• 제목/요약/키워드: prior adjustment

검색결과 75건 처리시간 0.025초

범주형 자료에서 경험적 베이지안 오분류 분석 (Empirical Bayesian Misclassification Analysis on Categorical Data)

  • 임한승;홍종선;서문섭
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2001
  • 범주형 자료에서 오분류는 자료를 수집하는 과정에서 발생될 수 있다. 오분류되어 있는 자료를 정확한 자료로 간주하여 분석한다면 추정결과에 편의가 발생하고 검정력이 약화되는 결과를 초래하게 되며, 정확하게 분류된 자료를 오분류하고 판단한다면 오분류의 수정을 위해 불필요한 비용과 시간을 낭비해야 할 것이다. 따라서 정확하게 분류된 표본인지 오분류된 표본인지를 판정하는 것은 자료를 분석하기 전에 이루어져야할 매우 중요한 과정이다. 본 논문은 I$\times$J 분할표로 주어지는 범주형 자료에서 두 변수 중 하나의 변수에서만 오분류가 발생되는 경우에 오분류 여부를 검정하기 위해서 오분류 가능성이 없는 변수에 대한 주변합은 고정시키고, 오분류 여부를 가능성이 있는 변수의 주변합을 Sebastiani와 Ramoni(1997)가 제안한 Bound와 외부정보로 표현되는 Collapse의 개념, 그리고 베이지안 방법을 확장하여 자료에 적합한 모형과 사전정보를 고려한 사전모수를 다양하게 설정하면서 재분류하는 연구를 하였다. 오분류에 대한 정보를 얻기 위해서 Tenenbein(1970)에 의해 연구된 이중추출법을 이용하여 오분류 검정을 위한 새로운 통계량을 제안하였으며, 제안된 오분류 검정통계량에 관한 분포를 다양한 모의실험을 통하여 연구하였다.

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대두 및 옥수수 가공식품에서 유전자재조합체(GMO)의 정성 PCR분석을 위한 핵산 추출방법별 비교 (Comparative Evaluation on Qualitative PCR using Different Extraction Methods for Nucleic Acids on Soybean and Corn Processed Foods)

  • 김영찬;이철수;황순욱;김성조;이영옥;윤성원;서정화;남용석
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.6-13
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    • 2003
  • PCR법은 특정 유전자를 증폭하는 기술로 작물 및 식품에서 유전자 변형체 함유 여부를 가리는 효과적인 방법이다. 그러나 핵산의 추출법에 따라 PCR의 감도가 크게 달라지므로 정확한 추출법의 선정이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구는 현재 컬럼형 상용화 키트와 기존의 용매 추출방법을 이용하여 콩과 옥수수가공식품에 대한 각 유전자 부위의 검출감도를 비교 분석하였다. 핵산의 추출효율과 도입유전자의 증폭효율면 모두 상용화 키트인 Wizar$d^{TM}$, DNeasy$^{TM}$ 추출법이 우수하였다. DNeasy법은 대부분의 식품에서 우수한 추출효율을 보였으나, 옥수수가공식품에서 수율이 감소하는 단점을 나타내었다. Wizard법은 모든 가공식품에서 고른 추출효율을 보였으며, PCR반응에 의한 증폭산물도 잘 보존되어 가공식품의 GMO 검출에 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 한편 CTAB법은 콩가공식품에서 약간 효율이 좋은 것으로 나타났으나 대부분의 경우 효율이 낮았으며, 식품의 종류에 따라 편차가 심하게 나타났다. phenol/chloroform법은 대부분의 식품에서 핵산의 분리가 어려운 방법으로 나타나 GMO분석에는 적합하지 않은 방법으로 확인되었다.

