• 제목/요약/키워드: prediction accuracy

검색결과 3,704건 처리시간 0.032초

A Short-Term Prediction Method of the IGS RTS Clock Correction by using LSTM Network

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2019
  • Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.

Intelligent Traffic Prediction by Multi-sensor Fusion using Multi-threaded Machine Learning

  • Aung, Swe Sw;Nagayama, Itaru;Tamaki, Shiro
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • 제5권6호
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    • pp.430-439
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    • 2016
  • Estimation and analysis of traffic jams plays a vital role in an intelligent transportation system and advances safety in the transportation system as well as mobility and optimization of environmental impact. For these reasons, many researchers currently mainly focus on the brilliant machine learning-based prediction approaches for traffic prediction systems. This paper primarily addresses the analysis and comparison of prediction accuracy between two machine learning algorithms: Naïve Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN). Based on the fact that optimized estimation accuracy of these methods mainly depends on a large amount of recounted data and that they require much time to compute the same function heuristically for each action, we propose an approach that applies multi-threading to these heuristic methods. It is obvious that the greater the amount of historical data, the more processing time is necessary. For a real-time system, operational response time is vital, and the proposed system also focuses on the time complexity cost as well as computational complexity. It is experimentally confirmed that K-NN does much better than Naïve Bayes, not only in prediction accuracy but also in processing time. Multi-threading-based K-NN could compute four times faster than classical K-NN, whereas multi-threading-based Naïve Bayes could process only twice as fast as classical Bayes.

Prediction of Etch Profile Uniformity Using Wavelet and Neural Network

  • Park, Won-Sun;Lim, Myo-Taeg;Kim, Byungwhan
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2004
  • Conventionally, profile non-uniformity has been characterized by relying on approximated profile with angle or anisotropy. In this study, a new non-uniformity model for etch profile is presented by applying a discrete wavelet to the image obtained from a scanning electron microscopy (SEM). Prediction models for wavelet-transformed data are then constructed using a back-propagation neural network. The proposed method was applied to the data collected from the etching of tungsten material. Additionally, 7 experiments were conducted to obtain test data. Model performance was evaluated in terms of the average prediction accuracy (APA) and the best prediction accuracy (BPA). To take into account randomness in initial weights, two hundred models were generated for a given set of training factors. Behaviors of the APA and BPA were investigated as a function of training factors, including training tolerance, hidden neuron, initial weight distribution, and two slopes for bipolar sig-moid and linear function. For all variations in training factors, the APA was not consistent with the BPA. The prediction accuracy was optimized using three approaches, the best model based approach, the average model based approach and the combined model based approach. Despite the largest APA of the first approach, its BPA was smallest compared to the other two approaches.

단백질의 세포내 소 기관별 분포 예측을 위한 서열 기반의 특징 추출 방법 (Sequence driven features for prediction of subcellular localization of proteins)

  • 김종경;최승진
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2005년도 한국컴퓨터종합학술대회 논문집 Vol.32 No.1 (B)
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    • pp.226-228
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    • 2005
  • Predicting the cellular location of an unknown protein gives valuable information for inferring the possible function of the protein. For more accurate Prediction system, we need a good feature extraction method that transforms the raw sequence data into the numerical feature vector, minimizing information loss. In this paper we propose new methods of extracting underlying features only from the sequence data by computing pairwise sequence alignment scores. In addition, we use composition based features to improve prediction accuracy. To construct an SVM ensemble from separately trained SVM classifiers, we propose specificity based weighted majority voting . The overall prediction accuracy evaluated by the 5-fold cross-validation reached $88.53\%$ for the eukaryotic animal data set. By comparing the prediction accuracy of various feature extraction methods, we could get the biological insight on the location of targeting information. Our numerical experiments confirm that our new feature extraction methods are very useful forpredicting subcellular localization of proteins.

