• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability.statistics

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Comparisons of Probability and Statistics Education in Mathematics Textbooks in Korea High School

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.523-529
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    • 2004
  • In Korea, mathematics education has been changed according to the 7th national mathematics curriculum renovated by the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development announcement in 1997. The education of probability and Statistics has been carried out as a part of this curriculum. We analyze and compare 3 kinds of mathematics textbooks for 10-12 grade students. Descriptions of random variable, sample variance and sample standard deviation, distribution of sample mean, and etc. which are on some textbooks, are misleaded in school education. We suggest the unbiased estimator of sample variance in textbooks and distributions of sample means with normal population assumption.

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Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.325-329
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.

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An Improvement of the Approximation of the Ruin Probability in a Risk Process (보험 상품 파산 확률 근사 방법의 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Sun;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a continuous-time risk process in an insurance business is considered, where the premium rate is constant and the claim process forms a compound Poisson process. We say that a ruin occurs if the surplus of the risk process becomes negative. It is practically impossible to calculate analytically the ruin probability because the theoretical formula of the ruin probability contains the recursive convolutions and infinite sum. Hence, many authors have suggested approximation formulas of the ruin probability. We introduce a new approximation formula of the ruin probability which extends the well-known De Vylder's and exponential approximation formulas. We compare our approximation formula with the existing ones and show numerically that our approximation formula gives closer values to the true ruin probability in most cases.

A Comparison Study for the Confidence Intervals of the Common Odds Ratio in the Stratified 2 X 2 Tables Using the Average Coverage Probability

  • Kwak, Min Jung;Jeong, Hyeong Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.779-793
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, various methods for finding confidence intervals for common odds ratio $\psi$ of the K 2${\times}$2 tables are reviewed. Also we propose two jackknife confidence intervals and bootstrap confidence intervals for $\psi$. These confidence intervals are compared with the other existing confidence intervals by using Monte Carlo simulation with respect to the average coverage probability.

NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR PARETO DISTRIBUTION : REGULAR CASE

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors for two parameter Pareto distribution. Specially, we derive Jeffrey's prior, probability matching prior and reference prior for the parameter of interest. In our case, the probability matching prior is only a first order and there does not exist a second order matching prior. Some simulation reveals that the matching prior performs better to achieve the coverage probability. And a real example will be given.

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The Program for Teaching on Type I error and Type II error

  • Choi, Hyun-Seok
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2004
  • At the conclusion from the hypothesis testing, there is a possibility of making Type I error and Type II error. The purpose of this article is to use this program in statistics teaching through developing the program for studying on the concept about these two errors, two kinds of the probability of errors by the variation of rejection region, two kinds of the probability of errors by the variation of sample size, the relations of the probability $\alpha$ and $\beta$ by these two errors, and power function, power curve.

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Developing Noninformative Priors for Parallel-Line Bioassay

  • Kim, YeongHwa;Heo, JungEun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.401-410
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    • 2002
  • This paper revisits parallel-line bioassay problem, from a Bayesian point of view using noninformative priors such as Jeffreys' prior, reference priors, and probability matching priors. After finding the orthogonal transformation, the class of first order and second order probability matching priors are derived. Jeffreys' prior and reference priors are derived also. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of noninformative priors.

Convergence in Probability for Weighted Sums of Fuzzy Random Variables

  • Joo, Sang-Yeol;Hyun, Young-Nam
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for convergence in probability of weighted sums of convex-compactly uniformly integrable fuzzy random variables. As a result, we obtain weak law of large numbers for weighted sums of convexly tight fuzzy random variables.

A materialization of the experimental class model for Probability and Statistics lessons (수학 실험실 수업 모형의 개발 연구)

  • 임지연;이영하
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 1998
  • Recently experimental class model is growingly recommended for mathematics instruction. Freudenthal(1973) points out the difficulties of learning probability and Fischebien suggested to teach probability more intuitively through games. However detailed explanations for such classes are not easy to find. This paper is to give more detailed materials for those lessons and to check its effectiveness. We give 6 topics of probability and statistics being taught in our middle school, such as histogram, concept of probability, probability calculations, expectations, standard deviations, and correlations and each of which is given along with the experimental materials to be used. We perform a trial of the methods and found some encouragement in the students' mathematical attitudes and interests but not in the achievements. We belive that the drawback of the achievement result is due to the short length of time of our experiments.

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A study on the probabilistic record linkage and its application (확률적 자료연계의 이론과 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yeonok;Lee, Sangin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.849-861
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to introduce the basic concept of probabilistic record linkage and its statistical framework, and describe the specific process and principle of performing it using a real example from Statistics Korea. First, we briefly describe the deterministic record linkage and compare it with probabilistic record linkage. We introduce the Fellegi-Sunter model framework for record linkage and the related paprameters: m-probability, u-probability, matched weight and decision rule. Finally, we show the detailed process of record linkage under Fellegi-Sunter model framework and evaluate the record linkage results, using sample data from the registered-based census and Population and Housing Census survey in Statistics Korea.