• 제목/요약/키워드: precipitation patterns

검색결과 310건 처리시간 0.026초

Possibility of Climate Change and Simulation of Soil Moisture Content on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Chejudo Island, Korea

  • Kim, Eun-Shik;Kim, Young-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2000
  • Changing patterns and the possibility of climate change in the area of Cheiudo island, the southernmost Island in Korea, were analyzed using daily temperature and Precipitation data observed at the Cheiu Regional Meteorological Office from May 1923 to December 1998. A hydrologic simulation model "BROOK" was used to simulate and analyze the dynamics of daily soil moisture content and soil moisture deficit by applying the daily weather data. During the period, significantly increasing pattern was observed in temperature data of both annual and monthly basis, while no significantly changing pattern was observed in precipitation data. During the last 76 years. mean annual temperature was observed to have risen about 1.4$^{\circ}C$, which may show the Possibility of the initiation of climate change on the island whose validity should be tested in future studies after long-term studies on temperature. Based on the simulation, due to increased temperature, significant increase was predicted in evapotranspiration. while no significant decrease was detected in simulated soil moisture content during the period. Changing pattern of annual soil moisture content was markedly different from those of precipitation. In some dominant trees, negative effects of the drought of the late season for the previous year were shown to be statistically significant to radial growth of the tree for the current year. As annual variation of radial growth of trees is mainly affected by the soil moisture content. the information on the dynamics of soil moisture deficit possibly provides us with useful information for the interpretation of tree growth decline on the mountain. mountain.

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우리나라 인근과 유럽의 계절에 따른 강수와 기온의 관계 및 RCP8.5 시나리오에 기반한 미래 전망 (The Seasonal Correlation Between Temperature and Precipitation Over Korea and Europe and the Future Change From RCP8.5 Scenario)

  • 김진욱;부경온;심성보;권원태;변영화
    • 대기
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2017
  • It is imperative to understand the characteristics of atmospheric circulation patterns under the climate system due to its impact on climatic factors. Thus this study focused on analyzing the impact of the atmospheric circulation on the relationship between precipitation and temperature regionally. Here we used monthly gridded observational data (i.e., CRU-TS3.2, NOAA-20CR V2c) and HadGEM2-AO climate model by RCP8.5, for the period of 1960~1999 and 2060~2099. The experiment results indicated that the negative relationship was presented over East Asia and Europe during summer. On the other hand, at around Korea (i.e. EA1: $31^{\circ}N{\sim}38^{\circ}N$, $126^{\circ}E{\sim}140^{\circ}E$) and Northwestern Europe (i.e. EU1: $48^{\circ}N{\sim}55^{\circ}N$, $0^{\circ}E{\sim}16^{\circ}E$) in winter, strong positive relationship dominate due to warm moist advection come from ocean related to intensity variation of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), respectively. It was found that values of positive relation in EA1 and EU1 at the end of the 21st century is regionally greater than at the end of 20th century during winter since magnitude of variation of the EAWM and NAO is projected to be greater in the future as result of simulation with RCP 8.5. Future summer, the negative correlations are weakened in EA1 region while strengthened in EU1 region. For better understanding of correlations with respect to RCP scenarios, a further study is required.

고령지 농경지에서 융설에 의한 토양유실량 모의 (Simulation of Soil Erosion due to Snow Melt at Alpine Agricultural Lands)

  • 허성구;임경재;김기성;사공명;안재훈
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2005
  • Doam watershed is located at alpine areas in the Kangwon province. The annual average precipitation, including snow accumulation during the winter, at the Doam watershed is significantly higher than other areas. Thus, pollutant laden runoff and sediment discharge from the alpine agricultural fields are causing water quality degradation at the Doam watershed. To estimate soil erosion from the agricultural fields, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used because of its simplicity to use. The USLE rainfall erosivity (R) factor is responsible for impacts of rainfall on soil erosion. Thus, use of constant R factor for the Doam watershed cannot reflect variations in precipitation patterns, consequently soil erosion estimation. In the early spring at the Doam watershed, the stream flow increases because of snow melt, which results in erosion of loosened soil experiencing freezing and thaw during the winter. However, the USLE model cannot consider the impacts on soil erosion of freezing and thaw of the soil. Also, it cannot simulate temporal changes in USLE input parameters. Thus, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was investigated for its applicability to estimate soil erosion at the Doam watershed, instead of the widely used USLE model. The SWAT hydrology and erosion/sediment components were validated after calibration of the hydrologic component. The $R^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values are higher enough, thus it was found the SWAT model can be efficiently used to simulate hydrology and sediment yield at the Doam watershed. The effects of snow melt on SWAT estimated stream flow and sediment were investigated using long-term precipitation and temperature data at the Doam watershed. It was found significant amount of flow and sediment in the spring are contributed by melting snow accumulated during the winter. Thus, it is recommend that the SWAT model capable of simulating snow melt and long-term weather data needs to be used in estimating soil erosion at alpine agricultural land instead of the USLE model for successful soil erosion management at the Doam watershed.

