Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.14191/Atmos.2017.27.1.079

The Seasonal Correlation Between Temperature and Precipitation Over Korea and Europe and the Future Change From RCP8.5 Scenario  

Kim, Jin-Uk (Climate Research Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
Boo, Kyung-On (Climate Research Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
Shim, Sungbo (Climate Research Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
Kwon, Won-Tae (Jeju Development Institute)
Byun, Young-Hwa (Climate Research Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
Publication Information
Atmosphere / v.27, no.1, 2017 , pp. 79-91 More about this Journal
Abstract
It is imperative to understand the characteristics of atmospheric circulation patterns under the climate system due to its impact on climatic factors. Thus this study focused on analyzing the impact of the atmospheric circulation on the relationship between precipitation and temperature regionally. Here we used monthly gridded observational data (i.e., CRU-TS3.2, NOAA-20CR V2c) and HadGEM2-AO climate model by RCP8.5, for the period of 1960~1999 and 2060~2099. The experiment results indicated that the negative relationship was presented over East Asia and Europe during summer. On the other hand, at around Korea (i.e. EA1: $31^{\circ}N{\sim}38^{\circ}N$, $126^{\circ}E{\sim}140^{\circ}E$) and Northwestern Europe (i.e. EU1: $48^{\circ}N{\sim}55^{\circ}N$, $0^{\circ}E{\sim}16^{\circ}E$) in winter, strong positive relationship dominate due to warm moist advection come from ocean related to intensity variation of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), respectively. It was found that values of positive relation in EA1 and EU1 at the end of the 21st century is regionally greater than at the end of 20th century during winter since magnitude of variation of the EAWM and NAO is projected to be greater in the future as result of simulation with RCP 8.5. Future summer, the negative correlations are weakened in EA1 region while strengthened in EU1 region. For better understanding of correlations with respect to RCP scenarios, a further study is required.
Keywords
Relationship between precipitation and temperature; atmospheric circulation during winter; East Asia; Europe;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Allan, R. P., C. Liu, M. Zahn, D. A. Lavers, E. Koukouvagias, and A. Bodas-Salcedo, 2014: Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surv. Geophys., 35, 533-552, doi:10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z.   DOI
2 Collins, W. J., and Coauthors, 2008: Evaluation of the Had-GEM2 model. Hadley Centre Technical Note 74, 47 pp. [Available online at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/library/publications/science/climate-science.].
3 Endo, H., and A. Kitoh, 2014: Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 1704-1710, doi:10.1002/2013GL059158.   DOI
4 Fleig, A. K., L. M. Tallaksen, P. James, H. Hisdal, and K. Stahl, 2015: Attribution of European precipitation and temperature trends to changes in synoptic circulation. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 3093-3107, doi:10.5194/hess-19-3093-2015.   DOI
5 Folland, C. K., J. Knight, H. W. Linderholm, D. Fereday, S. Ineson, and J. W. Hurrell, 2008: The summer North Atlantic Oscillation: Past, present, and future. J. Climate, 21, 1082-1103, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2459.1.
6 Hartmann, D. L., and Coauthors, 2013: Observations: Atmosphere and surface. In Stocker, T. F. et al. Eds., Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 159-254.
7 Lee, Y.-Y., G.-H. Lim, and J.-S. Kug, 2010: Influence of the East Asian winter monsoon on the storm track activity over the north pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D09102, doi:10.1029/2009JD012813.
8 Held, I. M., and B. J. Soden, 2006: Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J. Climate, 19, 5686-5699, doi:10.1175/JCLI3990.1.   DOI
9 Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.   DOI
10 Jhun, J.-G., and E.-J. Lee, 2004: A new East Asian winter monsoon index and associated characteristics of the winter monsoon. J. Climate, 17, 711-726, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0711:ANEAWM>2.0.CO;2.   DOI
11 Lehmann. J., and D. Coumou, 2015: The influence of midlatitude storm tracks on hot, cold, dry and wet extremes. Sci. Rep., 5, 17491, doi:10.1038/srep17491.   DOI
12 Madden, R. A., and J. Williams, 1978: The correlation between temperature and precipitation in the United States and Europe. Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 142-147.   DOI
13 Rehfeld, K., and T. Laepple, 2016: Warmer and wetter or warmer and dryer? Observed versus simulated covariability of Holocene temperature and rainfall in Asia. Earth Planet. Sc. Lett., 436, 1-9, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2015.12.020.   DOI
14 Trenberth, K. E., and D. J. Shea, 2005: Relationships between precipitation and surface temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L14703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022760.
15 Yoon, J.-S., I.-U. Chung, and S.-H. Shin, 2015: Performance of CMIP5 Models for the relationship between variabilities of the North Pacific Storm Track and East Asian Winter Monsoon. Atmosphere, 25, 295-308, doi:10.14191/Atmos.2015.25.2.295 (in Korean with English abstract).   DOI
16 Zhao, W., and M. A. K. Khalil, 1993: The relationship between precipitation and temperature over the contiguous United States. J. Climate, 6, 1232-1236.   DOI