• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction equation.

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Advanced and Application of Onsite EEW Technology in Korea (국내에서의 지진현장경보 기술 고도화 및 적용)

  • Lee, Ho Jun;Jeon, Inchan;Seo, Jeong Beom;Lee, Jin Koo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.670-681
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to derive a PGV prediction equation and to enhance the application of the Onsite EEW technology which has developed through previous studies. Method: The prediction equation for the Onsite EEW derived from earthquake data M≥3.0 and MMI≥II over the past four years. Local seismic risk is estimated using M and PGV deduced from P wave properties. Result: The improved PGV prediction equation estimated the MMI with an average accuracy of 94.8% and the 𝜏c : Pd method also showed valid performance for alerting local seismic risks. Conclusion: Onsite EEW technology is successfully applied to Korea, and becomes to reduce the blind zone to about 14km.

Improvement of Long-term Creep Life Prediction Method of Gr. 91 steel for VHTR Pressure Vessel (초고온가스로 압력용기용 Gr. 91 강의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측 방법 개선)

  • Park, Jae-Young;Kim, Woo-Gon;EKAPUTRA, I.M.W.;Kim, Seon-Jin;Kim, Min-Hwan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2014
  • Gr. 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems, such as a very high temperature reactor(VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor(SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is important for a design application of Gr. 91 steel. In this study, a number of creep rupture data were collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: the single-C method in Larson-Miller(L-M) parameter, multi-C constant method in the L-M parameter, and a modified method("sinh" equation) in the L-M parameter. The results of the creep-life prediction were compared using the standard deviation of error value, respectively. Modified method proposed by the "sinh" equation revealed better agreement in creep life prediction than the single-C L-M method.

Shipboard Noise Prediction with LOTUS (LOTUS를 이용한 선박소음예측)

  • Kang, Hyun-J.;Kim, Jae-S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1990.10a
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 1990
  • The use of spreadsheet packages for solving noise control problems has been cited by several authors, eg Saha[1] and Thornton[2]. The effectiveness of using spreadsheet packages compared with the traditional computer programs written in high level languages was demonstrated when applied to relatively simple problems, such as the selection of hearing protectors or the prediction of noise equation which includes logarithmic additions at most represents the physics of the problem. The simplicity of the governing equation together with the requirement to handle a vast amount of data are considered to be the major reasons for noise control engineers to use spreadsheet packages. Although shipboard noise prediction seems to be very complicated, the calculation procedure itself is, in essence, identical especially true for prediction methods based on empirical formulae[3,4], ie the procedure that consists of the three basic elements, ie source, path and receiver. This paper discusses the application of spreadsheet package LOTUS 1-2-3 to shipboard noise prediction problems. A utility program of the package is written using macro functions and is shown to be especially useful for noise control engineers who are unfamiliar with spreadsheet packages. In addition, a new type of empirical formula, to estimate structureborne noise transmission loss, is proposed.

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Study on Friction Welding Properties and Creep Life Prediction for Heat Resisting Steels of SUH3 and SUH35 - Creep Properties and ISM (내열강재 SUH3과 SUH35 마찰용접재의 ISM에 의한 크리프 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • 양형태;오세규;김헌경;이연탁;공유식
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep life was carried out for the friction welded joints of dissimilar heat resisting steels(SUH3-SUH35). Various life prediction methods such as LMP(Larson-Miller Parameter) and ISM(initial strain method) were applied : The creep behaviors of those steels and the welds under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 500, 600 and $700^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two methods was investigated. A real-time creep life( $t_{r}$ , hr) prediction equation by initial strain($\varepsilon$$_{0}$ , %) under any creep stress ($\sigma$, MPa) at any high temperature(T, K) was developed as follows : $t_{r}$ =$\alpha$$\varepsilon$$_{0}$ $^{\beta}$$\sigma$$^{1}$ where, (equation omitted) for SUH3-SUH35 friction weld of =16mm and =20mm, respectively.

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Creep Life Prediction of Aircraft Gas Turbine material by ISM (ISM에 의한 항공기용 가스터빈 재료의 크리프 수명예측)

  • 공유식
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep strength and creep for nickel-based superalloy Udimet 720 (high-temperature and high-pressure gas turbine engine materials) was performed on round-bar type specimens under pure load at the temperatures of 538, 649 and 704$^{\circ}C$. The predictive equation of ISM creep has better reliability than that of LMP and LMP-ISM, and its reliability is getting better for long time creep prediction ($10^3~10^5$h).

