• 제목/요약/키워드: price process

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Critical Factors Affecting Construction Price Index: An Integrated Fuzzy Logic and Analytical Hierarchy Process

  • NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2020
  • Nowadays, many construction engineering and technology enterprises are evolving to find that prosperity is driven and inspired by an open economy with dynamic markets and fierce multifaceted competition. Besides brand and product uniqueness, the ability to quickly provide customers with quotes are matters of concern. Such a requirement for prompt cost estimation of construction investment projects with the use of a construction price index poses a significant challenge to contractors. This is because the nature of the construction industry is shaped by changes in domestic and foreign economic factors, socio-financial issues, and is under the influence of various micro and macro factors. This paper presents a fuzzy decision-making approach for calculating critical factors that affect the construction price index. A qualitative approach was implemented based on in-depth interviews of experts in the construction industry in Vietnam. A synthetic comparison matrix was calculated using Buckley approach. The CoA approach was applied to defuzzified the fuzzy weights of factors that affect the construction price index. The research results show that the top five critical factors affecting the construction price index in Vietnam are (1) consumer price index, (2) gross domestic product, (3) basic interest rate, (4) foreign exchange rate, and (5) total export and import.

Evaluation Factors Influencing Construction Price Index in Fuzzy Uncertainty Environment

  • NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;HUYNH, Vy Dang Bich;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.195-200
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, Vietnam's economic growth rate has been attributed to the growth of many well-managed industries within Southeast Asia. Among them is the civil construction industry. Construction projects typically take a long time to complete and require a huge budget. Many socio-economic variables and factors affect total construction project costs due to market fluctuations. In recent years, crucial socioeconomic development indicators of construction reached a fairly high growth rate. Also, most infrastructure and construction projects have a high degree of complexity and uncertainty. This makes it challenging to predict the accurate project price. These challenges raise the need to recognize significant factors that influence the construction price index of civil buildings in Vietnam, both micro and macro. Therefore, this paper presents critical factors that affect the construction price index using the fuzzy extent analysis process in an uncertain environment. This proposed quantitative model is expected to reflect the uncertainty in the process of evaluating and ranking the influencing factors of the construction price index in Vietnam. The research results would also allow project stakeholders to be more informed of the factors affecting the construction price index in the context of Vietnam's civil construction industry. They also enable construction contractors to estimate project costs and bid rates better, enhancing their project and risk management performance.

A Study on the Choice of Price Formation Models for Fishery Resources (수산자원의 가격형성모형의 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hoan-Jae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to integrate various models of price formation and let the data choose the most proper model. After the data choose the proper model, one can analyze the price formation process and demand structures for fishery resources under the restriction of Korean fisheries regulations. This study suggests the integrated model including quasi-linear price formation model, Translog price formation model, AIDS price formation model and Lewbel price formation model as level variables. It also suggests another integrated model including AIDS price formation model, Rotterdam price formation model, Latinen-Theil price formation model and Neves price formation model as difference variables. The empirical results show that the AIDS price formation model is the most preferred in both level and difference variables of fishery resources. The estimated parameters show that all sample species have (-) sign of price flexibilities, thus following the law of demand. The scale flexibilities of all species are estimated as (-) sign, thus being adapted to the theory. The contribution and results are summarized as follows. First, the integrated model of fishery market demand has been developed and the data can choose the proper model without arbitrary choice of the researcher. Second, the fishery market demand structure could be analyzed in a way different from the ordinary demand analysis, which is based upon price flexibility and scale flexibility. Third, the integrated model for fishery resources can be used easily when catching restrictions are imposed by policies.

A STATISTICS INTERPOLATION METHOD: LINEAR PREDICTION IN A STOCK PRICE PROCESS

  • Choi, U-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.657-667
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    • 2001
  • We propose a statistical interpolation approximate solution for a nonlinear stochastic integral equation of a stock price process. The proposed method has the order O(h$^2$) of local error under the weaker conditions of $\mu$ and $\sigma$ than those of Milstein' scheme.

