• Title/Summary/Keyword: predicting demand

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An Analysis of Electricity Consumption Profile based on Measurement Data in High-rise Apartment Complex (실측자료 기반의 공동주택 시간별 전력소비 패턴 분석 연구)

  • Im, Kyung-Up;Yoon, Jong-Ho;Shin, U-Cheul;Park, Jae-Sang;Kim, Kang-Sik
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2011
  • Worldwide, the building energy simulation becomes inevitable step for predicting the energy consumption in building. In simulation process, the expertise is required for the accurate analysis results. In Korea, however, most of user use the inconsistent data with Korea circumstance. In this step, we need to construct the standard input data matched building in Korea. In this study, electricity consumption of apartments in Daejeon is analyzed. The yearly data of a apartment complexes of 2009 are analyzed as monthly, daily(week and weekend), timely, and completion year. With this result, we are able to predict the demand pattern of electricity in a house and make the schedule by demand pattern. The results of this study are followed. The averaged amount of electricity consumption in winter is higher than summer because of the high capacity of heating equipment. All of the house has electric base load from 0.26kWh to 0.5kWh. The average of the electricity consumption of month is shown as 326.7kWh. A week is seperated as 4 part such as week, weekend, Saturday and Sunday. During week, the average of timely electricity consumption is shown as 0.442kWh. The Saturday consumption is 0.453kWh. The Sunday is 0.461kWh.

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A Deterministic Transit Assignment Model for Intercity Rail Network (지역간 철도의 결정적 통행배정모형 구축 연구)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Tae;Rhee, Sung-Mo;Kwon, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.550-561
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to propose a new transit assignment model for intercity rail networks. The characteristics of intercity rail are different from that of public transit in urban area. Line selection probability on route section is introduced to include the characteristics of intercity rail into transit assignment model. Network expansion is more simplified by a assumption line selection probability is externally given. The generalized cost is used to decide the volume of each transit line in most of existing transit assignment models. But, many variables have influence on the volume of each line such as time schedule of transit lines, inter-station distance, passengers' income, seasonal variation of demand and regional characteristics. The influence of these variables can be considered to decide the volume of each line by introducing line selection probability on route section. The tests on a small scale network show that the model proposed in this paper is superior to existing models for predicting intercity rail demand. Proposed model is suitable to consider the complicated fare structure of intercity rail and to draw inter-station demand directly as a result of assignment procedure.

A Machine Learning-based Method for Virtual Network Function Resource Demand Prediction (기계학습 기반의 가상 네트워크 기능 자원 수요 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Hee-Gon;Lee, Do-Young;Yoo, Jae-Hyung;Hong, James Won-Ki
    • KNOM Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • Network virtualization refers to a technology creating independent virtual network environment on a physical network. Network virtualization technology can share the physical network resources to reduce the cost of establishing the network for each user and enables the network administrator to dynamically change the network configuration according to the purpose. Although the network management can be handled dynamically, the management is manual, and it does not maximize the profit of network virtualization. In this paper, we propose Machine-Learning technology to allow the network to learn by itself and manage its management dynamically. The proposed approach is to dynamically allocate appropriate resources by predicting resource demand of VNF in service function chaining, which is a core and essential problem in virtual network management. Our goal is to predict the resource demand of the VNF and dynamically allocate the appropriate resources to reduce the cost of network operation while preventing service interruption.

Analysis of Automobile Industry Trends and Demand Forecasting of Monthly Automobile Sales in Chin (중국 내 자동차 산업 동향과 월별 판매량 시계열분석)

  • Chenyang, Wang;Se Won, Lee
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we introduced the development status and the government policy of the Chinese automobile industry under the rapidly changing global economic environment. We conducted a consumer trend survey on automobile purchases by consumers in China. Despite the Chinese government's strong national emission control policy and stricter standards for manufacturing and selling internal combustion engine vehicles, 59.6% of respondents saying they would choose an internal combustion engine vehicle when purchasing a vehicle in the future for various reasons. It was confirmed that there is a significant gap between government policies and consumer perceptions. In addition, we have discovered the recent declining trend of automobile sales in China, and used the monthly sales volume from January 2010 to December 2020 as training set, and the sales volume from January 2021 to November 2022 as a test set. We proposed and evaluated a time-series model for predicting future automobile demand in China. Then, we showed the monthly sales forecast for 2023 when each model was applied.

