• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability calculation

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Study on slamming pressure calculation formula of plunging breaking wave on sloping sea dike

  • Yang, Xing
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2017
  • Plunging breaker slamming pressures on vertical or sloping sea dikes are one of the most severe and dangerous loads that sea dike structures can suffer. Many studies have investigated the impact forces caused by breaking waves for maritime structures including sea dikes and most predictions of the breaker forces are based on empirical or semi-empirical formulae calibrated from laboratory experiments. However, the wave breaking mechanism is complex and more research efforts are still needed to improve the accuracy in predicting breaker forces. This study proposes a semi-empirical formula, which is based on impulse-momentum relation, to calculate the slamming pressure due to plunging wave breaking on a sloping sea dike. Compared with some measured slamming pressure data in two literature, the calculation results by the new formula show reasonable agreements. Also, by analysing probability distribution function of wave heights, the proposed formula can be converted into a probabilistic expression form for convenience only.

A Study on the Gun-Oriented Anti Air Warfare Capability of the Patrol Killer Combat System (고속정 전투체계의 함포 중심 대공전 성능 분석)

  • Hwang, Kun-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 2007
  • The Gun-Oreinted Anti-Air Warfare(GOAAW) which is still one of the important weapon systems of the vessel like the patrol killer to confront air threats comprises the components of the combat system - Command & Control(C2), Ballistic Calculation Unit, Sensors and Guns. In this paper, the GOAAW process of the patrol killer combat system is analyzed with probability and simulated to evaluate the effectiveness and capability of the GOAAW. As a result of the simulation, the performance measures of the GOAAW are discussed in the functional and operational aspects of the combat system.

Analysis of The Behavior of Kurtosis By Simplified Model of One Sided Affiliated Impact Vibration

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Higuchi, Yuki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.192-197
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    • 2005
  • Among many amplitude parameters, Kurtosis (4-th normalized moment of probability density function) is recognized to be the sensitive good parameter for machine diagnosis. Kurtosis has a value of 3.0 under normal condition and the value generally goes up as the deterioration proceeds. In this paper, simplified calculation method of kurtosis is introduced for the analysis of impact vibration with one sided affiliated impact vibration which occurs towards the progress of time. That phenomenon is often watched in the failure of such as bearings’ outer race. One sided affiliated impact vibration is approximated by one sided triangle towards the progress of time and simplified calculation method is introduced. Varying the shape of one sided triangle, various models are examined and it is proved that new index is a sensitive good index for machine failure diagnosis. Utilizing this method, the behavior of kurtosis is forecasted and analyzed while watching machine condition and correct diagnosis is executed.

A Study on the Limited Availability of the Link in a Communication Nework (Link의 한정이용도 상태에 대한 연구)

  • 김인재
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.173-176
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    • 1982
  • Point-to-point congestion, a criterion by which service quality in a communication network is estimated, Can be obtained by single moment method of analysis, point-to-point congestion can be computed by link blocking probability in turn is calculated by link offered traffic. Consequently, exact calculation of link offered traffic is vital to analysis of communication network. In this paper a fomula which facilitaties the calculation of link offered traffic in the limited available state of links, is derived.

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The Design of NPC Encryption Algorithms for Electronic Commerce (전자상거래를 위한 NPC 암호 알고리즘 설계)

  • 김재각;전문석
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2001
  • EC(Electronic Commerce) is increasing with high speed based on the expansion of Internet. EC which is done through Internet has strong point like independence from time and space, On the contrary, it also has weak point like security problem because anybody can access easily to the system due to open network attribute of Internet. Therefore, we need the solutions that protect the security problem for safe and useful U activity, One of these solutions is the implementation of strong cipher algorithm. NPC(Non-Polynomial Complete) cipher algorithm proposed in this paper is good for the security and it overcome the limit of current 64bits cipher algorithm using 256bits key for input output and encryption key, Moreover, it is designed for the increase of calculation complexity and probability calculation by adapting more complex design for subkey generation regarded as one of important element effected to encryption.

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Numerical Prediction of Aviation Fuel Temperatures in Unmanned Air Vehicles

  • Baek, Nak-Gon;Lim, Jin-Shik
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2011
  • This paper performs numerical prediction of fuel temperature in the fuel tanks of unmanned air vehicles for both ground static non-operating and in flight transient conditions. The calculation is carried out using a modified Dufort-Frankel scheme. For this calculation, it is assumed that a non-operating vehicle on the ground is subjected to repeating daily cycles of ambient temperature with solar radiation and wind under 1%, with a 20% probability of hot day conditions. The energy conservation equation is used as the governing equation to calculate heat transfer between the fuel tank surface and the ambient environment. Results of the present analysis may be used as the estimated initial values of fuel temperatures in a vehicle's fuel tank for the purpose of analyzing transient fuel temperatures during various flight missions. This research also demonstrates that the fuel temperature of the front tank is higher than that of the rear tank, and that the difference between the two temperatures increases in the later phases of flight due to the consumption of fuel.

