• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction of temperature

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A Study on Development of Strength Prediction Model for Construction Field by Maturity Method (적산온도 기법을 활용한 건설생산현장에서의 강도예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Moo-Han;Nam, Jae-Hyun;Khil, Bae-Su;Choi, Se-Jin;Jang, Jong-Ho;Kang, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to develope the strength prediction model by Maturity Method. A maturity function is a mathematical expression to account for the combined effects of time and temperature on the strength development of a cementious mixture. The method of equivalent ages is to use Arrhenius equation which indicates the influence of curing temperature on the initial hydration ratio of cement. For the experimental factors of this study, we selected the concrete mixing of W/C ratio 45, 50, 55 and 60% and curing temperature 5, 10, 20 and $30^{\circ}C$. And we compare and evaluate with logistic model that is existing strength prediction model, because we have to verify adaption possibility of new strength prediction model which is proposed by maturity method. As the results, it is found that investigation of the activation energy that are used to calculate equivalent age is necessary, and new strength prediction model was proved to be more accurate in the strength prediction than logistic model in the early age. Moreover, the use of new model was more reasonable because it has low SSE and high decisive factor.

Electric Power Demand Prediction Using Deep Learning Model with Temperature Data (기온 데이터를 반영한 전력수요 예측 딥러닝 모델)

  • Yoon, Hyoup-Sang;Jeong, Seok-Bong
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2022
  • Recently, researches using deep learning-based models are being actively conducted to replace statistical-based time series forecast techniques to predict electric power demand. The result of analyzing the researches shows that the performance of the LSTM-based prediction model is acceptable, but it is not sufficient for long-term regional-wide power demand prediction. In this paper, we propose a WaveNet deep learning model to predict electric power demand 24-hour-ahead with temperature data in order to achieve the prediction accuracy better than MAPE value of 2% which statistical-based time series forecast techniques can present. First of all, we illustrate a delated causal one-dimensional convolutional neural network architecture of WaveNet and the preprocessing mechanism of the input data of electric power demand and temperature. Second, we present the training process and walk forward validation with the modified WaveNet. The performance comparison results show that the prediction model with temperature data achieves MAPE value of 1.33%, which is better than MAPE Value (2.33%) of the same model without temperature data.

FE-based Strip Mean Temperature Prediction On-Line Model in Hot Strip Finishing Mill by using Dimensional Analysis (차원해석을 통한 열간 사상압연중 온도해석모델 개발)

  • 이중형;곽우진;황상무
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.176-179
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    • 2003
  • The mean temperature prediction of strip is very important in hot strip finishing mill because of affecting on product quality and shape. Also, temperature can be used by basic information in other on-line control models with affecting control accuracy in factory. So, FE based on-line temperature model was developed for predicting strip mean temperature accurately in various process conditions and factory environments. There are many variables in affecting strip mean temperature in on-line states of factory. But some problems are occurred in considering all variables for making temperature model because of the bad efficiency of regression or fitting analysis. In this report, we have adopted dimensional analysis for solving these problems. We have many variables with dimensions affecting strip temperature but we are able to make non-dimensional variables less than dimensional variables from the combination of dimensional variables caused by PI-Theorem in fluid mechanics. The developed models are divided by two parts. The one is interstand temperature prediction model. The other is roll gap temperature model.

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Evaluation on the Creep Life Prediction Using Initial Strain Method (초기 연신율법을 이용한 크리프 수명예측 평가)

  • Kong, Yu-Sik;Lim, Man-Bae;Lee, Sang-Pill;Yoon, Han-Ki;Oh, Sae-Kyoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1069-1076
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    • 2002
  • The high temperature creep behavior of heat machine systems such as aircraft engines, boilers and turbines in power plants and nuclear reactor components have been considered as an important and needful fact. There are considerable research results available for the design of high temperature tube materials in power plants. However, few studies on the Initial Strain Method (ISM) capable of securing repair, maintenance, cost loss and life loss have been made. In this method, 3 long time prediction Of high temperature creep characteristics can be dramatically induced through a short time experiment. The purpose of present study is to investigate the high temperature creep lift of Udimet 720, SCM 440-STD61 and 1Cr-0.5Mo steel using the ISM. The creep test was performed at 40$0^{\circ}C$ to $700^{\circ}C$ under a pure loading. In the prediction of creep life for each materials, the equation of ISM was superior of Larson-Miller Parameter(LMP). Especially, the long time prediction of creep life was identified to improve the reliability.