The State of the Art and Architectural Environmental Property Evaluation of Earth Construction Material (주요 흙 건축재료 현황 및 건축환경 관련 물성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Seol-Young;Koo, Bo-Kyoung;Song, Seung-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2006
  • As a demand for sustainable development rises, the preference for earth house (earth construction) increases gradually. However, there are few data for predicting and evaluating the thermal environment and indoor air quality of earth house. Thus, this study aims to measure thermal properties(thermal conductivity, density and specific heat) and pollutants emission intensities(formaldehyde and volatile organic compounds) of current main earth construction materials and make a comparison between earth and cement construction materials. As results, quantitative thermal properties and pollutants emission intensities of current main earth construction materials are shown.

The Stress-Strain Behavior of Weathered Granite Soil after Cyclic Loading (화강암 풍화토가 반복하중을 받은 후의 변형거동에 관한 소고)

  • 이종규;김주한
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 1991
  • Increasing demand of rational analysis of dynamic soil behavior subjected to repetitive loading has evolved soil dynamics which is essential for proper design and/or analysis of dynamically loaded soil structure. In this paper, the stress-strain behavior of weathered granite soil under cyclic loading is stud- ied by measuring the strength and the strain before and after application of at least 11, 000 cycles of repetitive load. Relationships are suggested for predicting results of soil dynamics from those of soil statics.

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Study on Spray Angle of a Throttleable Pintle Injector according to Total Momentum Ratio based on Hot Fire Test Conditions (연소시험 조건 기반 총운동량비에 따른 가변추력 핀틀 분사기의 분무각 분석)

  • Heo, Subeom;Kim, Dae Hwan;Lee, Suji;Yoon, Youngbin
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2020
  • Throttleable rocket engines are in high demand due to the diversification of space missions. Pintle injector is known to be suitable for throttleable rocket engines, because of its high efficiency in overall thrust zone. In this study, the relationship between spray angle of a throttleable pintle injector and total momentum ratio based on hot fire test conditions was investigated. As a result, the spray angle in 100% and 60% throttling level is higher than the spray angle obtained by the case which considers only propellant mass flow rate, owing to higher total momentum ratio (TMR). The results of this study may be useful for predicting spray angle in hot fire test.

Development of a Simulator of a Magnetic Suspension and Balance System

  • Lee, Dong-Kyu;Lee, Jun-Seong;Han, Jae-Hung;Kawamura, Yoshiyuki;Chung, Sang-Joon
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2010
  • The increased demand for a higher performing magnetic suspension and balance system (MSBS) resulted in an increase in costs for the efforts necessary for achieving an improved MSBS. Therefore, MSBS performance should be predicted during the design in order to reduce risk. This paper presents the modeling and simulation of an MSBS that controls 6-degree of freedom (DOF) of an aerodynamic body within the MSBS. Permanent magnets and electromagnets were modeled as coils, and this assumption was verified by experimental results. Finally, an MSBS simulator was developed, predicting that the MSBS is able to contain the model within a bounded region as well as measure external forces acting on the body during wind tunnel tests.

Inelastic seismic analysis of RC bridge piers including flexure-shear-axial interaction

  • Lee, Do Hyung;Elnashai, Amr S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.241-260
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    • 2002
  • The effect of shear coupled with axial force variation on the inelastic seismic behaviour of reinforced concrete bridge piers is investigated in this paper. For this purpose, a hysteretic axial-shear interaction model was developed and implemented in a nonlinear finite element analysis program. Thus, flexure-shear-axial interaction is simulated under variable amplitude reversed actions. Comparative studies for shear-dominated reinforced concrete columns indicated that a conventional FE model based on flexure-axial interaction only gave wholly inadequate results and was therefore incapable of predicting the behaviour of such members. Analysis of a reinforced concrete bridge damaged during the Northridge (California 1994) earthquake demonstrated the importance of shear modelling. The contribution of shear deformation to total displacement was considerable, leading to increased ductility demand. Moreover, the effect of shear with axial force variation can significantly affect strength, stiffness and energy dissipation capacity of reinforced concrete members. It is concluded that flexure-shear-axial interaction should be taken into account in assessing the behaviour of reinforced concrete bridge columns, especially in the presence of high vertical ground motion.

Predictive analysis of the Number of Cataract Surgeries (백내장 수술건수 추이예측 분석)

  • Jeong, Ji-Yun;Jeong, Jae-Yeon;Lee, Hae-Jong
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2020
  • Purposes: This study aims to investigate the number of cataract surgeries and predict future trends using 13-year data. Methodology: Trends investigation and comparison of prediction methods was conducted to determine better prediction model using Major Surgery Statistics from Korean Statistical Information Service in 2006-2018. ARIMA(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) was selected and prediction was conducted using R program. Findings: As a results, the number of surgeries will continue to increase. The trends was predicted to increase during January-April, and it declined over time and was the lowest in August. Pratical Implications: Therefore, it is necessary that management will be needed by continuously investigating and predicting the demand and trend for surgery to prepare an alternative to the increase.