• 전자공학회논문지
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• 제52권11호
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• pp.66-78
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• 2015

바이오컴퓨팅 기술이 발전함에 따라 DNA 정보를 매개물로 한 DNA 워터마킹에 대한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 DNA 정보는 일반 멀티미디어 데이터와는 달리 생물학적으로 중요한 정보이므로, 원본 DNA가 복원이 되는 가역성 DNA 워터마킹 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 최소자승 (Least square) 예측오차 확장 (prediction error expansion) 기반으로 비부호 DNA 서열의 가역성 워터마킹 기법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법에서는 비부호 영역의 4-문자 염기서열들을 인접한 개 염기에 의한 정수형 부호계수로 변환한다. 그리고 현재 부호계수에 대한 최소자승 예측 오차를 구한 다음, 예측오차 확장 조건에 따라 결정된 비트수만큼 예측오차를 확장한다. 이때 은닉된 인접 염기서열 간의 비교탐색을 통하여 허위개시코돈 생성을 방지한다. 실험 결과로부터 제안한 예측오차 확장 방법이 기존 방법과 평균 예측오차 확장 방법보다 높은 워터마크 용량을 가지며, 생물학적 변이 및 허위개시코돈이 발생되지 않음을 확인하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.9-23
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• 1988

The classicla theory of statistical calibration assumes that the standard measurement is exact. From a realistic point of view, however, this assumption needs to be relaxed so that more meaningful calibration procedures may be developed. This paper presents a model which explicitly considers errors in both standard and nonstandard measurements. Under the assumption that replicated observations are available in the calibration experiment, three estimation techniques (ordinary least squares, grouping least squares, and maximum likelihood estimation) combined with two prediction methods (direct and inverse prediction) are compared in terms of the asymptotic mean square error of prediction.

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2008년도 하계종합학술대회
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• pp.1085-1086
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• 2008

An error prediction system (EPS) for a power distribution system can predict an out-of-order state based on gathered data from the system. This paper describes a software structure of an EPS that is equipped with various sensors. The software analyzes the gathered data from sensors and predict error symptoms using statistical methods. The EPS system is installed on a real power distribution system.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제43권4호
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• pp.369-378
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• 2018

Purpose: The aim of this study was to construct a saponin content-predicting model using shortwave infrared imaging spectroscopy. Methods: The experiment used a shortwave imaging spectrometer and ENVI spectral acquisition software sampling a spectrum of 910 nm-2500 nm. The corresponding preprocessing and mathematical modeling analysis was performed by Unscrambler 9.7 software to establish a ginsenoside nondestructive spectral testing prediction model. Results: The optimal preprocessing method was determined to be a standard normal variable transformation combined with the second-order differential method. The coefficient of determination, $R^2$, of the mathematical model established by the partial least squares method was found to be 0.9999, while the root mean squared error of prediction, RMSEP, was found to be 0.0043, and root mean squared error of calibration, RMSEC, was 0.0041. The residuals of the majority of the samples used for the prediction were between ${\pm}1$. Conclusion: The experiment showed that the predicted model featured a high correlation with real values and a good prediction result, such that this technique can be appropriately applied for the nondestructive testing of ginseng quality.

• 한국공간구조학회논문집
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.87-94
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• 2023

Chloride is one of the most common threats to reinforced concrete (RC) durability. Alkaline environment of concrete makes a passive layer on the surface of reinforcement bars that prevents the bar from corrosion. However, when the chloride concentration amount at the reinforcement bar reaches a certain level, deterioration of the passive protection layer occurs, causing corrosion and ultimately reducing the structure's safety and durability. Therefore, understanding the chloride diffusion and its prediction are important to evaluate the safety and durability of RC structure. In this study, the chloride diffusion coefficient is predicted by machine learning techniques. Various machine learning techniques such as multiple linear regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, artificial neural networks, extreme gradient boosting annd k-nearest neighbor were used and accuracy of there models were compared. In order to evaluate the accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were used as prediction performance indices. The k-fold cross-validation procedure was used to estimate the performance of machine learning models when making predictions on data not used during training. Grid search was applied to hyperparameter optimization. It has been shown from numerical simulation that ensemble learning methods such as random forest and extreme gradient boosting successfully predicted the chloride diffusion coefficient and artificial neural networks also provided accurate result.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제52권1호
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• pp.13-18
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• 2010

