• Title/Summary/Keyword: price effects

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Effects of noe-economic factors on the cyclcal fluctuations of price level in Korea

  • Yoon, Suk-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 1974
  • There are a number of studies on the peculiarities of inflation in underdeveloped economies. These studies are, however, confined to the cases of Latin American countries, and the essence of methodologies applied in the studies is basically estimations of linear parameters of an extended quantity equation with lagged variables. As it is generally observed, inflation in most of underdeveloped economies are, to some extent, affected by non-economic factors such as political instability, social disorder, abrupt institutional changes, etc. Sometimes, these factors underlying the basic movement of price level change are reflected in such variables as quantity of money supply, income velocity, gross national product.

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A Study on the Effects of Meterological Factors on the Distribution of Agricultural Products: Focused on the Distribution of Chinese Cabbages (기상요인이 농산물 유통에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 배추 유통 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyunjoung;Hong, Jinhwan
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.59-83
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    • 2012
  • Agriculture is a primary industry that influenced by the weather or meterological factors more than other industry. Global warming and worldwide climate changes, and unusual weather phenomena are fatal in agricultural industry and human life. Therefore, many previous studies have been made to find the relationship between weather and the productivity of agriculture. Meterological factors also influence on the distribution of agricultural product. For example, price of agricultural product is determined in the market, and also influenced by the weather of the market. However, there is only a few study was made to find this link. The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of meterological factors on the distribution of agricultural products, focusing on the distribution of chinese cabbages. Chinese cabbage is a main ingredient of Kimchi, and basic essential vegetable in Korean dinner table. However, the production of chinese cabbages is influenced by weather and very fluctuating so that the variation of its price is so unstable. Therefore, both consumers and farmers do not feel comfortable at the unstable price of chinese cabbages. In this study, we analyze the real transaction data of chinese cabbage in wholesale markets and meterological factors depending on the variety and geography. We collect and analyze data of meterological factors such as temperatures, humidity, cloudiness, rainfall, snowfall, wind speed, insolation, sunshine duration in producing and consuming region of chinese cabbages. The result of this study shows that the meterological factors such as temperature and humidity significantly influence on the volume and price of chinese cabbage transaction in wholesale market. Especially, the weather of consuming region has greater correlation effects on transaction than that of producing region in all types of chinese cabbages. Among the whole agricultural lifecycle of chinese cabbages, 'seeding - harvest - shipment - wholesale', meterological factors such as temperature and rainfall in shipment and wholesale period are significantly correlated with transaction volume and price of crops. Based on the result of correlation analysis, we make a regression analysis to verify the meterological factors' effects on the volume and price of chines cabbage transaction in wholesale market. The results of stepwise regression analysis are shown in

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    . The type of chinese cabbages are categorized by 5 types, i.e. alpine, gimjang for winter, spring, summer, and winter crop, and all of the regression models are shown significant relationship. In addition, meterological factors in shipment and wholesale period are entered more in regression model than those in seeding and harvest period. This result implies that weather in consuming region is also important in the distribution of chinese cabbages. Based on the result of this study, we find several implications and recommendations for policy makers of agricultural product distribution. The goal of agricultural product distribution policy is to insure proper price and production cost for farmers and provide proper price and quality, and stable supply for consumers. Therefore, coping with the uncertainty of weather is very essential to make a fruitful effect of the policy. In reality, very big part of consumer price of chinese cabbage is made up of the margin of intermediaries, because they take the risk. In addition, policy makers make efforts for farmers to utilize AWIS (Agricultural Weather Information System). In order to do that, it should integrate the relevant information including distribution and marketing as well as production. Offering a consulting service to farmers about weather management is also expected to be a good option in agriculture and weather industry. Reflecting on the result of this study, the distribution authorities can offer the guideline for the timing and volume of harvest, and it is expected to contribute to the stable equilibrium of supply and demand of agricultural products.

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  • A Comparative Analysis on the Role of the Oil Refinery Industry in the Korean and Japanese National Economy (한국 및 일본 정유산업의 국민경제적 역할 비교 분석)

