• Title/Summary/Keyword: ordinary kriging

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A Study on the Improvement of the Accuracy of Photovoltaic Facility Location Using the Geostatistical Analysis (공간통계기법을 이용한 태양광발전시설 입지 정확성 향상 방안)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.146-156
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to improve the accuracy of calculation and estimation of solar radiation and duration of sunshine, which are the most important variables of photovoltaic power generation in deciding the location of photovoltaic facilities efficiently. With increasing interest in new and renewable energies, research on solar energy is also being conducted actively, but there have not been many studies on the location of photovoltaic facilities. Thus, this study calculated solar duration and solar radiation based on geographical factors, which have the most significant effect on solar energy in GIS environment, and corrected the results of analysis using diffuse radiation. Moreover, we performed ordinary kriging, a spatial statistical analysis method, for estimating values for parts deviating from the spatial resolution of input data, and used variogram, which can determine the spatial interrelation and continuity of data, in order to estimate accurate values. In the course, we compared the values of variogram factors and estimates from applicable variogram models, and selected the model with the lowest error rate. This method is considered helpful to accurate decision making on the location of photovoltaic facilities.

A Study on the Improvement of Quantitative Precipitation Estimation with Real-time Z-R Relationships (실시간 Z-R관계식을 이용한 레이더 강우산정기법의 문제점 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Kim, Jong-Pil;Yim, Tae-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1121-1124
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    • 2009
  • 면적강우량은 수치예보모형(NWP; Numerical Weather Prediction)이나 분포형 강우유출모형 등에서 가장 중요한 입력변수이다. 기상레이더는 광범위한 시공간분해능을 지닌 강우관측기기로서 널리 이용되고 있다. 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용한 강우추정에 대한 연구는 Z-R 관계식을 이용한 방법, 지상우량계와 연계한 통계적인 방법 등 다양하게 전개되어 왔다. 일반적으로 많이 사용되는 Marshall and Palmer(1948)가 제시한 Z-R 관계식은 층운형 강우에는 비교적 타당한 결과를 얻을 수 있지만 적운형 강우에 대해서는 그러하지 못하다. 또한 지상우량계와 연계한 방법은 주로 geostatistic 기법(ordinary kriging, co-kringing, kriging with external drift 등)을 사용하지만, 배리오그램(variogram)을 작성해야 되는 등 계산절차가 복잡하고 시간이 많이 걸려 실무에 적용하여 실시간으로 강우정보를 제공하기에는 다소 무리가 따른다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지상우량계로 관측된 강우량과 레이더 추정강우 사이의 보정계수를 이용한 실시간 Z-R 관계식으로 레이더강우를 추정할 경우 발생될 수 있는 문제점들을 제시하고 개선방안을 모색하여 보다 정확한 레이더 강우를 추정하고자 하였다. 연구 대상지역은 부산레이더 반경 240km 이내 지역이며, 강우사상으로는 2002년 8월 31일 (태풍 "루사")의 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용하였다. 또한, 지상관측 강우량자료는 AWS(Auto Weathering System) 중에서 부산레이더 관측범위 내에 존재하는 68곳의 1시간 누적강우량을 사용하였다. 연구 결과, 기존의 실시간 Z-R 관계식을 이용할 경우 단순히 지상우량계와 레이더 강우 사이의 보정계수를 사용하면서 물리적인 범위를 벗어나 과대 추정되는 결과를 발생시켰다. 본 연구에서는 이렇게 과대 추정되는 부분을 제한함으로써 보다 현실적이고 타당한 면적강우량을 산정할 수 있었다.

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Application of Cokriging for the Estimation of Groundwater Level Distribution at the Nanjido Waste Landfill Area (난지도 매립지 일대의 지하수위 분포 추정을 위한 복합 크리깅의 응용)

  • 정상용;이강근
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 1995
  • Cokriging was applied for the estimation of the water levels of the basal leachate and the surrounding groundwater at the Nanjido waste landfill area. When the groundwater level is estimated at the high relief area, it makes a good result to use the data of groundwater level and elevation simultaneously because groundwater level is correlated with topography. This study determined the best semivariogram model of 87 groundwater levels and 144 elevations through cross validation test, and produced the contour maps of groundwater levels using ordinary kriging and universal kiging. Two contour maps don't make big difference at the waste site because this area has a large number of groundwater level data. However, they show big difference at the upper left part of the study area because this area has high relief and a small number of sample data. Their difference is also found at the south area near the Han river. When the topography is considered for the both areas, the contour map of cokriging is thought to be closer to the real groundwater distribution than that of kriging.

