• Title/Summary/Keyword: portfolio risk management

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FUZZY RISK MEASURES AND ITS APPLICATION TO PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION

  • Ma, Xiaoxian;Zhao, Qingzhen;Liu, Fangai
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.3_4
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    • pp.843-856
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    • 2009
  • In possibility framework, we propose two risk measures named Fuzzy Value-at-Risk and Fuzzy Conditional Value-at-Risk, based on Credibility measure. Two portfolio optimization models for fuzzy portfolio selection problems are formulated. Then a chaos genetic algorithm based on fuzzy simulation is designed, and finally computational results show that the two risk measures can play a role in possibility space similar to Value-at-Risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk in probability space.

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An emmpirical test of the portfolio diversification effects (Evidence from KOSPI and KOSDAQ) (KOSPI와 KOSDAQ의 포트폴리오 분산효과 실증분석)

  • Lee, Young-Hywan;Yoon, Hong-Geun;Shin, Ju-Bum
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2007
  • This paper empirically examines the portfolio diversification effect using data from both KOSPI and KOSDAQ. In KOSPI market, portfolio diversification effect disappears when more than 18 stocks are added in the portfolio. About 63% of portfolio risk is eliminated. In KOSDAQ market, the maximum portfolio diversification effect is achieved when 17 stocks are at least included in a portfolio. The maximum cumulative risk reduction is 35%.

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A Study on Volatility Management of the Smart-beta Portfolio: Focus on Asia-Pacific Stock Market (스마트-베타 포트폴리오의 변동성관리에 관한 연구: 아시아-태평양 지역 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Liu, Won-Suk
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we investigate the performance of anomaly factors in Asia-Pacific Stock market and show the higher Sharpe ratio of the volatility managed smart beta portfolio. The smart beta portfolio combines the benefit of passive strategy and active strategy. However, the smart beta portfolios are seems to be exposed to the risk of anomaly factors from the perspective of traditional financial equilibrium model. Therefore, the smart beta strategy may generate negatively skewed returns unappealing to investors having lower risk tolerance. Our empirical investigations find that the return of the Asia-Pacific region stock market is more volatile than other regions with the lower efficiency ratio. However, the value factor and the momentum factor of Asia-Pacific region both show good performances. More interestingly, we also find that managing the volatility of the momentum factor in Asia-Pacific stock market almost doubles the efficiency ratio.

Two-layer Investment Decision-making Using Knowledge about Investor′s Risk-preference: Model and Empirical Testing.

  • Won, Chaehwan;Kim, Chulsoo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2004
  • There have been many studies to build a model that can help investors construct optimal portfolio. Most of the previous models, however, are based upon the path-breaking Markowitz model (1959) which is a quantitative model. One of the most important problems with that kind of quantitative model is that, in reality, most of the investors use not only quantitative, but also qualitative information when they select their optimal portfolio. Since collecting both types of information from the markets are time consuming and expensive, making a set of target assets smaller, without suffering heavy loss in the rate of return, would attract investors. To extract only desired assets among all available assets, we need knowledge that identifies investors' preference for the risk of the assets. This study suggests two-layer decision-making rules capable of identifying an investor's risk preference and an architecture applying them to a quantitative portfolio model based on risk and expected return. Our knowledge-based portfolio system is to build an investor's preference-oriented portfolio. The empirical tests using the data from Korean capital markets show the results that our model contributes significantly to the construction of a better portfolio in the perspective of an investor's benefit/cost ratio than that produced by the existing portfolio models.

Determination Conversion Weight of Convertible Bonds Using Mean/Value-at-Risk Optimization Models (평균/VaR 최적화 모형에 의한 전환사채 주식전환 비중 결정)

  • Park, Koohyun
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2013
  • In this study we suggested two optimization models to determine conversion weight of convertible bonds. The problem of this study is same as that of Park and Shim [1]. But this study used Value-at-Risk (VaR) for risk measurement instead of CVaR, Conditional-Value-at-Risk. In comparison with conventional Markowitz portfolio models, which use the variance of return, our models used VaR. In 1996, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision recommended VaR for portfolio risk measurement. But there are difficulties in solving optimization models including VaR. Benati and Rizzi [5] proved NP-hardness of general portfolio optimization problems including VaR. We adopted their approach. But we developed efficient algorithms with time complexity O(nlogn) or less for our models. We applied examples of our models to the convertible bond issued by a semiconductor company Hynix.

A Strategy for Optimal Production Management of Multi-Species Fisheries using a Portfolio Approach (포트폴리오 기법을 이용한 복수어종의 최적 생산관리 전략)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to examine the applicability of a portfolio approach to the ecosystem-based fisheries management targeting the large purse seine fishery. Most fisheries are targeting multispecies and species are biologically and technically interacted each other. It enables a portfolio approach to be applied to find optimal production of each species through expected returns and risk analyses. Under specific assumptions on the harvest quota by species, efficient risk-return frontiers were generated and they showed a combination of optimal production level. Comparisons between portfolio and actual production provided a useful information for targeting strategy and management. Results also showed the possibility of effective multispecies fisheries management by imposing constraints on each species such as total allowable catch quotas.