    • Jin, Se-Jun;Ahn, So-Yeon;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
      • Journal of Energy Engineering
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      • v.25 no.4
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      • pp.37-52
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      • 2016
    • This study attempts to compare the role of the oil refinery industry in the Korean and Japanese national economy using an inter-industry analysis. First of all, the study conducts a comparative analysis on production-inducing effects and value-added creation effects of the oil refinery industry based on demand-driven model. Moreover, we investigate the supply shortage effects and sectoral pervasive effects of price change by using supply-driven model and Leontief price model, respectively. These analyses have been done by specifying the oil refinery industry as not endogenous but exogenous. The results show that1 won of production or investment in the oil refinery industry induces 0.2620 won and 0.6537 won of production in other industries of Korea and Japan, respectively. The former is less than the latter. It also creates 0.0946 won and 0.0536 won of value-added in other industries of Korea and Japan, respectively. The first is larger than the second. The effects of 1 won of supply shortage in oil refinery industry on other industries are computed to be 0.9657 won and 1.4476 won for Korea and Japan, respectively, and thus the former is smaller than the latter. Finally, the pervasive effects of 10% price change in oil refinery industry are estimated to be 0.3819% and 0.3409% in Korea and Japan, respectively, and thus the first is larger than the second.

    The Spillover Effects of Fluctuations in Apartment Sales Prices in the Capital Region (수도권 아파트 매매가격 변동의 확산효과)

    • Jeong, Jun Ho
      • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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      • v.25 no.1
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      • pp.147-170
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      • 2022
    • This article analyzes the spillover effects by dividing the weekly rate of return on apartment prices in 70 si-gun-gu (local area) in the Capital Region into three periods: the entire period (April 2008~August 2021); the period before the price surge (April 2008~October 2018); and the period of price surge (November, 2018~August 2021), based on a consideration of the cycle of fluctuations in apartment sales prices and the timing of the current government's policy interventions. The results obtained from this analysis are summarized as follows. First, the analysis of the spillover effects is similar to or different from the results of existing work depending on the period. The analysis of the spillover effects on the entire period and the period before the price surge shows that the 'Gangnam' effect exists in the apartment market in the Capital Region. On the other hand, the analysis of the spillover effects on the period of price surge reveals different results than before. The spillover effect index calculated through the analysis of the rolling sample decreases during the decline in the cycle of apartment sales prices, while the opposite trend is shown during the upward period. Looking at the timing between the peak of the spillover effect index and policy interventions, it appears that the government's policy interventions took place after the peak of the spillover effect index in 2017, before the peak in 2018 and 2019, and around or after the peak after 2020.

    Analysis on Economic Ripple Effects of the Korean Water Industry (물 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

    • Lee, Yoon;Kim, Jong Ho;Cho, Young Jun
      • Journal of Environmental Policy
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      • v.10 no.3
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      • pp.49-71
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      • 2011
    • Water is an essential element required for the survival of 6 billion human beings around the world, and it has limited mobility. The importance of water industry has grown considerably, as its forecasted market size is expected to increase from $336 billion in 2007 to $865 billion in 2025, respectively. In 2003, the domestic water market was estimated to be worth 11 trillion won. However, according to the estimates of this research, the result above was overestimated by 2 trillion won. The economic ripple effects of newly defined water industry based on the input-output data from 2000 to 2008 were trivial, as the price effects of water industry was considerably minor at only 0.12%. To successfully implement policies to enhance the water industry, the market price mechanism must operate and function properly. Nevertheless, the impact of water's market prices on the economy upon application is projected to be trivial.

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    A Comparative Study on Economic Effect of life insurance and indemnity insurance Industry (생명보험산업과 손해보험산업의 경제적 파급효과 비교 분석)

    • Jung, Kun-Oh;Lim, Eung-Soon
      • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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      • v.12 no.2
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      • pp.646-652
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      • 2011
    • The interest in personal health is now growing around the world. Accordingly, the insurance industry which is closely related to personal health is becoming more important. Insurance industry can be divided into to main stream, life insurance and indemnity insurance. This study attempts to compare the economic impacts of the life insurance industry and indemnity insurance industry using an inter-industry analysis. The study investigates production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect, employ-inducing effect, sectoral price effect using Exogenous specification. The results show that indemnity insurance industry induces production-inducing effect of 2.7 won, value-added-inducing effects of 1.6 won, employ-inducing effect of 26.9 person, sectoral price effects is 2.0%. On the other hand, life insurance industry induces production-inducing effect of 1.6 won, value-added-inducing effects of 1.0 won, employ-inducing effect of 16.5 person, sectoral price effects is 1.2%. Overall, indemnity inducements has higher economic impacts than life insurance.

