• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction path

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Modeling of Effective Path-Length in Satellite Link Based on Rain Cell Statistics (위성 링크에 대한 강우셀 기반 실효 경로 길이 모델링 연구)

  • Kang, Woo-Geun;Kim, Myunghoi;Kim, In-Kyum;Choi, Kyung-Soo;Lee, Byoung-Sun;Pack, Jeong-Ki
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.348-356
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    • 2014
  • The existing effective path-length model of ITU-R has some drawbacks: The prediction error is quite large compared to domestic measurement data and it is an empirical model in which the physical characteristics of rain cells are not considered. In this paper, a theoretical model for effective path-length using the rain-cell concept was proposed and its validity was verified using the measurement data. To analyze the statistical characteristics of rain cell parameters, the weather-radar data(CAPPI) measured by Korea Meterological Administration were analyzed and the correction factor was properly introduced to fit the Chollian beacon measurement data of ETRI(Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute). To verify the proposed effective path-length model, it was compared with the Mugunghwa No. 5 beacon data measured in Chungnam National University with the support of ADD(Agency for Defense Development). It was confirmed that the prediction results of the proposed model are in good agreement with the measurement data.

In-Flight and Numerical Drag Prediction of a Small Electric Aerial Vehicle (비행시험과 전산해석을 통한 소형무인기 항력 예측)

  • Jin, Won-Jin;Lee, Yung-Gyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the procedure of drag prediction for EAV-1, based on a numerical analysis correlated to an in-flight test. EAV-1, developed by Korea Aerospace Research Institute, is a small-sized UAV to test a hydrogen-fuel cell power system. The long-endurance test flight of 4.5 hours provides numerous in-flight data. The thrust and drag of EAV-1 during the flight test are estimated based on the wind-tunnel test results for EAV-1's propeller performance. In addition, the CFD analysis using a commercial Navier-Stokes code is carried out for the full-scale EAV-1. The computational result suggests that the initial CFD analysis substantially under-predicts the in-flight drag in that the discrepancy is up to 27.6%. Therefore, additional investigation for more accurate drag prediction is performed; the effect of propeller slipstream is included in the CFD analysis through "fan disk" modelling. Also, the additional drag from airplane trim and load factor that actually exists during the flight test in a circular path is considered. These supplemental analyses for drag prediction turn out to be effective since the drag discrepancy reduces to 2.3%.

A Prediction Model for Internet Game Addiction in Adolescents: Using a Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석기법을 이용한 청소년의 인터넷게임 중독 영향 요인 예측 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Ki-Sook;Kim, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.378-388
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study was designed to build a theoretical frame to provide practical help to prevent and manage adolescent internet game addiction by developing a prediction model through a comprehensive analysis of related factors. Methods: The participants were 1,318 students studying in elementary, middle, and high schools in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, Korea. Collected data were analyzed using the SPSS program. Decision Tree Analysis using the Clementine program was applied to build an optimum and significant prediction model to predict internet game addiction related to various factors, especially parent related factors. Results: From the data analyses, the prediction model for factors related to internet game addiction presented with 5 pathways. Causative factors included gender, type of school, siblings, economic status, religion, time spent alone, gaming place, payment to Internet cafe$\acute{e}$, frequency, duration, parent's ability to use internet, occupation (mother), trust (father), expectations regarding adolescent's study (mother), supervising (both parents), rearing attitude (both parents). Conclusion: The results suggest preventive and managerial nursing programs for specific groups by path. Use of this predictive model can expand the role of school nurses, not only in counseling addicted adolescents but also, in developing and carrying out programs with parents and approaching adolescents individually through databases and computer programming.

Development of tool-life prediction program to determine the optimal machining conditions in mold machining (금형 가공 시 최적 가공조건을 결정하기 위한 공구수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Soon-Ok Park;Min-Hak Kim;Sun-Kyung Lee;Sung-Taek Jung
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2023
  • Recently, with the emergence of the 4th industrial revolution, the demand for smart factories and factory automation is increasing. In this study, a tool life prediction program was developed to select optimal machining conditions using CNC milling equipment, which is widely used in flexible production and automation. The equipment used in the experiment was Hwacheon Machine Tool's 5-axis machining equipment, and the tool used was a 17F2R tool. For the machining path, the down-milling cutting method was selected and long-term machining was performed. The analysis standard for side wear on the tool was set at 0.1 to 0.2 mm, and tool life data and wear data were obtained in the cutting experiment. The program was created through the data obtained from the experiment, and a prediction rate of over 90% was secured when comparing the experimental data and the predicted data.

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Precision Analysis of the STOMP(FW) Algorithm According to the Spatial Conceptual Hierarchy (공간 개념 계층에 따른 STOMP(FW) 알고리즘의 정확도 분석)

  • Lee, Yon-Sik;Kim, Young-Ja;Park, Sung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.5015-5022
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    • 2010
  • Most of the existing pattern mining techniques are capable of searching patterns according to the continuous change of the spatial information of an object but there is no constraint on the spatial information that must be included in the extracted pattern. Thus, the existing techniques are not applicable to the optimal path search between specific nodes or path prediction considering the nodes that a moving object is required to round during a unit time. In this paper, the precision of the path search according to the spatial hierarchy is analyzed using the Spatial-Temporal Optimal Moving Pattern(with Frequency & Weight) (STOPM(FW)) algorithm which searches for the optimal moving path by considering the most frequent pattern and other weighted factors such as time and cost. The result of analysis shows that the database retrieval time is minimized through the reduction of retrieval range applying with the spatial constraints. Also, the optimal moving pattern is efficiently obtained by considering whether the moving pattern is included in each hierarchical spatial scope of the spatial hierarchy or not.

