• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal estimate

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Study on Establishing Investment Mathematical Models for Each Application ESS Optimal Capacity in Nationwide Perspective (국가적 관점에서 각 용도별 ESS 적정용량 산정을 위한 투자수리모델 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Youn, Seok-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.979-986
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    • 2016
  • At present, electric power industry around the world are being gradually changed to a new paradigm, such as electrical energy storage system, the wireless power transmission. Demand for ESS, the core technology of the new paradigm, has been growing worldwide. However, it is essential to estimate the optimal capacity of ESS facilities for frequency regulation because the benefit would be saturated in accordance with the investment moment and the increase of total invested capacity of ESS facilities. Hence, in this paper, the annual optimal mathematical investment model is proposed to estimate the optimal capacity and to establish investment plan of ESS facility for frequency regulation. The optimal mathematical investment model is newly established for each season, because the construction period is short and the operation effect for the load by seasons is different unlike previous the mathematical investment model. Additionally, the marginal operating cost is found by new mathematical operation model considering no-load cost and start-up cost as step functions improving the previous mathematical operation model. ESS optimal capacity is established by use value in use iterative methods. In this case, ESS facilities cost is used in terms of the value of the beginning of the year.

Optimization of color filters selection to estimate surface spectral reflectance of Munsell colors (물체의 분광반사율 추정을 위한 최적필터의 선정)

  • 이승희;이을환;유미옥;노상철;안석출
    • Journal of the Korean Graphic Arts Communication Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 1998
  • The object color does not look same under the different light source. It depends on the surface spectral reflectance and the spectral distribution of light source. Therefore we should find the surface spectral reflectance of object color and the spectral distribution of light source for color reproduction. Using Wiener estimation, we can estimate the spectral reflectance from low dimensional images obtained with multi-band image acquisition system. The kind and the number of imaging filters have the effect on the estimation of the spectral reflectance. Therefore it is important that optimal filters are selected to minimize the error of the result. In this paper, we describe methods to select optimal filters with minimum error between measured and estimated surface spectral reflectance and to estimate surface spectral reflectance of Munsell color chart from six multi-band images by using Wiener estimation.

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Direct Economic Effects and Optimal Vessel Reduction Scales in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries (연근해어업 어선감척 적정 목표량 산정 및 감척효과 분석)

  • SHIN, Yong-Min;KIM, Jin-Sang;LEE, Jeong-Min;NAM, Jong-Oh
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.821-832
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    • 2015
  • The aims of this study are to estimate the optimal vessel reduction scales and these direct economic effects of coastal and offshore fisheries in the Republic of Korea. To estimate respectively optimal fishing efforts of individual fishery by species in coastal and offshore fisheries, we adopted appropriate fishing power of each species published by National Fisheries Research and Development Institute and also considered biological and socio-economic factors such as the bycatch rate, the profit rate, the efficiency of resource use, the average age of fishing vessel, the intention of vessel reduction, and the annual changes in vessels by other factors. The direct economic effects of the optimal vessel reduction in coastal and offshore fisheries based on maximum sustainable yield and 2/3 maximum sustainable yield was calculated by a cost-benefit analysis. This study showed that optimal reduction numbers of vessels engaged in coastal and offshore fisheries were 4,431 and 374 vessels and the direct economic effects in coastal and offshore fisheries were about 371.7 and 569.4 billion won and these NPV and BCR were 111.7 billion won and 1.65 and 342.6 billion won and 4.97 respectively.

Estimation of optimal nasotracheal tube depth in adult patients

  • Ji, Sung-Mi
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.307-312
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    • 2017
  • Background: The aim of this study was to estimate the optimal depth of nasotracheal tube placement. Methods: We enrolled 110 patients scheduled to undergo oral and maxillofacial surgery, requiring nasotracheal intubation. After intubation, the depth of tube insertion was measured. The neck circumference and distances from nares to tragus, tragus to angle of the mandible, and angle of the mandible to sternal notch were measured. To estimate optimal tube depth, correlation and regression analyses were performed using clinical and anthropometric parameters. Results: The mean tube depth was $28.9{\pm}1.3cm$ in men (n = 62), and $26.6{\pm}1.5cm$ in women (n = 48). Tube depth significantly correlated with height (r = 0.735, P < 0.001). Distances from nares to tragus, tragus to angle of the mandible, and angle of the mandible to sternal notch correlated with depth of the endotracheal tube (r = 0.363, r = 0.362, and r = 0.546, P < 0.05). The tube depth also correlated with the sum of these distances (r = 0.646, P < 0.001). We devised the following formula for estimating tube depth: $19.856+0.267{\times}sum$ of the three distances ($R^2=0.432$, P < 0.001). Conclusions: The optimal tube depth for nasotracheally intubated adult patients correlated with height and sum of the distances from nares to tragus, tragus to angle of the mandible, and angle of the mandible to sternal notch. The proposed equation would be a useful guide to determine optimal nasotracheal tube placement.

Accelerated life test plans with optimum censoring time (최적 관측중단시간을 고려한 가속수명시험 설계)

  • 강창원;강창욱
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.40
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 1996
  • Previous researches on optimum ALT plans have shown how to find optimum allocation, lowest stress and sample size subject to minimizing the variance of mean life estimate. Those researches have assumed the censoring time constant. But under certain circumstances such assumptions may not be reasonable. In this paper the constraint on constant censoring time is relaxed, and censoring time is considered variable. If all other test parameters remain unvaried, the variance of the mean life estimate reciprocally increases of the censoring time. This idea in this paper extends to the optimum censoring time. Thus, this paper presents the optimal censoring time in such situations, and finds the optimal lowest stress and allocation based on that optimal censoring time.

