• 제목/요약/키워드: percent-errors

검색결과 118건 처리시간 0.029초

근사이론에 의한 Cantilever원통쉘의 해석 (Analysis of a cantilever cylindrical shell by an approximate thory)

  • 김천욱;이영신
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 1981
  • The present study gives an apprximate equation of circular cylindrical shell on the basis of Flugges's exact theory. The longitudinal bending moment .MU.$\_$x/ and circumferential strain .epsilon.$\_$.theta. are assumed to be small to be small and have been neglected. The governing equation of the cylindrical shell, which is generaly presented as 8th order partial differential equation, is reduced into a 4th order partial differential equation for axial coordinate. To verify the validity and accuracy of this approximate theory, the cantilever cylindrical shell subjected to a concentrated load is analyzed. The maximum errors of longitudinal stress and deflection are about 10 percent compared with the analysis by flugge's theory and are about 15 percent with experimental results.

비정규 공정을 위한 공정관리도의 연구동향 분석 (Research Results and Trends Analysis on Process Control Charts for Non-normal Process)

  • 김종걸;김창수;엄상준;김형만;최성원;정동구
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2013년 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.547-556
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    • 2013
  • Control chart is most widely used in SPC(Statistical Process Control), Recently it is a critical issue that the standard control chart is not suitable to non-normal process with very small percent defective. Especially, this problem causes serious errors in the reliability procurement, such as semiconductor, high-precision machining and chemical process etc. Procuring process control technique for non-normal process with very small percent defective and perturbation is becoming urgent. Control chart technique in non-normal distribution become very important issue. In this paper, we investigate on research trend of control charts under non-normal distribution.

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접시형 태양열 집광 시스템의 에너지 분포 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on Energy Distributions Produced by Dish Solar Concentrating System)

  • 현성택;강용혁;천원기
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.907-913
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    • 2002
  • An experimental study on energy density distributions produced by dish solar concentrating system was performed to optimally design and rightly position a cavity receiver. This deemed also very useful to find and correct various errors associated with a concentrator. It is observed that the actual focal length is 2.17 m with a maximum energy density of 1.89 MW/$m^2$. By evaluating the position of flux centroid, it was found that there are errors within 2 cm from the target center. As a result of the percent power within radius, approximately 90% of the incident radiation is intercepted by about 0.06 m radius. The area concentration ratio normalized to 800 W/$m^2$ insolation and 90% mirror reflectivity was 347 suns. The total integrated power of 2467 W was measured under focal flux distributions, which corresponds to the intercept rate of 85.8%.

조종석 자동화 시스템의 안전저해요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Impedimental Factors for Flight Safety of Cockpit Automation Systems)

  • 한경근;이병기
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.99-116
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    • 2000
  • Accident statistics cite the flightcrew as a primary contributor in about 70 percent of accidents involving transport category airplanes. The introduction of modem flight deck designs, which have automated many piloting tasks, has reduced or eliminated some types of flightcrew errors, but other types of errors have been introduced. To identify the impedimental factors in highly automated modem airplane cockpit systems, this study used readily available information sources and case study, From the evidence, this study identified issues that show vulnerabilities in pilot management of automation, situation awareness, communication between pilots and controllers, pilot's training and evaluation methods. The next step will require the aviation community to solve these problems for the safety improvement.

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PREDICTION OF DIAMETRAL CREEP FOR PRESSURE TUBES OF A PRESSURIZED HEAVY WATER REACTOR USING DATA BASED MODELING

  • Lee, Jae-Yong;Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to develop a bundle position-wise linear model (BPLM) to predict Pressure Tube (PT) diametral creep employing the previously measured PT diameters and operating conditions. There are twelve bundles in a fuel channel, and for each bundle a linear model was developed by using the dependent variables, such as the fast neutron fluences and the bundle coolant temperatures. The training data set was selected using the subtractive clustering method. The data of 39 channels that consist of 80 percent of a total of 49 measured channels from Units 2, 3, and 4 of the Wolsung nuclear plant in Korea were used to develop the BPLM. The data from the remaining 10 channels were used to test the developed BPLM. The BPLM was optimized by the maximum likelihood estimation method. The developed BPLM to predict PT diametral creep was verified using the operating data gathered from Units 2, 3, and 4. Two error components for the BPLM, which are the epistemic error and the aleatory error, were generated. The diametral creep prediction and two error components will be used for the generation of the regional overpower trip setpoint at the corresponding effective full power days. The root mean square (RMS) errors were also generated and compared to those from the current prediction method. The RMS errors were found to be less than the previous errors.

가속도 바이어스와 타이어반경 오차를 고려한 차량절대속도 추정 (Absolute Vehicle Speed Estimation considering Acceleration Bias and Tire Radius Error)

  • 황진권;송철기
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제10권6호
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    • pp.234-240
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    • 2002
  • This paper treats the problem of estimating the longitudinal velocity of a braking vehicle using measurements from an accelerometer and wheel speed data from standard anti-lock braking wheel speed sensors. We develop and experimentally test three velocity estimation algorithms of increasing complexity. The algorithm that works the best gives peak errors of less than 3 percent even when the accelerometer signal is significantly biased.

