• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.04a
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• pp.1-6
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• 2006

We consider the issue of Bayesian prediction of the unobservable random effects, And we characterize priors that ensure approximate frequentist validity of posterior quantiles of unobservable random effects. Finally we show that the probability matching criteria for prediction of unobservable random effects in one-way random ANOVA model.

• Transactions of Materials Processing
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.59-66
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• 2009

In this study, V-notch part has been considered as one of safety components in rectangular cup used for mobile device. This kind of safety component in rectangular cup with the V-notch part, which controls adequately the increased internal pressure in the rectangular cup, plays an important role to prevent the explosion from the excessive internal pressure. The protecting mechanism on the mobile device against the explosion is that a series of fracture on the V-notch part at the critical internal pressure level occurs. Therefore, it is very crucial to estimate accurately the working pressure range of the safety device. Relationship between the working internal pressure and fracture phenomenon at V-Notch part was investigated through numerical analysis using ductile fracture criteria. Integral value, I, of the used ductile fracture criteria was calculated from effective stress and strain, and then the bursting pressure of the V-notch part was extracted. Comparisons between the estimated and experimental results show that this systematic approach to predict bursting pressure using the ductile fracture criteria gives fairly good agreements.

• Atmosphere
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.269-279
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• 2007

This study investigates the possibility of seasonal prediction for tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific by using a dynamical modeling approach. We use data from the SMIP/HFP (Seasonal Prediction Model Inter-comparison Project/Historical Forecast Project) experiment with the Korea Meteorological Administration's GDAPS (Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System) T106 model, focusing our analysis on model-generated tropical cyclones. It is found that the prediction depends primarily on the tropical cyclone (TC) detecting criteria. Additionally, a scaling factor and a different weighting to each ensemble member are found to be essential for the best predictions of summertime TC activity. This approach indeed shows a certain skill not only in the category forecast but in the standard verifications such as Brier score and relative operating characteristics (ROC).

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.161-176
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• 2017

Recently, most of the users can easily get access to a variety of information sources about companies, products, and services through online channels. Therefore, the online user evaluations are becoming the most powerful tool to generate word of mouth. The user's evaluation is provided in two forms, quantitative rating and review text. The rating is then divided into an overall rating and a detailed rating according to various evaluation criteria. However, since it is a burden for the reviewer to complete all required ratings for each evaluation criteria, so most of the sites requested only mandatory inputs for overall rating and optional inputs for other evaluation criteria. In fact, many users input only the ratings for some of the evaluation criteria and the percentage of missed ratings for each criteria is about 40%. As these missed ratings are the missing values in each criteria, the simple average calculation by ignoring the average 40% of the missed ratings can sufficiently distort the actual phenomenon. Therefore, in this study, we propose a methodology to predict the rating for the missed values of each criteria by analyzing user's evaluation information included the overall rating and text review for each criteria. The experiments were conducted on 207,968 evaluations collected from the actual hotel evaluation site. As a result, it was confirmed that the prediction accuracy of the detailed criteria ratings by the proposed methodology was much higher than the existing average-based method.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.28 no.11
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• pp.1741-1751
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• 2004

It is commonly requested that the steam generator tubes wall-thinned in excess of 40% should be plugged. However, the plugging criterion is known to be too conservative for some locations and types of defects and its application is limited to a single crack in spite of the fact that the occurrence of multiple through-wall cracks is more common in general. The objective of this research is to propose the optimum failure prediction models for two adjacent through-wall cracks in steam generator tubes. The conservatism of the present plugging criteria was reviewed using the existing failure prediction models for a single crack, and six new failure prediction models for multiple through-wall cracks have been introduced. Then, in order to determine the optimum ones among these new local or global failure prediction models, a series of plastic collapse tests and corresponding finite element analyses for two adjacent through-wall cracks in thin plate were carried out. Thereby, the reaction force model, plastic zone contact model and COD (Crack-Opening Displacement) base model were selected as the optimum ones for assessment of steam generator tubes with multiple through-wall cracks. The selected optimum failure prediction models, finally, were used to estimate the coalescence pressure of two adjacent through-wall cracks in steam generator tubes.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.1291-1303
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• 2015

Damage caused by low velocity impact is so dangerous in composites because although in most cases it is not visible to the eye, it can greatly reduce the strength of the composite material. In this paper, damage development in U-section glass/polyester pultruded beams subjected to low velocity impact was considered. Different failure criteria such as Maximum stress, Maximum strain, Hou, Hashin and the combination of Maximum strain criteria for fiber failure and Hou criteria for matrix failure were programmed and implemented in ABAQUS software via a user subroutine VUMAT. A suitable degradation model was also considered for reducing material constants due to damage. Experimental tests, which performed to validate numerical results, showed that Hashin and Hou failure criteria have better accuracy in predicting force-time history than the other three criteria. However, maximum stress and Hashin failure criteria had the best prediction for damage area, in comparison with the other three criteria. Finally in order to compare numerical model with the experimental results in terms of extent of damage, bending test was performed after impact and the behavior of the beam was considered.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.25-30
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• 2004

This paper gives an assessment criteria and average failure lifetime prediction for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. The paper present electric appliance safety standard and performance standard for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. also, It presents the Failure Rate or Mean Time To Failure(MTTF) for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. We suggest the assessment criteria and improve methods of the reliability on the design basis for the electrodeless fluorescent system.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• v.20 no.8
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• pp.1101-1117
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• 2006

In the present article, recent progress of spray-wall interaction research has been reviewed. Studies on the spray-wall interaction phenomena can be categorized mainly into three groups: experiments on single drop impact and spray (multiple-drop) impingement, and development of comprehensive models. The criteria of wall-impingement regimes (i.e., stick, rebound, spread, splash, boiling induced breakup, breakup, and rebound with breakup) and the post-impingement characteristics (mostly for splash and rebound) are the main subjects of the single-drop impingement studies. Experimental studies on spray-wall impingement phenomena cover examination of the outline shape and internal structure of a spray after the wall impact. Various prediction models for the spray-wall impingement phenomena have been developed based on the experiments on the single drop impact and the spray impingement. In the present article, details on the wall-impingement criteria and post-impingement characteristics of single drops, external and internal structures of the spray after the wall impact, and their prediction models are reviewed.

• Transactions of Materials Processing
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.258-264
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• 2012

The forming failure of AZ31 alloy sheet during deep drawing processes was predicted by the FEM and ductile fracture criteria. Uniaxial tensile tests of round-notched specimens and FE simulations were performed to calculate the critical damage values for three ductile fracture criteria. The critical damage values for each criterion were expressed as a function of strain rate at various temperatures. In order to determine the best criterion for failure prediction, Erichsen cupping test under isothermal conditions at $250^{\circ}C$ were conducted. Based on the plastic deformation histories obtained from the FE analysis of the Erichsen cupping tests and the critical damage value curves, the initiation time and location of fracture were predicted under bi-axial tension deformation. The results indicate that the Cockcroft-Latham criterion had good agreement with the experimental data. In addition, the FE analysis combined with the criterion was applied to another deep drawing process using an irregular shaped blank and these additional results were verified with experimental tests.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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• 1997.03a
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• pp.15-18
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• 1997

The plane strain stretch test (PSST) developed by POSCO as an activity of customer service was applied to the establishment of the formability criteria and the prediction of failure during the stamping processes. The PSST was applied to the actual parts such as oil pan and shock mount and the criteria of PSST value for each forming parts were established. These value can provide the possibility of prediction of failure before the stamping process. These results show that the PSST can precisely predict the stamping formability of steel sheets.