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Study on the numerical models of turbulent dispersion of solid particles in a two-phase turbulent jet flow (이상난류제트 유동에서 고체입자 난류확산의 수치모델에 관한 연구)

  • 양선규;최영돈
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 1987
  • Prediction performances by Einstein's equation of diffusivity, Peskin's model, Three-Equation model, Four-Equation model and Algebraic Stress Model, have been compared by analyzing twophase (air-solid) turbulent jet flow. Turbulent kinetic energy equation of dispersed phase was solved to investigate effects of turbulent kinetic energy on turbulent diffusivity. Turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of particles has been considered by solving turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate equation of dispesed phase and applying it to turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase. Results show that turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase can be expressed by turbulent kinetic energy ratio between phases and prediction of turbulent kinetic energy was improved by considering turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of dispersed phase for modelling turbulent diffusivity. This investigation also show that Algebraic Stress Model is the most promising method in analyzing gas-solid two phaes turbulent flow.

Estimation of Density of Methane and Ethane and Vapor-Liquid Equilibrium Predictions for Methane-Ethane Binary System Using PR and PC-SAFT Equations of State (PR 및 PC-SAFT 상태방정식을 이용한 메탄과 에탄의 기상과 액상의 밀도 추산 및 이성분계의 기-액 상평형 계산)

  • Park, Jong-Kee;Choi, Kun-Hyung;Lee, Sang-Gyu;Yang, Young-Myung;Cho, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2010
  • In this study, experimental vapor pressures and densities of vapor and liquid phases versus temperature were estimated using PC-SAFT equation. The estimated results were compared with those using PR equation of state. For the vapor phase densities, both equations well predicted the literature data. However, PC-SAFT equation showed better prediction capability for liquid phase densities. In the comparison of vapor-liquid equilibrium prediction capability for the binary systems of methane and ethane, PC-SAFT equation was better than the PR equation.

Power Requirement Model for Combine Cylinders (보통 콤바인 급동의 소요동력 모델)

  • Kim, S.H.;Gregory, J.M.;Kang, W.S.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.142-147
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    • 1991
  • Because combine cylinders account for up to 80 percent of the power requirements to harvest grain, it is important to have a reliable method to predict and analyze power consumption. An equation was derived to meet the prediction needs. The equation contains the variables number of bars on the cylinder, concave clearance, concave length, thickness of the feed material, feed rate, and cylinder speed. Indirectly, cylinder diameter was also considered. The derived equation was verified to be a reliable function for three of the variables and the equation was judged to be a reliable power prediction equation.

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A Study on the Improvement of Dynamic Characteristics of Spindle-Work System in Lathe - Focused on the Bolt Juint between Headstock and Bed - (선반주축계의 동특성 향상에 관한 연구 -주축대와 베드의 보울트 결합을 중심으로-)

  • 신용호;박태원;홍동표;정인성
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1988
  • Prediction performances by Einstein's equation of diffusivity, Peskin's model, Three-Equation model, Four-Equation model and Algebraic Stress Model, have been compared by analyzing twophase (air-solid) turbulent jet flow. Turbulent kinetic energy equation of dispersed phase was solved to investigate effects of turbulent kinetic energy on turbulent diffusivity. Turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of particles has been considered by solving turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate equation of dispersed phase and applying it to turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase. Results show that turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase can be expressed by turbulent kinetic energy ratio between phases and prediction of turbulent kinetic energy was improved by considering turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of dispersed phase for modelling turbulent diffusivity. This investigation also show that Algebraic Stress Model is the most promising method in analyzing gas-solid two phases turbulent flow.

Ground-motion prediction equation for South Korea based on recent earthquake records

  • Jeong, Ki-Hyun;Lee, Han-Seon
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 2018
  • A ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE) for the Korean Peninsula, especially for South Korea, is developed based on synthetic ground motions generated using a ground motion model derived from instrumental records from 11 recent earthquakes of $M_L$>4.5 in Korea, including the Gyeongju earthquake of Sept. 12. 2016 ($M_L$5.8). PSAs of one standard deviation from the developed GMPE with $M_W$ 6.5 at hypocentral distances of 15 km and 25 km are compared to the design spectrum (soil condition, $S_B$) of the Korean Building Code 2016 (KBC), indicating that: (1) PSAs at short periods around 0.2 sec can be 1.5 times larger than the corresponding KBC PSA, and (2) SD's at periods longer than 2 sec do not exceed 8 cm. Although this comparison of the design spectrum with those of the GMPE developed herein intends to identify the characteristics of the scenario earthquake in a lower-seismicity region such as South Korea, it does not mean that the current design spectrum should be modified accordingly. To develop a design spectrum compatible with the Korean Peninsula, more systematic research using probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is necessary in the future.