• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction technique

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Accurate Prediction of Polymorphic Indirect Branch Target (간접 분기의 타형태 타겟 주소의 정확한 예측)

  • 백경호;김은성
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2004
  • Modern processors achieve high performance exploiting avaliable Instruction Level Parallelism(ILP) by using speculative technique such as branch prediction. Traditionally, branch direction can be predicted at very high accuracy by 2-level predictor, and branch target address is predicted by Branch Target Buffer(BTB). Except for indirect branch, each of the branch has the unique target, so its prediction is very accurate via BTB. But because indirect branch has dynamically polymorphic target, indirect branch target prediction is very difficult. In general, the technique of branch direction prediction is applied to indirect branch target prediction, and much better accuracy than traditional BTB is obtained for indirect branch. We present a new indirect branch target prediction scheme which combines a indirect branch instruction with its data dependent register of the instruction executed earlier than the branch. The result of SPEC benchmark simulation which are obtained on SimpleScalar simulator shows that the proposed predictor obtains the most perfect prediction accuracy than any other existing scheme.

Investigation of pressure-volume-temperature relationship by ultrasonic technique and its application for the quality prediction of injection molded parts

  • Kim Jung Gon;Kim Hyungsu;Kim Han Soo;Lee Jae Wook
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2004
  • In this study, an ultrasonic technique was employed to obtain pressure-volume-temperature (PVT) rela­tionship of polymer melt by measuring ultrasonic velocities under various temperatures and pressures. The proposed technique was applied to on-line monitoring of injection molding process as an attempt to predict quality of molded parts. From the comparison based on Tait equation, it was confirmed that the PVT behav­ior of a polymer is well described by the variation of ultrasonic velocities measured within the polymer medium. In addition, the changes in part weight and moduli were successfully predicted by combining the data collected from ultrasonic technique and artificial neural network algorithm. The results found from this study suggest that the proposed technique can be effectively utilized to monitor the evolution of solid­ification within the mold by measuring ultrasonic responses of various polymers during injection molding process. Such data are expected to provide a critical basis for the accurate prediction of final performance of molded parts.

Management Automation Technique for Maintaining Performance of Machine Learning-Based Power Grid Condition Prediction Model (기계학습 기반 전력망 상태예측 모델 성능 유지관리 자동화 기법)

  • Lee, Haesung;Lee, Byunsung;Moon, Sangun;Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Heysun
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.413-418
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    • 2020
  • It is necessary to manage the prediction accuracy of the machine learning model to prevent the decrease in the performance of the grid network condition prediction model due to overfitting of the initial training data and to continuously utilize the prediction model in the field by maintaining the prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose an automation technique for maintaining the performance of the model, which increases the accuracy and reliability of the prediction model by considering the characteristics of the power grid state data that constantly changes due to various factors, and enables quality maintenance at a level applicable to the field. The proposed technique modeled a series of tasks for maintaining the performance of the power grid condition prediction model through the application of the workflow management technology in the form of a workflow, and then automated it to make the work more efficient. In addition, the reliability of the performance result is secured by evaluating the performance of the prediction model taking into account both the degree of change in the statistical characteristics of the data and the level of generalization of the prediction, which has not been attempted in the existing technology. Through this, the accuracy of the prediction model is maintained at a certain level, and further new development of predictive models with excellent performance is possible. As a result, the proposed technique not only solves the problem of performance degradation of the predictive model, but also improves the field utilization of the condition prediction model in a complex power grid system.

Prediction by Edge Detection Technique for Lossless Multi-resolution Image Compression (경계선 정보를 이용한 다중 해상도 무손질 영상 압축을 위한 예측기법)

  • Kim, Tae-Hwa;Lee, Yun-Jin;Wei, Young-Chul
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.170-176
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    • 2010
  • Prediction is an important step in high-performance lossless data compression. In this paper, we propose a novel lossless image coding algorithm to increase prediction accuracy which can display low-resolution images quickly with a multi-resolution image technique. At each resolution, we use pixels of the previous resolution image to estimate current pixel values. For each pixel, we determine its estimated value by considering horizontal, vertical, diagonal edge information and average, weighted-average information obtained from its neighborhood pixels. In the experiment, we show that our method obtains better prediction than JPEG-LS or HINT.

A Deformation Prediction of the Embankment on the Soft Clayey Foundation - A Case Study of the Sea Dike of Koheung Bay - (점성토지반에 축조한 제방의 변형추정 -고흥만 방수제 사례연구를 중심으로-)

  • 오재화;이문수
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 1998
  • This paper aims at developing the prediction technique of the deformation for the embankment such as sea dike and shore protection relevant to reclamation project along the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula. Generally total deformation of a sea dike over clayey foundation are composed of immediate settlement, plastic deformation and consolidation settlement. Plastic deformation occurs when the ultimate bearing capacity is less than overburden pressure containing the stress increment due to the construction of an embankment. The reliable prediction of total settlement is very important since deformed final geometry of sea dike is directly connected for analysing the safety of the long-term slope failure and piping. During this study, plastic deformation, major part of deformation was analysed using the program developed by authors, whereas immediate settlement and consolidation settlement were predicted by Mochinaka and Sena's method and Terzaghi's 1-dimensional theory of consolidation respectively. In order to validate the prediction technique for the deformation, a case study of Koheung Bay reclamation works was carried out. A good agreement was obtained between observation and prediction, which means the applicability of the technique.