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간접 분기의 타형태 타겟 주소의 정확한 예측 (Accurate Prediction of Polymorphic Indirect Branch Target)

  • 백경호;김은성
    • 전자공학회논문지CI
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2004
  • 현대적인 프로세서들은 그 성능을 높이기 위해서 분기 예측과 같은 투기적인 방식으로 가용한 ILP 즉 명령어 수준의 병렬성을 추구한다. 전통적으로, 분기 방향은 2-단계 예측기를 사용하여 아주 높은 비율의 정확도로 예측이 가능하고, 분기 타겟 주소는 BTB를 사용하여 예측한다. 간접 분기를 제외한 모든 분기들은 그 자신의 타겟 주소가 유일하기 때문에 BTB로 거의 정확하게 예측되지만, 간접 분기는 그 타겟 주소가 동적으로 수시로 달라지기 때문에 예측하기가 매우 어렵다. 일반적으로, 분기 방향을 예측하는 기술을 간접 분기의 타겟 주소를 예측하는데 적용하여 전통적인 BTB 보다 훨씬 좋은 정확도를 얻고 있다. 본 논문에서는 간접 분기 명령과 이와 데이터 종속적인 관계를 갖고 있는 이 간접 분기 명령 보다 훨씬 앞서 수행되는 명령어의 레지스터 내용을 결합하여 간접 분기의 타겟을 예측하는 전혀 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방식의 효율성을 검증하기 위해 심플스칼라 시뮬레이터 상에서 제안된 예측기를 구현하고 SPEC 벤치마크를 시뮬레이션하여, 수시로 바뀌는 간접분기의 타겟을 거의 완벽하게 예측할 수 있음을 보이고, 기존의 다른 어떤 방법보다도 우수한 결과임을 보인다.

Forecasting Fish Import Using Deep Learning: A Comprehensive Analysis of Two Different Fish Varieties in South Korea

  • Abhishek Chaudhary;Sunoh Choi
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제12권11호
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    • pp.134-144
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    • 2023
  • Nowadays, Deep Learning (DL) technology is being used in several government departments. South Korea imports a lot of seafood. If the demand for fishery products is not accurately predicted, then there will be a shortage of fishery products and the price of the fishery product may rise sharply. So, South Korea's Ministry of Ocean and Fisheries is attempting to accurately predict seafood imports using deep learning. This paper introduces the solution for the fish import prediction in South Korea using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method. It was found that there was a huge gap between the sum of consumption and export against the sum of production especially in the case of two species that are Hairtail and Pollock. An import prediction is suggested in this research to fill the gap with some advanced Deep Learning methods. This research focuses on import prediction using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning methods to predict the import amount more precisely. For the prediction, two Deep Learning methods were chosen which are Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Moreover, the Machine Learning method was also selected for the comparison between the DL and ML. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was selected for the error measurement which shows the difference between the predicted and actual values. The results obtained were compared with the average RMSE scores and in terms of percentage. It was found that the LSTM has the lowest RMSE score which showed the prediction with higher accuracy. Meanwhile, ML's RMSE score was higher which shows lower accuracy in prediction. Moreover, Google Trend Search data was used as a new feature to find its impact on prediction outcomes. It was found that it had a positive impact on results as the RMSE values were lowered, increasing the accuracy of the prediction.

A study of the genomic estimated breeding value and accuracy using genotypes in Hanwoo steer (Korean cattle)

  • Eun Ho, Kim;Du Won, Sun;Ho Chan, Kang;Ji Yeong, Kim;Cheol Hyun, Myung;Doo Ho, Lee;Seung Hwan, Lee;Hyun Tae, Lim
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권4호
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    • pp.681-691
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    • 2021
  • The estimated breeding value (EBV) and accuracy of Hanwoo steer (Korean cattle) is an indicator that can predict the slaughter time in the future and carcass performance outcomes. Recently, studies using pedigrees and genotypes are being actively conducted to improve the accuracy of the EBV. In this study, the pedigree and genotype of 46 steers obtained from livestock farm A in Gyeongnam were used for a pedigree best linear unbiased prediction (PBLUP) and a genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) to estimate and analyze the breeding value and accuracy of the carcass weight (CWT), eye muscle area (EMA), back-fat thickness (BFT), and marbling score (MS). PBLUP estimated the EBV and accuracy by constructing a numeric relationship matrix (NRM) from the 46 steers and reference population I (545,483 heads) with the pedigree and phenotype. GBLUP estimated genomic EBV (GEBV) and accuracy by constructing a genomic relationship matrix (GRM) from the 46 steers and reference population II (16,972 heads) with the genotype and phenotype. As a result, in the order of CWT, EMA, BFT, and MS, the accuracy levels of PBLUP were 0.531, 0.519, 0.524 and 0.530, while the accuracy outcomes of GBLUP were 0.799, 0.779, 0.768, and 0.810. The accuracy estimated by GBLUP was 50.1 - 53.1% higher than that estimated by PBLUP. GEBV estimated with the genotype is expected to show higher accuracy than the EBV calculated using only the pedigree and is thus expected to be used as basic data for genomic selection in the future.

