• 제목/요약/키워드: predictive tools

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다중현상 유동 해석 및 설계를 위한 융복합 프레임웍 개발 (DEVELOPMENT OF A HYBRID CFD FRAMEDWORK FOR MULTI-PHENOMENA FLOW ANALYSIS AND DESIGN)

  • 허남건
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2010년 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 2010
  • Recently, the rapid evolution of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) has enabled its key role in industries and predictive sciences. From diverse research disciplines, however, are there strong needs for integrated analytical tools for multi-phenomena beyond simple flow simulation. Based on the concurrent simulation of multi-dynamics, multi-phenomena beyond simple flow simulation. Based on the concurrent simulation of multi-dynamics, multi-physics and multi-scale phenomena, the multi-phenomena CFD technology enables us to perform the flow simulation for integrated and complex systems. From the multi-phenomena CFD analysis, the high-precision analytical and predictive capacity can enhance the fast development of industrial technologies. It is also expected to further enhance the applicability of the simulation technique to medical and bio technology, new and renewable energy, nanotechnology, and scientific computing, among others.

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The Relationship Between Financial Condition and Business Cycle in Mongolia

  • Doojav, Gan-Ochir;Purevdorj, Munkhbayar
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the interactions between financial conditions and business cycles in Mongolia, a small open economy, heavily depending on commodity exports. We construct two financial conditions indexes based on the reduced form IS model and the vector autoregression (VAR) model as surveillance tools to quantify the degree of the financial conditions. We find that real short-term interest rate and real effective exchange rate gap get a higher weight in the FCIs. Both business and financial cycles are often more pronounced in Mongolia, and financial condition is dependent of the financial and monetary policies in place. The analysis of the predictive power of the FCIs for business cycles shows that they have predictive information for the near-term economic activities. FCIs are also helpful in signaling inflation turning points.

기업의 전자증거개시 대응을 위한 예측 부호화(Predictive Coding) 도구 적용 방안 (A Study on Application of Predictive Coding Tool for Enterprise E-Discovery)

  • 유준상;임진희
    • 정보관리학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.125-157
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    • 2016
  • 해외에 진출한 국내기업의 소송 사례가 증가하면서 기업들의 전자증거개시제도의 대응에 대한 요구가 증가하고 있다. 영미법에서 유래된 제도인 전자증거개시제도는 절차 진행과정에서 여러 곳에 산재해 있는 전자적 정보들을 중 제한된 시간 내에 소송과 관련된 전자적 정보들을 찾아 증거자료로 검토하여 제출하는 제도이다. 이는 하루에도 수많은 전자기록이 생산되는 국내기업들의 기록관리가 잘 이루어지지 않고 있는 현실에서 제한된 시간 이내에 증거자료를 추리고 검토하여 제출하는 것은 쉽지 않은 일이다. 검토대상을 줄이고 검토과정을 효율적으로 진행하는 것은 소송에서 승소를 위한 가장 중요한 과제 중 하나이다. Predictive Coding은 전자증거개시 검토 과정에서 사용되는 도구로써 기계학습을 이용하여 기업들이 보유하고 있는 전자적 정보들의 검토를 도와주는 도구이다. Predictive Coding이 기존의 검색도구보다 효율성이 높고 잠재적으로 소송과 관련된 전자적 정보를 추려내는데 강점이 있다고 판단된다. 기업의 효율적인 검색도구의 선택과 지속적인 기록관리를 통해 검토비용의 시간적, 비용적 절감을 꾀할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다. 따라서 기업은 전자증거개시 제도에 대응하기 위해서 시간과 비용적 측면을 고려한 전문적인 Predictive Coding 솔루션의 도입과 기업 기록관리를 통해 가장 효과적인 방법을 모색해야 할 것이다.

저장온도에 따른 마른김(Pyropia pseudolinearis)의 Bacillus cereus 성장예측모델 개발 (Predictive Growth Models of Bacillus cereus on Dried Laver Pyropia pseudolinearis as Function of Storage Temperature)

