• 제목/요약/키워드: probability-based design

검색결과 907건 처리시간 0.027초

The conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method

  • Yang, Xing;Hu, Xiaodong;Li, Zhiqing
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.1007-1019
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    • 2015
  • The determination of the required seawall height is usually based on the combination of wind speed (or wave height) and still water level according to a specified return period, e.g., 50-year return period wind speed and 50-year return period still water level. In reality, the two variables are be partially correlated. This may be lead to over-design (costs) of seawall structures. The above-mentioned return period for the design of a seawall depends on economy, society and natural environment in the region. This means a specified risk level of overtopping or damage of a seawall structure is usually allowed. The aim of this paper is to present a conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method which incorporates the correlation of the two variables. For purposes of demonstration, the wind speeds and water levels collected from Jiangsu of China are analyzed. The results show this method can improve seawall height design accuracy.

Optimal design of stone columns reinforced soft clay foundation considering design robustness

  • Yu, Yang;Wang, Zhu;Sun, HongYue
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.305-318
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    • 2020
  • Stone columns are widely used to treat soft clay ground. Optimizing the design of stone columns based on cost-effectiveness is always an attractive subject in the practice of ground treatment. In this paper, the design of stone columns is optimized using the concept of robust geotechnical design. Standard deviation of failure probability, which is a system response of concern of the stone column-reinforced foundation, is used as a measure of the design robustness due to the uncertainty in the coefficient of variation (COV) of the noise factors in practice. The failure probability of a stone column-reinforced foundation can be readily determined using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) based on the settlements of the stone column-reinforced foundation, which are evaluated by a deterministic method. A framework based on the concept of robust geotechnical design is proposed for determining the most preferred design of stone columns considering multiple objectives including safety, cost and design robustness. This framework is illustrated with an example, a stone column-reinforced foundation under embankment loading. Based on the outcome of this study, the most preferred design of stone columns is obtained.

구조물의 에너지를 이용한 확률에 기초한 능동제어 (Probability-Based Active Control Using Structure Energy)

  • Min, Kyung-Won;Hwang, Jae-Seung;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Lan Chung
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2003년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2003
  • This paper Presents active control algorithm using probability density function of structural energy. It is assumed that the structural energy under excitation has Rayleigh probability distribution. This assumption is based on the fact that Rayleigh distribution satisfies the condition that the structural energy is always positive and the occurrence probability of minimum energy is zero. The magnitude of control force is determined by the probability that the structural energy exceeds the specified target critical energy, and the sign of control force is determined by Lyapunov controller design method. Proposed control algorithm shows much reduction of peak responses under seismic excitation compared to LQR controller, and it can consider control force limit in the controller design. Also, chattering problem which sometimes occurs in Lyapunov controller can be avoided.

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Approximating the Outage Probability of the Pilot Channel for IS-95-Based Cellular CDMA Systems in the Soft Handover Region

  • Park, Seung-Keun;Cho, Pyung-Dong;Park, Ki-Shik;Cho, Kyung-Rok
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.523-526
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    • 2003
  • This letter presents an approximation of the outage probability of the pilot channel that can be used for CDMA cell planning. The approximation can determine system parameters for soft handover in IS-95-based cellular CDMA downlink design. Computer simulations show that our analytical results agree with empirical results.

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콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석 (A Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures)

  • 김지상;이광명;정상화;배수호;최규용;양종호
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2005년도 봄학술 발표회 논문집(II)
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    • pp.189-192
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, many research works have been carried out in order to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures in chloride containing environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design has proved to be very valuable. In this paper, the equation used for modelling of the chloride penetration was based on Fick's Second Law of Diffusion in combination with a time dependent diffusion coefficient. The probability analysis of the durability performance was performed by use of a Monte Carlo Simulation. The procedure was applied to an example based on limited data gathered in this country. The influences of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures are studied and some comments for durability design are given. The new procedure may be very useful in designing concrete structures in chloride containing environments.

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ETCM에 의한 강구조부재의 최적설계규준 (Optimum Design Criteria of Steel Structure members based on ETCM)

  • 이증빈;박주원
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1996년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.277-287
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    • 1996
  • Based on the developments of the reliability-based steel structural analysis and design as well as the extending knowledgy on the probabilitic characteristics of loading and resistance the probability based design criteria have been successful Iy developed for many students. The existing design codes, which are genarally based on the structural theory and certain engineering experience, do not realistically consider the uncertainties of loads and resistance and the basic reliability concepts. It is recognized to develope the design criteria by ETCM(Expected Total cost Minimization). In this study, therefore, the proper probability based design criteria (Optimum load and resistance factor design formats ) has been developed based on the safety levels observed from calibration Iii th existing standards, which applies to the ultimate limit states of steel structural members.