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Determination of the Optimal Spatial Interpolation Methods for Estimating Missing Precipitation Data in Not Covered Area by Climate Change Scenario (기후변화시나리오 데이터 누락지역의 강수자료 보완을 위한 최적 공간보간기법 선정)

  • Jang, Dong Woo;Park, Hyo Seon;Choi, Jin Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.14-14
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    • 2015
  • 공간보간기법은 미계측지역의 강수예측을 위해 통상적으로 사용되는 방법 중의 하나이다. 이 연구에서는 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에 의한 남한상세 강수자료 중 지형이 복잡한 도서지역에서 제공되지 않는 데이터 누락격자에 대하여 최적의 공간보간기법을 선정하여 강수자료를 생성할 수 있도록 하였다. 적합한 보간기법을 선정하기 위해 데이터 누락지역에 대한 분석을 수행하였고, 최신 행정구역도에 맞추어 $1km{\times}1km$ 격자를 한반도 전체지역에 맞추어 생성된 격자를 사용하였다. ESRI사의 ArcGIS 프로그램을 이용하여 공간보간기법을 적용하였다. 사용된 보간법은 역거리가중치법(IDW), 정규크리깅(Ordinary Kriging), 보편크리깅(Universal Kriging), 스플라인(Spline)이며 가장 적합한 공간보간기법을 선정하기 위해 기후변화시나리오에 의한 데이터 중 해안선 주변 특정격자에서의 값을 누락시켜 공간보간기법을 통해 생성된 값과 기후변화 시나리오에 의한 값을 정량적으로 비교하였다. 공간보간기법의 적합도 평가를 위해 MAE(Mean Absolute Error), MSE(Mean Squared Error), PBIAS(Percent of BIAS), G(goodness of prediction) 분석을 수행하였고, 산점도 분석을 통해 실제값과 보간값의 오차율 평가를 병행하여 최적 공간보간기법을 결정하였다. 사용된 강수데이터는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 2015~2019년 중 강수가 높게 나타난 8월 자료를 이용하였다. 해안선 지역의 강수량 추정시 역거리 가중치법과 크리깅방법은 일부 지점에서 과다 추정되는 경향이 있고, 스플라인 방법이 전체적인 총 강수량이 기후변화시나리오에 의한 실제값과 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 실제값과 보간값의 교차검증을 수행한 결과 정규크리깅 기법이 가장 높은 정확도를 보였으며, 전체적으로 실제값과 유사한 범위내의 강수량이 생성되는 것으로 나타났다.

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Evaluation of Spatial Distribution of Consolidation Settlement of Songdo Marine Clay by Probabilistic Method (확률론적 방법에 의한 인천송도지반 압밀침하량의 공간적 분포 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Choi, Young-Min;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2010
  • Because the thickness and depth of consolidation layer vary at every location, the consolidation settlement and time have to be evaluated spatially. Also, for a rational evaluation of the uncertainty of the spatial distribution of consolidation settlement and time, it is necessary to adopt a probabilistic method. In this study, mean and standard deviation of consolidation settlement and time of whole analysis region are evaluated by using the spatial distribution of consolidation layer which is estimated from ordinary kriging and statistics of soil properties. Using these results and probabilistic method, the area that needs adopting the prefabricated vertical drain as well as raising the ground level for balancing the final design ground level is determined. It is observed that such areas are influenced by the variability of soil properties. The design procedure and method presented in this paper can be used in the decision making process for a geotechnical engineering design.

Evaluation of Accuracy of the Physics Based Distributed Hydrologic Model Using VfloTM Model (VfloTM 모형을 이용한 물리기반의 분포형 수문모형의 정확성 평가)

  • Hong, Jun Bum;Kim, Byung Sik;Yoon, Seok Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.6B
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    • pp.613-622
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    • 2006
  • In this study, a fully distributed physical-based rainfall-runoff model called Vflo$^{TM}$ is applied to Junglang-cheon basin for simulating runoff. Geo-spatial data are used to parameterize the model to account for the characteristics of soils, landuse/cover, and topograph. 300m resolution DEM is used to compute slope and drainage network connectivity. Spatially distributed rainfall data is interpolated by ordinary kriging method. In this study, hydrograph from HEC-HMS and Vflo$^{TM}$ without/with calibration of parameters was compared to evaluate the accuracy of rainfall-runoff model From the results, a fully distributed physical-based rainfall-runoff model reproduce the peak time and shape of hydrograph much better than HEC-HMS.

A Study on the Soil Contamination(Maps) Using the Handheld XRF and GIS in Abandoned Mining Areas (휴대용 XRF와 GIS를 이용한 폐광산 지역의 토양오염에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Gyu;Choi, Yo-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.195-206
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    • 2014
  • In this study, soil contamination maps related to Cu and Pb were created at the Busan abandoned mine in Korea using a handheld X-Ray Fluorescence(XRF) and Geographic Information Systems(GIS). Hydrological analysis was performed using the Digital Elevation Model(DEM) of the study area to identify the flow directions of surface runoff where pollutants can be dispersed from the soil contamination sources. 24 locations for measuring the soil contamination related to Cu and Pb were selected by considering the result of hydrological analysis. The results measured at the 24 locations using the handheld XRF showed that the highest value of Cu contamination is 8,255ppm and that of Pb is 2,146ppm. The field investigation data were entered into ArcGIS software, and then soil contamination maps regarding Cu and Pb with a 5m grid-spacing were created after performing spatial interpolations using the ordinary kriging method. As a result, we could know that high concentrations of Cu and Pb are presented at the waste and tailings dumps around the abandoned mine openings. This study also showed that the handheld XRF and GIS can be utilized to create soil contamination maps related to Cu and Pb in the field.

