
    • pp.91-99
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this paper, we introduce the application of several currently-representative methods for mineral resources potential assessment on Geographic information system(hereinafter referred to as GIS), and combined with mineral resources potential assessment performed in China and with lead-zinc deposits taken as an example, summarized and divided minerals prediction and assessment models; on this basis, this paper presented the process of metallogenic prognosis based on MRAS platform, and made a simple analysis on existing problems.

Prognostic Value of Biochemical Response Models for Primary Biliary Cholangitis and the Additional Role of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

  • Yoo, Jeong-Ju;Cho, Eun Ju;Lee, Bora;Kim, Sang Gyune;Kim, Young Seok;Lee, Yun Bin;Lee, Jeong-Hoon;Yu, Su Jong;Kim, Yoon Jun;Yoon, Jung-Hwan
    • Gut and Liver
    • /
    • 제12권6호
    • /
    • pp.714-721
    • /
    • 2018
  • Background/Aims: Recently reported prognostic models for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) have been shown to be effective in Western populations but have not been well-validated in Asian patients. This study aimed to compare the performance of prognostic models in Korean patients and to investigate whether inflammation-based scores can further help in prognosis prediction. Methods: This study included 271 consecutive patients diagnosed with PBC in Korea. The following prognostic models were evaluated: the Barcelona model, the Paris-I/II model, the Rotterdam criteria, the GLOBE score and the UK-PBC score. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was analyzed with reference to its association with prognosis. Results: For predicting liver transplant or death at the 5-year and 10-year follow-up examinations, the UK-PBC score (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUCs], 0.88 and 0.82) and GLOBE score (AUCs, 0.85 and 0.83) were significantly more accurate in predicting prognosis than the other scoring systems (all p<0.05). There was no significant difference between the performance of the UK-PBC and GLOBE scores. In addition to the prognostic models, a high NLR (>2.46) at baseline was an independent predictor of reduced transplant-free survival in the multivariate analysis (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.74; p<0.01). When the NLR was applied to the prognostic models, it significantly differentiated the prognosis of patients. Conclusions: The UK-PBC and GLOBE scores showed good prognostic performance in Korean patients with PBC. In addition, a high NLR was associated with a poorer prognosis. Including the NLR in prognostic models may further help to stratify patients with PBC.

Prognostic Significance of CYFRA21-1, CEA and Hemoglobin in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cancer Undergoing Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

  • Zhang, Hai-Qin;Wang, Ren-Ben;Yan, Hong-Jiang;Zhao, Wei;Zhu, Kun-Li;Jiang, Shu-Mei;Hu, Xi-Gang;Yu, Jin-Ming
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.199-203
    • /
    • 2012
  • Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic value of serum CYFRA21-1, CEA and hemoglobin levels regarding long-term survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Methods: Age, gender, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), tumor location, tumor length, T stage, N stage and serum hemoglobin, and CYFRA21-1 and CEA levels before concurrent CRT were retrospectively investigated and related to outcome in 113 patients receiving 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin combined with radiotherapy for ESCC. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze prognosis, the log-rank to compare groups, the Cox proportional hazards model for multivariate analysis, and ROC curve analysis for assessment of predictive performance of biologic markers. Results: The median survival time was 20.1 months and the 1-, 2-, 3-, 5- year overall survival rates were 66.4%, 43.4%, 31.9% and 15.0%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that factors associated with prognosis were KPS, tumor length, T-stage, N-stage, hemoglobin, CYFRA21-1 and CEA level. Multivariate analysis showed T-stage, N-stage, hemoglobin, CYFRA21-1 and CEA level were independent predictors of prognosis. By ROC curve, CYFRA21-1 and hemoglobin showed better predictive performance for OS than CEA (AUC= 0.791, 0.704, 0.545; P=0.000, 0.000, 0.409). Conclusions: Of all clinicopathological and molecular factors, T stage, N stage, hemoglobin, CYFRA21-1 and CEA level were independent predictors of prognosis for patients with ESCC treated with concurrent CRT. Among biomarkers, CYFRA21-1 and hemoglobin may have a better predictive potential than CEA for long-term outcomes.

Interleukin-10 Polymorphisms in Association with Prognosis in Patients with B-Cell Lymphoma Treated by R-CHOP

  • Kim, Min Kyeong;Yoo, Kyong-Ah;Park, Eun Young;Joo, Jungnam;Lee, Eun Young;Eom, Hyeon-Seok;Kong, Sun-Young
    • Genomics & Informatics
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.205-210
    • /
    • 2016
  • Interleukin-10 (IL10) plays an important role in initiating and maintaining an appropriate immune response to non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). Previous studies have revealed that the transcription of IL10 mRNA and its protein expression may be infl uenced by several single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the promoter and intron regions, including rs1800896, rs1800871, and rs1800872. However, the impact of polymorphisms of the IL10 gene on NHL prognosis has not been fully elucidated. Here, we investigated the association between IL10 polymorphisms and NHL prognosis. This study involved 112 NHL patients treated at the National Cancer Center, Korea. The median age was 57 years, and 70 patients (62.5%) were men. Clinical characteristics, including age, performance status, stage, and extra-nodal involvement, as well as cell lineage and International Prognostic Index (IPI), were evaluated. A total of four polymorphisms in IL10 with heterozygous alleles were analyzed for hazard ratios of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma was the most common histologic type (n = 83), followed by T-cell lymphoma (n = 18), mantle cell lymphoma (n = 6), and others (n = 5). Cell lineage, IPI, and extra-nodal involvement were predictors of prognosis. In the additive genetic model results for each IL10 polymorphism, the rs1800871 and rs1800872 polymorphisms represented a marginal association with OS (p = 0.09 and p = 0.06) and PFS (p = 0.05 and p = 0.08) in B-cell lymphoma patients treated with rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP). These findings suggest that IL10 polymorphisms might be prognostic indicators for patients with B-cell NHL treated with R-CHOP.

Lack of any Impact of Histopathology Type on Prognosis in Patients with Early-Stage Adenocarcinoma and Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Uterine Cervix

  • Teke, Fatma;Yoney, Adnan;Teke, Memik;Inal, Ali;Urakci, Zuhat;Eren, Bekir;Zincircioglu, Seyit Burhanedtin;Buyukpolat, Muhammed Yakup;Ozer, Ali;Isikdogan, Abdurrahman;Unsal, Mustafa
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제15권6호
    • /
    • pp.2815-2819
    • /
    • 2014
  • Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognosis of patients with stage IA-IIB cervical carcinoma and to investigate a possible correlation of histology with prognosis. Materials and Methods: Two hundred fifty one patients with adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) histology for FIGO (International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics) stage IA-IIB uterine cervical carcinomas at the Radiation Oncology Clinic of GH Okmeydan Training and Research Hospital between January 1996 and December 2006 were selected, analyzed retrospectively and evaluated in terms of general characteristics and survival. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared with the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis using a Cox-proportional hazards model was used to adjust for prognostic factors and to estimate hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: There was no differences between the two tumour types in age, stage, pelvic nodal metastasis, parametrial invasion, surgical margin status, DSI, LVSI, maximal tumor diameter, grade, and treatment modalities. 5-year OS and DFS were 73% and 77%, versus 64% and 69%, for SCC and adenocarcinoma, respectively (p> 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed independent prognostic factors including pelvic nodal metastasis and resection margin status for OS (p=0.008, p=0.002, respectively). Conclusions: Prognosis of FIGO stage IA-IIB cervical cancer patients was found to be the same for those with adenocarcinoma and SCC.