Misclassification Adjustment of Family History of Breast Cancer in a Case-Control Study: a Bayesian Approach

  • Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah;Mansournia, Mohammad Ali;Baghfalaki, Taban;Ghiasvand, Reza;Noori-Daloii, Mohammad Reza;Holakouie-Naieni, Kourosh
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권18호
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    • pp.8221-8226
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    • 2016
  • Background: Misreporting self-reported family history may lead to biased estimations. We used Bayesian methods to adjust for exposure misclassification. Materials and Methods: A hospital-based case-control study was used to identify breast cancer risk factors among Iranian women. Three models were jointly considered; an outcome, an exposure and a measurement model. All models were fitted using Bayesian methods, run to achieve convergence. Results: Bayesian analysis in the model without misclassification showed that the odds ratios for the relationship between breast cancer and a family history in different prior distributions were 2.98 (95% CRI: 2.41, 3.71), 2.57 (95% CRI: 1.95, 3.41) and 2.53 (95% CRI: 1.93, 3.31). In the misclassified model, adjusted odds ratios for misclassification in the different situations were 2.64 (95% CRI: 2.02, 3.47), 2.64 (95% CRI: 2.02, 3.46), 1.60 (95% CRI: 1.07, 2.38), 1.61 (95% CRI: 1.07, 2.40), 1.57 (95% CRI: 1.05, 2.35), 1.58 (95% CRI: 1.06, 2.34) and 1.57 (95% CRI: 1.06, 2.33). Conclusions: It was concluded that self-reported family history may be misclassified in different scenarios. Due to the lack of validation studies in Iran, more attention to this matter in future research is suggested, especially while obtaining results in accordance with sensitivity and specificity values.

한국 육군 일개 사단에서 군 복무 부적응자들의 정신의학적 평가 : 그린캠프 참가자들을 중심으로 (Psychiatric Evaluation of Maladaptive Male Conscripts in a Division of the Republic of Korean Army : Focus on Green Camp Participants)

  • 김주현;강석훈;예병석;황현국;서재원;채공주;이환배;김찬형
    • 대한불안의학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : In this study, we aimed to elucidate the demographic and psychological characteristics of maladaptive soldiers in the Republic of Korean Army. Methods : Study participants included 110 male conscripts who had participated in the Green camp, which was a form of group psychosocial treatment program for maladaptive soldiers. All participants were interviewed and diagnosed by a psychiatrist, and classified into two groups according to whether they left or rejoined the army. We analyzed the differences between these two groups in terms of demographic features, psychiatric diagnosis and the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) subscores. Results : Compared with soldiers who rejoined their units, those who left military service exhibited significantly lower educational level (p=0.041) and a higher rate in psychiatric treatment prior to enlistment (p=0.011). Among the 106 subjects, 63 (59.4%) and 23 (21.7%) were diagnosed with personality disorder and adjustment disorder, respectively. Further, those who left military service were diagnosed more frequently with mood disorder (p=0.001) and schizophrenia (p=0.014) than those who rejoined their units. Additionally, the MMPI scores of soldiers who left military service were significantly higher on the psychasthenia (p=0.028) and schizophrenia (p=0.039) scales than those of soldiers who rejoined their units. Conclusion : Most of the maladaptive soldiers were diagnosed with mental disorders. The results of this study suggest that systematic, consistent psychiatric evaluation and intervention for maladaptive male conscripts is crucial in the Republic of Korean army.

초음파센서를 이용한 변량제어 스프레이어 (Ultrasonic Sensor Controlled Sprayer for Variable Rate Liner Applications)

  • 전홍영;주허핑
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2011
  • An experimental variable rate nursery sprayer was developed to adjust application rates for canopy volume in real time. The sprayer consisted of two vertical booms integrated with ultrasonic sensors, and variable rate nozzles coupled with pulse width modulation (PMW) based solenoid valves. A custom-designed microcontroller instructed the sensors to detect canopy size and occurrence and then controlled nozzles to achieve variable application rates. A spray delivery system, which consisted of diaphragm pump, pressure regulator and 4-cycle gasoline engine, offered the spray discharge function. Spray delay time, time adjustment in spray trigger for the leading distance of the sensor, was measured with a high-speed camera, and it was from 50 to 140 ms earlier than the desired time (398 ms) at 3.2 km/h under indoor conditions. Consequently, the sprayer triggered 4.5 to 12.5 cm prior to detected targets. Duty cycles of the sprayer were from 20 to 34 ms for senor-to-canopy (STC) distance from 0.30 to 0.76 m. Outdoor test confirmed that the nozzles were triggered from 290 to 380 ms after detecting tree canopy at 3.2 km/h. The spray rate of the new sprayer was 58.4 to 85.2% of the constant application rate (935 L/ha). Spray coverage was collected at four areas of evergreen canopy by water sensitive papers (WSP), and ranged from 1.9 to 41.1% and 1.8 to 34.7% for variable and constant rate applications, respectively. One WSP area had significant (P < 0.05) difference in mean spray coverage between two application conditions.