Development and validation of poisson cluster stochastic rainfall generation web application across South Korea (포아송 클러스터 가상강우생성 웹 어플리케이션 개발 및 검증 - 우리나라에 대해서)

  • Han, Jaemoon;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2016
  • This study produced the parameter maps of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (MBLRP) stochastic rainfall generation model across South Korea and developed and validated the web application that automates the process of rainfall generation based on the produced parameter maps. To achieve this purpose, three deferent sets of parameters of the MBLRP model were estimated at 62 ground gage locations in South Korea depending on the distinct purpose of the synthetic rainfall time series to be used in hydrologic modeling (i.e. flood modeling, runoff modeling, and general purpose). The estimated parameters were spatially interpolated using the Ordinary Kriging method to produce the parameter maps across South Korea. Then, a web application has been developed to automate the process of synthetic rainfall generation based on the parameter maps. For validation, the synthetic rainfall time series has been created using the web application and then various rainfall statistics including mean, variance, autocorrelation, probability of zero rainfall, extreme rainfall, extreme flood, and runoff depth were calculated, then these values were compared to the ones based on the observed rainfall time series. The mean, variance, autocorrelation, and probability of zero rainfall of the synthetic rainfall were similar to the ones of the observed rainfall while the extreme rainfall and extreme flood value were smaller than the ones derived from the observed rainfall by the degree of 16%-40%. Lastly, the web application developed in this study automates the entire process of synthetic rainfall generation, so we expect the application to be used in a variety of hydrologic analysis needing rainfall data.

Application of Geostatistical Methods to Groundwater Flow Analysis in a Heterogeneous Anisotropic Aquifer (불균질.이방성 대수층의 지하수 유동분석에 지구통계기법의 응용)

  • 정상용;유인걸;윤명재;권해우;허선희
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 1999
  • Geostatistical methods were used for the groundwater flow analysis in a heterogeneous anisotropic aquifer. This study area is located at Sonbul-myeon in Hampyong-gun of Cheonnam Province which is a hydrogeological project area of KORES(Korea Resources Cooperation). Linear regression analysis shows that the topographic elevation and groundwater level of this area have very high correlation. Groundwater-level contour maps produced by ordinary kriging and cokringing have large differences in mountain areas, but small differences in hill and plain areas near the West Sea. Comparing two maps on the basis of an elevation contour map, a groundwater-level contour map using cokriging is more accurate. Analyzing the groundwater flow on two groundwater-level contour maps, the groundwater of study area flows from the high mountain areas to the plain areas near the West Sea. To verify the enffectiveness of geostatistical methods for the groundwater flow analysis in a heterogeneous anisotropic aquifer, the flow directions of groundwater were measured at two groundwater boreholes by a groundwater flowmeter system(model 200 $GeoFlo^{R}$). The measured flow directions of groundwater almost accord with those estimated on two groundwater-level contour maps produced by geostatistical methods.

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Optimization of Soil Contamination Distribution Prediction Error using Geostatistical Technique and Interpretation of Contributory Factor Based on Machine Learning Algorithm (지구통계 기법을 이용한 토양오염 분포 예측 오차 최적화 및 머신러닝 알고리즘 기반의 영향인자 해석)

  • Hosang Han;Jangwon Suh;Yosoon Choi
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.331-341
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    • 2023
  • When creating a soil contamination map using geostatistical techniques, there are various sources that can affect prediction errors. In this study, a grid-based soil contamination map was created from the sampling data of heavy metal concentrations in soil in abandoned mine areas using Ordinary Kriging. Five factors that were judged to affect the prediction error of the soil contamination map were selected, and the variation of the root mean squared error (RMSE) between the predicted value and the actual value was analyzed based on the Leave-one-out technique. Then, using a machine learning algorithm, derived the top three factors affecting the RMSE. As a result, it was analyzed that Variogram Model, Minimum Neighbors, and Anisotropy factors have the largest impact on RMSE in the Standard interpolation. For the variogram models, the Spherical model showed the lowest RMSE, while the Minimum Neighbors had the lowest value at 3 and then increased as the value increased. In the case of Anisotropy, it was found to be more appropriate not to consider anisotropy. In this study, through the combined use of geostatistics and machine learning, it was possible to create a highly reliable soil contamination map at the local scale, and to identify which factors have a significant impact when interpolating a small amount of soil heavy metal data.