• Title/Summary/Keyword: premiums

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Estimation of Crude Oil Price Dynamics and Option Valuation (원유가격의 동태성 추정과 옵션가치 산정)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.943-964
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    • 2005
  • This study estimated a wide range of stochastic process models using the frameworks of CKLS (1992) and Nowman and Wang (2001). For empirical analysis, the GMM estimation procedure is adopted for the monthly Brent crude oil prices from January 1996 to January 2005. Using the simulated price series, European call option premiums were calculated and compared each other. The empirical results suggest that the crude oil price has a strong dependency of volatility on the price level. Contrary to the results of previous related studies, it shows a weak tendency of mean reversion. In addition, the models provide different implications for pricing derivatives on crude oil.

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The Information Content of Option Prices: Evidence from S&P 500 Index Options

  • Ren, Chenghan;Choi, Byungwook
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2015
  • This study addresses the question as to whether the option prices have useful predictive information on the direction of stock markets by investigating a forecasting power of volatility curvatures and skewness premiums implicit in S&P 500 index option prices traded in Chicago Board Options Exchange. We begin by estimating implied volatility functions and risk neutral price densities every minute based on non-parametric method and then calculate volatility curvature and skewness premium using them. The rationale is that high volatility curvature or high skewness premium often leads to strong bullish sentiment among market participants. We found that the rate of return on the signal following trading strategy was significantly higher than that on the intraday buy-and-hold strategy, which indicates that the S&P500 index option prices have a strong forecasting power on the direction of stock index market. Another major finding is that the information contents of S&P 500 index option prices disappear within one minute, and so one minute-delayed signal following trading strategy would not lead to any excess return compared to a simple buy-and-hold strategy.

Consumer Willingness to Pay Price Premium for Certified Wood Products in South Korea

  • Cha, Junhee;Chun, Jung-Nam;YOUN, Yeo-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.2
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2009
  • The study was conducted to examine consumers' awareness and perceptions on forest certification and their willingness to buy and pay price premium for certified wood products especially for selected four wood products. A total of 136 residents in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province were interviewed in the autumn of 2008. Although only 24.3 percent of the consumers are aware of forest certification, 82.4 percent of the respondents recognized the need and significance of forest certification. In general, 77.2 percent of the respondents were willing to buy certified wood products. Majority of the respondents, 84 out of 136 respondents (61.8%) expressed their willingness to pay (WTP) from more than 0 percent to less than 10 percent. Consumers' average WTP for certified wood products was estimated to be 5.6 percent. From the results of the study, lower priced wood products, such as copier paper (WTP=9.8%) and wood frame (WTP=11.6%), have higher price premiums than high priced products, such as wood table (WTP=6.8%) and wood flooring (WTP=7.6%). In conclusion, there could be feasible markets for certified wood products in South Korea as four out of five consumer are willing to pay more for such products. For the forest certification system to be adopted and widely accepted, the perceptions of forest stakeholders including consumers should be further increased.

Probabilistic estimation of seismic economic losses of portal-like precast industrial buildings

  • Demartino, Cristoforo;Vanzi, Ivo;Monti, Giorgio
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.323-335
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    • 2017
  • A simplified framework for the probabilistic estimation of economic losses induced by the structural vulnerability in single-story and single-bay precast industrial buildings is presented. The simplifications introduced in the framework are oriented to the definition of an expeditious procedure adoptable by government agencies and insurance companies for preliminary risk assessment. The economic losses are evaluated considering seismic hazard, structural response, damage resulting from the structural vulnerability and only structural-vulnerability-induced e]conomic losses, i.e., structural repair or reconstruction costs (stock and flow costs) and content losses induced by structural collapse. The uncertainties associated with each step are accounted for via Monte Carlo simulations. The estimation results in a probabilistic description of the seismic risk of portal-like industrial buildings, expressed in terms of economic losses for each occurrence (i.e., seismic event) that owners (i.e., insured) and stakeholders can use to make risk management decisions. The outcome may also be useful for the definition of the insurance premiums and the evaluation of the risks and costs for the owner corresponding to the insurance industrial costs. A prototype of a precast concrete industrial building located in Mirandola, Italy, hit by the 2012 Emilia earthquake, is used as an example of the application of the procedure.

The Pricing of Accruals Quality with Expected Returns: Vector Autoregression Return Decomposition Approach

  • YIM, Sang-Giun
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study reexamines the test on the pricing of accruals quality. Theory suggests that information risk is a priced risk factor. Using accruals quality as the proxy for information risk, researchers have tested the pricing of information risk. The results are inconsistent potentially because of the information shock in the realized returns that are used as the proxy for expected returns. Based on this argument, this study revisits this issue excluding information-shock-free measure of expected returns. Research design, data and methodology: This study estimates expected returns using the vector autoregression model. This method extracts information shocks more thoroughly than the methods in prior studies; therefore, the concern regarding information shock is minimized. As risk premiums are larger in recession periods than in expansion periods, recession and expansion subsamples were used to confirm the robustness of the main findings. For the pricing test, this study uses two-stage cross-sectional regression. Results: Empirical results find evidence that accruals quality is a priced risk factor. Furthermore, this study finds that the pricing of accruals quality is observed only in recession periods. Conclusions: This study supports the argument that accruals quality, as well as the pricing of information risk, is a priced risk factor.

