• Title/Summary/Keyword: pedestrian accident models

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Pedestrian Accident Severity Analysis and Modeling by Arterial Road Function (간선도로 기능별 보행사고 심각도 분석과 모형 개발)

  • Beck, Tea Hun;Park, Min kyu;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES: The purposes are to analyze the pedestrian accident severity and to develop the accident models by arterial road function. METHODS: To analyze the accident, count data and ordered logit models are utilized in this study. In pursuing the above, this study uses pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 in Cheongju. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, daytime, Tue.Wed.Thu., over-speeding, male pedestrian over 65 old are selected as the independent variables to increase pedestrian accident severity. Second, as the accident models of main and minor arterial roads, the negative binomial models are developed, which are analyzed to be statistically significant. Third, such the main variables related to pedestrian accidents as traffic and pedestrian volume, road width, number of exit/entry are adopted in the models. Finally, Such the policy guidelines as the installation of pedestrian fence, speed hump and crosswalks with pedestrian refuge area, designated pedestrian zone, and others are suggested for accident reduction. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed the pedestrian accident severity, and developed the negative binomial accident models. The results of this study expected to give some implications to the pedestrian safety improvement in Cheongju.

Developing the Pedestrian Accident Models Using Tobit Model (토빗모형을 이용한 가로구간 보행자 사고모형 개발)

  • Lee, Seung Ju;Kim, Yun Hwan;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the pedestrian accidents in case of Cheongju. The goals are to develop the pedestrian accident model. METHODS : To analyze the accident, count data models, truncated count data models and Tobit regression models are utilized in this study. The dependent variable is the number of accident. Independent variables are traffic volume, intersection geometric structure and the transportation facility. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, Tobit model was judged to be more appropriate model than other models. Also, these models were analyzed to be statistically significant. Second, such the main variables related to accidents as traffic volume, pedestrian volume, number of Entry/exit, number of crosswalk and bus stop were adopted in the above model. CONCLUSIONS : The optimal model for pedestrian accidents is evaluated to be Tobit model.

Developing the Pedestrian Accident Models of Intersections using Tobit Model (토빗모형을 이용한 교차로 보행자 사고모형 개발)

  • Lee, Seung Ju;Lim, Jin Kang;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.154-159
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    • 2014
  • This study deals with the pedestrian accidents of intersections in case of Cheongju. The objective is to develop the pedestrian accident models using Tobit regression model. In pursuing the above, the pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 were collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. To analyze the accident, Poisson, negative binomial and Tobit regression models were utilized in this study. The dependent variable were the number of accident by intersection. Independent variables are traffic volume, intersection geometric structure and the transportation facility. The main results were as follows. First, Tobit model was judged to be more appropriate model than other models. Also, these models were analyzed to be statistically significant. Second, such the main variables related to accidents as traffic volume, pedestrian volume, number of traffic island, crossing length and the pedestrian countdown signal systems were adopted in the above model.

Pedestrian Accident Models of Roundabout Near Schools by the Number of Entry and Circulatory Lane (회전 및 진입 차로 수에 따른 학교와 인접한 회전교차로 보행자 사고모형)

  • Son, Seul Ki;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2017
  • This study deals with the safety of roundabout. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the pedestrian accidents of roundabout near schools. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to comparatively analyzing the pedestrian accident by number of entry and circulatory lane. The traffic accident data from 2013 to 2015 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. To develop the pedestrian accident model, the Poisson and negative binomial models has been utilized in this study. Such the dependent variable as the number of pedestrian accidents and the 24 independent variables as geometry, traffic volume and others are used. The main results are as follows. First, 3 Poisson and 2 negative binomial models(${\rho}^2$ of 0.153~0.426) which are all statistically significant are developed. Second, the common variable of models based on the number of circulatory roadway lane is analyzed to be the entry lane width and that of the number of entry lane is evaluated to be the design speed. Also specific variables are evaluated to splitter island, roundabout sign, number of approach road, bus stop and elementary school. Finally, the design speed might be expected to decrease the number of pedestrian accidents near schools.

A study on Pedestrian Accident Reconstruction Models: Comparison and Improvement (보행자-차량 충돌사고 재현모형 비교분석 및 개선 연구)

  • Jo, Jeong-Il;O, Cheol;Kim, Nam-Il;Jang, Myeong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2007
  • This study presents comparison results for pedestrian accident reconstruction models representing the relationship between collision speed and horizontal distance that a body travels while falling and sliding. A set of 49 reliable pedestrian accident cases are applied to compare the existing reconstruction models. In addition, the authors investigate the effects of a set of parameters associated with the effects of the frontal shape of a vehicle on the horizontal distance a pedestrian travels while falling and sliding. It has been revealed that the length of the bumper is the most dominant factor to affect the horizontal distance of pedestrian travel after collision. Further analyses utilizing more accident data need to conducted to develop a more accurate and reliable reconstruction model.

