• Title/Summary/Keyword: pipeline life prediction

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An Overview of New Progresses in Understanding Pipeline Corrosion

  • Tan, M. YJ;Varela, F.;Huo, Y.;Gupta, R.;Abreu, D.;Mahdavi, F.;Hinton, B.;Forsyth, M.
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2016
  • An approach to achieving the ambitious goal of cost effectively extending the safe operation life of energy pipeline to 100 years is the application of health monitoring and life prediction tools that are able to provide both long-term remnant pipeline life prediction and in-situ pipeline condition monitoring. A critical step is the enhancement of technological capabilities that are required for understanding and quantifying the effects of key factors influencing buried steel pipeline corrosion and environmentally assisted materials degradation, and the development of condition monitoring technologies that are able to provide in-situ monitoring and site-specific warning of pipeline damage. This paper provides an overview of our current research aimed at developing new sensors and electrochemical cells for monitoring, categorising and quantifying the level and nature of external pipeline and coating damages under the combined effects of various inter-related variables and processes such as localised corrosion, coating cracking and disbondment, cathodic shielding, transit loss of cathodic protection.

Hybrid Fungal Genome Annotation Pipeline Combining ab initio, Evidence-, and Homology-based gene model evaluation

  • Min, Byoungnam;Choi, In-Geol
    • 한국균학회소식:학술대회논문집
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.22-22
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    • 2018
  • Fungal genome sequencing and assembly have been trivial in these days. Genome analysis relies on high quality of gene prediction and annotation. Automatic fungal genome annotation pipeline is essential for handling genomic sequence data accumulated exponentially. However, building an automatic annotation procedure for fungal genomes is not an easy task. FunGAP (Fungal Genome Annotation Pipeline) is developed for precise and accurate prediction of gene models from any fungal genome assembly. To make high-quality gene models, this pipeline employs multiple gene prediction programs encompassing ab initio, evidence-, and homology-based evaluation. FunGAP aims to evaluate all predicted genes by filtering gene models. To make a successful filtering guide for removal of false-positive genes, we used a scoring function that seeks for a consensus by estimating each gene model based on homology to the known proteins or domains. FunGAP is freely available for non-commercial users at the GitHub site (https://github.com/CompSynBioLab-KoreaUniv/FunGAP).

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A Study on Time Series Cross-Validation Techniques for Enhancing the Accuracy of Reservoir Water Level Prediction Using Automated Machine Learning TPOT (자동기계학습 TPOT 기반 저수위 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 시계열 교차검증 기법 연구)

  • Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Woon-Ji;Lee, Seoro;Park, Tae-Seon;Park, Sang-Bin;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • This study assessed the efficacy of improving the accuracy of reservoir water level prediction models by employing automated machine learning models and efficient cross-validation methods for time-series data. Considering the inherent complexity and non-linearity of time-series data related to reservoir water levels, we proposed an optimized approach for model selection and training. The performance of twelve models was evaluated for the Obong Reservoir in Gangneung, Gangwon Province, using the TPOT (Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool) and four cross-validation methods, which led to the determination of the optimal pipeline model. The pipeline model consisting of Extra Tree, Stacking Ridge Regression, and Simple Ridge Regression showed outstanding predictive performance for both training and test data, with an R2 (Coefficient of determination) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) exceeding 0.93. On the other hand, for predictions of water levels 12 hours later, the pipeline model selected through time-series split cross-validation accurately captured the change pattern of time-series water level data during the test period, with an NSE exceeding 0.99. The methodology proposed in this study is expected to greatly contribute to the efficient generation of reservoir water level predictions in regions with high rainfall variability.

A study on the corrosion evaluation and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipeline in residential buildings

  • Jeong, Jin-A;Jin, Chung-Kuk;Lee, Jin Uk
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.8
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    • pp.828-832
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    • 2015
  • This study is conducted for the evaluation of corrosion and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipelines in residential buildings. The fire extinguishing pipeline is made of carbon steel. Twenty-four samples were selected among all the fire extinguishing pipelines in a building; the selection was based on specimenspositions, pipeline diameters, and pipeline thickness. Analysis was conducted by using the results of visual inspection, electrochemical potentiodynamic anodic polarization test, pitting depth measurements, and extreme value statistics with the Gumbel distribution. The maximum pitting depth and remaining life were statistically predicted using extreme value statistics. During visual inspection, pitting corrosion was observed in several samples. In addition, extreme value statistics demonstrated that there were several pipelines that were very sensitive to pitting corrosion. However, the pitting corrosion was not critical in all the pipelines; thus, it was necessary to change only those pipelines that were severely corroded.

