• 제목/요약/키워드: prediction equations

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Prediction Model of Allowable Pile Depth, Duration of Flesh Fruit and Optimum Thickeness of Packaging Cushion (과실포장용(果實包裝用) 전충물(填充物)의 적정(適正)두께 예측(豫測)과 과실(果實)의 허용산적(許容山積)높이 및 산적기간(山積期間) 예측모형(豫測模型))

  • Kim, M.S.;Park, J.M.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.281-289
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    • 1991
  • During the storage and transport of fruits in the bulk state, significant damage by dead load may occur. To reduce such damage, the prediction model of allowable pile depth, duration and optimum thickness of packaging cushion for fruits was developed in this study. From the preliminary experiment and some assumptions, the derived equations were verified to be a good prediction of the above three parameters.

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A Suggestion for Carbonation Prediction Using Domestic Field Survey Data of Carbonation (국내 탄산화 실태자료를 이용한 탄산화 예측식의 제안)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun;Park, Sang-Sun;Nam, Sang-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2007
  • Among deteriorations of concrete due to environmental exposure, carbonation problems of concrete structures have increased in urban and underground structures. But conventional carbonation-prediction equations that were proposed by foreign references, can not be applied directly to the prediction of carbonation for domestic concrete structures. The purpose of this study is to propose a prediction equation of carbonation depth by considering domestic exposure conditions of concrete structures. For the derivation of the equation, conventional carbonation-prediction equations are analyzed. Through considering the relationship between results of prediction equation and those of various domestic field survey data, the so-called correction factors for different domestic exposure condition of concrete structures are derived. Finally, a carbonation-prediction equation of concrete structures under domestic exposure conditions is proposed with consideration for concrete strength in core and correction factors.

Establishment of a Prediction Table of Parturition Day with Ultrasonography in Small Pet Dogs (소형 애완견에서 초음파 검사에 의한 분만일 예시표의 확립)

  • Oh, Ki-Seok;Kim, Bang-Sil;Park, Sang-Guk;Park, Chul-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hong;Mun, Byeong-Gwon;Kim, Hee-Su;Lee, Ju-Hwan;Park, In-Chul;Kim, Jong-Taek;Suh, Guk-Hyun;Son, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Embryo Transfer
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2008
  • Serial ultrasonographic examinations were performed to establish a prediction table of parturition date in pregnant Maltese, Yorkshire Terrier, Shih-tzu and Miniature Schnauzer bitches. The inner chorionic cavity diameter and fetal head diameter in 45 pregnant bitches were converted retrospectively based on the day of parturition. The data of inner chorionic cavity diameter obtained from Day-44 to Day-25 and fetal head diameter obtained from Day-25 to Day-1 were used to compile a equations of prediction of parturition date. The 70 pregnant bitches with unknown mating time were examined to assess an accuracy of the equations established in this study. And these results were applied to the prediction of parturition date and compared to actual parturition date. The accuracy for parturition date within 0, $\pm$1, and $\pm$2 days interval using the equations of prediction of parturition date were 64.3%, 22.8% and 12.8%, respectively. The overall accuracy of prediction table of parturition day based on the ICCD and HD was 100% accurate within $\pm$2 days. Therefore, the prediction table seems to be a useful tool of the prediction of parturition day in practice.

Prediction of Carcass Composition Using Carcass Grading Traits in Hanwoo Steers

  • Lee, Jooyoung;Won, Seunggun;Lee, Jeongkoo;Kim, Jongbok
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.1215-1221
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    • 2016
  • The prediction of carcass composition in Hanwoo steers is very important for value-based marketing, and the improvement of prediction accuracy and precision can be achieved through the analyses of independent variables using a prediction equation with a sufficient dataset. The present study was conducted to develop a prediction equation for Hanwoo carcass composition for which data was collected from 7,907 Hanwoo steers raised at a private farm in Gangwon Province, South Korea, and slaughtered in the period between January 2009 and September 2014. Carcass traits such as carcass weight (CWT), back fat thickness (BFT), eye-muscle area (EMA), and marbling score (MAR) were used as independent variables for the development of a prediction equation for carcass composition, such as retail cut weight and percentage (RC, and %RC, respectively), trimmed fat weight and percentage (FAT, and %FAT, respectively), and separated bone weight and percentage (BONE, and %BONE), and its feasibility for practical use was evaluated using the estimated retail yield percentage (ELP) currently used in Korea. The equations were functions of all the variables, and the significance was estimated via stepwise regression analyses. Further, the model equations were verified by means of the residual standard deviation and the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) between the predicted and observed values. As the results of stepwise analyses, CWT was the most important single variable in the equation for RC and FAT, and BFT was the most important variable for the equation of %RC and %FAT. The precision and accuracy of three variable equation consisting CWT, BFT, and EMA were very similar to those of four variable equation that included all for independent variables (CWT, BFT, EMA, and MAR) in RC and FAT, while the three variable equations provided a more accurate prediction for %RC. Consequently, the three-variable equation might be more appropriate for practical use than the four-variable equation based on its easy and cost-effective measurement. However, a relatively high average difference for the ELP in absolute value implies a revision of the official equation may be required, although the current official equation for predicting RC with three variables is still valid.

