• 제목/요약/키워드: population attributable risk

검색결과 45건 처리시간 0.029초

기초자치단체의 폭염으로 인한 온열 및 심뇌혈관질환 부담 (Municipal Disease Burden Attributable to Heat Wave)

  • 이수형;신호성
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The objective of study was to calculate the municipal level environmental burden of disease (EBD) due to heat wave. Methods: The data used were Korea National Health Insurance 2011 claim data and 2011 death registry. Heatwave related diseases included hypertensive heart diseases, ischemic heart diseases, cerebrovascular disease, and heat related illness. According to the method that WHO proposed, the study computed population-attributable fraction with relative risk which come from previous study and proportion of exposure which the study calculated with historical meteorology data. Results: The Average of 251 municipal EBD was 2.11 per thousand persons. The value of years lost due to disability was 11 times higher than that of years of life lost. On average EBD of county and southern geographical areas tended to be higher than those of District or city areas. The relationship between municipal deprivation index (composite deprivation index) and EBD showed the positive association, which means that the worse deprived municipal is, the higher EBD takes. Conclusions: Climate change is getting one of the major risk factors of cardio-cerebrovascular disease, which is the second leading cause of death. The study results suggested the urgent policy planning and reaction of climate change adaptation.

부산지역의 산사태 위험 연구 (A Study on Potential Risk of Landslide in Pusan)

  • 이수곤
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 1999
  • Pusan's reputation as the nation's most crowded city in terms of population density is attributable to its huge mountains which allow only small portion of residential area to its large population. Rapid increase of urban population on limited amount of land had naturally led its developments efforts to mountainous area giving rise to the concern of potential landslide. This study on urban Pusan and "Landslide Hazard Map" thereof is prepared in an attempt to avoid disasters created by landslide and also as a reference for city planners. The Map shows that the area covering 38% to 43% of urban Pusan has the potential for landslide. The study also shows that various civil works involving massive land excavation had been more direct cause of landslides in Pusan than such traditional factors as locations, ground slopes, rock types and topography of the area concerned.

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폭염 취약지역 도출에 관한 연구 - 충청남도를 대상으로 - (A Study on Identification of the Heat Vulnerability Area - Case Study in Chungcheongnamdo -)

  • 이경진;차정우
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2019
  • This study is to identify the heat vulnerability area as represented by heat risk factors which could be attributable to heat-related deaths. The heat risk factors were temperature, Older Adults(OA), Economic Disadvantage(ED), Accessibility of Medical Services(AMS), The population Single Person Households(SPH). The factors are follow as; the temperature means to the number of days for decades average daily maximum temperature above $31^{\circ}C$, the Older Adults means to population ages 65 and above, furthermore, the Economic Disadvantage means to the population of Basic Livelihood Security Recipients(BLSR), the Accessibility of Medical Services(AMS) means to 5 minutes away from emergency medical services. The results of the analysis are showed that the top-level of temperature vulnerability areas is Dong, the top-level of vulnerability OA areas is Eup, the top-level of AMS vulnerability is Eup. Moreover, the top-level of vulnerability ED area appears in the Eup and Dong. The result of analysing relative importance to each element, most of the Eup were vulnerable to heat. Since, there are many vulnerable groups such as Economic Disadvantage, Older Adults in the Eup. We can be figured out estimated the number of heat-related deaths was high in the Eup and Dong by the data of emergency activation in the Chungcheongnam-do Fire Department. Therefore, the result of this study could be reasonable.

담배 가격인상이 흡연률과 흡연귀속사망에 미칠 영향에 대한 연구 -대도시 일부 사무직 근로자를 대상으로- (A Study on The Effect of The Tobacco Price Raise on The Smoking Rate and Smoking Attributable Death)

  • 강종원;김정순
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.697-707
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 대도시 일부 사무직 근로자를 대상으로 흡연에 관한 설문조사를 통해 흡연률, 과거흡연률, 가격변동시 예상흡연률과 그에 따른 흡연의 귀속 사망수 감소 기대수를 조사, 분석하였다. 그 결과는 다음과 같았다. 1. 대도시 지역 남성 사무직 근로자의 흡연률은 59.5%였고 과거흡연률은 28.8%였으며, 과거흡연자를 제외하고 흡연률을 산출할 경우 흡연률은 67.4%였다. 2. 남성흡연자중 담배의 가격과 무관하게 금연할 의사가 있다고 응답한 사람의 분율은 55.3%였고, 담배의 가격이 4배 이상 인상될 경우 금연하겠다고 응답한 사람의 분율은 61.5%로서 반수 이상의 흡연자가 금연하겠다는 의사를 가지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 3. 남성 흡연자의 흡연시작연령은 반수 이상(62.3%) 만 20세 미만으로, 미성년자 시기에 흡연을 시작하는 경우가 많았다. 4. 담배의 가격인상폭을 크게 할수록 금연 의사가 있는 사람의 비율이 늘어서, 4배이상 가격을 인상할 경우 예상 흡연률이 26.7%였다. 매년 20%씩 담배의 가격이 오를 경우 예상 흡연률은 46.2%였다. 5. 남성을 대상으로 흡연과 관련이 깊은 주요 8개 질환군(폐암, 위암, 췌장암, 후두암, 식도암, 뇌혈관질환, 허헐성심질환, 만성폐쇄성폐질환)의 귀속위험을 추산한 결과 매년 25,863명이 흡연에 기인해서 사망하는 것으로 추산되었다. 이는 20세 이상 총 남성 사인 분류가능 사망수 128,875명의 20.1%이다. 6. 담배의 가격인상시 기대되는 흡연률을 적용하여 계산한 결과 담뱃값을 4배 이상 올렸을 때 금연 실천률을 100%로 가정했을 때 귀속위험은 13,527명으로서 매년 홉연으로 인한 사망의 47.7%인 12,336명의 사망을 줄일 수 있는 것으로 추산되었다. 7. 담배의 가격인상시 금연하도록 동기부여가 되는 사람중에서 실제로 금연하는 사람의 비율을 10%, 25%, 50%로 가정했을 때, 기대 사망수 감소는 가격을 4배 이상 인상했을 때 각각 1,112명, 3,483명, 5,796명 이었다.