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표준강수증발산지수를 활용한 미래 가뭄특성의 시계열 변화전망 (Projection of Temporal Trends on Drought Characteristics using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in South Korea)

  • 남원호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Recent droughts in South Korea have had large economic and environmental impacts across the country. Changes in rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can potentially increase the occurrence of extreme droughts and affect the future availability of water resources. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate drought vulnerability for water resources planning and management, and identify the appropriate mitigation actions to conduct a drought risk analysis in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics in South Korea to examine drought impacts under climate change. First, the changes of drought occurrence were analyzed by applying the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions. These results show the high influence of climate change on drought phenomenon, and will contribute to water resources management and drought countermeasures to climate change.

Impact of Change in Monsoonal Circulation Due to SST Warming on the North East Asian Monsoon: A Model Analysis Using Satellite Based Sub-Grid Hydrometeors

  • Bhattacharya, Anwesa;Park, Rae Seol;Kwon, Young Cheol
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.545-561
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    • 2018
  • Over the North East Asia, extreme anomalous precipitation were observed in 2013 and 2014. During 2013 summer the precipitation was found to be higher (two standard deviation) than the climatological mean of the region; whereas during 2014, which was a borderline El Ni?o year, precipitation was found to be lower (one standard deviation). To understand the differences of these two anomalous years the Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs) has been used. The study found that low landsurface temperature and high sea-surface temperature over ocean caused a smaller land-sea contrast of surface temperature between East Asia and North West Pacific Ocean in 2014, which could have caused an eastward shift of mean monsoon circulation in that year compared to the circulation in 2013. Due to a change in the lower level circulation and wind field over East Asia the evaporation and moisture transport patterns became very different in those two years. In 2013, this study found high latent heat flux over Eastern China, which implies an increased surface evaporation over that region, and the moisture transported to the north by the mean monsoon circulation; whereas, there was no correlated transport of moisture to the North East Asia during 2014. The precipitable water over North East Asia has a stronger correlation with the latent heat flux over southern land region than that from Ocean region in the eastern side in both the years. A new approach is proposed to estimate the sub-grid scale hydrometeors from GRIMs, overestimated in the existing model.

A novel framework for correcting satellite-based precipitation products in Mekong river basin with discontinuous observed data

  • Xuan-Hien Le;Giang V. Nguyen;Sungho Jung;Giha Lee
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.173-173
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    • 2023
  • The Mekong River Basin (MRB) is a crucial watershed in Asia, impacting over 60 million people across six developing nations. Accurate satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) are essential for effective hydrological and watershed management in this region. However, the performance of SPPs has been varied and limited. The APHRODITE product, a unique gauge-based dataset for MRB, is widely used but is only available until 2015. In this study, we present a novel framework for correcting SPPs in the MRB by employing a deep learning approach that combines convolutional neural networks and encoder-decoder architecture to address pixel-by-pixel bias and enhance accuracy. The DLF was applied to four widely used SPPs (TRMM, CMORPH, CHIRPS, and PERSIANN-CDR) in MRB. For the original SPPs, the TRMM product outperformed the other SPPs. Results revealed that the DLF effectively bridged the spatial-temporal gap between the SPPs and the gauge-based dataset (APHRODITE). Among the four corrected products, ADJ-TRMM demonstrated the best performance, followed by ADJ-CDR, ADJ-CHIRPS, and ADJ-CMORPH. The DLF offered a robust and adaptable solution for bias correction in the MRB and beyond, capable of detecting intricate patterns and learning from data to make appropriate adjustments. With the discontinuation of the APHRODITE product, DLF represents a promising solution for generating a more current and reliable dataset for MRB research. This research showcased the potential of deep learning-based methods for improving the accuracy of SPPs, particularly in regions like the MRB, where gauge-based datasets are limited or discontinued.

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다차원 강우모형의 시간적인 특성 연구 (A Study of Temporal Characteristics From Multi-Dimensional Precipitation Model)

  • 김상단;유철상;김중훈;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.783-791
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    • 2000
  • Waymire 등 (1984)에 의해 제안된 다차원 강우모형을 시공간 상에서 강우를 모의하기 위하여 사용하였다. 위 모형은 시공간 상에서 실제 중규모 호우의 기상학적인 특징을 잘 재현하면서 이동하는 호우를 모의한다. 영월 지역의 4개 지점에서 4년간의 7월 강우 시자료를 바탕으로 모형의 매개변수를 추정하였으며, 추정된 매개변수를 사용하여 12년간의 7월 강우를 1시간 간격으로 모의 발생하였다. 모의 발생된 자료를 각 지점별로 재 구축한 후, 각 지점별 1, 2차 통계량의 계산을 통하여 Neyman-Scott 일차원 강우모형의 매개변수를 추정하는데 사용되었다. 실제 자료를 통한 Neyman-Scott모형의 매개변수와 비교결과, 다차원 강우모형을 통하여 발생된 자료는 일차원 강우모형의 매개변수를 우수하게 재현시킬 수 있는 것으로 판단된다.

