• Title/Summary/Keyword: panel estimation

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Estimation of Beam Plastic Rotation Demands for Special Moment-Resisting Steel Frames (강구조 특수모멘트골조의 보 소성변형요구량 평가)

  • Eom, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.405-415
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    • 2011
  • For the safe seismic design of buildings, it is necessary to predict the plastic deformation demands of the members as well as the story drift ratio. In the present study, a simple method of estimating the beam plastic rotation was developed for special-moment-resisting steel frame structures designed with strong column-weak beam behavior. The proposed method uses elastic analysis rather than nonlinear analysis, which is difficult to use in practice. The beam plastic rotation was directly calculated based on the results of the elastic analysis, addressing the moment redistribution, the column and joint dimensions, the movement of the plastic hinge, the panel zone deformation, the gravity load, and the strain-hardening behavior. In addition, the rocking effect of the braced frame or core wall on the beam plastic rotation was addressed. For verification, the proposed method was applied to a six-story special-moment frame designed with strong column-weak beam behavior. The predicted plastic rotations of the beams were compared with those that were determined via nonlinear analysis. The beam plastic rotations that were predicted using the proposed method correlated well with those that were determined from the nonlinear pushover analysis.

A Longitudinal Study on the Causal Association Between Smoking and Depression

  • Kang, Eun-Jeong;Lee, Jae-Hee
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.193-204
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The objective of this study was to analyze the causal relationship between smoking and depression using longitudinal data. Methods: Two waves of the Korea Welfare Panel collected in 2006 and 2007 were used. The sample consisted of 14 426 in 2006 and 13 052 in 2007 who were aged 20 and older. Smoking was measured by smoking amount (none/$\geq$ two packs). Depression was defined when the summated CESD (center for epidemiological studies depression)-11 score was greater than or equal to 16. The causal relationship between smoking and depression was tested using logistic regression. In order to test the causal effect of smoking on depression, depression at year 2 was regressed on smoking status at year 1 only using the sample without depression at year 1. Likewise, smoking status at year 2 was regressed on depression at year 1 only using those who were not smoking at year 1 in order to test the causal effect of depression on smoking. The statistical package used was Stata 10.0. Sampling weights were applied to obtain the population estimation. Results: The logistic regression testing for the causal relationship between smoking and depression showed that smoking at year 1 was significantly related to depression at year 2. Smoking amounts associated with depression were different among age groups. On the other hand, the results from the logistic regression testing for the opposite direction of the relationship between smoking and depression found no significant association regardless of age group. Conclusions: The study results showed some evidence that smoking caused depression but not the other way around.

Image Analysis of Korean Automobiles Using Sensory Engineering (감성공학을 이용한 국산 승용차 이미지 분석)

  • Lee Jin-Choon;Hong Seong-Il
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2006
  • This paper is concerned with analyzing the images of Korean automobiles using, so called, sensory engineering, which adapts the sensory and subjective assessment of human beings in evaluating the quality of product. The methodology of analysis is suggested in this paper according to the following steps. First, 14 pairs of adjectives, which describe the image of object cars in view of the semantic differential method, are derived from consulting with several expert panels. Nextly, factor analysis is performed in order to obtain the axises, by which the images space of the object automobiles are specified, and then the images of the object automobiles are measured by the coordinate of all the object automobiles in the image space. In this paper, a sensory estimation experiment is performed to a panel consisting with In undergraduate students residing in the region of Daegu. From the result of analysis of this paper, target images, which the automobile manufacturers are intended, are achieved by and large except one company.