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Optimal Design of PSC-I Girder Bridge Considering Life Cycle Cost (생애주기비용을 고려한 PSC-I형 교량의 최적설계)

  • Park, Jang-Ho;Shin, Yung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the procedure for the optimal design of a PSC-I girder bridge considering life cycle cost (LCC). The load carrying capacity curves for the concrete deck, PSC-I girder and $\pi$-type pier were derived and used for the estimate of service lives. Total life cycle cost for the service life was calculated as sum of initial cost, damage cost, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost, user cost, and disposal cost. The advanced First Order Second Moment method was used to estimate the damage cost. The optimization method was applied to the design of PSC-I girder bridge. The objective function was set to the annual cost, which is defined by dividing the total life cycle cost by the service life, and constraints were formulated on the basis of Korean Standards. The optimal design was performed for various service lives and the effects of design factors were investigated.

Data-Dependent Choice of Optimal Number of Lags in Variogram Estimation

  • Choi, Seung-Bae;Kang, Chang-Wan;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.609-619
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    • 2010
  • Geostatistical data among spatial data is analyzed in three stages: (1) variogram estimation, (2) model fitting for the estimated variograms and (3) spatial prediction using the fitted variogram model. It is very important to estimate the variograms properly as the first stage(i.e., variogram estimation) affects the next two stages. In general, the variogram is estimated with the moment estimator. To estimate the variogram, we have to decide the 'lag increment' or the 'number of lags'. However, there is no established rule for selecting the number of lags in estimating the variogram. The present paper proposes a method of choosing the optimal number of lags based on the PRESS statistic. To show the usefulness of the proposed method, we perform a small simulation study and show an empirical example with with air pollution data from Korea.

Estimating Optimal Harvesting Production of Yellow Croaker Caught by Multiple Fisheries Using Hamiltonian Method (해밀토니안기법을 이용한 복수어업의 참조기 최적어획량 추정)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Sim, Seong-Hyun;Kwon, Oh-Min
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to estimate optimal harvesting production, fishing efforts, and stock levels of yellow croaker caught by the offshore Stow Net and the offshore Gill Net fisheries using the current value Hamiltonian method and the surplus production model. As analyzing processes, firstly, this study uses the Gavaris general linear model to estimate standardized fishing efforts of yellow croaker caught by the above multiple fisheries. Secondly, this study applies the Clarke Yoshimoto Pooley(CY&P) model among the various exponential growth models to estimate intrinsic growth rate(r), environmental carrying capacity(K), and catchability coefficient(q) of yellow croaker which inhabits in offshore area of Korea. Thirdly, the study determines optimal harvesting production, fishing efforts, and stock levels of yellow croaker using the current value Hamiltonian method which is including average landing price of yellow croaker, average unit cost of fishing efforts, and social discount rate based on standard of the Korean Development Institute. Finally, this study tries sensitivity analysis to understand changes in optimal harvesting production, fishing efforts, and stock levels of yellow croaker caused by changes in economic and biological parameters. As results drawn by the current value Hamiltonian model, the optimal harvesting production, fishing efforts, and stock levels of yellow croaker caught by the multiple fisheries were estimated as 19,173 ton, 101,644 horse power, and 146,144 ton respectively. In addition, as results of sensitivity analysis, firstly, if the social discount rate and the average landing price of yellow croaker continuously increase, the optimal harvesting production of yellow croaker increases at decreasing rate and then finally slightly decreases due to decreases in stock levels of yellow croaker. Secondly, if the average unit cost of fishing efforts continuously increases, the optimal fishing efforts of the multiple fisheries decreases, but the optimal stock level of yellow croaker increases. The optimal harvest starts climbing and then continuously decreases due to increases in the average unit cost. Thirdly, when the intrinsic growth rate of yellow croaker increases, the optimal harvest, fishing efforts, and stock level all continuously increase. In conclusion, this study suggests that the optimal harvesting production and fishing efforts were much less than actual harvesting production(35,279 ton) and estimated standardized fishing efforts(175,512 horse power) in 2013. This result implies that yellow croaker has been overfished due to excessive fishing efforts. Efficient management and conservative policy on stock of yellow croaker need to be urgently implemented.

Optimal Design for Locally Weighted Quasi-Likelihood Response Curve Estimator

  • Park, Dongryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2002
  • The estimation of the response curve is the important problem in the quantal bioassay. When we estimate the response curve, we determine the design points in advance of the experiment. Then naturally we have a question of which design would be optimal. As a response curve estimator, locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator has several more appealing features than the traditional nonparametric estimators. The optimal design density for the locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator is derived and its ability both in theoretical and in empirical point of view are investigated.

Sensitivita Analysis and Optimal desing of plane Vehicle Frame Structures (평면 차체프레임구조물의 민감도해석 및 최적설계)

  • 이종선
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 1996
  • This paper is to estimate sizing design sensitivity of linear and nonlinear vehicle frame structure using structural ananlysis result from ANSYS. Using design sensitivity results, optimal design of plane vehicle frame structure with buckling constraint is carried out the gradient projection method. Optimal design results are compares gradient projection method resrult with SUMT result.

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