    Price and Volatility Spillovers in MENA Stock Market (중동지역주식시장의 가격및변동성이전효과분석)

    • Lee, Hahn Shik
      • International Area Studies Review
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      • v.14 no.3
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      • pp.3-33
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      • 2010
    • While new evidence on international spillover effects has been widely discussed around the globe, the MENA (Middle East and North African) region has received little attention concerning international transmission of stock market movements. In this paper, we discuss international spillover effects between the major developed markets (US, Japan and Germany) and the emerging markets in the MENA region (Turkey and Egypt). While GARCH-type models have mainly been used to investigate international stock market spillovers in much of previous studies, we develop new testing strategies based on discrete wavelet decomposition. The basic finding is that price as well as volatility spillover effects exist from the developed stock markets to the MENA counterparts, although evidence for price spillover to the Egyptian market is rather weak. As for the interdependence of the major MENA stock markets, no spillover effects are found between these markets, while the two MENA markets are somewhat related with each other.

    An Analysis of Interfuel Substitution of Energy Demand in Korean Manufacturing (한국 제조업부문의 연료용 에너지원간의 대체성 분석)

    • Park, Changsuh;Na, In-Gang
      • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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      • v.13 no.4
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      • pp.593-619
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      • 2004
    • This study analyzes the interfuel substitution of energy demand in Korean manufacturing sector using static and dynamic linear logit models. For the period of 1981~2002, this study uses petroleum, electricity, natural gas and coal as energy sources. According to the empirical results, firstly, the own-price elasticity of coal has been increased steadily even though its elasticity is smallest compared with those of other energy sources. On the other hand, price elasticity of natural gas is largest, but its value has been decreased after 1997. Price elasticities of petroleum and electricity are very stable over the sample period. One of the main features in trends of interfuel substitution is as follows. Substitution effect of a change in price of natural gas on both petroleum and coal has been increased especially after 1997. The implication of the empirical results is summarized as follows: First, the fact of inelastic own-price elasticity of petroleum implies that the dependency of Korean manufacturing sector on petroleum and coal will be persistent even in a sharp fluctuation of petroleum price. Second, the effects of price increase in natural gas on demand for petroleum and coal are very significant. Thus, price decline of natural gas rather than price declines of coal and petroleum could be more effective as an energy price policy for the reduction of $CO_2$ emission. The assessment on this implication will remain for future researches.

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    A Study on the Dynamic Purchase Response Function for Fashion Goods (패션제품의 동태적 구매반응함수에 관한 연구)

    • Lee, Min Ho;Kwak, Young Sik;Hwang, Sun-Jin
      • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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      • v.64 no.2
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      • pp.35-49
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      • 2014
    • In cases of fashion businesses operating by consignment, base estimate on quantity of sales is the most essential part of merchandising. This study classified factors influential to sales into factors with systematic influence and factors with unsystematic influence. In order to find out influence of each factor on sales, non-linear regression was used with SPSS package on the basis of actual data on sales for 5 years for sport shoes brand. Major findings of this study are as follows. First, price level had significant negative(-) influence on sales. Second, price expectation effects had significant negative(-) influence on sales. Third, competitor's price effect showed significant negative(-) value. Fourth, day-of-the-week effect showed significant positive(+) effect. The theoretical marketing implications of this study are as follows. First, study on price leads to expansion of the researches from apparels to sport shoes. Field of study on price was enlarged through expansion of variable of study from price level and price expectation effect to promotion, day-of-the-week effect and rainfall effect. Second, quantitative scale of day-of-the-week effect was found and it could be confirmed that there was seasonal differences with day-of-the-week effect. Implications of above findings on marketing managers are as follows. First, it was found that an increase in competitiveness of brand power and a decline in absolute value of competitor's price effect can be realized when new product groups are developed to meet the unsatisfied needs in the market. Second, it was possible to find out the parameters scales of the price response function, making it possible to estimate sales for the next season, and in turn realize increase in rate of sales and profit rate. This research is based on the dynamic price response function, which is rare to find in the apparel business and it academic significance due to its expanding response model which was focused on price in conventional researches to non-systematic variables.

    Stock Price Predictability of Financial Ratios and Macroeconomic Variables: A Regulatory Perspective

    • Kwag, Seung Woog;Kim, Yong Seog
      • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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      • v.12 no.4
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      • pp.406-415
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      • 2013
    • The present study examines a set of financial ratios in predicting the up or down movements of stock prices in the context of a securities law, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOA), controlling for macroeconomic variables. Using the logistic regression with proxy betas to alleviate the incompatibility problem between the firm-specific financial ratios and macroeconomic indicators, we report evidence that financial ratios are meaningful predictors of stock price changes, which subdue the influence of macroeconomic indicators on stock returns, and more importantly that the SOA truly improves the stock price predictability of financial ratios for the markup sample. The empirical results further suggest that industry and time effects exist and that for the markdown sample the SOA actually deteriorates the predictive power of financial ratios.


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