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Substantial Fairness in the Administrative and Judicial Process of Medicine Price Cut in Korea (약가 인하 효력 발생 시점 차이에 따른 문제점과 그 해결방안)

  • Park, Sungmin;Lee, Taejin
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the problem of the time difference of medicine price cut in Korea according to the administrative and judicial process and sought to present the amendment in the related law to achieve substantial fairness. We considered unfairness of medicine price cut caused by the administrative and judicial process in three situations, the approval-patent linkage system, realistic differences in the practice of administration and suspension of price cut execution. Based on it, we reasoned out the solution to get substantial fairness in the administrative and judicial process of medicine price cut in Korea. Although each step of the administrative and judicial process is lawful and reasonable, the time difference of medicine price cut according to the administrative and judicial process can result in damages or windfall to both of pharmaceutical company and National Health Insurance Service. In the present legal system of Korea, it is unable to be correct. Thus, we present the amendment to correct the damages and windfall when it happens.

A study of the decision to standardize sale price of supplying apartment houses using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP기법을 이용한 공동주택 분양가 결정에 관한연구)

  • Hwang, Kyu-Sung;Lee, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to set a standard for sale prices of supplying apartment houses about decision factors in sale price of supplying apartment houses using Analytic Hierarchy Process. This is done by modeling decision factors in sale price of supplying apartment houses as hierarchy. According to the modeled hierarchy, the relative importance of supplying factors are determined using a survey of a group of real estate experts. In addition, through Analytic Hierarchy Process, the relative importance of phased sale prices of supplying apartment is analyzed in order to set a standard to estimate competitive sale prices of newly supplying apartment houses.

The First Passage Time of Stock Price under Stochastic Volatility

  • Nguyen, Andrew Loc
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.879-889
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    • 2004
  • This paper gives an approximation to the distribution function of the .rst passage time of stock price when volatility of stock price is modeled by a function of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It also shows how to obtain the error of the approximation.

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The Structure of the Short and the Long-Run Variations in the Domestic Bank Earnings (국내 은행수익성의 장단기적 변동구조)

  • 김태호;박지원;김미연
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2004
  • This study analyzes the structure of the variations In the domestic bank earnings and examines their dynamic features by estimating the short-run response and the long-run adjustment Process after the changes in financial market variables. A system of the equations for the bank stock price index and KOSPI is formulated to utilize the whole information in the market and simultaneously estimated to identify the relationships between the market variables and the bank earnings. Since the bank stock price is found to be responsive to changes in none of the market variables in the short run, while being relatively responsive to dollar exchange rate and business state, It implies that a good economic conditions and a stable foreign exchange rate should be maintained to Improve the level of the stock price In the long run. In addition, the dynamic structure of the responses of the bank stock price index and KOSPI to the initial changes in the market variable are compared and anlayzed. The response of the bank stock price appears to take much longer in adjusting to the long-run eouilibrium level than that of KOSPI. As a result, the cumulative response of the bank stock price index over time is found much bigger than that of HOSPI.

Estimation for the Time-t Discounted Price of Multiple Defaultable Zero Coupon Bond

  • Park, Heung-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2009
  • We consider a multiple defaultable zero coupon bond. Assuming defaults occur according to a marked point process, we explain how to estimate the time-t discounted price of zero coupon bond by simulation. For the special case of a given specific random face value, we show that the real probability measure is the risk neutral probability measure. In this case the time-t discounted conditional price can be obtained by observing a single sample path upto the time t in the real world. Furthermore the time-t discounted price can be estimated by observing real situations or by simulation under the real probability measure.

Shopper′s Attitude toward Online Stores: Effects on Store Satisfaction and Store Loyalty (온라인 쇼핑객의 점포태도가 점포만폭도와 점포층성도에 미치는 영향)

  • 이영주;박경애
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2002
  • The purposes of this study were to examine: 1)the dimensions of online store attitude; 2)the differences in the online store attitude by product category and store type; and 3)the effects of online store attitude on store satisfaction and store loyalty. Data were obtained from an online questionnaire survey to 850 online shoppers who were randomly selected from the panel of an online survey agency, and 615 responses were analyzed. Factor analysis extracted 5 dimensions of store attitude including: process and security; service; promotion and presentation; price and quality; and merchandise. MANOVA revealed a significant difference in the price and quality factor by product category and store type. Multiple regression showed that the effects of price and quality, service, and process and security on store satisfaction were significant. Also, price and quality had a significant direct effect on store loyalty which was also affected by store satisfaction.