  • 최만석;김지윤;전은비;박신영
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제53권5호
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    • pp.699-706
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    • 2020
  • Predictive models in food microbiology are used for predicting microbial growth or death rates using mathematical and statistical tools considering the intrinsic and extrinsic factors of food. This study developed predictive growth models for Bacillus cereus on dried laver Pyropia pseudolinearis stored at different temperatures (5, 10, 15, 20, and 25℃). Primary models developed for specific growth rate (SGR), lag time (LT), and maximum population density (MPD) indicated a good fit (R2≥0.98) with the Gompertz equation. The SGR values were 0.03, 0.08, and 0.12, and the LT values were 12.64, 4.01, and 2.17 h, at the storage temperatures of 15, 20, and 25℃, respectively. Secondary models for the same parameters were determined via nonlinear regression as follows: SGR=0.0228-0.0069*T1+0.0005*T12; LT=113.0685-9.6256*T1+0.2079*T12; MPD=1.6630+0.4284*T1-0.0080*T12 (where T1 is the storage temperature). The appropriateness of the secondary models was validated using statistical indices, such as mean squared error (MSE<0.01), bias factor (0.99≤Bf≤1.07), and accuracy factor (1.01≤Af≤1.14). External validation was performed at three random temperatures, and the results were consistent with each other. Thus, these models may be useful for predicting the growth of B. cereus on dried laver.

급성기 신경계 환자에서 낙상 위험 사정 도구의 신뢰도 및 타당도 비교 (Comparison of the Reliability and Validity of Fall Risk Assessment Tools in Patients with Acute Neurological Disorders)

  • 김성렬;유성희;신용순;전지윤;김준우;강수정;최혜숙;이혜림;안영희
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The aim of the study was to identify the most appropriate fall-risk assessment tool for neurological patients in an acute care setting. Methods: This descriptive study compared the reliability and validity of three fall-risk assessment tools (Morse Fall Scale, MFS; St Thomas's Risk Assessment Tool in Falling Elderly Inpatients, STRATIFY; Hendrich II Fall Risk Model, HFRM II). We assessed patients who were admitted to the Department of Neurology, Neurosurgery, and Rehabilitation at Asan Medical Center between July 1 and October 31, 2011, using a constructive questionnaire including general and clinical characteristics, and each item from the three tools. We analyzed inter-rater reliability with the kappa value, and the sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the three tools. Results: The analysis included 1,026 patients, and 32 falls occurred during this study. Inter-rater reliability was above 80% in all three tools. and the sensitivity was 50.0% (MFS), 84.4%(STRATIFY), and 59.4%(HFRM II). The AUC of the STRATIFY was 82.8. However, when the cutoff point was regulated as not 50 but 40 points, the AUC of the MFS was higher at 83.7. Conclusion: These results suggest that the STRATIFY may be the best tool for predicting falls for acute neurological patients.

Systems Biology and Emerging Technologies Will Catalyze the Transition from Reactive Medicine to Predictive, Personalized, Preventive and Participatory (P4) Medicine

  • Galas, David J.;Hood, Leroy
    • Interdisciplinary Bio Central
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.6.1-6.4
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    • 2009
  • We stand at the brink of a fundamental change in how medicine will be practiced. Over the next 5-20 years medicine will move from being largely reactive to being predictive, personalized, preventive and participatory (P4). Technology and new scientific strategies have always been the drivers of revolutions and this is certainly the case for P4 medicine, where a systems approach to disease, new and emerging technologies and powerful computational tools will open new windows for the investigation of disease. Systems approaches are driving the emergence of fascinating new technologies that will permit billions of measurements on each individual patient. The challenge for health information technology will be how to reduce this enormous amount of data to simple hypotheses about health and disease. We predict that emerging technologies, together with the systems approaches to diagnosis, therapy and prevention will lead to a down turn in the escalating costs of healthcare. In time we will be able to export P4 medicine to the developing world and it will become the foundation of global medicine. The "democratization" of healthcare will come from P4 medicine. Its first real emergence will require the unprecedented integration of biology, medicine, technology and computation. as well as societal issues of major importance: ethical, regulatory, public policy, economic, and others. In order to effectively move the P4 scientific agenda forward new strategic partnerships are now being created with the large-scale integration of complementary skills, technologies, computational tools, patient records and samples and analysis of societal issues. It is evident that the business plans of every sector of the healthcare industry will need to be entirely transformed over the next 10 years.and the extent to which this will be done by existing companies as opposed to newly created companies is a fascinating question.

