• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction computer program

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Prediction of Fracture Resistance Curves for Nuclear Piping Materials(III) (원자력 배관재료의 파괴저항곡선 예측)

  • Chang, Yoon-Suk;Seok, Chang-Sung;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.1796-1808
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    • 1997
  • In order to perform leak-before-break design of nuclear piping systems and integrity evaluation of reactor vessels, full stress-strain curves and fracture resistance(J-R) curves are required. However it is time-consuming and expensive to obtain J-R curves experimentally. To resolve these problems, three different methods for predicting J-R curves from tensile data were proposed by the authors previously. The objective of this paper is to develop a computer program based on those J-R curve prediction methods. The program consists of two major parts ; the main program part for the J-R curve prediction and the database part. Several case studies were performed to verify the program, and it was shown that the predicted results were, in general, in good agreement with the experimental ones.

The Joint Frequency Function for Long-term Air Quality Prediction Models (장기 대기확산 모델용 안정도별 풍향·풍속 발생빈도 산정 기법)

  • Kim, Jeong-Soo;Choi, Doug-Il
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 1996
  • Meteorological Joint Frequency Function required indispensably in long-term air quality prediction models were discussed for practical application in Korea. The algorithm, proposed by Turner(l964), is processed with daily solar insolation and cloudiness and height basically using Pasquill's atmospheric stability classification method. In spite of its necessity and applicability, the computer program, called STAR(STability ARray), had some significant difficulties caused from the difference in meteorological data format between that of original U.S. version and Korean's. To cope with the problems, revised STAR program for Korean users were composed of followings; applicability in any site of Korea with regard to local solar angle modification; feasibility with both of data which observed by two classes of weather service centers; and examination on output format associated with prediction models which should be used.

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Fatigue Growth Life Prediction for Collinear Multiple Surface Cracks (동일평면상에 존재하는 복수표면균열의 피로성장수명예측)

  • Lee, J.H.;Choy, Y.S.;Kim, Y.J.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.7 s.94
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    • pp.1668-1677
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    • 1993
  • The objective of this paper is to develop a computational model for predicting the fatigue propagation of collinear multiple surface cracks under constant amplitude and variable amplitude loadings. After examining fatigue crack growth behavior for CT specimens and single surface crack specimens, empirical equations of(11) and(12) are proposed for the prediction of fatigue life in a multiple surface crack geometry. The accuracy of the proposed model is verified using a life prediction computer program. Several case studies were performed to check the accuracy of the proposed model and to verify the usefulness of the developed program. Good agreement is observed between the numerical results based on the proposed model and the published experimental data.

Prediction method of node movement using Markov Chain in DTN (DTN에서 Markov Chain을 이용한 노드의 이동 예측 기법)

  • Jeon, Il-kyu;Lee, Kang-whan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.1013-1019
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    • 2016
  • This paper describes a novel Context-awareness Markov Chain Prediction (CMCP) algorithm based on movement prediction using Markov chain in Delay Tolerant Network (DTN). The existing prediction models require additional information such as a node's schedule and delivery predictability. However, network reliability is lowered when additional information is unknown. To solve this problem, we propose a CMCP model based on node behaviour movement that can predict the mobility without requiring additional information such as a node's schedule or connectivity between nodes in periodic interval node behavior. The main contribution of this paper is the definition of approximate speed and direction for prediction scheme. The prediction of node movement forwarding path is made by manipulating the transition probability matrix based on Markov chain models including buffer availability and given interval time. We present simulation results indicating that such a scheme can be beneficial effects that increased the delivery ratio and decreased the transmission delay time of predicting movement path of the node in DTN.

Stock price index prediction program using deep learning techniques (딥러닝 기법을 이용한 주가지수 예측 프로그램)

  • Koh, Jeong-Gook;Lee, Gi-Yeong;Son, Ik-Jun;Gwon, Ye-Rim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.07a
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    • pp.525-526
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    • 2021
  • 최근 금리 인하로 주식을 비롯한 다양한 금융상품에 대한 투자가 급증하고 있다. 주식 시장에서 가격은 시장의 모든 정보들이 반영된 결과로서 주식의 가격 변동을 이용하여 가격 패턴을 찾아낸 후 다양한 분석기법으로 주가 지수를 예측하는 연구들이 진행되어 왔다. 그러나 주식 시장은 기업의 내·외부 요인들의 상호관계가 주가 형성에 많은 영향을 주는 가격 결정 메카니즘으로 인해 주가의 변동을 설명할 수 없는 경우가 자주 발생하고 있다. 따라서 주식 시장 예측을 위해서는 시장 내부의 변화와 외부 사건들을 함께 반영할 수 있는 방법이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 뉴스 기사들에 대한 감성 분석과 주가지수의 시계열 데이터를 딥러닝 예측 모델을 통해 주식 시장의 추세를 예측할 수 있는 주가지수 예측 프로그램을 제안한다.