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Effect of irrigants on the color stability, solubility, and surface characteristics of calcium-silicate based cements

  • Selen Kucukkaya Eren;Sevinc Askerbeyli Ors;Hacer Aksel;Senay Canay ;Duygu Karasan
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.10.1-10.11
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the color stability, solubility, and surface characteristics of 3 calcium silicate-based cements (CSCs) after immersion in different solutions. Materials and Methods: ProRoot white mineral trioxide aggregate (MTA), Biodentine, and Endosequence Root Repair Material (ERRM) were placed in cylindrical molds and stored at 37℃ for 24 hours. Each specimen was immersed in distilled water, 5% sodium hypochlorite (NaOCl), 2% chlorhexidine, or 0.1% octenidine hydrochloride (OCT) for 24 hours. Color changes were measured with a spectrophotometer. Solubility was determined using an analytical balance with 10-5 g accuracy. The surface characteristics were analyzed using scanning electron microscopy and energy-dispersive spectroscopy. Data were analyzed using 2-way analysis of variance, the Tukey test, and the paired t-test. Results: MTA exhibited significant discoloration in contact with NaOCl (p < 0.05). White precipitation occurred on the surfaces of Biodentine and ERRM after contact with the solutions, and none of the materials presented dark brown discoloration. All materials showed significant solubility after immersion in the solutions (p < 0.05), irrespective of the solution type (p > 0.05). The surface topography and elemental composition of the samples showed different patterns of crystal formation and precipitation depending on the solution type. Conclusions: All materials presented some amount of solubility and showed crystal precipitation after contact with the solutions. Biodentine and ERRM are suitable alternatives to ProRoot MTA as they do not exhibit discoloration. The use of OCT can be considered safe for CSCs.

K번째 최근접 표본 재추출 방법에 의한 일 강우량의 추계학적 분해에 대한 연구 (Stochastic disaggregation of daily rainfall based on K-Nearest neighbor resampling method)

  • 박희성;정건희
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2016
  • 산업의 발전에 따라 기반시설 및 인구 등이 대도시에 밀집되어, 도시홍수방어는 인명피해 뿐만 아니라 재산피해 저감 차원에서도 매우 중요한 문제가 되었다. 요즘은 이러한 도시유역의 유출해석을 보다 정확하게 하기 위해 시강우나 분단위의 강우자료를 활용하고 있다. 하지만 기후변화 시나리오와 같은 미래 강우시나리오는 현재 일단위 수준으로 제공되므로 미래 강우에 대한 확률빈도 해석에 제한이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 추계학적 기법을 이용해 일강우 자료를 시강우 자료로 분해하고자 하였다. 일자료를 시자료로 분해하기 위해 과거 시강우 자료를 기반으로 Gram Schmidt 변환과 K개의 최근접 표본 중 하나를 재추출하는 비모수적인 기법(KNNR)을 적용하였다. 이 방법은 연유출량을 월유출량으로 분해하기 위해 개발된 것이다. 하지만 강우자료는 유출량 자료와 달리 확률밀도가 작아 일강우를 시강우로 분해하는 데 직접 적용하는 경우 결과가 실제와 유사한 통계 패턴을 갖는다고 보기 어려웠다. 이를 보완하기 위해 본 연구에서는 분해하고자 하는 일자의 전일과 후일을 포함한 3일 강우패턴을 7개로 구분하고 동일 패턴을 가진 자료들만 분해에 이용하도록 하여 강우자료에 대한 적용성을 높였다. 과거 52년간의 서울기상관측소 시강우 자료를 이용하여 강우자료의 분해에 대한 결과를 분석한 결과, 분해된 시강우 자료가 관측된 시강우자료와 통계적으로 매우 유사한 것을 확인하였다. 향후 기후변화자료의 시강우 분해 등에 활용하여 보다 정확한 도시유출에 대한 빈도해석 등에 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

한국에 있어서 1994년 하계한발의 기후학적 연구 (Climatological Study of 1994's Summer Droughts in Korea)

  • 양진석
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 1996
  • 본 연구는 한국에 있어서 1994년 하계한발의 지역적 분포특성과 지상기압장 및 500hPa면의 종관적 특성을 평년과 비교분석한 연구이다. 평년강수량에 대한 1994년 강수량의 백분율을 기준한 6월의 한발은 여수 중심의 남부지방, 7월은 한국 전역, 8월은 소백산맥 이동의 남동안에 심한 한발을 초래하여 강수와 시간적 공간적 변동성을 반영하고 있다. 6 8월의 한반도와 그 주변의 지상기압장의 기압편차가 정편차, 전국적인 한발이 나타난 7월은 부편차역에 속하여 대조를 이룬다. 1994년 하계에 한반도를 통과한 온대저기압은 그 통과 빈도가 낮을 뿐만 아니라 한반도로부터 남편, 혹은 북편되어 통과하여서 온대저기합성 강수의 출현빈도가 낮음을 알 수 있다. 6월의 한발시 500hPa면의 trough의 중심이 평년보다 동편되어 한반도는 이 trough의 서쪽에 위치하고 7 8월은 한반도와 그 주변이 ridge에 속한다. 따라서 한반도와 그 주변의 500hPa면 고도편차는 정편차를 나타내며 이때 동서지수는 높아서 평년에 비해 동서류가 강할 때 한발이 출현함을 밝혔다.

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