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A Novel Parameter Initialization Technique for the Stock Price Movement Prediction Model

  • Nguyen-Thi, Thu;Yoon, Seokhoon
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.132-139
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    • 2019
  • We address the problem about forecasting the direction of stock price movement in the Korea market. Recently, the deep neural network is popularly applied in this area of research. In deep neural network systems, proper parameter initialization reduces training time and improves the performance of the model. Therefore, in our study, we propose a novel parameter initialization technique and apply this technique for the stock price movement prediction model. Specifically, we design a framework which consists of two models: a base model and a main prediction model. The base model constructed with LSTM is trained by using the large data which is generated by a large amount of the stock data to achieve optimal parameters. The main prediction model with the same architecture as the base model uses the optimal parameter initialization. Thus, the main prediction model is trained by only using the data of the given stock. Moreover, the stock price movements can be affected by other related information in the stock market. For this reason, we conducted our research with two types of inputs. The first type is the stock features, and the second type is a combination of the stock features and the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) features. Empirical results conducted on the top five stocks in the KOSPI list in terms of market capitalization indicate that our approaches achieve better predictive accuracy and F1-score comparing to other baseline models.

Hybrid Preference Prediction Technique Using Weighting based Data Reliability for Collaborative Filtering Recommendation System (협업 필터링 추천 시스템을 위한 데이터 신뢰도 기반 가중치를 이용한 하이브리드 선호도 예측 기법)

  • Lee, O-Joun;Baek, Yeong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2014
  • Collaborative filtering recommendation creates similar item subset or similar user subset based on user preference about items and predict user preference to particular item by using them. Thus, if preference matrix has low density, reliability of recommendation will be sharply decreased. To solve these problems we suggest Hybrid Preference Prediction Technique Using Weighting based Data Reliability. Preference prediction is carried out by creating similar item subset and similar user subset and predicting user preference by each subset and merging each predictive value by weighting point applying model condition. According to this technique, we can increase accuracy of user preference prediction and implement recommendation system which can provide highly reliable recommendation when density of preference matrix is low. Efficiency of this system is verified by Mean Absolute Error. Proposed technique shows average 21.7% improvement than Hao Ji's technique when preference matrix sparsity is more than 84% through experiment.

A Preliminary Study of Enhanced Predictability of Non-Parametric Geostatistical Simulation through History Matching Technique (히스토리매칭 기법을 이용한 비모수 지구통계 모사 예측성능 향상 예비연구)

  • Jeong, Jina;Paudyal, Pradeep;Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2012
  • In the present study, an enhanced subsurface prediction algorithm based on a non-parametric geostatistical model and a history matching technique through Gibbs sampler is developed and the iterative prediction improvement procedure is proposed. The developed model is applied to a simple two-dimensional synthetic case where domain is composed of three different hydrogeologic media with $500m{\times}40m$ scale. In the application, it is assumed that there are 4 independent pumping tests performed at different vertical interval and the history curves are acquired through numerical modeling. With two hypothetical borehole information and pumping test data, the proposed prediction model is applied iteratively and continuous improvements of the predictions with reduced uncertainties of the media distribution are observed. From the results and the qualitative/quantitative analysis, it is concluded that the proposed model is good for the subsurface prediction improvements where the history data is available as a supportive information. Once the proposed model be a matured technique, it is believed that the model can be applied to many groundwater, geothermal, gas and oil problems with conventional fluid flow simulators. However, the overall development is still in its preliminary step and further considerations needs to be incorporated to be a viable and practical prediction technique including multi-dimensional verifications, global optimization, etc. which have not been resolved in the present study.

A Study on the Noise Prediction of Railway passing through elevated concrete bridege (철도통과 구조에 따른 철도 연변 소음 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jun-Ho;Lee, Duck-Hee;Jung, Woo-Sung;Shin, Min-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.1367-1372
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    • 2000
  • Recently, many new constructuion and large scale modification of railway are performed for cost down of goods delivery charge and effective transportation in various aspect. Although railway traffic is environmentally frendly in many part but weak in noise and vibration problem. For the reduction and efficient management of railway noise, first of all prediction of railway noise is necessarily requisted. In domestic and abroad many studies for prediction of railway nearby noise are done. In this study simple modelling technique is investigated for railway noise prediction when railway passes above elevated concrete bridge as well as ground. Predicted results are compared with measured results and it is known that suggested modelling technique can be used for more precise prediction of railway nearby noise.

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Genetic Programming Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Temperature Prediction (유전 프로그래밍 기반 단기 기온 예보의 보정 기법)

  • Hyeon, Byeong-Yong;Hyun, Soo-Hwan;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Ki-Sung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.11
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    • pp.1682-1688
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.