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Occupational Burden of Cancer in Korea

  • Kim, Eun-A;Lee, Hye-Eun;Kang, Seong-Kyu
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The extent of the occupational cancer burden has rarely been estimated in Korea. The aim of this study is to provide an estimation of the population attributable fraction (PAF) of occupational cancer in Korea. Methods: Nine kinds of Group 1 carcinogens addressed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and 7 kinds of cancer were selected for the target carcinogens and diseases, respectively. The prevalence of carcinogen-exposed workers was estimated and correction factors were applied so that the value would be representative of the total population. Data on relative risk (RR) were taken from IARC reports and were compared with the RRs from the studies on Korean workers. The PAF was estimated according to Levin's formula. Results: The proportion of the general Korean population exposed to carcinogens was 9.7%. The PAF of total cancer was 1.1% for incident cancer cases and 1.7% for cancer deaths. The PAFs of lung cancer and leukemia were 7.0% and 4.5%, respectively. With the RRs reported from Korean studies, the PAF for lung cancer and leukemia were 3.7% and 3.4%, respectively. Conclusion: The PAF in this study (1.1%) was lower than that reported in previous studies (2-4%) from developed countries. Considering that only 9 of the 29 kinds of Group 1 carcinogens were included in this study, the PAF might be underestimated. However, because the process of industrialization in Korea differs from that which occurred in other developed countries, 1.1% of the PAF might be appropriate for Korea.

Human Health Risk Assessment Due to Air Pollution in the Megacity Mumbai in India

  • Maji, Kamal Jyoti;Dikshit, Anil Kumar;Chaudhary, Ramjee
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the human health risk in terms of the excess number of mortality and morbidity in the megacity Mumbai, India due to air pollution. AirQ software was used to enumerate the various health impacts of critical pollutants in Mumbai in past 22 years during 1992-2013. A relationship concept based on concentration-response relative risk and population attributable-risk proportion was employed by adopting World Health Organization (WHO) guideline for concentrations of air pollutants like $PM_{10}$, $SO_2$ and $NO_2$. For the year 1992 in Mumbai, it was observed that excess number of cases of total mortality, cardiovascular mortality, respiratory mortality, hospital admission due to COPD, respiratory disease and cardiovascular disease were 8420, 4914, 889, 149, 10568 and 4081 respectively. However, after 22 years these figures increased to 15872, 9962, 1628, 580, 20527 and 7905 respectively, but all of these reached maximum in the year 2006. From the result, it is also noted that except COPD morbidity the excess number of cases from 1992-2002 to 2003-2013 increased almost by 30%; and the excess number of mortality and morbidity is basically due to particulate matter ($PM_{10}$) than due to gaseous pollutants.

유전체 역학연구의 동향 (Current Status of Genomic Epidemiology Reseach)

  • 이경무;강대희
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2003
  • Genomic epidemiology is defined as 'an evoking field of inquiring that uses the systematic application of epidemiologic methods are approaches in population-based studies of the impact of human genetic variation on health and disease (Khoury, 1998)'. Most human diseases are caused by the intricate interaction among environmental exposures and genetic susceptibility factors. Susceptibility genes involved in disease pathogenesis are categorized into two groups: high penetrance genes (i.e., BRAC1, RB, etc.) and lour penetranoe genes (i.e., GSTs, Cyps, XRCC1, ets.), and low penetrance susceptibility genes has the higher priority for epidemiological research due to high population attributable risk. In this paper, the summarized results of the association study between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and breast cancer in Korea were introduced and the international trends of genomic epidemiology research were reviewed with an emphasis on internee-based case-control and cohort consortium.