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Analysis on the Propulsive Performance of Full Scale Ship (실선의 추진성능 해석기법에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Seung-Il;Kim, Eun-Chan
    • 한국기계연구소 소보
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    • s.9
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 1982
  • This report describes the analysis method of the full-scale propulsive performance by using the data of model test and the full-scale speed trial. The model test data were analyzed by the computer program "PPTT" based on "1978 ITTC Performance Prediction Method for Single Screw Ships." Also the full-scale speed trial data were analyzed by the computer program "SSTT" based on the newly proposed “SRS-KIMM Standard Method of Speed Trial Analysis." An analysis of model and full-scale test data was carried out for a 60.000 DWT Bulk Carrier and the correlation between model and full-scale ship was stuied.

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Issues When Estimating Fatigue Life of Structures

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Chen, Zhi-wei
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2000
  • When estimating fatigue crack growth (FCG) life of structures, the use of crack growth models and knowledge of the values of their corresponding parameters are of vital importance. Inconsistency in using models with appropriate parameters can lead to enormous errors in FCG life prediction. In this paper examples are analyzed and compared with test results to show the possible problems, Consistency checks are necessary for avoiding some pitfalls, and also necessary for verifying the correct performance and accuracy of the used computer program.

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Applicability of the HPLC Method for the Estimation of Octanol/water Partition Coefficient to Pesticides of Domestic Use (국내 사용 농약을 대상으로 한 HPLC 방법에 의한 옥탄올/물 분배계수 추정법의 적용성 검토)

  • Kim, Kyun;Kwon, Jin-Wook;Kim, Yong-Hwa
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 2001
  • Octanol/water partition coefficients of 52 chemicals were calculated using RP-HPLC estimation method and predicted by computer program, PCHEM. The result showed relationship between literature values and RP-HPLC observed values (relative coefficient r$^2$=0.916), but the relationship of PCHEM values with literature values was lower than RP-HPLC value (relative coefficient r$^2$=0.795). The average difference in partition coefficient between the RP-HPLC method and flask-shaking method was log Kow=0.54, while the average difference between the values predicted form the computer program and flask- shaking method was log Kow = 0.36 Compared to octanol/water partition coefficients by 3 methods (Flask-shaking, RP-HPLC, computer prediction), the octanol/water partition coefficient values based on the flask-shaking method were very similar to the literature values, while the octanol/water partition coefficient values by RP-HPLC method without to consider the dead time, and computer prediction values did not significantly differ with the literature values.

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A Study on the Prediction of Paint Dry Time at Ship Block's Inner Wall Placed in the Paint Dry Facility Adopting the Hot Air Supply System (열풍 공급 방식의 도장 건조 설비에서 선체 블록 도장 건조 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Yoo-Sok;Seol, Sin-Su;Yoon, Kwang-Won;Yang, Moon-Sik;Jeong, Jae-Hwan;Yoon, Hyun-Sik
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2011.09a
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2011
  • An indirect concept and method is proposed to predict the paint dry time at the inside wall of ship block. To implement this concept on computer program, optimal hot air supply-exhaust system of paint dry facility was designed by CFD simulation and experiment was performed to get the paint dry time curve according to various paint dry conditions. After combining the block inside environment from the simulation results and the paint dry time prediction curve from the curve-fitting of experimental result, the GUI program which can be executed in general PC OS has been finally developed.

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A Study on the Database Generation of Propulsion Performance for Ships Optimum Routing System (선박 최적운항시스템을 위한 추진성능 데이터베이스 생성 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Chan;Kang, Kuk-Jin;Lee, Han-Jin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2016
  • The precise prediction of ships propulsion performance is very important to find out the ships optimum route. This paper describes the development of computer program to generate the database of propulsion performance for the ships optimum routing system. The propulsion performance of ship in the sea is caused by not only ships conditions such as drift and hull roughness, but also various sea conditions such as wave and wind. These prediction methods of added resistance are based on the ships speed trial analysis methods of the ISO 15016:2002 standard, and a few prediction methods of the wind and hull roughness are supplemented. These prediction methods have been applied to the comprehensive computer program. And the database calculation for the research ice breaker the Araon has been carried out, which shall be used for the calculation of optimum route. Furthermore, this program shall be used for the route optimization in global shipping routes.