• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability of commission

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An Economic Analysis of the Minimum Wage Commission (최저임금 결정구조의 경제적 분석)

  • Lee, Injae
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.107-131
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a model for the Minimum Wage Commission's decision process and analyzes the strategic actions of the participants in the process. The Minimum Wage Commission has used two ways of setting the minimum wage. The commission has voted either on the labor's against the management' final proposals or has voted on the public interest commissioners' proposal. According to the model, the minimum wage is determined at a level that is very close to or at a level preferred by the median voter among the public interest commissioners. But the probability of adopting labor or management proposal is ex-ante the same. Empirical evidence from the minimum wage decision process is consistent with the predictions of the model. The probability of adopting the labor's proposal in the minimum wage commission voting is not statistically significantly different from 50%. The model also suggests that the preference of the median voter among public interest commissioners determines the minimum wage level. Since the government appoints public interest commissioners and thus, in fact, the median voters, the government can decide the minimum wage level. This proposition is also consistent with data. The annual growth rate of the minimum wage under the progressive governments is higher than under conservative governments.

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Empirical estimation of human error probabilities based on the complexity of proceduralized tasks in an analog environment

  • Park, Jinkyun;Kim, Hee Eun;Jang, Inseok
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.2037-2047
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    • 2022
  • The contribution of degraded human performance (e.g., human errors) is significant for the safety of diverse social-technical systems. Therefore, it is crucial to understand when and why the performance of human operators could be degraded. In this study, the occurrence probability of human errors was empirically estimated based on the complexity of proceduralized tasks. To this end, Logistic regression analysis was conducted to correlate TACOM (Task Complexity) scores with human errors collected from the full-scope training simulator of nuclear power plants equipped with analog devices (analog environment). As a result, it was observed that the occurrence probability of both errors of commission and errors of omission can be soundly estimated by TACOM scores. Since the effect of diverse performance influencing factors on the occurrence probabilities of human errors could be soundly distinguished by TACOM scores, it is also expected that TACOM scores can be used as a tool to explain when and why the performance of human operators starts to be degraded.

Detection of Indication of Electric Accident in Simulated Electric Equipments Using Standard Deviation and Probability Distribution (표준편차와 확률분포를 이용한 모의전기설비에서 사고징후 검출)

  • Jee, Seung-Wook;Ok, Kyung-Gea;Kim, Shi-Kuk;Lee, Chun-Ha
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes a detecting method for indication of an electric accident in electric equipments. For that, loads of electric equipment is consisted of incandescent lamps. And the electric accident is simulated a tracking test apparatus according to KS C IEC (Korea Standard C International Electrostatic Commission) 60112 at some part of the simulation of the electric equipment. Simulated electric accident is occurred from static states through discharge in progress, carbon formation to tracking breakdown. The total current of electric equipments is measured and analyzed for detecting of indication of the electric accident using a current monitor. For the result, as an electric accident processed, as a current pulse is bigger and a ratio of appearance also increases at certain part of current waveforms. And standard deviation and probability distribution for certain part of current waveforms show remarkably different pattern in each step of electric accident which is irrespective of amount of load.

Signal Detection of Cognitive Radio System for 3G LTE Mobile Communication System (3G LTE 이동통신 시스템을 위한 무선인지 시스템의 신호검출)

  • Kim, Seung-Jong;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 2010
  • Recently, spectrum requirements are rapidly increasing in accordance with wireless communication development. For this reason, FCC(Federal communications commission) is considering cognitive radio system to increase spectral efficiency. In this paper, we present the performance analysis of signal detection by using RS(Reference signal) for LTE environments. Especially, we analyze the performance of detection probability in case of downlink LTE system. In the simulation, we generate OFDMA signal format which is specified in the LTE system. We assume additive white Gausssian noise channel environment. We estimate the performance by setting the threshold value of 5 % and 10 % based on CFAR(Constant false alarm rate) and false alarm rate, respectively. Finally, we discuss a future study plan on the applicability of CR to the LTE system.

Rollover Analysis and Measurement of a Large-sized Bus (대형 버스의 전복 해석과 측정법)

  • 정태은
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.148-154
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    • 1997
  • The safety problems of buses have been arisen due to the increasing of road traffic. Occupant injuries are always possible in the rollover accident and the frontal impact. Thus the structure of bus should have sufficient strength to protect passengers under accidental loads. ECE(Economic Commission for Europe) regulation No.66 prescribes that the superstructure of the vehicle shall be sufficient strength for passengers' surviving and the residual space shall be preserved in the passenger compartment during and after the standard rollover accident situation. Rollover test and simulation on a large-sized bus was completed according to the regulation. The coordinates of the points on the bus were measured by photogrammetry system. The rollover situation was revived by structural crashes simulation software, PAM-CRASH, and it was checked that the structure still complied with the requirements of residual space during rollover situation. The residual space was preserved during rollover, so it was proved that the structure of the investigated bus had much probability of survival in rollover accidents.

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Synthesis and Characterization of Low Viscosity Aromatic Hyperbranched Polyester Epoxy Resin

  • Zhang, Daohong;Jia, Demin;Zhou, Zihu
    • Macromolecular Research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2009
  • Low viscosity aromatic hyperbranched polyester epoxy resin (HTBE) was synthesized by the reaction between epichlorohydrin (ECH) and carboxyl-end hyperbranched polyester (HTB) which was prepared from inexpensive materials $A_2$ (1,4-butanediol glycol, BEG) and $B_3$ (trimellitic anhydride, TMA) by pseudo one-step method. The molar mass of the HTB was calculated from its acid value by "Recursive Probability Approach". The degree of branching (DB) of the HTB was characterized by model compounds and $^1H$ NMR-minus spectrum technology, and the DB of the HTB was about $0.47{\sim}0.63$. The viscosity and epoxy equivalent weight of the HTBE were $3,600{\sim}5,000\;cp$ and lower than 540 g/mol respectively. The reaction mechanism and structure of the $AB_2$ monomer, HTB and HTBE were investigated by MS, $^1H$ NMR and FTIR spectra technology. The molecular size of HTBE is under 8.65 nm and its shape is ellipsoid-like as determined by molecular simulation.

