• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability theory

Search Result 689, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Coverage and Energy Modeling of HetNet Under Base Station On-Off Model

  • Song, Sida;Chang, Yongyu;Wang, Xianling;Yang, Dacheng
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.37 no.3
    • /
    • pp.450-459
    • /
    • 2015
  • Small cell networks, as an important evolution path for next-generation cellular networks, have drawn much attention. Different from the traditional base stations (BSs) always-on model, we proposed a BSs on-off model, where a new, simple expression for the probabilities of active BSs in a heterogeneous network is derived. This model is more suitable for application in practical networks. Based on this, we develop an analytical framework for the performance evaluation of small cell networks, adopting stochastic geometry theory. We derive the system coverage probability; average energy efficiency (AEE) and average uplink power consumption (AUPC) for different association strategies; maximum biased received power (MaBRP); and minimum association distance (MiAD). It is analytically shown that MaBRP is beneficial for coverage but will have some loss in energy saving. On the contrary, MiAD is not advocated from the point of coverage but is more energy efficient. The simulation results show that the use of range expansion in MaBRP helps to save energy but that this is not so in MiAD. Furthermore, we can achieve an optimal AEE by establishing an appropriate density of small cells.

A Fusion Algorithm considering Error Characteristics of the Multi-Sensor (다중센서 오차특성을 고려한 융합 알고리즘)

  • Hyun, Dae-Hwan;Yoon, Hee-Byung
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.274-282
    • /
    • 2009
  • Various location tracking sensors; such as GPS, INS, radar, and optical equipment; are used for tracking moving targets. In order to effectively track moving targets, it is necessary to develop an effective fusion method for these heterogeneous devices. There have been studies in which the estimated values of each sensors were regarded as different models and fused together, considering the different error characteristics of the sensors for the improvement of tracking performance using heterogeneous multi-sensor. However, the rate of errors for the estimated values of other sensors has increased, in that there has been a sharp increase in sensor errors and the attempts to change the estimated sensor values for the Sensor Probability could not be applied in real time. In this study, the Sensor Probability is obtained by comparing the RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) for the difference between the updated and measured values of the Kalman filter for each sensor. The process of substituting the new combined values for the Kalman filter input values for each sensor is excluded. There are improvements in both the real-time application of estimated sensor values, and the tracking performance for the areas in which the sensor performance has rapidly decreased. The proposed algorithm adds the error characteristic of each sensor as a conditional probability value, and ensures greater accuracy by performing the track fusion with the sensors with the most reliable performance. The trajectory of a UAV is generated in an experiment and a performance analysis is conducted with other fusion algorithms.

Fusion of Local and Global Detectors for PHD Filter-Based Multi-Object Tracking (검출기 융합에 기반을 둔 확률가정밀도 (PHD) 필터를 적용한 다중 객체 추적 방법)

  • Yoon, Ju Hong;Hwang, Youngbae;Choi, Byeongho;Yoon, Kuk-Jin
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.9
    • /
    • pp.773-777
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, a novel multi-object tracking method to track an unknown number of objects is proposed. To handle multiple object states and uncertain observations efficiently, a probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter is adopted and modified. The PHD filter is capable of reducing false positives, managing object appearances and disappearances, and estimating the multiple object trajectories in a unified framework. Although the PHD filter is robust in cluttered environments, it is vulnerable to false negatives. For this reason, we propose to exploit local observations in an RFS of the observation model. Each local observation is generated by using an online trained object detector. The main purpose of the local observation is to deal with false negatives in the PHD filtering procedure. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method robustly tracked multiple objects under practical situations.

Disturbance State Identification of Power Transformer Based on Dempster's Rule of Combination (Dempster 결합룰에 의한 전력용 변압기 외란상태판정)

  • Kang, Sang-Hee;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kwon, Tae-Won;Kim, Sang-Tae;Kang, Yong-Cheol;Park, Jong-Keun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.48 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1479-1485
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper proposes a fuzzy decision making method for power transformer protection to identify an internal fault from other transient states such as inrush, over-excitation and an external fault with current transformer (CT) saturation. In this paper, analyzing over 300 EMTP simulations of disturbances, four input variables are selected and fuzzified. At every sampling interval from half to one cycle after a disturbance, from the EMPT simulations, different fuzzy rule base is composed of twelve if-then fuzzy rules associated with their basic probability assignments for singleton- or compound-support hypotheses. Dempster's rule of combination is used to process the fuzzy rules and get the final decision. A series of test results clearly indicate that the method can identify not only an internal fault but also the other transients. The average of relay operation times is about 12(ms). The proposed method is implemented into a Digital Signal Processor (TMS320C31) and tested.

  • PDF

Optimal Scheduling based on Probabilitic Estimation of Construction Duration (확률적 공기산정에 의한 공정 합리화 방안)

  • Kim Sang-Joong;Lee Jae-Soeb
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • autumn
    • /
    • pp.383-387
    • /
    • 2003
  • Construction project has many problem such as delay of the appointed date delivery, over budget, wether and site conditions. When several activities are influenced by the same factor, their duration may be delayed. This paper deals with the problem of construction duration estimating and schedule variation on the construction project. The theory of constraints technique for project management is referred to 'Critical Chain' technique. This paper shows optimal scheduling plan and time management technique, used probability construction duration estimating and scheduling buffer based on the critical chain project management.