Predicting the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values

  • Togashi, Kenji;Adachi, Kazunori;Kurogi, Kazuhito;Yasumori, Takanori;Watanabe, Toshio;Toda, Shohei;Matsubara, Satoshi;Hirohama, Kiyohide;Takahashi, Tsutomu;Matsuo, Shoichi
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.804-813
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    • 2022
  • Objective: A formula is needed that is practical for current livestock breeding methods and that predicts the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs (sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters). The formula widely used to predict inbreeding neglects selection, we need to develop a new formula that can be applied with or without selection. Methods: The core of the prediction is to incorporate the long-tern genetic influence of the selected parents in four-selection paths executed as sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters. The rate of inbreeding was computed as the magnitude that is proportional to the sum of squared long-term genetic contributions of the parents of four-selection paths to the selected offspring. Results: We developed a formula to predict the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values and with discrete generations. The new formula can be applied with or without selection. Neglecting the effects of selection led to underestimation of the rate of inbreeding by 40% to 45%. Conclusion: The formula we developed here would be highly useful as a practical method for predicting the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs.

A LONGITUDINAL STUDY ON PREDICTION OF ERUPTIVE PATH AND IMPACTION OF MAXILLARY CANINE (상악견치(上顎犬齒)의 맹출로예측(萌出路豫測) 및 매복(埋伏)에 관(關)한 누년적(累年的) 연구(硏究))

  • Son, Tae-Won;Lee, Dong-Joo
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 1992
  • To predict eruptive path of maxillary canine, 13 male and 11 female malocclusions were longitudinally studied for 4 years. And to study frequency and distribution of impaction of maxillary canine, 1500 malocclusions were studied. The path, velocity and duration of maxillary canine eruption were determined by periodic angular and linear measurement using periodic orthopantomograms and cephalograms. The following results were obtained. 1. Maxillary canine was erupted with $14.5^{\circ}$ distal tipping from initial stage $98.1^{\circ}$ to final stage $83.6^{\circ}$ of axial inclination on orthopantomogram. 2. Eruptive velocity of maxillary canine was fastest on stage 4, and mean eruptive velocity was 10.5mm per year on stage 4. 3. Eruption of maxillary canine was completed 12 year 5 months in male and 11 years 8 months in female. 4. To predict the duration for eruption completion by position of maxillary canine on cephalogram, regression equation was obtained. 5. Frequency of impaction of maxillary canine was 1.47% in malocclusion and more frequent in male. Distribution of buccal and palatal, right and left impaction was no different, but unilateral impaction was more frequent.

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Evaluation of Formability on Hydroformed Part for Automobile Based on Finite Element Analysis (유한요소해석에 의한 자동차용 관재액압성형 부품의 성형성 평가)

  • Song, Woo-Jin;Heo, Seong-Chan;Ku, Tae-Wan;Kim, Jeong;Kang, Beom-Soo
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2008
  • Tube hydroforming process is generally consisted with pre-bending, preforming and hydroforming processes. Among forming defects which may occur in tube hydroforming such as buckling, wrinkling and bursting, the wrinkling and bursting by local instability under excessive tensile stress mode were mainly caused by thinning phenomenon in the manufacturing process. Thus the accurate prediction and suitable evaluation of the thinning phenomenon play an important role in designing and producing the successfully hydroformed parts without any failures. In this work, the formability on hydroformed part for automobile, i.e. engine cradle, was evaluated using finite element analysis. The initial tube radius, loading path with axial feeding force and internal pressure, and preformed configuration after preforming process were considered as the dominant process parameters in total tube hydroforming process. The effects on these process parameters could be confirmed through the numerical experiments with respect to several kinds of finite element simulation conditions. The degree of enhancement on formability with each process parameters such as initial tube radius, loading path and preform configuration were also compared. Therefore, it is noted that the evaluation approach of the formability on hydroformed parts for lots of industrial fields proposed in this study will provide one of feasible methods to satisfy the increasing practical demands for the improvement of the formability in tube hydroforming processes.

A Study of Indoor Radio Wave Propagation using 3D Ray Tracing Method (3차원 광선추적(Ray tracing)법을 이용한 실내 전파(傳播)특성 분석)

  • Chae, Gyoo-Soo;Lim, Joong-Soo
    • Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we present the investigation results using a 3D radio wave propagation simulator in indoor environments. Previous studies treat only the path loss between the transmitter and receiver in 2D geometry. We provide the simulation results of indoor propagation prediction based on various ITU-R Recommendations. Simulation results compared here indicate that 150MHz and 2GHz frequency bands give quite different characteristics in presented indoor geometry. Since the field intensity is affected by the loss at the wall, the transmitting power level is one of the key factor for receiving power.

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Extending Technology Acceptance Model with Social Influence on Korean College Students' Social Commerce Context (한국 대학생의 소셜 커머스 이용행태 연구: 사회적 영향력으로 확장한 기술수용모형을 중심으로)

  • Joo, Jihyuk
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2015
  • The social commerce is an innovative and emerging transaction. It is the result of combination with transaction and social media technology. This study analyzes Korean college students' social commerce behavior through extending technology acceptance model(TAM) with social influence(SI). We confirmed all proposed hypotheses are significant and supported by the given data through PLS path modeling method with SmartPLS. It indicates that SI is an important factor influencing intention to use, so SI should be consider for theorists to enhance explanation and prediction of TAM and for practitioners to earn higher performances as well. Finally, based on the findings, suggestions for future studies are discussed.