Pedestrian Accident Rate Models of Circular Intersection Near Schools (학교와 인접한 원형교차로의 보행자 사고율 모형)

  • SON, Seul Ki;LEE, Min Yeong;PARK, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the pedestrian accidents of roundabout near schools. To this end, this study has focus on the comparative analysis of pedestrian accidents across different school areas. The traffic accident data from 2007 to 2014 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. To develop the pedestrian accident rate model, the linear regression model has been utilized in this study. 28 explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume factors are used. The main results are summarized as follows. First, the null hypotheses that the number of pedestrian accidents are the same are rejected. Second, 5 multiple linear regression accident models with higher statistical significance (adjusted $R^2$ of 0.651~0.788) have been developed. Third, while the common variables of 3 models (model I~III) related to school location are evaluated to be the pedestrian island, crosswalk, types of roundabout, elementary school and bus stop. Fourth, while the common variable of 3 models (model III~V) related to near school area or not is evaluated to be pedestrian island, type of roundabout, sidewalk, elementary school, speed hump, speed limit sign and number of entry lane. As a result, the installation of pedestrian islands and crosswalk might be expected to decrease the number of pedestrian accidents near schools.

Analysis on the Accident Factors of Pedestrian Accident Severity in Roundabout Near School (학교와 인접한 회전교차로 보행자 사고심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Son, Seul Ki;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the roundabout accidents near schools. This study gives particular attentions discussing characteristics by pedestrian accident severity using the ordered logit models. In pursuing the above, 63 roundabouts installed before 2014 are surveyed for modeling. the traffic accident data from 2014 to 2016 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. Such 35variables explaining the accidents as environment, human, geometries, school and roundabout factor are selected from literature reviews. The main results are as follows. First, the ordered logit models (${\rho}^2$ of 0.272, $x^2$ of 24.723) which is statistically significant have been developed. Second, environment factor variable is analyzed to be day or night ($X_1$ ), human factor variables are evaluated to be driver gender($X_4$), older driver($X_5$), pedestrian gender($X_7$) and children pedestrian($X_8$ ). Third, geometries factor variable are analyzed to be speed limit sign($X_{16}$) and median barrier($X_{21}$), school factor variables are evaluated to be hump-type crosswalk($X_{25}$), CCTV($X_{26}$) and school zone sign($X_{27}$), roundabout factor are analyzed to be roundabout sign($X_{30}$) and number of circulatory roadway lane($X_{32}$). Finally, this study could give some implications to decreasing the accidents severity at roundabout near schools.

Methodology for Optimizing Parameters of Vehicle Safety Regulation on Pedestrian Protection (보행자-차량 충돌안전기준 매개변수 최적화 방법론 개발 및 적용)

  • Oh, Cheol;Kim, Beom-Il;Kang, Youn-Soo;Youn, Young-Han
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.186-194
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    • 2006
  • Traffic accident involved with the vulnerable pedestrian is one of the significant concerns, which has higher possibility of fatality than any other accident types. Worldwide significant efforts have been made to establish a vehicle safety regulation, which is internationally agreed, in order to reduce pedestrian casualties in pedestrian-vehicle collisions. One of the key issues in deriving the regulation is how to effectively select the parameter values associated with the regulation. This study firstly develops a method to optimize parameter values. An optimizing problem in terms of maximizing safety benefits, which are life-saving effects by the regulation, is formulated. Extensive actual accident data analysis and simulations are conducted to establish several statistical models to be used in the proposed optimization procedure. A set of parameter values that can produce maximizing life-saving effects is presented as the outcome of this study. It is expected that the proposed method would play a significant role in determining parameters as a decision support tool toward ensuring better pedestrian safety.

Development of Korean Pedestrian Accident Reconstruction Model (한국형 보행자 사고재현 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Beom;Lui, Tae-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.6 s.84
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2005
  • A pedestrian accident is generally less fully understood than the 'typical' car-to-car collision. For this reason, the analysis of the pedestrian accident is, in many respects, more complicated and demanding. The purpose of this study is to identify clearly the impact point that is the main subject of struggle in pedestrian accidents. In order to develop the model, it is very significant to classify actual accident data including impact velocity. vehicle damage and injury scale of pedestrian. These data were collected from three local branches of RTSA(Road Traffic Safely Authority). The number of collected data were 34 cases and 61.7% of them were fatal accidents. In consequence of analyzing the data by statistical method, it revealed that there is correlation between impact velocity and throw distance. It, also shows that the impact velocity has strong linear correlation to vehicle damage and injury scale. Consequently, reconstruction analysis models of pedestrian accidents considering in local circumstances(such as the physical characteristics of pedestrians and vehicles) was developed However. it is difficult to apply the result of this study to all sorts of pedestrian accidents, because the actual accident data which were used to develop the model were limited. To overcome this limitation, it is necessary to develop an analysis model applicable to diverse circumstances with a wide range of pedestrian accident data on a national basis.

Developing the Traffic Accident Models of Arterial Link Sections by Driving Type (운전 유형에 따른 가로구간 사고모형 개발)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Park, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.197-202
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with the accident models of arterial link sections by driving type. The objectives is to develop models by driving type using the accident data of 24 arterial links in Cheong-ju. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to modeling such the accidents as the straight, lane change and others. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the number of accidents is analyzed to account for about 59% in straight, 31% in lane change and 10% in others. Second, the number of left-turn lane as common variables, and the ADT, number of pedestrian crossings, connecting roads and link length as specific variables are selected in developing models(number of accident and EPDO). Third, 8 models which are all statistically significant are developed. Finally, RMSE of the driving type models was analyzed to be better than that of dummy variable.