• 산업기술연구
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• 제28권B호
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• pp.199-207
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• 2008

A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.268-273
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• 2008

A linear wind prediction program, WAsP, was employed to predict wind speed at two different sites located in complex terrain in South Korea. The reference data obtained at locations more than 7 kilometers away from the prediction sites were used for prediction. The predictions from the linear model were compared with the measured data at the two prediction sites. Two compensation methods such as a self-prediction error method and a delta ruggedness index (RIX) method were used to improve the wind speed prediction from WAsP and showed a good possibility. The wind speed prediction errors reached within 3.5 % with the self prediction error method, and within 10% with the delta RIX method. The self prediction error method can be used as a compensation method to reduce the wind speed prediction error in WAsP.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.52-59
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• 2008

The accuracy of the machine tools is degraded because of thermal error of structure due to thermal variation. To improve the accuracy of a machine tools, measurement and prediction of thermal error is very important. The main part of thermal source is spindle due to high speed with friction. The thermal error of spindle is very important because it is over 10% in total thermals errors. In this paper, the suitable thermal error prediction technology for machine tools with open architecture controller is developed and implemented to machine tools. Two thermal error prediction technologies, neural network and multi-linear regression, are investigated in several methods. The multi-linear regression method is more effective for implementation to CNC. The developed thermal error prediction technology is implemented on the internal function of CNC.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.27-43
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• 2005

This paper presents a new hybrid data mining technique using error pattern modeling to improve classification accuracy when the data type of a target variable is binary. The proposed method increases prediction accuracy by combining two different supervised learning methods. That is, the algorithm extracts a subset of training cases that are predicted inconsistently by both methods, and models error patterns from the cases. Based on the error pattern model, the Predictions of two different methods are merged to generate final prediction. The proposed method has been tested using practical 10 data sets. The analysis results show that the performance of proposed method is superior to the existing methods such as artificial neural networks and decision tree induction.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.146-154
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• 1995

By using simple Taylor expansion, we derive an easy bias-correction rule for the apparent prodiction error of the predictor defined by the general M-estimators with respect to an arbitrary measure of prediction error. Our method has a considerable computational advantage over the previous methods based on the resampling thchnique such as Cross-validaton and Boothtrap. Connections with AIC, Cross-Validation and Boothtrap are discussed too.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제25권6A호
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• pp.782-793
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• 2000

본 논문은 10GHz이상의 주파수 대역을 사용하는 위성 통신 링크에서 강우에 의해 감쇠된 신호 레벨을 동적으로 예측하기 위한 비교적 간단한 예측 기법을 제시한다. 예측 기법은 이산시간 저역 통과 필터링, 기울기에 근거한 예측, 평균 오차 보정, 고정 및 가변 혼합 예측 여유 할당의 4가지 기능 블록을 갖는다. Ku 대역의 측정 데이터로부터 주파수 스케일링에 의해 얻어진 Ka 대역 강우 감쇠 데이터를 이용하여 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 평균 오차 보정을 갖는 기울기 예측 기법은 1dB 이하의 표준 편차를 가지며, 평균 오차 보정에 의해 약 1.5~2.5 배의 예측 오차 감소를 보인다. 요구되는 평균 여유 면에서, 혼합 예측 여유 할당은 고정 여유 방법과 가변 여유 방법에 비해 더 적은 평균 여유를 요구한다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.255-264
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• 2008

공변량 값이 주어졌을 때 반응변수의 값을 예측하는 데에는 평균제곱오차를 최소로 하는 것을 고려하는 것이 보통이지만, 최근 Park과 Shin (2005), Jones 등 (2007) 등에서 평균제곱오차대신 평균제곱상대오차에 기반한 예측을 연구한바 있다. 이 논문에서는 Jones 등 (2007)의 방법을 대체할 새로운 비모수적 예측법을 제안하고, 제안된 방법의 유효성을 뒷받침하는 간단한 모의실험 결과를 제공한다.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.141-145
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• 2009

In this paper, we propose an efficient lossless compression algorithm using spatial and temporal information. The proposed method obtains higher lossless compression of images than other lossless compression techniques. It is divided into two parts, a motion adaptation based predictor part and a residual error coding part. The proposed nonlinear predictor can reduce prediction error by learning from its past prediction errors. The predictor decides the proper selection of the spatial and temporal prediction values according to each past prediction error. The reduced error is coded by existing context coding method. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has better performance than those of existing context modeling methods.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.1439-1448
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• 2022

Background: We investigated the feasibility of in vitro radiosensitivity prediction with gene expression using deep learning. Methods: A microarray gene expression of the National Cancer Institute-60 (NCI-60) panel was acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus. The clonogenic surviving fractions at an absorbed dose of 2 Gy (SF2) from previous publications were used to measure in vitro radiosensitivity. The radiosensitivity prediction model was based on the convolutional neural network. The 6-fold cross-validation (CV) was applied to train and validate the model. Then, the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was applied by using the large-errored samples as a validation set, to determine whether the error was from the high bias of the folded CV. The criteria for correct prediction were defined as an absolute error<0.01 or a relative error<10%. Results: Of the 174 triplicated samples of NCI-60, 171 samples were correctly predicted with the folded CV. Through an additional LOOCV, one more sample was correctly predicted, representing a prediction accuracy of 98.85% (172 out of 174 samples). The average relative error and absolute errors of 172 correctly predicted samples were 1.351±1.875% and 0.00596±0.00638, respectively. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility of a deep learning-based in vitro radiosensitivity prediction using gene expression.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.66-70
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• 1997

In this paper a new learning algorithm for curvature smoothing and improved generalization for multi-layer neural networks is proposed. To enhance the generalization ability a constraint term of hidden neuron activations is added to the conventional output error, which gives the curvature smoothing characteristics to multi-layer neural networks. When the total cost consisted of the output error and hidden error is minimized by gradient-descent methods, the additional descent term gives not only the Hebbian learning but also the synaptic weight decay. Therefore it incorporates error back-propagation, Hebbian, and weight decay, and additional computational requirements to the standard error back-propagation is negligible. From the computer simulation of the time series prediction with Santafe competition data it is shown that the proposed learning algorithm gives much better generalization performance.