• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제17권31호
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• pp.177-186
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• 1994

Most causes of accidents are due to physical unsafety conditions and human unsafety actions. The design of safety work by ergonomics method is one of the methodes which effectively reduce these unsafety conditions and unsafety actions. This paper presents considerations in design of safety work. And when we try to analyze the accident event by means of probability, there exist some problems because of fuzziness in physical unsafety conditions' components and human unsafety actions' components which are the causes of basic event. For this reason, it is impossible for input probability of basic event to define a crisp value. In consideration of the uncertain probability of components, this paper deals with the Fuzzy set theory by membership value and suggests calculation procedure and analysis of disaster event.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제8권10호
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• pp.847-850
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• 2002

Stochastic process analysis is often based on Monte Carlo simulations. As a more rigorous alternative, a deterministic algorithm based on numerical integration is proposed in this paper. which calculates the probability distributions of dependent random variables using the results of simulation with grid points of independent random variables. For performance evaluation, the proposed algorithm is applied to an example problem which can be analytically solved. and the result is compared with that of Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed algorithm is suitable for general process simulation problems with a few independent random variables, and expected to be applicable to areas such as safety analysis and quality control.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.118-134
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• 1990

This paper considers the mutual interference problem of several users employing the same FH systems in selected multiple user environments. The environment consists of a desired transmitter-receiver pair located in an area where there are M interfering users distributed in accordance with a specified probability density function. Both coherent Phase-Shift-Keyed and incoherent Frequencey-Shift-Keyed modulations are considered. The general formulas of the average bit error probability are derived. The calculation results are summarized and analyzed. The average bit error probability is highly dependent on the relative location of interferences to the desired link, the time duty factor of the hopping and the number of available channels.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권6호
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• pp.854-859
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• 2018

Calculating minimal cut sets is a typical quantification method used to evaluate the top event probability for a fault tree. If minimal cut sets cannot be calculated or if the accuracy of the quantification result is in doubt, the Monte Carlo method can provide an alternative for fault tree quantification. The Monte Carlo method for fault tree quantification tends to take a long time because it repeats the calculation for a large number of samples. Herein, proposal is made to improve the quantification algorithm of a fault tree with circular logic. We developed a top-down iteration algorithm that combines the characteristics of the top-down approach and the iteration approach, thereby reducing the computation time of the Monte Carlo method.

• 한국진공학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2000

An unexpected error is produced in calculating the transmission probability of a multipartite duct because of beam and shadow effects, if using a simple summation rule like the Oatley's equation. Particles moving in a tube are directed more or less towards the axis of the tube by the beam effect, and the length of a compound tube shortens virtually by the shadow effect originated from a reduction in the number of particles reaching the corner between two tubes of different cross-sections. Both effects make the transmission probability of the tube connected behind and consequently of the whole duct increase slightly. In this paper sources of the error in the calculation of the transmission probability are analyzed quantitatively and variations in the error depending on the dimensions of cylindrical tubes are calculated.

• 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국대기환경학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.524-525
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• 2008

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.180-190
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• 1997

A new method in the fault tree analysis (FTA) for the reliability calculation is suggested. Two steps are necessary in traditional method in evaluation of the occurrence probability of top event in fault tree (FT). The first step is to find the minimal outsets, and the second one is to substitute the result into the poincare equation. In order to reduce the enormous computing time of this method, lots of rapid algorithms have been developed. Almost of all achievements were, however, based on the partial structural properties of FT. In this paper, the FT is transformed to a non-linear graph G which has the same minimal outsets of original n, and then the reliability is calculated using the domination theory. In this new method, the required number of equation terms are at most $2^n$ (n is node number of graph G), while $2^m$-1 (m is the number of minimal cutsets) calculation terms are required in the poincare equation in traditional method. Since m>>n in general. our new method reduces the calculation time significantly.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 1998년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring 1998
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• pp.58-65
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• 1998

A purpose of this research is to develope the calculation methods of design input seismic loads, Where, calculation methods are ; (1) Considering different recurrence period of earthquakes which was proposed by ATC 14. (2) Using earthquake records which was modified Korean codes. Responce spectra that was adopted by codes has an estimated recurrence interval of 500 years, with approximately a 90 percent probability of not being exceeded in 50 years. But If we considered the life-time of existing buildings in some cases, response spectra be modified with return period of earthquakes. If we be design highrise and irregular buildings, dynamic analysis method that use time history records should be used. But in Korea, time history records of earthquakes was very few. Therefore to use foreign countries's earthquake record, it is need to select of records considered Korean coeds. As a results, this study propose a calculation method of seismic design input loads that considered return period of earthquakes and also propose using method of earthquakes.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2003

Among many dimensional or dimensionless amplitude parameters, kurtosis and ID Factor are said to be sensitive good parameters for machine diagnosis. In this paper, a simplified calculation method for both parameters is introduced when impact vibration arise in the observed data. Compared with the past papers' results, this new method shows a good result which fit well. This calculation method is simple enough to be executed even on a pocketsize calculator and is very practical at the factory of maintenance field. This can be installed in microcomputer chips and utilized as a tool for early stage detection of the failure.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제38권5_2호
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• pp.194-205
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• 2010

To predict urban growth according to changes in landcover, probability factors werecal culated and mapped. Topographic, geographic and social and political factors were used as prediction variables for constructing probability maps of urban growth. Urban growth-related factors included elevation, slope, aspect, distance from road,road ratio, distance from the main city, land cover, environmental rating and legislative rating. Accounting for these factors, probability maps of urban growth were constr uctedusing frequency ratio (FR) and logistic regression (LR) methods and the effectiveness of the results was verified by the relative operating characteristic (ROC). ROC values of the urban growth probability index (UGPI) maps by the FR and LR models were 0.937 and 0.940, respectively. The LR map had a slightly higher ROC value than the FR map, but the numerical difference was slight, with both models showing similar results. The FR model is the simplest tool for probability analysis of urban growth, providing a faster and easier calculation process than other available tools. Additionally, the results can be easily interpreted. In contrast, for the LR model, only a limited amount of input data can be processed by the statistical program and a separate conversion process for input and output data is necessary. In conclusion, although the FR model is the simplest way to analyze the probability of urban growth, the LR model is more appropriate because it allows for quantitative analysis.