Molecular Dynamics Simulation on thermodynamic and Structural Properties of Liquid Hydrocarbons : Normal Alkanes

  • Im, Won-Pil;Won, Young-Do
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.852-856
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    • 1994
  • A series of aliphatic hydrocarbons, methane to hexane in the liquid state, are modeled with the molecular mechanical potential parameters treating all hydrogen degrees of freedom explicitly. Thermodynamic properties (heat capacities and heats of vaporization) are calculated from relatively short (20ps) molecular dynamics trajectories. The liquid state structures are also examined through various radial distribution functions. Molecular dynamics simulations reproduce experimentally measured properties within a few percent errors, thus indicate that the present set of all-hydrogen parameters is suitable for simulating macromolecular systems in bulk.

HERITABILITIES AND GENETIC CORRELATIONS OF EGG QUALITY TRAITS IN TAIWANS'S LOCAL CHICKEN

  • Chen, C.F.;Lee, Y.P.;Lee, Z.H.;Huang, S.Y.;Huang, H.H.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.433-440
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    • 1993
  • Means and standard errors of 285 Taiwan's local chicken and 429 Single Comb White Leghorn pullets at 35 wk of age were: egg weight (g) $48.3{\pm}0.3$, $54.6{\pm}0.3$, shell index $73.39{\pm}0.26$, $73.20{\pm}0.18$, shell color $15.23{\pm}0.40$, $0.88{\pm}0.27$, shell whiteness $72.61{\pm}0.57$, $90.00{\pm}0.35$, shell strength ($kg/cm^2$) $3.77{\pm}0.07$, $3.35{\pm}0.05$, shell thickness (mm) $0.38{\pm}0.003$, $0.38{\pm}0.002$, Haugh units $85.26{\pm}0.50$, $91.81{\pm}0.38$ and yolk percent (%) $30.17{\pm}0.18$, $27.32{\pm}0.16$ respectively. Theestimated heritabiliities of Taiwan's local chicken based on sire and dam components of variance were as follows: egg weight 0.20, shell index 0.1, shell color 0.87, shell whiteness 0.79, shell strength 0.37, shell thickness 0.14, Haugh units 0.24 and yolk percent 0.16. Genetic correlations based on sire and dam components of variance and covariance were also estimated. Generically, the shell index was positively correlated with egg weight, shell strength and yolk percent, and egg weight was negatively correlated with shell thickness, Haugh unit and yolk percent.

ARIMA모형을 이용한 2011년 BDI의 예측 (Forecasts of the 2011-BDI Using the ARIMA-Type Models)

  • 모수원
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.207-218
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    • 2010
  • 2011년 세계경기는 그리 밝지 않은 것으로 전망되고 있다. 금년 11월 미국 정부가 6,000억 달러라는 천문학적 규모의 양적 완화를 발표하였음에도 별다른 효과를 기대하지 않을 정도로 세계경제에 대한 전망이 흐린 것이다. 글로벌 불균형과 환율문제에서의 국가간 갈등, 국제통화제도의 불안정 등도 경기회복을 더디게 하는 요인으로 지목되고 있다. 그런데 해운경기와 세계경제는 밀접한 연관성을 갖기 때문에 당연히 해운경기에 대한 전망이 밝지 않다. 본고는 2011년의 해운경기를 예측하기 위하여 단변량 모형인 4개의 ARIMA 모형과 6개의 개입ARIMA모형을 이용한다. 먼저 사후적 예측을 하여 10개의 모형의 RMSPE가 비교적 높을 뿐만 아니라 RW 모형의 그것보다 높아 동 모형을 이용한 예측이 부정확할 수 있음을 보인다. 그러나 이러한 점은 예측치에 대한 부정확을 의미하는 것이지 2011년 해운경기의 흐름에 대한 예측을 거부하는 것은 아니다. 사전적 예측을 통해 모형간 예측치가 비교적 큰 차이를 보이나 2011년 내내 침체 상태에 있거나 2011년 후반기에 침체상태로 접어든다는 것을 밝힌다. 해운업계에 어려운 시기가 될 수 있다는 것을 시사한다.

2012 BDI의 예측 (Forecasting the BDI during the Period of 2012)

  • 모수원
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • 미국 신용등급 하락 이후 미국의 더블딥 우려와 유럽 재정위기가 세계 경제를 크게 뒤흔들고 있다. 미국의 재정적자가 심각한 수준에 도달하여 재정정책수단이 제대로 작용하지 못하고 유럽의 일부 국가에서도 재정위기 가능성이 상존하여 실물위기로 파급될 가능성이 높다. 이러한 점들은 세계경제가 내년에도 상당한 불확실성을 보일 것이라는 것을 의미한다. 세계경제에 대한 전망이 밝지 못한 가운데 해운경기는 세계 경기와 밀접한 관계가 있기 때문에 어두운 전망의 세계경제는 해운경기 역시 밝지 않을 것이라는 것을 쉽게 예측할 수 있다. 본고는 2012년의 해운경기를 예측하기 위하여 단변량 모형인 4개의 ARIMA 모형과 6개의 개입ARIMA모형을 이용한다. 먼저 사후적 예측을 하여 10개의 모형의 RMSPE가 비교적 높을 뿐만 아니라 일부 모형에서는 상당히 높아 ARIMA모형에 의한 예측이 어려움을 의미한다. 사전적 예측을 통해 모형들의 예측치가 큰 차이를 보이지 않으며 그러나 2012년 예측치가 모형 4개의 최대 2178-2320, 모형 6개의 최대 2071-2533에 불과하여 해운경기가 여전히 불황에서 벗어나기 어려울 것이라는 것을 보인다.