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Estimation of irrigation water need with climate change in Jeju Island (AR5 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 제주도 효돈천 유역의 수문학적 영향 전망)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Kim, Nam-Won;Cho, Jaepil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.362-362
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 제주도 서귀포시에 위치한 효돈천 유역(유역면적 $52km^2$)을 대상으로 기후변화로 인한 미래의 수문학적 변화를 전망하였다. 대표적 유역모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 기반으로, 제주도 지역의 독특한 유출 특성을 잘 모의할 수 있도록 한계유출모의기법(Chung et al., 2011)과 간헐하천 모의기법(Kim et al., 2013)을 적용하였다. 기후변화 영향을 분석하는데 있어 특정 기후모델 적용에 따른 불확실성을 피하기 위해 IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change)에서 제시하는 대순환모델 (General Circulation Model, GCM) 중 SWAT 모형의 기상입력자료(강수량, 온도, 상대습도, 풍속, 일사량)를 모두 제공하는 9개 GCM을 선정하고, 2개 기후변화 시나리오(RCP 4.5, 8.5)에 따른 미래 전망자료를 SWAT 모형의 입력자료로 활용하였다. 과거기간(1992~2013년)에 대해 SWAT 모의결과로부터 분석한 효돈천 유역의 평균 연 강수량은 2,694 mm, 증발산량은 642 mm, 유출량은 534 mm, 지하수 함양량은 1,521 mm로서, 강수량 대비 유출률은 약 19%로 나타났다. 9개 GCM 자료로부터 미래의 수문변화를 기간별(2010~2039, 2040~2069, 2070~2099)로 구분하여 분석한 결과, 연 강수량, 증발산량, 유출량, 함양량, 유출률 모두 미래 후반기로 갈수록 증가폭이 크게 나타났으며, RCP 8.5에서 상대적으로 더 크게 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. 과거기간 대비 강수량은 최대 24%, 증발산량 18%, 유출량 52%, 함양량 16%까지 증가가 예상되었다. 월별로는 8월과 9월의 강수량 증가로 인해 유출량과 함양량도 같이 8월과 9월에 큰 폭으로 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. 증발산량은 1월에서 8월까지는 증가할 것으로 전망되지만, 9월~12월에는 약간의 감소 또는 큰 변화가 없는 것으로 나타났다. GCM 자료에 따른 결과를 보면 증발산량은 월별 차이가 크지 않으나, 강수량을 비롯하여 유출량과 함양량은 여름철을 중심으로 GCM에 따른 차이가 상대적으로 크게 나타났다.

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Estimation of irrigation water need with climate change in Jeju Island (인위적·자연적 요인에 따른 제주도 농업용수 과부족 전망)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Kim, Nam-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.363-363
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 제주도 지역을 대상으로 현재의 용수공급 보장량을 기준으로 미래 인위적 자연적 요인에 따른 수요량의 변화를 고려하여 농업용수 과부족을 분석하였다. 인위적인 요인으로서 작물재배면적의 변화를 고려하였으며, 자연적인 요인으로서는 기후변화 영향을 고려하였다. 제주도의 유출특성과 지질특성, 물이용 특성 등을 고려하여 유역 물수지 기반의 순물소모량 개념을 활용하여 수요량을 추정하였으며, 농업용수 보장량(공급량)은 "제주특별자치도 농업용수 관리계획(2013-2022)"에서 제시하는 값을 적용하였다. 순물소모량 산정에 필요한 실제증발산량 및 잠재증발산량 등은 유역모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하여 산정하였다. 인위적인 변화로서 2020년 작물재배면적 추정치를 적용하여 용수 과부족을 분석한 결과, 구좌읍과 성산읍 2개 지역에서 수요량이 보장량을 초과하는 것으로 나타났다. 참고로 기존의 필요수량 개념의 수요량을 적용했을 때에는 제주시 동지역, 구좌읍, 조천읍, 서귀포시 동지역, 성산읍, 표선면, 남원읍, 안덕면, 대정읍 등 9개 지역에서 용수가 부족할 것으로 분석된 바 있다. 미래 기후변화 영향을 고려하기 위하여 IPCC (International Panel on Climate Chnage) CMIP5(the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project)에서 제시하는 대순환모델 중 9개 모형의 결과를 활용하여 미래(2010~2099년)의 수요량을 산정하고, 앞서 적용한 2020년 재배면적 추정치와 보장량을 기준으로 지역별, 시기별로 농업용수 과부족을 분석하였다. 기후변화 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 결과를 적용하였다. 인위적인 영향에 대한 분석과 마찬가지로 구좌읍과 성산읍을 제외하고는 수요량 대비 보장량이 충분한 것으로 분석되었다. 시나리오에 따른 영향은 RCP 8.5 보다는 RCP 4.5 시나리오에서의 보장률이 상대적으로 높게 나타났으며, 2개 시나리오 모두 미래 후반기로 갈수록 수요량의 증가에 따라 보장률이 점차 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 다만, 이 분석은 재배면적의 변화가 없이 단순히 기상조건의 변화만을 적용한 전망으로서, 향후 실제 기상여건과 재배면적, 물이용, 용수공급체계, 물관리 정책방향 등의 변화에 따라 좌우될 수 있다.

