• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability analysis

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An Analysis of Bit Error Probability of Reed-Solomon/Convolutional Concatenated Codes (Reed-Solomon/길쌈 연쇄부호의 비트오율해석)

  • 이상곤;문상재
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.30A no.8
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1993
  • The bit error probability of Reed-Solomon/convolutional concatenated codes can be more exactly calculated by using a more approximate bound of the symbol error probability of the convolutional codes. This paper obtains the unequal symbol error bound of the convolutional codes, and applies to the calculation of the bit error probability of the concatenated codes. Our results are tighter than the earlier studied other bounds.

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ASYMPTOTIC ANALYSIS OF THE LOSS PROBABILITY IN THE GI/PH/1/K QUEUE

  • Kim Jeong-Sim
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.22 no.1_2
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2006
  • We obtain an asymptotic behavior of the loss probability for the GI/PH/1/K queue as K tends to infinity when the traffic intensity p is strictly less than one. It is shown that the loss probability tends to 0 at a geometric rate and that the decay rate is related to the matrix generating function describing the service completions during an interarrival time.

Semantic analysis of the independency concepts in the probability (확률에서 독립성 개념의 의미 분석)

  • Yoo, Yoon-Jae
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2009
  • The article discusses the independence concept occurring in the learning of probability. The author does not distinguishes the independence in the events from the independence in the trials. Instead, the author suggests the physico-empirical independence and the logico-mathematical independence to distinguish between the two concepts.

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Design Optimization of a Deep-sea Pressure Vessel by Reliability Analysis (신뢰성 해석을 이용한 심해용 내압용기의 설계 최적화)

  • JOUNG TAE-HWAN;NHO IN-SIK;LEE JAE-HWAN;HAN SEUNG-HO
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.2 s.63
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 2005
  • In order to consider the statistical properties of probability variables which are used in structural analysis, the conventional approach of using safety factors based on past experience, are usually used to estimate the safety of a structure. The real structures could only be analyzed with the error in estimation of loads, materials and dimensional characteristics. Errors should be considered systematically in the structural analysis. In this paper, we estimated the probability of failure of two pressure vessels, simultaneously, using computational analysis. One pressure vessel, theoretically, had no stiffener whereas the other had. This paper also discusses sensitivity values of random variables in the rounded parts of the pressure vessel which had ring-style stiffener in the center of the external area which had ring-style stiffener. Finally, we show that the reliability index, and the probability of failure, can be calculated to particular tolerance limits.

Probability Analysis of Rock Slope Stability using Zoning and Discontinuity Persistence as Parameters (사면의 구역 및 절리의 연장성을 고려한 암반사면의 안정성 확률해석)

  • Jang, Bo-An;Sung, Suk-Kyung;Jang, Hyun-Sic
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2010
  • In analysis of slope stability, deterministic analysis which yields a factor of safety has been used until recently. However, probability of failure is considered as a more efficient method because it deals with the uncertainty and variability of rock mass. In both methods, a factor of safety or a probability of failure is calculated for a slope although characteristics of rock mass, such as characteristics of joints, weathering degree of rock and so on, are not uniform throughout the slope. In this paper, we divided a model slope into several zones depending on conditions of rock mass and joints, and probabilities of failure in each zone are calculated and compared with that calculated in whole slope. The persistence of joint was also used as a parameter in calculation of probability of failure. A rock slope located in Hongcheon, Gangwondo was selected and the probability of failure using zoning and persistence as parameter was calculated to confirm the applicability of model analysis.

3-D Groundwater Flow Analysis of Excavated Ground by Reliability Method (신뢰성기법에 의한 굴착지반에서의 3차원 지하수 흐름해석)

  • Kim, Hong-Seok;Park, Joon-Mo;Jang, Yeon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2006
  • A reliability-groundwater flow analysis is performed and the influence of flow parameters on the probability of exceeding the threshold value is examined. For this study, the 3-D numerical groundwater flow program, DGU-FLOW, is developed by extending the 2-D flow program and is coupled to the first and second order reliability program. The 3-D flow program is verified by solving the examples of groundwater flow through the underground excavation and comparing the results from commercial MODFLOW program. Reliability routine of the program is also verified by comparing the probability of failure with that of Monte-Carlo Simulation. The reliability analysis of the groundwater flow showed that the probability of failure from the first and second order reliability method are quite close to that of Monte-Carlo Simulation. from the parametric study of hydraulic conductivity of soil layers, the increase of both mean and variance of hydraulic conductivity results in the increase of probability of exceeding the threshold flow quantity. The probability of failure was more sensitive to constant head located at the end of the flow domain than the other parameters.

A Study on Probability of Bit Error for Wavelet in 4-ary SWSK System (4-ary SWSK 시스템에서 웨이브릿에 대한 비트 에러 확률에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Tae-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a study on the performance analysis on probability of bit error for wavelet in 4-ary SWSK system. The formula for the bit error probability in 4-ary SWSK system was derived from the conventional method. This paper experimentally implements the probability of bit error for Daubechies, Biorthogonal, Coiflet and Symlet wavelet using the conventional formula of bit error probability. Additionally, the performance of bit error probability is analyzed for the period and the number of wavelet taps. Based on the results, we confirmed that the performance of Coiflet and Symlet wavelet for the probability of bit error is superior to the other wavelet, and their probability of bit error are similar.

Derivation and Application of In uence Function in Discriminant Analysis for Three Groups (세 집단 판별분석 상황에서의 영향함수 유도 및 그 응용)

  • Lee, Hae-Jung;Kim, Hong-Gie
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.941-949
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    • 2011
  • The influence function is used to develop criteria to detect outliers in discriminant analysis. We derive the influence function of observations that estimate the the misclassification probability in discriminant analysis for three groups. The proposed measures are applied to the facial image data to define outliers and redo the discriminant analysis excluding the outliers. The study proves that the derived influence function is more efficient than using the discriminant probability approach.

A Technique for the Quantitative Analysis of the Noise Jamming Effect (잡음재밍 효과에 대한 정량적 분석 기법)

  • Kim, Sung-Jin;Kang, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.4 s.23
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a technique for the quantitative analysis of the noise jamming effect is proposed. This technique based upon the mathematical modeling for noise jammers and the probability theory for random processes analyses the jamming effect by means of the modeling of the relationship among jammer, radar variables and radar detection probability under noise jamming environment. Computer simulation results show that the proposed technique not only makes the quantitative analysis of the jamming effect possible, but also provides the basis for quantitative analysis of the electronic warfare environment.

Coherence Structure in the Discourse of Probability Modelling

  • Jang, Hongshick
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • Stochastic phenomena induce us to construct a probability model and structure our thinking; corresponding models help us to understand and interpret the reality. They in turn equip us with tools to recognize, reconstruct and solve problems. Therefore, various implications in terms of methodology as well as epistemology naturally flow from different adoptions of models for probability. Right from the basic scenarios of different perspectives to explore reality, students are occasionally exposed to misunderstanding and misinterpretations. With realistic examples a multi-faceted image of probability and different interpretation will be considered in mathematical modelling activities. As an exploratory investigation, mathematical modelling activity for probability learning was elaborated through semiotic analysis. Especially, the coherence structure in mathematical modelling discourse was reviewed form a semiotic perspective. The discourses sampled from group activities were analyzed on the basis of semiotic perspectives taxonomical coherence relations.