한국인의 피부 기저세포암종과 편평세포암종의 XRCC1 유전자 다형 (Polymorphism in the DNA Repair Gene XRCC1 Associated with Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Basal Cell Carcinoma of the Skin in Koreans)

  • 강상윤;이광길;심정연;정윤규;김남근;민완기
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.433-439
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: DNA in most cell is regularly damaged by endogenous and exogenous mutagens. Unrepaired damage resulted in apoptosis or may lead to unregulated cell growth and cancer. Inheritance of genetic variants at one or more loci results in an reduced DNA repair capacity. These polymorphisms are highly prevalent in the population, and therefore the attributable risks for cancer could be high. Several studies have documented that polymorphisms of XRCC1, XPD and XRCC3 are associated with skin cancer, especially, XRCC1 among of them has been reported frequently. So, this study involves the relationship between mutation of XRCC1 of squamous cell and basal cell cancer of the skin and risk of cancer development in Korean population. Methods: In case control study, study population (n=100, each cancer) is patients who were pathologically diagnosed as skin cancer(squamous cell carcinoma and basal cell carcinoma) in Yonsei Wonju Christian Hospital and Bundang CHA General Hospital between 1998 and 2004. The samples of DNA from whom no history of premalignant skin lesion and other malignant diseases were reported belonged to the control group(n=210). Blood and tissue samples were analyzed for presence of XRCC1 Arg399Glu, Arg280His, Arg194Trp using PCR/ RFLP method. Results: For Korean, there was a significant correlation between XRCC1 Arg399Gln gene mutation and risk of basal cell carcinoma development(Arg 399Gln(GA), p=0.012, OR=2.016, 95% CI; 1.230-3.305) /Arg399Gln (AA), p=0.011, OR=1.864, 95% CI; 1.149-3.026)). And, there was also significant correlation between XRCC1 Arg194Trp and risk of skin squamous cell carcinoma development (Arg194Trp (CT+TT), p=0.041, OR=0.537, 95% CI; 0.301-0.960)). In contrast, there was no significant correlation between XRCC1 Arg280His and risk of either basal cell carcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma development. Conclusions: Our result present that XRCC1 Arg399 Gln in basal cell carcinoma and XRCC1 Arg194Trp in squamous cell carcinoma have possibility of cancer risk and biomarker in Korean population. But XRCC1 Arg280 His known having cancer risk on other studies is not associated with cancer risk to squamous cell carcinoma and basal cell carcinoma in Korean population.

Risk factors for infectious bronchitis virus infection in laying flocks in three provinces of Korea: preliminary results

  • Pak, Son-Il;Kwon, Hyuk-Moo;Yoon, Hee-Jun;Song, Chang-Sun;Son, Young-Ho;Mo, In-Pil;Song, Chi-Yong
    • 대한수의학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.405-410
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    • 2005
  • To analyze and identify selected risk factors for infectious bronchitis virus (IBV) infection in the growing and laying period of laying-hen flocks, a longitudinal field study was conducted with 27 commercial flocks reared in three provinces of Korea during the period from May 2003 to April 2004. Using monitored data for IBV infection status among study flocks we computed the multivariate odds ratios (ORs) and their corresponding confidence intervals (CIs), and population attributable risks (PARs). Multivariate logistic regression showed significant risk increments for: continuous entry of chick (OR=1.9, 95% CI, 0.7-69.1) and operation years of the layer house greater than or equal to 5 years (OR=3.2, 95%CI, 1.6-389.9). No significant interaction was found between variables. The PAR suggested that continuous entry of chick (PAR=32%) and ${\geq}5years$ of house operation (PAR=84%) had the highest impacts on IB presence in laying-hen flocks under study. Of the two significant factors, however, operation year of the layer house lacks an easy applicability in preventing IB control strategies, and the possibility of confounder cannot be ruled out.

Time Trends of Esophageal Cancer Mortality in Linzhou City During the Period 1988-2010 and a Bayesian Approach Projection for 2020

  • Liu, Shu-Zheng;Zhang, Fang;Quan, Pei-Liang;Lu, Jian-Bang;Liu, Zhi-Cai;Sun, Xi-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.4501-4504
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    • 2012
  • In recent decades, decreasing trends in esophageal cancer mortality have been observed across China. We here describe esophageal cancer mortality trends in Linzhou city, a high-incidence region of esophageal cancer in China, during 1988-2010 and make a esophageal cancer mortality projection in the period 2011-2020 using a Bayesian approach. Age standardized mortality rates were estimated by direct standardization to the World population structure in 1985. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis was carried out in order to investigate the effect of the age, period and birth cohort on esophageal cancer mortality in Linzhou during 1988-2010 and to estimate future trends for the period 2011-2020. Age-adjusted rates for men and women decreased from 1988 to 2005 and changed little thereafter. Risk increased from 30 years of age until the very elderly. Period effects showed little variation in risk throughout 1988-2010. In contrast, a cohort effect showed risk decreased greatly in later cohorts. Forecasting, based on BAPC modeling, resulted in a increasing burden of mortality and a decreasing age standardized mortality rate of esophageal cancer in Linzhou city. The decrease of esophageal cancer mortality risk since the 1930 cohort could be attributable to the improvements of socialeconomic environment and lifestyle. The standardized mortality rates of esophageal cancer should decrease continually. The effect of aging on the population could explain the increase in esophageal mortality projected for 2020.