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Buckling Characteristics of Ship Bottom Plate - On the Stiffener Restraint Effects - (선박 선저외판의 좌굴특성에 관한 연구 - 보강재의 구속영향 검토 -)

  • Juh-H. Ham;Ul-N. Kim
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.130-138
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    • 1994
  • Bottom plates of empty hold are subjected to not only water pressure but also bi-axial inplane loads, specially in the alternate full loading full loading condition of bulk carrier. This kind of plate behaviours is very difficult to be explained and to be estimated using common buckling design guide in the initial design stage of hull structure, therefore, some more concrete studies for this plate structure was performed based on the currently developed buckling estimation formula. In this buckling formula, torsional stiffness effects of edge stiffener are included additionally and effects of elastic buckling strength of plate panel are treated as characteristic value problem. Also considering boundary stiffener effects and inplane and lateral loading, evaluation of bottom plate scantling using this formula, calculated results using various classification regulation of buckling strength and results of first report approach are compared each other and useful guides using developed formula for bottom plate scantling design are discussed.

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Internationalization and Performance of SMEs in Masan Free Trade Zone (Korea): The Direct and Moderating Effects of Firm Size

  • Lee, Sunhae;Park, Sae Woon;Namgung, Dam
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.30-57
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study analyzes the effect of internationalization represented as exporting on firm performance on the subject of SMEs operating in Masan Free Trade Zone which has shown poor performance recently despite its status as the oldest and largest free trade zone in Korea. We also analyze the effect of firm size on firm performance, and the moderating role of firm size in relation to internationalization and firm performance. Design/methodology - This study uses multiple regression models for unbalanced panel data as the empirical tools for the estimation of the effect that internationalization has on firm performance (ROA or ROS). Our sample consists of 91 manufacturing SMEs among all 110 companies located in Masan Free Trade Zone as of 2017. Findings - The degree of internationalization has a negative impact on firm performance. However, firm size turns out to have a positive effect and play a positive moderating role in the relation to internationalization and firm performance. This seems to be because most tenant companies operating in Masan Free Trade Zone are small firms whose costs of internationalization may exceed the benefits. Empirical results also show that longer CEO tenure has a greater negative effect on firm performance. Originality/value - The originality/value of this paper can be found in 3 aspects. First, we conducted an empirical analysis on the relationship between the internationalization and firm performance of SMEs in a specific region, namely, Masan Free Trade Zone. Second, while most previous studies focused on listed medium companies, most of the sample of this study are small and medium non-listed enterprises. Third, it is witnessed that firm size has a positive moderating effect on the relation between internationalization and firm performance.

Long-run Relationship between R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth (공적분 관계를 고려한 연구개발과 경제성장의 상호관계 연구)

  • Han, Woongyong;Jeon, Yongil
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2016
  • We empirically examine the validity of second generation endogenous growth theory suing 21 OECD countries' panel data(1981~2011). Due to non-stationarity in all variables, we test the cointegrated relationships strongly supporting the semi-endogenous growth model. In the estimation of total factor productivity growth function, the growth of domestic and foreign R&D investment levels statistically significantly affect total factor productivity growth. R&D intensity, however, has significant impacts on the total factor productivity growth only in a few models, and international technology gap also has positive impacts on GDP growth. Thus the semi-endogenous growth model is relatively supported while fully endogenous growth model is weakly and occasionally supported in OECD countries. The policy implication of supporting the semi-endogenous growth model is that the sustaining growth requires increasing R&D expenditures.