A new approach to determine batch size for the batch method in the Monte Carlo Eigenvalue calculation

  • Lee, Jae Yong;Kim, Do Hyun;Yim, Che Wook;Kim, Jae Chang;Kim, Jong Kyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.954-962
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    • 2019
  • It is well known that the variance of tally is biased in a Monte Carlo calculation based on the power iteration method. Several studies have been conducted to estimate the real variance. Among them, the batch method, which was proposed by Gelbard and Prael, has been utilized actively in many Monte Carlo codes because the method is straightforward, and it is easy to implement the method in the codes. However, there is a problem when utilizing the batch method because the estimated variance varies depending on batch size. Often, the appropriate batch size is not realized before the completion of several Monte Carlo calculations. This study recognizes this shortcoming and addresses it by permitting selection of an appropriate batch size.

Optimization of preventive maintenance of nuclear safety-class DCS based on reliability modeling

  • Peng, Hao;Wang, Yuanbing;Zhang, Xu;Hu, Qingren;Xu, Biao
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.3595-3603
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    • 2022
  • Nuclear safety-class DCS is used for nuclear reactor protection function, which is one of the key facilities to ensure nuclear power plant safety, the maintenance for DCS to keep system in a high reliability is significant. In this paper, Nuclear safety-class DCS system developed by the Nuclear Power Institute of China is investigated, the model of reliability estimation considering nuclear power plant emergency trip control process is carried out using Markov transfer process. According to the System-Subgroup-Module hierarchical iteration calculation, the evolution curve of failure probability is established, and the preventive maintenance optimization strategy is constructed combining reliability numerical calculation and periodic overhaul interval of nuclear power plant, which could provide a quantitative basis for the maintenance decision of DCS system.

Location Error Reduction method using Iterative Calculation in UWB system (Iterative Calculation을 이용한 UWB 위치측정에서의 오차감소 기법)

  • Jang, Sung-Jeen;Hwang, Jae-Ho;Choi, Nack-Hyun;Kim, Jae-Moung
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2008
  • In Ubiquitous Society, accurate Location Calculation of user's device is required to achieve the need of users. As the location calculation is processed by ranging between transceivers, if some obstacles exist between transceivers, NLoS(Non-line-of-Sight) components of received signal increase along with the reduction of LoS(Line-of-Sight) components. Therefore the location calculation error will increase due to the NLoS effect. The conventional location calculation algorithm has the original ranging error because there is no transformation of ranging information which degrades the ranging accuracy. The Iterative Calculation method which minimizes the location calculation error relys on accurately identifying NLoS or LoS condition of the tested channel. We employ Kurtosis, Mean Excess Delay and RMS Delay spread of the received signal to identify whether the tested channel is LoS or NLoS firstly. Thereafter, to minimize location calculation error, the proposed Iterative Calculation method iteratively select random range and finds the averaged target location which has high probability. The simulation results confirm the enhancement of the proposed method.

Assessment of seismic damage inspection and empirical vulnerability probability matrices for masonry structure

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke;Chi, Bo
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.387-399
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    • 2022
  • To study the seismic damage of masonry structures and understand the characteristics of the multi-intensity region, according to the Dujiang weir urbanization of China Wenchuan earthquake, the deterioration of 3991 masonry structures was summarized and statistically analysed. First, the seismic damage of multistory masonry structures in this area was investigated. The primary seismic damage of components was as follows: Damage of walls, openings, joints of longitudinal and transverse walls, windows (lower) walls, and tie columns. Many masonry structures with seismic designs were basically intact. Second, according to the main factors of construction, seismic intensity code levels survey, and influence on the seismic capacity, a vulnerability matrix calculation model was proposed to establish a vulnerability prediction matrix, and a comparative analysis was made based on the empirical seismic damage investigation matrix. The vulnerability prediction matrix was established using the proposed vulnerability matrix calculation model. The fitting relationship between the vulnerability prediction matrix and the actual seismic damage investigation matrix was compared and analysed. The relationship curves of the mean damage index for macrointensity and ground motion parameters were drawn through calculation and analysis, respectively. The numerical analysis was performed based on actual ground motion observation records, and fitting models of PGA, PGV, and MSDI were proposed.