The Interference Effect of DTV Service on Radio Microphone (무선 마이크에 대한 DTV 서비스 간섭 영향 분석)

  • Shim, Yong-Sup;Lee, Il-Kyoo;Cheng, Yan-Ming
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2010
  • This paper analyzes potential interference effect of DTV service on Radio Microphone in adjacent channel. For analysis, we assume that DTV operates on CH 51(692 MHz ~ 698 MHz) and radio microphone operates on CH 52 (698 MHz ~ 704 MHz) according to the Korea Communications Commission policy. Minimum Coupling Loss(MCL) method is used to determine the required protection distance and Monte Carlo method is used to determine guard band to meet interference probability of 0 % below. In conclusions, protection distance of 1.71 km and guard band of 2.4 MHz are required for indoor and protection distance of 18.86 km and guard band of 5.7 MHz are required for outdoor.

IDENTIFICATION OF HUMAN-INDUCED INITIATING EVENTS IN THE LOW POWER AND SHUTDOWN OPERATION USING THE COMMISSION ERROR SEARCH AND ASSESSMENT METHOD

  • KIM, YONGCHAN;KIM, JONGHYUN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2015
  • Human-induced initiating events, also called Category B actions in human reliability analysis, are operator actions that may lead directly to initiating events. Most conventional probabilistic safety analyses typically assume that the frequency of initiating events also includes the probability of human-induced initiating events. However, some regulatory documents require Category B actions to be specifically analyzed and quantified in probabilistic safety analysis. An explicit modeling of Category B actions could also potentially lead to important insights into human performance in terms of safety. However, there is no standard procedure to identify Category B actions. This paper describes a systematic procedure to identify Category B actions for low power and shutdown conditions. The procedure includes several steps to determine operator actions that may lead to initiating events in the low power and shutdown stages. These steps are the selection of initiating events, the selection of systems or components, the screening of unlikely operating actions, and the quantification of initiating events. The procedure also provides the detailed instruction for each step, such as operator's action, information required, screening rules, and the outputs. Finally, the applicability of the suggested approach is also investigated by application to a plant example.

Natech Risk Assessment of Chemical Facilities in the Event of Earthquake in Korea using RAPID-N (RAPID-N을 이용한 국내 지진 발생 시 화학시설 Natech 위험성 평가)

  • Park, Jaehyuk;Yeon, Eungjin;Lee, Hak Tae;Jung, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2019
  • Accidents occurring due to natural disasters in chemical process facilities where technologies are concentrated can cause secondary damage. The concept of the relationship between natural disasters and highly intensive technologies has evolved into the Natech (Natural Hazards Triggered Technological Disaster) research. Currently, the number of earthquakes is increasing all over the Korean peninsula. To assess the risk of Natech when an earthquake has occurred in South Korea, the Rapid Natech Risk Assessment Tool (RAPID-N) developed by the European Commission's Joint Research Center (EC JRC) was used in the present study. The RAPID-N can be used for Natech risk assessment based on mapping and can be utilized for sufficient preparation for reduction of the effects of Natech accidents. A total of 261 chemical facilities actually existing in Pohang were initially analyzed to select eight facilities and the Pohang earthquake that occurred in 2017 was implemented in the RAPID-N utilizing the shake map. High risk areas were selected through Natech risk assessments for the selected eight work places and countermeasures for the areas were suggested. High risk areas exist depending on the location, since the damage influence ranges could be overlapped and each chemical facility has an independent probability of Natech. Therefore, studies on Natech emergency plans and emergency evacuation routes should be actively conducted considering such high risk areas. The present study was conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of Natech risk assessment in South Korea through the RAPID-N. These findings can be used as a reference material to lay a foundation for Natech risk assessment and related policies in South Korea.

Health Risk Assessment due to 137Cs Released into Ocean from the Severe Accident of the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plants (후쿠시마 사고로 해양으로 누출된 137Cs에 의한 인체 위해도 평가)

  • Min, Byung Il;Lee, Baek Gun;Suh, Kyung Suk;Park, Kihyun
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2014
  • After the nuclear accident of the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plants (FDNPPs) on 11 March 2011, a large amount of radioactive materials has been released into the atmosphere and the ocean. A compartment model is used to evaluate the circulation characteristics and the spatiotemporal concentration distributions of radionuclides in the ocean. In the comparison with observed concentrations of $^{137}Cs$ in seawater, calculated concentrations by the compartment model were well agreed with them. On the basis of these results, we performed evaluation of the effective dose and the cancer risk. In the early stage of the accident, the effective doses from ingestion of the seafood near the Fukushima region were much higher than 1 mSv which is the value of the annual effective dose limit to individual recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP). However, the effective doses by ingestion of the seafood decreased below 1 mSv as distance from the FDNPPs increased and time passed. In addition, it was estimated that the cancer risks by intake of the contaminated marine products were less than natural occurrence probability of cancer. Consequently, it was inferred that the health risk due to the $^{137}Cs$ was low after since mid-term period of the accident.