Bias Correction for Aircraft Temperature Observation Part I: Analysis of Temperature Bias Characteristics by Comparison with Sonde Observation (항공기 온도 관측 자료의 편향 보정 Part I: 존데와 비교를 통한 온도 편향 특성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hui-nae;Kang, Jeon-ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.357-367
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the temperature bias of aircraft observation was estimated through comparison with sonde observation prior to developing the temperature bias correction method at the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). First, we tried to compare aircraft temperature with collocated sonde observations at 0000 UTC on June 22, 2012. However, it was difficult to estimate the temperature bias due to the lack of samples and the uncertainty of the sonde position at high altitudes. Second, we attempted a background innovation comparison for sonde and aircraft using KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP). The one month averaged background innovation shows the aircraft temperature have a warm bias against sonde for all levels. In particular, there is a globally distinct warm bias about 0.4 K between 200 hPa and 300 hPa corresponding to flight level. Spatially, most of the areas showed the warm bias except for below 300 hPa in some part of China at 0000 and 1200 UTC and below 850 hPa in Australia at 0000 UTC. In general, the temperature bias was larger at 1200 UTC than 0000 UTC. Based on the estimated temperature bias, we have applied the static bias correction method to the aircraft temperature observation. As a result, the warm bias of the aircraft temperature has decreased at most levels, but a slight cold bias has occurred in some areas.

Water-Temperature Prediction of Streams Entering into Imha Reservoir using Multi-Regnssion Method (다중회귀분석을 이용한 임하호 유입하천의 수온예측)

  • Yi, Yong-Kon;Lee, Sanguk;Koh, Deuk Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.919-925
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    • 2006
  • The regression models for the water temperatures of Ban Byeon Stream and Yong Jeon stream were developed using multi-regression method. It was also investigated that the applicability of the stream temperature prediction to two-dimensional numerical simulation to predict the vertical water temperature in Imha Reservoir. Air temperature and dew point as independent variables were selected to be applicable to cases with the different variation of flow rates. The data division of water temperature using a cutoff flow rate of $20m^3/s$ was found to reduce the prediction error of the stream temperature. The mean absolute percent error of the numerical simulation results of the vertical water temperature in Imha Reservoir using the regression models was 11%, which was only 4.3% lager than the simulation result using the measured stream temperature. Therefore, the regression models of the stream temperatures using multi-regression method applied in this study could be applied to predict the vertical water temperature in Imha Reservoir with a good accuracy.

A Study on Prediction of Temperature and Humidity for Estimation of Cooling Load (냉방부하 추정을 위한 온도와 습도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Lee, Je-Myo;Han, Kyou-Hyun;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.394-402
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    • 2007
  • To estimate the cooling load for the following day, outdoor temperature and humidity are needed in hourly base. But the meteorological administration forecasts only maximum and minimum temperature. New methodology is proposed for predicting hourly outdoor temperature and humidity by using the forecasted maximum and minimum temperature. The correlations for normalized outdoor temperature and specific humidity has been derived from the weather data for five years from 2001 to 2005 at Seoul, Daejeon and Pusan. The correlations for normalized temperature are independent of date, while the correlations for specific humidity are linearly dependent on date. The predicted results show fairly good agreement with the measured data. The prediction program is also developed for hourly outdoor dry bulb temperature, specific humidity, dew point, relative humidity, enthalpy and specific volume.

Aerodynamic Heating Analysis of Supersonic Missile Body and Fin (초음속 유도탄 동체와 날개의 공력가열 해석)

  • Kang, Kyoung-Tai
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2008
  • Missile operating at supersonic conditions experiences considerable high temperature environments that is caused by aerodynamic heating as a result of the temperature gradient through boundary layer that surrounds it. This is one of important problems to the designer due to temperature limitation of structural materials. Because prediction of aerodynamic heating on missile needs unsteady calculation according to a flight trajectory, approximate method approach is efficient at design stage. In this paper, improved aerodynamic heating analysis scheme is introduced, which calculates heat flow and temperature by simple pressure field prediction on a missile body and fin. The prediction results are compared with measured data and MINIVER codes results.

Development of Solid State Relay(SSR) Life Prediction Device for Glass Forming Machine (유리 성형기의 무접점릴레이(SSR) 수명 예측장치 개발)

  • Yang, Sung-Kyu;Kim, Gab-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents the design and manufacture of a Solid State Relay (SSR) life prediction device that can predict the lifetime of an SSR, which is a key component of a glass forming machine. The lifetime of an SSR is over when the current supplied to the relay is overcurrent (20 A or higher), and the operating time is 100,000 h or longer. Therefore, the life prediction device for the SSR was designed using DSP to accurately read the current and temperature values from the current and temperature sensors, respectively. The characteristic test of the manufactured non-contact relay life prediction device confirmed that the current and temperature were safely measured. Thus, the SSR lifetime prediction device developed in this study can be used to predict the lifetime of an SSR attached to a glass forming machine.