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Reliability based calibration of the capacity design rule of reinforced concrete beam-column joints

  • Thomos, George C.;Trezos, Constantin G.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.631-645
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    • 2011
  • The capacity design rule for beam-column joints, as adopted by the EC8, forces the formation of the plastic hinges to be developed in beams rather than in columns. This is achieved by deriving the design moments of the columns of a joint from equilibrium conditions, assuming that plastic hinges with their possible overstrengths have been developed in the adjacent beams of the joint. In this equilibrium the parameters (dimensions, material properties, axial forces etc) are, in general, random variables. Hence, the capacity design is associated with a probability of non-compliance (probability of failure). In the present study the probability of non-compliance of the capacity design rule of joints is being calculated by assuming the basic variables as random variables. Parameters affecting this probability are examined and a modification of the capacity design rule for beam-column joints is proposed, in order to achieve uniformity of the safety level.

확률 기반 목구조설계법을 위한 기초 연구 (A basic research for the probability based design of wood structures)

  • 김광철
    • 한국가구학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.339-357
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    • 2009
  • Probability based design(PBD) method is independent of construction materials and uses real material properties unlike allowable stress design(ASD) that depends on small clear specimen property, also give quantitative safety and endurance lifetime of a certain material. Moreover, almost advanced country accepted PBD method instead of ASD method. So it is urgent to convert the current ASD method into the PBD method. However, there are wholly lacking of domestic researches related to current issue, and to solve several points in ASD method and to take advantage of PBD method, the conversion from the ASD method into the PBD method is a worldwide trend. Other domestic construction codes, such as steel or concrete constructions, accept the PBD method as well. Accordingly, to introduce PBD method into wood structural design, general theory, and preliminary data and methods were reviewed. With keeping this in mind, some important contents were reviewed, sorted some points for wood structural design that have distinctions against the other construction materials. Furthermore, the history of PBD method, and statistical data and theories for the PBD method, and preliminary data of resistance and load that are two random variables for the PBD method, and finally the difference between limit state design(LSD) and load and resistance factor design(LRFD) that were two superpowers in the PBD method.

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안벽기초 구조물의 신뢰성설계를 위한 목표파괴확률 결정 (Target Probability of Failure of Quay Wall Foundation for Reliability-Based Design)

  • 윤길림;윤여원;김홍연
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.379-389
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    • 2010
  • It is very important to determine a target probability of failure in reliability based design such as an allowable factor of safety in working stress design because they are indices to judge the stability of structures. We have carried out reliability analyses of nationwide gravity type quay walls and found that sliding and foundation failures of quay walls were dominant failure modes for every case of loads. And a target probability of failure for bearing capacity of foundation of quay wall was also determined in this study. Of several approaches which have been suggested until now, a couple of reasonable approaches were used. Firstly, in order to consider the safety margin of structures which have been executed so far, the reliability levels of existing structures were assessed. And then a mean probability of failure for the quay walls was estimated. In addition, life cycle cost(LCC) analyses for representative structures were performed. Probabilities of failure for several quay walls were calculated with changing the width of each quay wall section. LCC of quay wall which is requiring case by case during the service life was evaluated, and also the optimum probability of failure of quay wall which minimizes LCC was found. Finally, reasonable target probabilities of failure were suggested by comparing with mean probability of failure of existing structures.

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컴퓨터 평가 기반 학습 시스템 설계 및 개발 연구 (A Study on the Design and Development of Computer Based Learning and Test System)

  • 허균
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1160-1171
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to design and develop a computer based learning and test system, which supports not only testing learner's ability but also learning contents with giving feedback and hint. In order to design and develop a computer based learning and test system, Visual Basic dot Net software is used. The system works in three stages: sequential problem solving stage, randomized problem solving stage, and the challenge stage of pass/fail. The results of this study are as follows: (a) We propose the context of design for the computer based learning and test system. (b) We design and develop items display function with sequential and random algorithm in this system. (c) We design and develop pass/fail function by applying SPRT(Sequential Probability Ratio Testing) algorithm in the computer based learning and test system.