스마트폰 카메라의 기하학적 검정과 정확도 평가 (Geometric Calibration and Accuracy Evaluation of Smartphone Camera)

  • 김진수;진청길;이성규;이선구;최철웅
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2011
  • 최근 이슈가 되어온 스마트폰에는 고해상도 카메라, Assisted GPS, 가속도계, 자이로스코프, 그리고 자기 계측 센서와 같이 측량에 직접 이용할 수 있는 다양한 센서들이 탑재되어 있다. 본 연구는 고해상도 영상을 제공하는 스마트폰 카메라를 검정하고 그 정확도를 평가함으로써, 사진측량에 스마트폰 영상의 활용 가능성을 제시하는데 그 목적을 둔다. 먼저, 스마트폰 카메라의 정확도 평가에 앞서 각 카메라의 렌즈 왜곡을 보정하기 위한 카메라 검정이 이루어졌고, 이 과정에서 광속조정에 의해 계산된 영상 좌표 및 대상물 좌표의 정확도를 분석하였다. 또한, 3차원 위치 결정에 있어 렌즈 왜곡 계수의 고려 유무에 따른 결과 분석이 이루어졌고, 최종적으로 측량용 카메라에 대한 스마트폰 카메라의 상대 정확도를 평가하였다. 그 결과, 스마트폰 카메라의 왜곡 보정에 있어 고차항의 방사 왜곡 계수도 고려되어야 하며, 측량용 카메라에 의한 결과와 미소한 차이를 나타내어 사진측량에 스마트폰 영상의 활용 가능성이 클 것으로 기대된다.

은퇴자의 생활설계를 위한 교육 프로그램의 개발 (The Development of a Life Planning Program for Retired Elderly People)

  • 최보아;지영숙
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a life planning program for retired elderly people. This program is not a preparation program for elderly people prior to their retirement but a readjustment and re-planning their life after retirement. This program help retired elderly people to solve the life problem and set up a affirmative ones future image. Also this program pay regard to social, home backgrounds of this generation. The program consists of four session curriculums session 1 is entitled to &Make my future by oneself&, session 2 is &Enjoy healthy life as much as one can&, session 3 is &Have a heart for family& and session 4 is &Set up a mature old age&. A fled study has been conducted with ten retired elderly people who want to participated in the program voluntarily. 4 sessions each of which consists of 2 hours were performed at Korean Association of Retired Persons. Field test for program evaluation is designed to three steps: pre-test, post-test and one month follow-up test to measure the effectiveness of the program. According to evaluation results, the program shows a significantly positive effect on the improvement of elderly people's understanding about elderly life. At the one month follow-up assessment, the effect of program is still remained strongly even though there is a Partial slight increase or reduction which is not statistically significant. Most of the program participants have expressed high level of satisfaction with the program. For further study, we need various contents which are suited to larger group with diverse socio0-demographic backgrounds. At the same time, the program has diverse instruction methods which are pertinent to levels of participants. Also, the program needs to continuous adjustment to the next generation with their social, home backgrounds.

