• 제목/요약/키워드: probability.statistics

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Comparisons of Probability and Statistics Education in Mathematics Textbooks in Korea High School

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.523-529
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    • 2004
  • In Korea, mathematics education has been changed according to the 7th national mathematics curriculum renovated by the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development announcement in 1997. The education of probability and Statistics has been carried out as a part of this curriculum. We analyze and compare 3 kinds of mathematics textbooks for 10-12 grade students. Descriptions of random variable, sample variance and sample standard deviation, distribution of sample mean, and etc. which are on some textbooks, are misleaded in school education. We suggest the unbiased estimator of sample variance in textbooks and distributions of sample means with normal population assumption.

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부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차 (Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming)

  • 김경숙;김희정;나명환;손영숙
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.325-329
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.

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보험 상품 파산 확률 근사 방법의 개선 연구 (An Improvement of the Approximation of the Ruin Probability in a Risk Process)

  • 이혜선;최승경;이의용
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 보험 상품의 잉여금(surplus)을 확률적으로 모형화한 후, 잉여금의 파산 확률과 이의 근사 공식들을 소개한다. 잉여금은 일정한 율(rate)로 들어오는 프리미엄(premium)에 의해 증가한다. 보험금 청구(claim)는 포아송 과정(Poisson process)을 따라 발생하고 보험금 청구가 있을 때마다 잉여금은 임의의 양(random amount) 만큼 줄어든다. 잉여금이 0이하로 떨어지면 파산(ruin)이 발생한다고 한다. 이와 같은 리스크(risk) 모형에서 파산 확률의 이론적 공식은 잘 알려져 있으나, 공식에 n차 공률(convolution)과 무한 합(infinite sum)이 포함되어 있어 실질적인 계산은 불가능하다. 본 논문에서는 잘 알려진 De Vylder의 근사 공식과 지수적인 근사 공식(exponential approximation)을 소개하고, 이들을 일반화한 새로운 근사 공식을 제안한다. 기존 근사 공식과의 수치적 비교를 통해 새로 제안된 근사 공식의 우월성을 보인다.

A Comparison Study for the Confidence Intervals of the Common Odds Ratio in the Stratified 2 X 2 Tables Using the Average Coverage Probability

  • Kwak, Min Jung;Jeong, Hyeong Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.779-793
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, various methods for finding confidence intervals for common odds ratio $\psi$ of the K 2${\times}$2 tables are reviewed. Also we propose two jackknife confidence intervals and bootstrap confidence intervals for $\psi$. These confidence intervals are compared with the other existing confidence intervals by using Monte Carlo simulation with respect to the average coverage probability.

NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR PARETO DISTRIBUTION : REGULAR CASE

  • 김달호;이우동;강상길
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors for two parameter Pareto distribution. Specially, we derive Jeffrey's prior, probability matching prior and reference prior for the parameter of interest. In our case, the probability matching prior is only a first order and there does not exist a second order matching prior. Some simulation reveals that the matching prior performs better to achieve the coverage probability. And a real example will be given.

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The Program for Teaching on Type I error and Type II error

  • 최현석
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2004
  • At the conclusion from the hypothesis testing, there is a possibility of making Type I error and Type II error. The purpose of this article is to use this program in statistics teaching through developing the program for studying on the concept about these two errors, two kinds of the probability of errors by the variation of rejection region, two kinds of the probability of errors by the variation of sample size, the relations of the probability $\alpha$ and $\beta$ by these two errors, and power function, power curve.

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Developing Noninformative Priors for Parallel-Line Bioassay

  • Kim, YeongHwa;Heo, JungEun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.401-410
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    • 2002
  • This paper revisits parallel-line bioassay problem, from a Bayesian point of view using noninformative priors such as Jeffreys' prior, reference priors, and probability matching priors. After finding the orthogonal transformation, the class of first order and second order probability matching priors are derived. Jeffreys' prior and reference priors are derived also. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of noninformative priors.

Convergence in Probability for Weighted Sums of Fuzzy Random Variables

  • Joo, Sang-Yeol;Hyun, Young-Nam
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for convergence in probability of weighted sums of convex-compactly uniformly integrable fuzzy random variables. As a result, we obtain weak law of large numbers for weighted sums of convexly tight fuzzy random variables.

수학 실험실 수업 모형의 개발 연구 (A materialization of the experimental class model for Probability and Statistics lessons)

  • 임지연;이영하
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 1998
  • Recently experimental class model is growingly recommended for mathematics instruction. Freudenthal(1973) points out the difficulties of learning probability and Fischebien suggested to teach probability more intuitively through games. However detailed explanations for such classes are not easy to find. This paper is to give more detailed materials for those lessons and to check its effectiveness. We give 6 topics of probability and statistics being taught in our middle school, such as histogram, concept of probability, probability calculations, expectations, standard deviations, and correlations and each of which is given along with the experimental materials to be used. We perform a trial of the methods and found some encouragement in the students' mathematical attitudes and interests but not in the achievements. We belive that the drawback of the achievement result is due to the short length of time of our experiments.

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확률적 자료연계의 이론과 적용에 관한 연구 (A study on the probabilistic record linkage and its application)

  • 최연옥;이상인
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.849-861
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문은 확률적 자료연계 방법의 기본 개념과 이론적 모형을 소개하고, 실제 통계청 데이터를 사용하여 확률적 자료연계가 진행되는 과정과 원리를 보여준다. 먼저 확률적 자료연계와 결정적 자료연계와의 차이를 간단히 알아보고, 확률적 자료연계 방법론의 토대가 되는 Fellegi-Sunter 모형의 기본 구성과 관련된 모수(m-확률, u-확률), 가중치, 매치여부 판정기준에 대해 기술한다. 그리고 통계청 등록센서스와 인구총조사 자료를 이용하여 그 모형을 적용한 자료연계가 이루어지는 구체적인 과정에 대해 설명하고, 이를 통해 얻어진 연계 결과의 정확성을 살펴본다.