An Investigation of Trading Strategies using Korean Stocks and U.S. Dollar (국내 주식과 미 달러를 이용한 투자전략에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chan;Yang, Ki-Sung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.123-138
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study compares the performances of dynamic asset allocation strategies using Korean stocks and U.S. dollar, which have been negatively correlated for a long time, to examine the diversification effects in the portfolios of them. Design/methodology/approach - In the current study, we use KOSPI200 index, as a proxy of the aggregated portfolio of Korean stocks, and USDKRW foreign exchange rate to implement various portfolio management strategies. We consider the equally-weighted, risk-parity, minimum variance, most diversified, and growth optimal portfolios for comparison. Findings - We first find the enhancement of risk adjusted returns due to risk reduction rather than return increasement for all the portfolios of consideration. Second, the enhancement is more pronounced for the trading strategies using correlations as well as volatilities compared to those using volatilities only. Third, the diversification effect has become stronger after the global financial crisis in 2008. Lastly, we find that the performance of the growth optimal portfolio can be improved by utilizing the well-known momentum phenomenon in stock markets to select the length of the sample period to estimate the expected return. Research implications or Originality - This study shows the potential benefits of adding the U.S. dollar to the portfolios of Korean stocks. The current study is the first to investigate the portfolio of Korean stocks and U.S. dollar from investment perspective.

Credit Risk Measurement Practices in Indian Commercial Banks - An Empirical Investigation

  • Arora, Swaranjeet
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2014
  • Banking institutions have been facing variety of difficulties but the major cause of serious banking problems relates to lax credit standards for borrowers and counterparties, poor portfolio risk management, or a lack of attention to changes in economic or other circumstances that can lead to deterioration in the credit standing of a bank's counterparties. Although credit risk is an important factor that financial institutions should cope with, but the determinants of measuring credit risk have been studied less. This paper attempts to explore the determinants of credit risk measurement and to identify the factors that contribute to credit risk measurement practices in Indian banks and to compare credit risk measurement practices followed by Indian public and private sector banks, the empirical study has been conducted and views of employees of various banks have been tested using statistical tools. This study explored the phenomenon from different perspectives and revealed that single-name credit risk measurement and portfolio credit risk measurement are the key components that contribute to credit risk measurement in Indian banks. From the descriptive and analytical results, it can be concluded that Indian banks efficiently measure credit risk. The results also indicate that there is a significant difference between the Indian public and private sector banks in single-name credit risk measurement while, these banks do not significantly differ in portfolio credit risk measurement aspect.

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The Effects of Blockholder Diversity on the Firm Risk: Evidence from Korea

  • KIM, Hung Sik;CHO, Kyung-Shick
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the effect of block diversity on the risk of firms listed on the Korean Stock Exchange between 2010 and 2017. To examine the effect of block diversity on corporate risk, we measure block diversity in terms of a single component, portfolio size, by referring to prior literature. This diversity component accounts for the differences in portfolio size across corporate blocks. In line with existing research on corporate risk, we consider several variables to measure corporate risk: volatility, beta, and idiosyncratic risk. The results show a negative relationship between the size of a block shareholder's portfolio and corporate risk. We also show no difference in the effect of block diversity on the corporate risk between KOSPI and KOSDAQ. This implies that the difference in portfolio size among corporate blocks reduces corporate risk. This may be due to the effect of inter-block monitoring activities in the Korean securities market, which benefits from block diversity. This empirical result supports previous studies that predicted that block diversity would have beneficial influences on firm monitoring in general. This study is significant in that it analyzes the relationship between block diversity and firm risk and provides relevant information to business practitioners and investors.

The Admissible Multiperiod Mean Variance Portfolio Selection Problem with Cardinality Constraints

  • Zhang, Peng;Li, Bing
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.118-128
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    • 2017
  • Uncertain factors in finical markets make the prediction of future returns and risk of asset much difficult. In this paper, a model,assuming the admissible errors on expected returns and risks of assets, assisted in the multiperiod mean variance portfolio selection problem is built. The model considers transaction costs, upper bound on borrowing risk-free asset constraints, cardinality constraints and threshold constraints. Cardinality constraints limit the number of assets to be held in an efficient portfolio. At the same time, threshold constraints limit the amount of capital to be invested in each stock and prevent very small investments in any stock. Because of these limitations, the proposed model is a mix integer dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. The forward dynamic programming method is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, to evaluate the model, our result of a meaning example is compared to the terminal wealth under different constraints.