Soft computing-based slope stability assessment: A comparative study

  • Kaveh, A.;Hamze-Ziabari, S.M.;Bakhshpoori, T.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2018
  • Analysis of slope stability failures, as one of the complex natural hazards, is one of the important research issues in the field of civil engineering. Present paper adopts and investigates four soft computing-based techniques for this problem: Patient Rule-Induction Method (PRIM), M5' algorithm, Group Method of data Handling (GMDH) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS). A comprehensive database consisting of 168 case histories is used to calibrate and test the developed models. Six predictive variables including slope height, slope angle, bulk density, cohesion, angle of internal friction, and pore water pressure ratio were considered to generate new models. The results of test studies are used for feasibility, effectiveness and practicality comparison of techniques with each other, and with the other available well-known methods in the literature. Results show that all methods not only are feasible but also result in better performance than previously developed soft computing based predictive models and tools. It is shown that M5' and PRIM algorithms are the most effective and practical prediction models.

Evaluation of Three Pork Quality Prediction Tools Across a 48 Hours Postmortem Period

  • Morel, P.C.H.;Camden, B.J.;Purchas, R.W.;Janz, J.A.M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.266-272
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    • 2006
  • Numerous reports have evaluated the predictive ability of carcass probes for meat quality using measurements taken early postmortem or near 24 h. The intervening time period, however, has been largely ignored. In this study, the capacity of three probes [pH, electrical conductivity (EC), and grading probe light reflectance (GP)] to predict pork longissimus muscle quality (drip and cooking losses, Warner-Bratzler shear, $L^*$, n = 30) was evaluated at 45 min, 90 min, 3, 6, 12, 24, and 48 h postmortem. The strongest relationships were observed between cooking loss and 6 h EC and GP ($R^2$ = 0.66, 0.72), and $L^*$ and GP ($R^2$ = 0.57-0.66, 12-48 h). pH was most valuable early postmortem ($R^2$ = 0.63, 90 min with cooking loss). GP at 6 h most effectively ($R^2$ = 0.84) predicted a two factor (cooking loss+$L^*$) meat quality index. Results emphasize the predictive value of measures taken between 3 and 12 h postmortem.

Prediction of compressive strength of concrete using multiple regression model

  • Chore, H.S.;Shelke, N.L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.837-851
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    • 2013
  • In construction industry, strength is a primary criterion in selecting a concrete for a particular application. The concrete used for construction gains strength over a long period of time after pouring the concrete. The characteristic strength of concrete is defined as the compressive strength of a sample that has been aged for 28 days. Neither waiting for 28 days for such a test would serve the rapidity of construction, nor would neglecting it serve the quality control process on concrete in large construction sites. Therefore, rapid and reliable prediction of the strength of concrete would be of great significance. On this backdrop, the method is proposed to establish a predictive relationship between properties and proportions of ingredients of concrete, compaction factor, weight of concrete cubes and strength of concrete whereby the strength of concrete can be predicted at early age. Multiple regression analysis was carried out for predicting the compressive strength of concrete containing Portland Pozolana cement using statistical analysis for the concrete data obtained from the experimental work done in this study. The multiple linear regression models yielded fairly good correlation coefficient for the prediction of compressive strength for 7, 28 and 40 days curing. The results indicate that the proposed regression models are effectively capable of evaluating the compressive strength of the concrete containing Portaland Pozolana Cement. The derived formulas are very simple, straightforward and provide an effective analysis tool accessible to practicing engineers.

Metaheuristic-hybridized multilayer perceptron in slope stability analysis

  • Ye, Xinyu;Moayedi, Hossein;Khari, Mahdy;Foong, Loke Kok
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.263-275
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    • 2020
  • This research is dedicated to slope stability analysis using novel intelligent models. By coupling a neural network with spotted hyena optimizer (SHO), salp swarm algorithm (SSA), shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA), and league champion optimization algorithm (LCA) metaheuristic algorithms, four predictive ensembles are built for predicting the factor of safety (FOS) of a single-layer cohesive soil slope. The data used to develop the ensembles are provided from a vast finite element analysis. After creating the proposed models, it was observed that the best population size for the SHO, SSA, SFLA, and LCA is 300, 400, 400, and 200, respectively. Evaluation of the results showed that the combination of metaheuristic and neural approaches offers capable tools for estimating the FOS. However, the SSA (error = 0.3532 and correlation = 0.9937), emerged as the most reliable optimizer, followed by LCA (error = 0.5430 and correlation = 0.9843), SFLA (error = 0.8176 and correlation = 0.9645), and SHO (error = 2.0887 and correlation = 0.8614). Due to the high accuracy of the SSA in properly adjusting the computational parameters of the neural network, the corresponding FOS predictive formula is presented to be used as a fast yet accurate substitution for traditional methods.