  • PDF

Reliability-based assessment of steel bridge deck using a mesh-insensitive structural stress method

  • Ye, X.W.;Yi, Ting-Hua;Wen, C.;Su, Y.H.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.367-382
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper aims to conduct the reliability-based assessment of the welded joint in the orthotropic steel bridge deck by use of a mesh-insensitive structural stress (MISS) method, which is an effective numerical procedure to determine the reliable stress distribution adjacent to the weld toe. Both the solid element model and the shell element model are first established to investigate the sensitivity of the element size and the element type in calculating the structural stress under different loading scenarios. In order to achieve realistic condition assessment of the welded joint, the probabilistic approach based on the structural reliability theory is adopted to derive the reliability index and the failure probability by taking into account the uncertainties inherent in the material properties and load conditions. The limit state function is formulated in terms of the structural resistance of the material and the load effect which is described by the structural stress obtained by the MISS method. The reliability index is computed by use of the first-order reliability method (FORM), and compared with a target reliability index to facilitate the safety assessment. The results achieved from this study reveal that the calculation of the structural stress using the MISS method is insensitive to the element size and the element type, and the obtained structural stress results serve as a reliable basis for structural reliability analysis.

Designing an Input Parameters Setting Model for Reducing the Difficulty of Input Parameters Estimations in Cross Impact Analysis (기술상호효과분석의 입력변수 추정 난이도 경감을 위한 입력변수 설정모형의 설계)

  • Jun, Jungchul;Kwon, Cheolshin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.35-48
    • /
    • 2017
  • As the technology convergence paradigm emerges, the need for "CIA techniques" to analyze the mutual effects of technology is increasing. However, since the CIA input parameter estimation is difficult, the present study suggests a "CIA input parameter setting model" to alleviate the difficulty of CIA input parameter estimation. This paper is focused on the difference of measurement difficulty by each scale which expert's estimation behavior was defined as measurement activity quantifying the judgment of future technology. Therefore, this model is designed to estimate the input variable as a sequence or isometric scale that is relatively easy to measure, and then converts it into a probability value. The input parameter setting model of the CIA technique consists of three sub-models : 'probability value derivation model', 'influence estimation model', and 'impact value calculation model', in order to develop a series of models the Thurstone V model, Regression Analysis, etc has been used.

Reweighted L1-Minimization via Support Detection (Support 검출을 통한 reweighted L1-최소화 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Hyuk;Kwon, Seok-Beop;Shim, Byong-Hyo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
    • /
    • v.48 no.2
    • /
    • pp.134-140
    • /
    • 2011
  • Recent work in compressed sensing theory shows that $M{\times}N$ independent and identically distributed sensing matrix whose entries are drawn independently from certain probability distributions guarantee exact recovery of a sparse signal with high probability even if $M{\ll}N$. In particular, it is well understood that the $L_1$-minimization algorithm is able to recover sparse signals from incomplete measurements. In this paper, we propose a novel sparse signal reconstruction method that is based on the reweighted $L_1$-minimization via support detection.

Study on the Dynamic Model and Simulation of a Flexible Mechanical Arm Considering its Random Parameters

  • He Bai-Yan;Wang Shu-Xin
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.19 no.spc1
    • /
    • pp.265-271
    • /
    • 2005
  • Randomness exists in engineering. Tolerance, assemble-error, environment temperature and wear make the parameters of a mechanical system uncertain. So the behavior or response of the mechanical system is uncertain. In this paper, the uncertain parameters are treated as random variables. So if the probability distribution of a random parameter is known, the simulation of mechanical multibody dynamics can be made by Monte-Carlo method. Thus multibody dynamics simulation results can be obtained in statistics. A new concept called functional reliability is put forward in this paper, which can be defined as the probability of the dynamic parameters(such as position, orientation, velocity, acceleration etc.) of the key parts of a mechanical multibody system belong to their tolerance values. A flexible mechanical arm with random parameters is studied in this paper. The length, width, thickness and density of the flexible arm are treated as random variables and Gaussian distribution is used with given mean and variance. Computer code is developed based on the dynamic model and Monte-Carlo method to simulate the dynamic behavior of the flexible arm. At the same time the end effector's locating reliability is calculated with circular tolerance area. The theory and method presented in this paper are applicable on the dynamics modeling of general multibody systems.

A Tile Evaluating Algorithm for Orthodoxy Mahjong Based on a Probability Theory (확률론에 근거한 정통 마작의 패 평가 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.154-161
    • /
    • 2006
  • We introduce a tile grading algorithm for orthodoxy mahjong game. Mahjong is one of most popular board game in the world. In Mahjong, the most important part of skill is the worthless tile selecting method from one's own hands and discard it. To get the value of the tiles in one's hands, at first, we generate every possible cho by using each overlapped tiles. Given these cho, we make the configurable candidate from one's own tiles. At last, we select the best candidate from the candidates and evaluate the tiles depend on usefulness of configuring the cho.

  • PDF