• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction accuracy

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A study of predicting irradiation-induced transition temperature shift for RPV steels with XGBoost modeling

  • Xu, Chaoliang;Liu, Xiangbing;Wang, Hongke;Li, Yuanfei;Jia, Wenqing;Qian, Wangjie;Quan, Qiwei;Zhang, Huajian;Xue, Fei
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.2610-2615
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    • 2021
  • The prediction of irradiation-induced transition temperature shift for RPV steels is an important method for long term operation of nuclear power plant. Based on the irradiation embrittlement data, an irradiation-induced transition temperature shift prediction model is developed with machine learning method XGBoost. Then the residual, standard deviation and predicted value vs. measured value analysis are conducted to analyze the accuracy of this model. At last, Cu content threshold and saturation values analysis, temperature dependence, Ni/Cu dependence and flux effect are given to verify the reliability. Those results show that the prediction model developed with XGBoost has high accuracy for predicting the irradiation embrittlement trend of RPV steel. The prediction results are consistent with the current understanding of RPV embrittlement mechanism.

Comparative Analysis of PM10 Prediction Performance between Neural Network Models

  • Jung, Yong-Jin;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2021
  • Particulate matter has emerged as a serious global problem, necessitating highly reliable information on the matter. Therefore, various algorithms have been used in studies to predict particulate matter. In this study, we compared the prediction performance of neural network models that have been actively studied for particulate matter prediction. Among the neural network algorithms, a deep neural network (DNN), a recurrent neural network, and long short-term memory were used to design the optimal prediction model using a hyper-parameter search. In the comparative analysis of the prediction performance of each model, the DNN model showed a lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the other algorithms in the performance comparison using the RMSE and the level of accuracy as metrics for evaluation. The stability of the recurrent neural network was slightly lower than that of the other algorithms, although the accuracy was higher.

Variable Selection with Regression Trees

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2010
  • Many tree algorithms have been developed for regression problems. Although they are regarded as good algorithms, most of them suffer from loss of prediction accuracy when there are many noise variables. To handle this problem, we propose the multi-step GUIDE, which is a regression tree algorithm with a variable selection process. The multi-step GUIDE performs better than some of the well-known algorithms such as Random Forest and MARS. The results based on simulation study shows that the multi-step GUIDE outperforms other algorithms in terms of variable selection and prediction accuracy. It generally selects the important variables correctly with relatively few noise variables and eventually gives good prediction accuracy.

A Survey of Applications of Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Eco-environmental Modelling

  • Kim, Kang-Suk;Park, Joon-Hong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2009
  • Application of artificial intelligence (AI) approaches in eco-environmental modeling has gradually increased for the last decade. Comprehensive understanding and evaluation on the applicability of this approach to eco-environmental modeling are needed. In this study, we reviewed the previous studies that used AI-techniques in eco-environmental modeling. Decision Tree (DT) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were found to be major AI algorithms preferred by researchers in ecological and environmental modeling areas. When the effect of the size of training data on model prediction accuracy was explored using the data from the previous studies, the prediction accuracy and the size of training data showed nonlinear correlation, which was best-described by hyperbolic saturation function among the tested nonlinear functions including power and logarithmic functions. The hyperbolic saturation equations were proposed to be used as a guideline for optimizing the size of training data set, which is critically important in designing the field experiments required for training AI-based eco-environmental modeling.

Promoter Classification Using Genetic Algorithm Controlled Generalized Regression Neural Network (유전자 알고리즘과 일반화된 회귀 신경망을 이용한 프로모터 서열 분류)

  • 김성모;김근호;김병환
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.531-535
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    • 2004
  • A new method is presented to construct a classifier. This was accomplished by combining a generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and a genetic algorithm (GA). The classifier constructed in this way is referred to as a GA-GRNN. The GA played a role of controlling training factors simultaneously. The GA-GRNN was applied to classify 4 different Promoter sequences. The training and test data were composed of 115 and 58 sequence patterns, respectively. The classifier performance was investigated in terms of the classification sensitivity and prediction accuracy. Compared to conventional GRNN, GA-GRNN significantly improved the total classification sensitivity as well as the total prediction accuracy. As a result, the proposed GA-GRNN demonstrated improved classification sensitivity and prediction accuracy over the convention GRNN.