Statistical Life Prediction of Corroded Pipeline Using Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론법을 이용한 부식된 배관의 통계적 수명예측)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.2401-2406
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    • 2015
  • Pipelines are used by large heavy industries to deliver various types of fluids. Since this is important to maintain the performance of large systems, it is necessary to accurately predict remaining life of the corroded pipeline. However, predicting the remaining life is difficult due to uncertainties in the associated variables, such as geometries, material properties, corrosion rate, etc. In this paper, a statistical method for predicting corrosion remaining life is proposed using Bayesian inference. To accomplish this, pipeline failure probability was calculated using prior information about pipeline failure pressure according to elapsed time, and the given experimental data based on Bayes' rule. The corrosion remaining life was calculated as the elapsed time with 10 % failure probability. Using 10 and 50 samples generated from random variables affecting the corrosion of the pipe, the pipeline failure probability was estimated, after which the estimated remaining useful life was compared with the assumed true remaining useful life.

A study on the economical life of large-diameter water pipe: case study in P waterworks (대구경 상수도관로의 경제적수명 산정 연구: P상수도 사례연구)

  • Kim, Kibum;Seo, Jeewon;Choi, Taeho;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2018
  • This study develops a model to estimate the economic life of the large-diameter water supply pipeline in Korea by supplementing existing methods used to perform similar calculations. To evaluate the developed methodology, the model was applied to the actual target area with the conveyance pipe in P waterworks. The application yielded an economic life computation of 39.7 years, considering the cost of damages, maintenance, and renewal of the pipeline. Based on a sensitivity analysis of the derived results, the most important factor influencing the economic life expectancy was the predicted failure rate. The methodology for estimating the economic life of the water supply pipeline proposed in this study is one of the core processes of basic waterworks facility management planning. Therefore, the methods and results proposed in this study may be applied to asset management planning for water service providers.

Prognostics for Industry 4.0 and Its Application to Fitness-for-Service Assessment of Corroded Gas Pipelines (인더스트리 4.0을 위한 고장예지 기술과 가스배관의 사용적합성 평가)

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Choe, Byung Hak;Kim, Woosik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.649-664
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: This paper introduces the technology of prognostics for Industry 4.0 and presents its application procedure for fitness-for-service assessment of natural gas pipelines according to ISO 13374 framework. Methods: Combining data-driven approach with pipe failure models, we present a hybrid scheme for the gas pipeline prognostics. The probability of pipe failure is obtained by using the PCORRC burst pressure model and First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method. A fuzzy inference system is also employed to accommodate uncertainty due to corrosion growth and defect occurrence. Results: With a modified field dataset, the probability of failure on the pipeline is calculated. Then, its residual useful life (RUL) is predicted according to ISO 16708 standard. As a result, the fitness-for-service of the test pipeline is well-confirmed. Conclusion: The framework described in ISO 13374 is applicable to the RUL prediction and the fitness-for-service assessment for gas pipelines. Therefore, the technology of prognostics is helpful for safe and efficient management of gas pipelines in Industry 4.0.

The Fatigue Life Prediction of Defect in Pipeline Weldment (배관 용접부에 존재하는 결함의 피로수명 평가)

  • 김영표;김우식
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.460-465
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    • 2001
  • 본고에서 피로균열성장에 대한 일반사항과 배관용접부 결함의 피로수명평가 방안에 대해서 알아보았다. 고압의 가연성 가스나 액체를 수송하는 배관이 피로에 의해 파괴되는 경우에는 엄청난 재산과 인적 손실을 발생시킬 수 있다. 따라서 배관운용회사들은 배관의 안정적인 운용을 위하여 다양한 환경에 노출되어있는 배관의 피로특성을 정확히 평가해야 한다.

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Prediction of Remaining Life for Corroded Pipelines (부식 손상된 파이프라인의 잔존 수명 예측)

  • JIN, Yeung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2004
  • Recently, researchers and engineers from, the development of reliability engineering and probability fracture mechanics, have begun to take seriously the reliability analysis and the integrity for a corroded pipeline. Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects increase gradually both in extent, and depth with increased periods of exposure. This causes a reduction of the remaining strength and the carrying capacity of a pipeline; and creates uncertainty about the future capacity. The steps that are necessary in order to assess the integrity of corroded pipelines will be discussed in this paper utilizing results from an actual model.

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Creep Damage Evaluation of High-Temperature Pipeline Material for Fossil Power Plant by Ultrasonic Test Method (초음파에 의한 발전소 고온배관재료의 크리프손상 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Guk;Chung, Min-Hwa
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2 s.32
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 1999
  • Boiler high-temperature pipelines such as main steam pipe, header and steam drum in fossil power plants are degraded by creep damage due to severe operationg conditions which are high temperature and high pressure for an extended period time. Such material degradation leads to various component failures causing serious accidents at the plants. Conventional measurement techniques such as replica method, electric resistance method, and hardness test method have such disadvantages as complex preparation and measurement procedures, too many control parameters, and therefore, low practicality and they were applied only to component surfaces with good accessibility. In this paper, artificial creep degradation test and ultrasonic measurement for their creep degraded specimens have been carried out for the purpose of evaluation for creep damage which can occur in high-temperature pipeline of fossil power plant. Absolute measuring method of quantitative ultrasonic measurement for material degradation was established, and long term creep degradationtests using life prediction formula were carried out. As a result of ultrasonic tests for crept specimens, we confirmed that the sound velocity decreased and the attenuation coefficient linearly increased in proportion to the increase of creep fractiin(${\phi}$c).

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