• Title/Summary/Keyword: over-expectation

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Production of Flood Expectation Map in the Reclaimed Land Using 3-D Spatial Information (3차원 공간정보를 이용한 해안 매립지역 침수예상도 제작)

  • Lee, Jae-One
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 2007
  • Recently, coastal damage according to the natural disaster like storm-surge, overflowing of the sea has been massively increased. In case of earth fill at the seaside, there are a lot of weak areas of the natural disaster and it has also high possibility that a large disaster happens. Thus flood expectation map in the reclaimed land using 3D spatial information was produced in this study. The area around Myungji, Kangsugu, Busan which was made with the large scale earth fils at the seaside was designated as a study area. Observation of both costal datum and ground height using the tidal date and field surveying dates was conducted. Terrain model using the GIS program was produced and than 3D building model was produced using 3D MAX. It was shown that there are possibility more than 50% if over 4.5m storm-surge is happening, as a result of calculating the virtual flooded area on the produced cartographic map.

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The Effect of Consumer Cognition about Golf Wear Brand Sponsorship on Customer Loyalty (골프웨어 브랜드의 스폰서십에 대한 소비자 인식이 고객충성도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Yoo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.480-494
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    • 2016
  • This study focuses on influential relationships for consumer's cognition about sponsorship, consumer-brand relationship, brand equity, customer satisfaction and customer loyalty. To accomplish it, a questionnaire survey (answered by 600 males and females over the age of 20) was conducted by an Internet Research Company from October $5^{th}$ to $20^{th}$ in 2011. The results of the analysis were: First, consumer's cognition about sponsorship consisted of sponsorship interest, sponsorship importance, sponsor-sponsorship suitability, and sponsorship expectation. Consumer-brand relation consisted of personal attachment, trustful relationships and commitment relationships. Brand equity for golf wear consisted of three factors (brand awareness, brand image, perceived quality). Customer satisfaction and customer loyalty consisted of one factor. Second, the commitment relationship was influenced by sponsor-sponsorship suitability, sponsorship interest, sponsorship importance and sponsorship expectation. However, personal attachment was influenced by only sponsorship interest and sponsorship expectations. The trustful relationship was influenced by all factors of consumer cognition, except sponsorship interest. Customer loyalty was influenced by consumer's cognition about sponsorship, consumer-brand relationship, brand equity and customer satisfaction. The leverage of consumer-brand relationship and consumer's cognition for sponsorship was notably larger than others.

Retirement-related Subjective Expectations and the Capital Accumulation of the Korean Baby-boom Generation (주관적 기대가 한국 베이비붐 세대의 자산축적에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Yoonsoo;Woo, Seokjin
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.855-870
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the effect of retirement-related subjective expectations on the capital accumulation of the Korean baby-boom generation. Using the 1st, 2nd waves of the KLoSA (2006, 2008), we estimate the distributional effects with quantile regression. In addition, the endogeneity of the expectation variables is handled using the fixed effect model. The quantile regression results reveal that the schooling, gender and the number of children are important determinants, but their effects are heterogenous across quantiles to a significant margin. The expectations of the stronger bequest motives and longer lifespan turned out to lead to more capital accumulation. The expectation regarding the expanded role of government retirement support seemed to crowd out private savings for the baby boomers with the total assets over 0.7 percentile.

Spread of Bamboo stands in the Kinki Region

  • Koizumi, Keigo;Tanimoto, Chikaosa;Piao, Chunze
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.441-443
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    • 2003
  • The Bamboo stands, which had been planted for agricultural uses, have been spreading from fields to hills and mountains beyond farmers’ expectation over the last 50 years. Bamboo stands yield bamboo shoots to be served as a vegetable dish (‘takenoko in Japanese’) every spring, and supply materials for bamboo crafts in various ways. Now, as bamboo products have lost their social demand, bamboo stands has been gradually abandoned. This has resulted in the wild and unfavorable spread of bamboo stands in many regions over the western half of Japan. This paper illustrates the unfavorable spread of bamboo stands regionally in the southern Kyoto from 1985 to 1999 and the Yamashiro area from 1948 to 2000 through the observation of satellite images and aerial photographs.