명령어 연관성 분석을 통한 가변 입력 gshare 예측기 (Variable Input Gshare Predictor based on Interrelationship Analysis of Instructions)

  • 곽종욱
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2008
  • 분기 히스토리는 분기 예측기의 주된 입력 요소로 사용된다. 따라서 적절한 분기 히스토리의 사용은 분기 예측의 정확도 향상에 큰 영향을 미친다. 본 논문에서는 분기 예측의 정확도를 향상시키기 위한 방법의 하나로, 명령어의 연관성 분석을 통한 선별적 분기 히스토리 사용 기법을 제안한다. 우선, 본 논문에서는 명령어의 연관성을 분석하는 세 가지 서로 다른 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 기법은 명령어의 레지스터 쓰기 연산에 기반하는 방법, 분기 명령어의 참조 레지스터에 기반하는 방법, 그리고 이들 두 가지 방식을 상호 결합하는 방법이다. 또한, 제안된 세 가지 알고리즘의 실질적 구현을 위해 이를 적용할 수 있는 가변 입력 gshare 예측기를 제안한다. 본 논문에서는 모의실험을 통해 세 가지 알고리즘의 특징 및 장단점을 비교 분석한다. 특히, 기존의 고정된 입력을 사용하는 방식과 비교하여 제안된 기법의 성능 향상의 정도를 분석하며, 사전 프로파일링을 통해 얻어진 최적의 입력에 대한 성능상의 차이도 소개한다.

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장기 기상전망이 댐 저수지 유입량 전망에 미치는 영향 분석 (An analysis of effects of seasonal weather forecasting on dam reservoir inflow prediction)

  • 김선호;남우성;배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권7호
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2019
  • 장기 기상전망 기반 댐 유입량 전망은 가뭄 대비, 용수 공급 관리 등에 활용성이 높다. 본 연구에서는 국내 7개 다목적댐 유역에 대해 유입량 전망을 수행하고 장기 기상전망 정확도가 댐 유입량 전망 정확도에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 강우-유출 모델의 입력자료로 활용된 장기 기상전망 자료는 기상청 GloSea5의 과거재현자료(hindcast) 및 미래전망자료(forecast)를 활용하였다. 강우-유출 모델은 다양한 특성을 가지고 있는 TANK, ABCD, K-DRUM, PRMS를 활용하였다. 댐 유입량 전망 정확도는 과거재현기간(1996~2009)과 미래전망기간(2015~2016)에 대하여 평가하였다. 댐 유입량 전망 평가결과 전망값은 관측값에 비해 과소추정하는 경향을 보였으며, 매개변수 검보정이 적절히 수행된 강우-유출 모델은 댐 유입량 전망 정확도에 미치는 영향이 거의 없는 것으로 나타났다. 반면 장기 기상전망 자료, 특히 강수량은 댐 유입량 전망 정확도에 매우 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 현업에서 댐 유입량 전망 자료 활용시 과소추정하는 경향을 고려하여 활용할 필요가 있다. 향후 댐 유입량 전망 정확도 개선은 강우-유출 모델 보다 장기 기상전망의 강수량 정확도 향상을 위주로 수행할 필요가 있다.

데이터간 의미 분석을 위한 R기반의 데이터 가중치 및 신경망기반의 데이터 예측 모형에 관한 연구 (A Novel Data Prediction Model using Data Weights and Neural Network based on R for Meaning Analysis between Data)

  • 정세훈;김종찬;심춘보
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.524-532
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    • 2015
  • All data created in BigData times is included potentially meaning and correlation in data. A variety of data during a day in all society sectors has become created and stored. Research areas in analysis and grasp meaning between data is proceeding briskly. Especially, accuracy of meaning prediction and data imbalance problem between data for analysis is part in course of something important in data analysis field. In this paper, we proposed data prediction model based on data weights and neural network using R for meaning analysis between data. Proposed data prediction model is composed of classification model and analysis model. Classification model is working as weights application of normal distribution and optimum independent variable selection of multiple regression analysis. Analysis model role is increased prediction accuracy of output variable through neural network. Performance evaluation result, we were confirmed superiority of prediction model so that performance of result prediction through primitive data was measured 87.475% by proposed data prediction model.