3층 철근콘크리트 전단벽 구조물의 지진응답해석 (Earthquake Response Analysis for Three-Story Building with Reinforced Concrete Shear Walls)

  • 이인규;이은행;김재민
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2021
  • A shake table test is conducted for the three-story reinforced concrete building structure using 0.28 g, 0.5 g, 0.75 g, and 1.0 g of seismic input motions based on the Gyeongju earthquake. Computational efforts are made in parallel to explore the mechanical details in the structure. For engineering practice, the elastic modulus of concrete and rebar in the dynamic analysis is reduced to 38% and 50%, respectively, to calibrate the structure's natural frequencies. The engineering approach to the reduced modulus of elasticity is believed to be due to the inability to specify the flexibility of the actual boundary conditions. This aspect may lead to disadvantages of nonlinear dynamic analysis that can distort local stress and strain relationships. The initial elastic modulus can be applied directly without the so-called engineering adjustment with infinite element models with spring and spring-dashpot boundary conditions. This has the advantage of imposing the system flexibility of the structure on the sub-boundary conditions of springs and damping devices to control its sensitivity in a serial arrangement. This can reflect the flexibility of realistic boundary conditions and the effects of system damping (such as the gap between a concrete footing and shake table, loosening of steel anchors, etc.) in scalar quantities. However, these spring and dashpot coefficients can only be coordinated based on experimental results, making it challenging to select the coefficients in-prior to perform an experimental test.

안전리더십, 안전준수, 안전교육, 안전문화 간의 구조적 관계 - K 사 사례연구 - (Structural Relations Between Safety Leadership, Safety Observance, Safety Education, and Safety Culture - K Company Case Study -)

  • 위국환;방원석;김선화;장성록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2021
  • Effective leadership in safety performance, such as safety leadership, has received attention as a factor that greatly affects safety performance in various high-risk industrial environments. Based on prior research, this study aims to analyze the impact relationship between safety leadership, safety observance, safety education, and safety culture to reveal the effectiveness of safety leadership. In addition, this study will examine the effects of safety leadership on safety observance and safety education to identify the effects of safety understanding. For this purpose, a survey was conducted with employees of an aviation manufacturing company in Gyeongnam. For verification, a positive factor analysis, correlation analysis, and structural equation analysis were conducted using the AMOS 21.0 program. This study's findings show that, first, safety leadership has a positive and significant impact on safety observance and safety education. Second, safety leadership was found to have a direct impact on organizations' safety culture. Third, although safety observance has significant positive effects on safety culture, safety education has often been rejected. Finally, after verifying the control effect of safety understanding, this study uncovered the presence of an adjustment effect in the effect of safety leadership on safety observance. Therefore, based on the results of this study, theoretical and practical implications suggest that through the exercise of safety leadership, managers can improve their organizations' safety culture by increasing organizations' compliance with safety observance and/or acceptance of safety education.

시그모이드 함수를 이용한 가스안전사업 효과의 발현시점 추정과 조정 (Estimation and Adjustment of Time Point in Manifestation of Gas Safety Project Effects using Sigmoid Functions)

  • 임현교;박건영
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.70-77
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    • 2023
  • Gas has replaced coal or petroleum as primary fuel because of its convenience. However, gas has risk of fire, explosion, or poisoning. To reduce gas-related accidents, many strategic projects have been being carried based on 'Gas Safety Management Basic Plans' on a domestic scale. In spite of those projects, the gas-related accident rate did not decrease over past decades. Thus, this study was conducted to analyze the effectiveness of ongoing projects, and to find out ways to make improvements. Conventional statistical analyses on accident data published by gas-related institutions were not useful to determine meaningful attributes to predict future. Whereas, accident case analyses adopted in the present study discovered differences in the type of people and their unsafe acts for each gas type. Meanwhile, the overall average priority of projects was not high in the aspect of System Safety Precedence. If the current trend is maintained, with sigmoid functions, it can be estimated that mean annual accident rate will decrease by only 2.0% in the next two decades. To improve the current trend, the present study made conclusions as followings: (1) safety projects should be designed with careful consideration of accident traits including gas type, unsafe acts, and persons involved and (2) alternative strategies should include system considerations such as minimum hazard design and safety devices prior to mere education or training. To summarize briefly, the present state related with gas accidents highlights the necessity of a system-based multidisciplinary approach.