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THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE UNDER RATIONAL EXPECTATION (이성적(理性的) 기대하(期待下)의 환율행태분석(換率行態分析))

  • Yu, Il-Seong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.31-62
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    • 1989
  • By using deterministic dynamic models, we observe the behavior of the foreign exchange rate of a small open economy with rational expectation formation and different restrictions on the international economic integrations. First, an economy connected to the world by purchasing power parity and uncovered interest parity is studied in the next section. In both sections, financial assets available in the economy are domestic money and bonds. Stocks are added as a financial instrument in the next section, and real capital accumulation is also taken into account. Furthermore, the economy concerned there is fairly autonomous, and not directly governed by either purchasing power parity or uncovered interest parity. The expectation formation used throughout the whole paper is complete perfect foresight, which is the certainty version of rational expectation and free from any forecast errors. It is found that upon monetary expansion the short run depreciation of the foreign exchange rate is a fairly robust result regardless of the degree of the international economic integration, while it is not true for fiscal expansion. The expectation on the long run state significantly affects the short run response of the exchange rate. All of our models postulate that the current account should be balanced eventually. As the result, the short run behavior of the exchange rate is affected by the expectation on the long run balance and may well be a blend of the traditional flow view and modem asset view. The initial overshooting of the exchange rate is easily observed even in the fairly autonomous economy Furthermore, the initial overshooting is not reduced over time, but augmented for some time before it is eventually eliminated. As long as we maintain rational expectaion, introducing time delay in the adjustment of the foreign goods price to the foreign exchange rate does not make much difference.

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A Study on The Effect of Psychological State occurred by the Organizational Change and Public Service Motivation on the JobAttitude: A comparison before and after the Implementation of Relocation of Electric Power Public Corporation to Local Areas (조직변화에 따른 심리상태와 공공봉사동기가 직무태도에 미치는 영향 조사연구: 전력공기업의 지방 이전 실시 전후의 비교)

  • Lee, Joon Tae
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.147-163
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    • 2022
  • The relocation policy of public Institutions throughout provincial areas that implemented for the purpose of "balanced national development" finished in 2019 with the last relocation of the Korea Institute of Science & Technology Evaluation and Planning, which moved to Chungbuk Innovation City. Electric power public corporations also completed relocation program over eight regions across the nation. This study was conducted empirically to identify the structural relationship between the public service motivation and job attitude. In this, the relationship of organizational change, particularly occurred by the regional relocation, with the psychological state of these organization members (experienced direct changes and got substantial impacts in various aspects such as psychological, economic and living environment, etc.,) was studied. This study aims to seek early organizational stabilization ideas for electric power public corporations after relocation, and to present some implications that can contribute to the secondary relocation of public institutions to local areas. This study shows the statistically significant relationship between the psychological state occurred by relocation and organizational commitment. The result shows that the higher the expectation levels, the higher the degree of organizational commitment, while anxious psychological state has no relation with that. Additionally, expectation level has no significant functional relation with turnover intention. Followings are the major conclusions revealed in this study; The stronger the anxious psychological state, the higher the turnover inducement goes up. The higher the expectation levels, the higher the public service motivation grows, and the higher the anxiety psychological state, the public service motivation lowers. The organizational commitment grows according to the public service motivation proportionally, but the turnover inducement intention is weak. The moderating effect of public service motivation between the expectation of organizational change and turnover intention was not significant, but it was analyzed that the moderating effect of public service motivation formed a significant relationship with other anxiety psychology. The expectation levels of employees of electric power public corporations has grown up after moving to provincial areas. Relationship between the expectation mind and the turnover inducement has decreased after local relocation.