Numerical and Experimental Study on Spray Atomization Characteristics of GDI Injector (직접 분사식 가솔린 기관 인젝터의 분무 미립화 특성에 대한 해석 및 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, C.S.;Rhyu, Y.;Kim, H.J.;Park, S.W.
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2002
  • In this study numerical and experimental study on the spray atomization characteristics of a GDI injector is performed. To carry out numerical analysis, four hybrid models that are composed of conical sheet disintegration model, LISA model, DDB model, and RT model are used. The experimental results to evaluate the prediction accuracy of hybrid models are obtained by using phase Doppler particle analyzer and spray visualization system. It is shown that the prediction accuracy of hybrid model concerning spray developing process and spray tip penetration is good for all hybrid models, but the hybrid breakup models show different prediction of accuracy in the case of local radial SMD distribution.

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Atomization Characteristics and Prediction Accuracy of LISA-DDB Model for Gasoline Direct Injection Spray

  • Park, Sung-Wook;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Lee, Ki-Hyung;Lee, Chang-Sik
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.1177-1186
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the spray atomization characteristics of a gasoline direct-injection injector were investigated experimentally and numerically. To visualize the developing spray process, a laser sheet method with a Nd :YAG laser was utilized. The microscopic atomization characteristics such as the droplet size and velocity distribution were also obtained by using a phase Doppler particle analyzer system at the 5 ㎫ of injection pressure. With the experiments, the calculations of spray atomization were conducted by using the KIVA code with the LISA-DDB breakup model. Based on the agreement with the experimental results, the prediction accuracy of LISA-DDB breakup model was investigated in terms of the spray shapes, spray tip penetration, SMD distribution, and axial mean velocity. The results of this study provides the macroscopic and microscopic characteristics of the spray atomization, and prediction accuracy of the LISA-DDB model.

The Investigation of Employing Supervised Machine Learning Models to Predict Type 2 Diabetes Among Adults

  • Alhmiedat, Tareq;Alotaibi, Mohammed
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.2904-2926
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    • 2022
  • Currently, diabetes is the most common chronic disease in the world, affecting 23.7% of the population in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Diabetes may be the cause of lower-limb amputations, kidney failure and blindness among adults. Therefore, diagnosing the disease in its early stages is essential in order to save human lives. With the revolution in technology, Artificial Intelligence (AI) could play a central role in the early prediction of diabetes by employing Machine Learning (ML) technology. In this paper, we developed a diagnosis system using machine learning models for the detection of type 2 diabetes among adults, through the adoption of two different diabetes datasets: one for training and the other for the testing, to analyze and enhance the prediction accuracy. This work offers an enhanced classification accuracy as a result of employing several pre-processing methods before applying the ML models. According to the obtained results, the implemented Random Forest (RF) classifier offers the best classification accuracy with a classification score of 98.95%.

Software Quality Classification using Bayesian Classifier (베이지안 분류기를 이용한 소프트웨어 품질 분류)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2012
  • Many metric-based classification models have been proposed to predict fault-proneness of software module. This paper presents two prediction models using Bayesian classifier which is one of the most popular modern classification algorithms. Bayesian model based on Bayesian probability theory can be a promising technique for software quality prediction. This is due to the ability to represent uncertainty using probabilities and the ability to partly incorporate expert's knowledge into training data. The two models, Na$\ddot{i}$veBayes(NB) and Bayesian Belief Network(BBN), are constructed and dimensionality reduction of training data and test data are performed before model evaluation. Prediction accuracy of the model is evaluated using two prediction error measures, Type I error and Type II error, and compared with well-known prediction models, backpropagation neural network model and support vector machine model. The results show that the prediction performance of BBN model is slightly better than that of NB. For the data set with ambiguity, although the BBN model's prediction accuracy is not as good as the compared models, it achieves better performance than the compared models for the data set without ambiguity.

Application of an Optimized Support Vector Regression Algorithm in Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

  • Ruibo, Ai;Cheng, Li;Na, Li
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of short-term traffic flow is the theoretical basis of intelligent transportation as well as the key technology in traffic flow induction systems. The research on short-term traffic flow prediction has showed the considerable social value. At present, the support vector regression (SVR) intelligent prediction model that is suitable for small samples has been applied in this domain. Aiming at parameter selection difficulty and prediction accuracy improvement, the artificial bee colony (ABC) is adopted in optimizing SVR parameters, which is referred to as the ABC-SVR algorithm in the paper. The simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with SVR algorithm, and the feasibility of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is verified by result analysis. Continuously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with particle swarm optimization SVR (PSO-SVR) algorithm and genetic optimization SVR (GA-SVR) algorithm, and a better optimization effect has been attained by simulation experiments and verified by statistical test. Simultaneously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm and wavelet neural network time series (WNN-TS) algorithm, and the prediction accuracy of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is improved and satisfactory prediction effects have been obtained.