A Comparative Study of Solvency Margin Regulation System : Focusing on Non-Life Insurance (지급여력제도의 국제적 정합성 연구 - 손해보험을 중심으로 -)

  • Jung, Hong-Joo;Nam, Sang-Wook;Park, Heung-Chan;Lee, Jae-Seok
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.17
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    • pp.93-125
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    • 2002
  • This paper aims to find a reasonable solvency margin system in non-life insurance industry and also to evaluate the appropriateness of the current solvency margin regulation system in Korea. The current solvency margin system in Korea, based on EU's solvency margin model, was introduced during the 1997 financial crisis. The solvency requirement is not based on non-life insurer's risk, but simply on written premiums. The current solvency margin for general insurance, such as fire, marine, and automobile insurance, is determined by the greater between a premium-based amount and a claim-based amount, where the premium-based solvency margin is calculated by multiplying the net written premium for the preceding year by the premium based solvency margin ratio. Also, the amount of solvency margin for long term insurance is set at 4% of the policy reserve of the long term insurance. Still, there exist many differences between the current solvency margin regulation system in Korea and EU's model. This paper focuses on the rationality of the solvency margin regulation system, and compares the current system in Korea with EU's model and the RBC(Risk Based Capital) system in U.S. and Japan. Finally, this paper suggests a more specific and reasonable solvency margin system to be developed in Korea.

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Prospects and Situations of the U.S. Organic Agriculture (미국 유기농업의 추진동향과 전망)

  • Kim, Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 2004
  • U.S. organic farming has grown rapidly-20 percent or more annually-throughout the 1990s, which kept pace with consumer demand for organically produced food. Thus certified organic acreage is the total to 235 million acres in 48 state in 2001, and SO the U.S. ranked fourth in land area managed under organic farming systems. And according to several surveys, consumer's reasons for purchasing organic food are health and nutrition, taste and environmental concerns. California and North Dakota were the top two states in 2001 for certified organic cropland; the former with mostly fruits and vegetables, and the latter with wheat, soybeans, and other crops. And the top two states for certified organic pasture were Colorado and Texas. And then several states such as Iowa and Minnesota have begun subsidizing conversion to organic farming systems as a way to capture the environmental benefits of these systems. The price of organic produce fluctuates rather broadly because of being traded by market economy principle and of demand-supply disequilibrium. Nevertheless, average price premiums for organic produce are higher than the prices for the produce under conventional farming. Future prospects for U.S. organic farming are as follows; Demand for organically grown foods is expected to continue growing at a rapid pace, as more growers convert to organic production and more processors and distributors expand organic selections in their product lines. And new processed products and new types of healthy foods are likely to appear on the market, and some new organic products will be aimed at mainstream markets.

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The Nutrition Assessment and Care for the Elderly in Japan

  • Sugiyama, Michiko;Nishimura, Akio;Koyama, Hideo
    • Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.12-26
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    • 2000
  • In Japan, a new nursing insurance system was enforced in April 2000, where premiums were paid according to the level of necessary care. Our project, Nutrition Care and Management(NCM) for the elderly was started in 1995, funded by the Ministry of Health and Welfare of Japan. The NCM project was to provide appropriate nutrition care for the elderly and to see that it effectively functions as part of the health care services. There were 4 stages to the project : the first stage was to find out the PEM status among the elderly patients in hospital and home-care settings in Japan. The 2nd stage was to develop and evaluate nutritional assessment methods, anthropometry, resting energy expenditure measuring methods using of portable indirect calorimeter, and the convenient protein energy intake assessment methods, etc. for the elderly patients with PEM risk. The 3rd stage was to examine the effectiveness of the nutrition care plan induced of protein energy supplement and team care in improving nutrition among the elderly patients. The last stage was to develop the NCM set for the elderly patient based on the past three years of scientific evidence. it is expected that the NCM system for the elderly will provide adequate nutritional care management, improve the elderly care environment and create effective resource management.

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What Factors Cause a Complete Examination of Infant Health Checkup? (영유아 건강검진 완전수검 여부 관련 요인)

  • Kang, Seungjin;Chung, Woojin;Kim, Heejin;Lee, Sunmi
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2014
  • Background: This study examined what factors affected a complete examination of infant health checkup. Methods: We used Korean national health insurance claim data of 2,936,650 infants, taking examination in 2012. These claim data included enrollment status of householders and records of infant health checkup from 2008 to 2013. Results: Our results shows that for infant characteristics, the likelihood of complete examination of infant health checkup is significantly lower in female, older aged, and handicapped ones. For householder characteristics, the likelihood of complete examination of infant health checkup is also significantly lower in female, older group and self-employed ones. For household characteristics, the likelihood of complete examination is also significantly lower in single-parent families, multi-cultural families, parent with unexperienced health checkup and lower monthly premiums. Conclusion: It is necessary to support an additional use-guide and follow-up management services to improve incomplete examination of infant health checkup.

Green Building Design Strategies for Multiplex Housing

  • Park, Won Ho;Ahn, Yong Han;Choi, Young-Oh
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Energy saving in the built facilities is getting important due to energy crisis. The Korea government has been implemented several energy and green building policies and practices. The both of government and industry also developed green building strategies ant technologies to reduce energy consumption and carbon emission. The purpose of this research is to identify applicable green building strategies and technologies for that can be cost effective and applicable to a multiplex house. Method: This research identified appropriate green building strategies from analysing green building strategies from G-SEED certified apartment projects and popular green building strategies. This study also adopted a survey research method to find out the applicable green building strategies for a multiplex housing. In addition, this research also conduct cost estimating to identify initial cost premium of green building strategies. Results: The research outcomes in this study guide a building owner to know about initial cost premiums of green building strategies and technologies and an architect and contractor to identify appropriate and cost effective green building strategies that can be applicable to a multiplex house.