The inference and estimation for latent discrete outcomes with a small sample

  • Choi, Hyung;Chung, Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.131-146
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    • 2016
  • In research on behavioral studies, significant attention has been paid to the stage-sequential process for longitudinal data. Latent class profile analysis (LCPA) is an useful method to study sequential patterns of the behavioral development by the two-step identification process: identifying a small number of latent classes at each measurement occasion and two or more homogeneous subgroups in which individuals exhibit a similar sequence of latent class membership over time. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimates for LCPA are easily obtained by expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm, and Bayesian inference can be implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, unusual properties in the likelihood of LCPA can cause difficulties in ML and Bayesian inference as well as estimation in small samples. This article describes and addresses erratic problems that involve conventional ML and Bayesian estimates for LCPA with small samples. We argue that these problems can be alleviated with a small amount of prior input. This study evaluates the performance of likelihood and MCMC-based estimates with the proposed prior in drawing inference over repeated sampling. Our simulation shows that estimates from the proposed methods perform better than those from the conventional ML and Bayesian method.

A Design for Web-based Distance Learning and Management System of Children's English Education (웹 환경에서 아동을 위한 원격영어교육관리시스템 설계)

  • Choi, Li-Ra;Yoon, Yong-Ik
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2002
  • So far, there were a few web-based distance English learning systems for children. The existing systems for children have not appropriately reflected their learning characteristics and interests, since most of those systems regards mainly adults as targets. This thesis is aimed at proposing more effective educational service modules of web-based real-time system in order to encourage children's interests as much as possible in learning English. The web-based real-time distance learning system is a model based on the survey over the current use and satisfaction status of elementary school students who have actually used those kinds of systems. With the great expectation of more effective way of learning English, it also focuses on attracting parents to participate the learning process by providing a service to look over, in real-time, what their children do through the internet-based English learning system.

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Factors Affecting the Mobile Instant Messenger Users' Continued Usage Behavior and the Moderating Role of Habits: Focused on WeChat (모바일 인스턴트 메신저 사용자의 지속사용행동에 대한 영향요인과 습관의 조절효과: WeChat을 중심으로)

  • Zhang, Heng;Koh, Joon;Kim, Kyun Soo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.61-90
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    • 2016
  • Purpose Recently the usage of Mobile Instant Messenger(MIM) has been increased all over the world. With the development of Mobile Internet, a large amount of mobile application came into being, such as WeChat, the most popular MIM now in China. It has a huge number of registered users, but just only half of them are the "active users". This study intends to examine what factors affect MIM user's continuance intention and actual usage behavior. Design/Methodology/Approach Based on the framework of Perception/Emotion-Behavior and the extended ECM-ISC (Expectation Confirmation Model of IS Continuance), this research introduced some unique variables to a user satisfaction model focusing on perceived/emotional factors in WeChat. In this model, perceived/emotional factors have been divided into enabler factors and inhibitor factors to analyze the effect on continuance intention and actual usage behavior. Also, the moderate effect of the habits was discussed. An online questionnaire survey of 203 WeChat users was conducted and the empirical validation was employed to test the research model. Findings From the empirical results, perceived usefulness, expectation confirmation, and needs for affiliation significantly affected satisfaction. Also, satisfaction influenced continuance intention which led to actual usage behavior. We found that the habit moderates the relationship between satisfaction and continuance intention. The result of this study provides guidance to the developers and operators of WeChat on how to improve enhance users' satisfaction and loyalty.

Drivers' Satisfaction of Protected/Permitted Left Turn(PPLT) Signal Operation (보호/비보호 좌회전 신호운영(PPLT) 만족도 분석)

  • Jang, Tae-Youn;Oh, Do-Hyoung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the effectiveness of drivers' satisfaction over protected and permissive left-turn (PPLT) traffic signal operation. A structural equation model was established for analyzing the effectiveness of various drivers' factors (e.g., personal characteristics, driving attitude, expectation to PPLT, etc.) on the PPLT preference based on questionnaire survey. As a result, the analysis is satisfied with the critical values, such as Q value, RMR, GIF, AGIF, and NFI. The study reveals that PPLT preference increases in case of driver who is male with long social carrier related to transportation affaire and long driving experience without traffic accident involvement. Moreover, PPLT preference increases as the expectation of PPLT to improvement of traffic safety, traffic operation, and traffic environment increases. Therefore, it is recommended that the PPLT should be preferentially operated in urban area of less traffic accidents and the promotion of PPLT be actively conducted for positive effectiveness.