In this study the validities of runoff prediction methods are reviewed around ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) techniques. The improvements of runoff predictions on Yongdam river basin are evaluated by the comparison of different prediction methods including ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks provided by meteorological agency as well as the runoff forecasting based on the analysis of the historical rainfall scenarios. As a result it is assessed that runoff predictions with ESP may give rise to more accurate results than the ordinary historical average runoffs. In deed the latter gave the mean of yearly absolute error as to be 60.86 MCM while the errors of the former ones amounted to 44.12 MCM (ESP) and 42.83 MCM (ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks) respectively. In addition it is confirmed that ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks could improve the accuracy of the results more and more. Especially the degree of improvement of ESP with meteorological outlooks shows rising by 10.8% in flood season and 8% in drought season. Therefore the methods of runoff predictions with ESP can be further used as the basic forecasting information tool for the purpose of the effective watershed management.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제28권B호
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• pp.91-99
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• 2008

Applicability of existing methods of predicting consolidation settlement was assessed by analyzing results of centrifuge tests modelling self-weight consolidation of soft marine clay. From extensive literature review about self-weight consolidation of soft marine clays located in southern coast in Korea, constitutive relationships of void ratio-effective stress-permeability and typical self-weight consolidation curves with time were obtained by centrifuge model experiments. For the condition of surcharge loading, exact solution of consolidation settlement curve was obtained by Terzaghi's consolidation theory and was compared with the results predicted by currently available methods such as Hyperbolic method, Asaoka's method, Hoshino's method and ${\sqrt{S}}$ method. All methods were found to have their own inherent error to predict final consolidation settlement. From results of analyzing the self-weight consolidation with time by using those methods, Asaoka's method predicted the best. Hyperbolic method predicted relatively well in error range of 2~24% for the case of showing the linearity in the relationship between T vs T/S in the stage of consolidation degree of 60~90 %. For the case of relation curve of T vs $T/S^2$ showing the lineality after the middle stage, error range from Hoshino method was close to those from Hyperbolic method. However, Hoshino method is not able to predict the final settlement in the case of relation curve of T vs $T/S^2$ being horizontal. For the given data about self-weight consolidation after the middle stage, relation curve of T vs T/S from ${\sqrt{S}}$ method shows the better linearity than that of T vs $T/{\sqrt{s}}$ from Hyperbolic method.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제55권spc1호
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• pp.1295-1303
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• 2022

안정적인 수도 공급을 위한 상수도관망의 역할이 더욱 주목받음에 따라 비정상 상황에 대한 신속한 탐지와 적절한 대처 역시 중요시되고 있다. 장치에 의존한 탐지기법 등 기존의 방법론에는 한계가 존재하므로 데이터를 이용한 모델 기반의 방법이 개발되었다. 하지만 상수도관망 내 측정 데이터는 불확실성을 가져 실제 사용량과 다르다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기계학습 방법의 하나인 인공신경망 모델을 이용하여 상수도관망 압력값을 예측함에 있어 데이터 불확실성의 영향을 조사한다. 정규분포를 따르는 임의의 값을 고려하여 데이터에 측정치 오류를 형성하고 측정치 오류 여부 및 종류에 따라 총 9가지 데이터를 인공신경망 모델을 통해 예측해 경향성을 비교한다. 분석을 통해 데이터 불확실성이 증가할수록 모델 성능이 감소하며, 출력데이터의 측정치 오류가 모델 성능에 미치는 정도가 더 큼을 확인하였다. 특히 입력데이터와 출력데이터의 측정 오차 크기가 동일한 경우 예측 정확도는 각각 72.25%, 38.61%로 큰 차이를 보였다. 따라서 ANN 모델 예측 성능 향상을 위해서는 입력 데이터보다 출력데이터인 주절점의 측정 오류 크기를 줄이는 것이 중요하다.

• 동력기계공학회지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.45-51
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• 2015

Grade 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems such as a very high temperature reactor (VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is very important to determine an allowable design stress of elevated temperature structural component. In this study, a large body of creep rupture data was collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: Larson-Miller (L-M), Manson-Haferd (M-H) and Wilshire methods. The results for each method was compared using the standard deviation of error. The L-M method was overestimated in the longer time of a low stress. The Wilshire method was superior agreement in the long-term life prediction to the L-M and M-H methods.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.109-123
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• 2008

많은 소지역 추정량이 제안되었으며, 국내외에서 소지역 추정에 관한 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 또한 소지역 추정량의 특성과 우수성을 비교하기위한 비교통계량도 연구되고 있다. 기존의 소지역 추정량은 MSE(Mean square error)를 최소화하여 얻어지며, 이에 따라 추정량의 우수성도 MSE를 기준으로 판단하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 최근 새롭게 재조명 되고 있는 MSPE(Mean square percentage error)를 최소화하는 추정량을 제안하였다. 신기일 등 (2007)에서 사용된 비교통계량과 MSE 그리고 MSPB를 이용하여 제안된 추정량과 기존의 소지역 추정량을 비교하였다.