Shear strength prediction for SFRC and UHPC beams using a Bayesian approach

  • Cho, Hae-Chang;Park, Min-Kook;Hwang, Jin-Ha;Kang, Won-Hee;Kim, Kang Su
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.74 no.4
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    • pp.503-514
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    • 2020
  • This study proposes prediction models for the shear strength of steel fiber reinforced concrete (SFRC) and ultra-high-performance fiber reinforced concrete (UHPC) beams using a Bayesian parameter estimation approach and a collected experimental database. Previous researchers had already proposed shear strength prediction models for SFRC and UHPC beams, but their performances were limited in terms of their prediction accuracies and the applicability to UHPC beams. Therefore, this study adopted a statistical approach based on a collected database to develop prediction models. In the database, 89 and 37 experimental data for SFRC and UHPC beams without stirrups were collected, respectively, and the proposed equations were developed using the Bayesian parameter estimation approach. The proposed models have a simplified form with important parameters, and in comparison to the existing prediction models, provide unbiased high prediction accuracy.

Free vibration analysis of moderately thick rectangular laminated composite plates with arbitrary boundary conditions

  • Naserian-Nik, A.M.;Tahani, M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.217-240
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    • 2010
  • A semi-analytical method is presented for accurately prediction of the free vibration behavior of generally laminated composite plates with arbitrary boundary conditions. The method employs the technique of separation of spatial variables within Hamilton's principle to obtain the equations of motion, including two systems of coupled ordinary homogeneous differential equations. Subsequently, by applying the laminate constitutive relations into the resulting equations two sets of coupled ordinary differential equations with constant coefficients, in terms of displacements, are achieved. The obtained differential equations are solved for the natural frequencies and corresponding mode shapes, with the use of the exact state-space approach. The formulation is exploited in the framework of the first-order shear deformation theory to incorporate the effects of transverse shear deformation and rotary inertia. The efficiency and accuracy of the present method are demonstrated by obtaining solutions to a wide range of problems and comparing them with finite element analysis and previously published results.

A Study on the Construction Vibrations Prediction of Bridge Structures using the Reliability Index (신뢰성 지수를 이용한 교량 구조물의 건설진동 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 박연수;우정하;전양배;김응록;김동현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.442-449
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    • 2003
  • This study presents a new analysis of blast vibration equations of a bridge structures using a reliability index. Changing the reliability makes each blast vibration equation. The blast equations are divided into three classes, having 50%, 90% and 99.9% at ${\beta}$=0, 1.28 and 3 respectively. In the result of this research, the assumption equations which used ${\beta}$=1.28 is suitable. By using these blast equations, it is possible for users to predict reliable ground vibration values upon demand.

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Prediction of Ultimate Scour Potentials in a Shallow Plunge Pool

  • Son, Kwang-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.6
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1995
  • A plunge pool is often employed as an energy-dissipating device at the end of a spillway or a pipe culvert. A jet from spillways or pipes frequently generates a scour hole which threaten the stability of the hydraulic structure. Existing scour prediction formulas of plunge pool of spillways or pipe culverts give a wide range of scour depths, and it is, therefore, difficult to accurately predict those scour depths. In this study, a new experimental method and new sour prediction formulas under submerged circular jet for large bed materials with shallow tailwater depths were developed. A major variable, which was not used in previous scour prediction equations, was the ratio of jet size to bed material size. In this study, jet momentum acting on a bed particle and jet diffustion theory were employed to derive scour prediction formulas. Four theoretical formulas were suggested for the two regions of jet diffusion, i.e., the region of flow establishment and the region of established flow. The semi-theoretically developed scour prediction formulas showed close agreement with laboratory experiments performed on movable bed made of large spherical particles.

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Fatigue Life Prediction by Elastic-Plastic Fracture mechanics for Surface Flaw Steel (표면결함재에 관한 탄소성 파괴역학에 의한 피로수명 예측)

  • Gang, Yong-Gu;Seo, Chang-Min;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.112-122
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    • 1995
  • In this work, prediction of fatigue life and fatigue crack growth are studied. 4th order polynominal function is presented to describe the crack growth behaviors from artifical pit of SM45C steel. Crack growth curves obtained from 4th order polyminal growth equations are in good agreement with experimental data The crack growth behaviors at arbitrary stress levels and investigated by the concept of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics using ${\Delta}J$. Fatigue life prediction are carried out by numerical integral method. Prediction lives obtained by proposed method in this study, is in good agreement with the experimental ones. Life prediction results calculated by using of ${\Delta}J$ better than those of ${\Delta}K$.

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A Study for Examination of Road Noise Prediction Results According to 3-d Noise Prediction Models and Input Parameters (3차원 소음예측모델 및 입력변수 변화에 따른 도로소음 예측결과 검토에 대한 연구)

  • Sun, Hyosung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 2014
  • The application of a 3-d noise prediction model is increasing as a tool for performing actual noise assessment in order to investigate the noise impact of the residential facility around a development region. However, because the appropriate plans of applying a 3-d noise prediction model is insufficient, it is important to secure the reliability of the noise prediction results generated by a 3-d noise prediction model. Therefore, this study is focused on examining a 3-d noise prediction model, and a prediction equation and input data in it. For this, the 3-d noise prediction models such as SoundPLAN, Cadna-A, IMMI is applied in road noise. After the contents of road noise equations, input data of road noise source, and input data of road noise barrier are understood, the road noise prediction results are compared and examined according to the variation of 3-d noise prediction model, road noise equation, and input data of road noise source and road noise barrier.