The Role of Franchising on the Restaurant Firms' Performance during COVID-19 (코로나-19 팬데믹 상황에서 외식기업의 경영성과와 프랜차이즈의 역할)

  • SUN, Kyung-A;KIM, Seung-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: COVID-19 has negatively influenced the financial performance of restaurant firms. Previous literature suggests that the franchising strategy effectively helps restaurant firms recover from difficult business conditions through various methods for expanding business size and enhancing business efficiency. According to risk-sharing theory, restaurant franchisors may minimize operational risks by sharing the risks with their franchisees. For instance, restaurant franchisors could generate more stable cash flow using franchise fees from their franchisees. However, research on the effect of franchise's risk reduction factor on business performance during pandemic is scarce. Thus, this study aims to examine the positive moderating effect of franchising between COVID-19 and restaurants' financial performance. Research design, data, and methodology: Panel data including financial information and franchising status of restaurant firms were collected for analysis. In order to control for unobserved firm-specific factors, generalized least squared estimation in fixed effects model was conducted. Huber-White robust standard errors were used to deal with heteroscedasticity issues. Results: It was found that COVID-19 pandemic has a negative effect on the restaurants' financial performance such as ROA (return on assets), ROE (return on equity), and PM (profit margins), which confirms the findings from existing literature. More importantly, results show that the degree of franchising has a positive moderating effect on the relationship between COVID-19 and financial performance of restaurant firms. This suggests that more active engagement in franchising may decrease negative impacts of COVID-19 on the restaurants' financial performance. Conclusions: The study supports existing literature related to risk-sharing theory, by confirming that pandemics, such as COVID-19, negatively affect financial performance of the restaurants. Furthermore, it was found that franchising strategy can help lessen negative impacts of pandemics on the firm performance. These findings can contribute to the franchise and restaurant management literature by suggesting the role of franchising in reducing business risks, thereby positively affecting financial performance. Moreover, this study offers business managers of franchisors and franchisees insights for utilizing franchising in restaurant risk management. Policymakers may also gain information on aiding restaurant firms during global crisis, such as COVID-19.

The Ratio of Outside Directors according to their Tenure and Firm Value (재임기간에 따른 사외이사 비율과 기업가치)

  • Lim, Sae-Hun;Park, Young-Seog
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.225-241
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of the ratio of outside directors, especially the ratio of outside directors according to their tenure, on firm value. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected total 3,861 firm-year data about companies listed KRX KOSPI market in Korea. The Pooled Ordinary Least Square Model and Panel Fixed Effects Model were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, it was found that the ratio of outside directors for total sample had no significant effect on firm value, and the estimation coefficient of dummy variable for the average tenure less than 3 years had a significant positive(+) effect on firm value. Second, the ratio of outside directors corresponding to the tenure of less than 3 years had a significant positive(+) effect on the firm value. On the contrary, the ratio of outside directors corresponding to the tenure of 3 years or more had a significant negative(-) effect on firm value. Third, the ratio of outside directors corresponding to the tenure for more than 6 years did not show any significant influence on firm value. Research implications or Originality - First, if other matters are not additionally considered, keeping the tenure of outside directors shortly on average could help to increase firm value. Second, in the case of firms facing the decision to reappoint outside directors for the first time, it is highly likely that the firm value would decrease on average, so careful decisionmaking considering various aspects is required. However, this study does not take into account the legal standards for the appointment of outside directors, diversity of outside directors, and the actual independence of outside directors according to other criteria in the analysis. Therefore, if these factors are considered, there is a possibility that the empirical analysis results of this study may show different patterns.