• 제목/요약/키워드: ocean forecast

검색결과 141건 처리시간 0.025초

지역 파랑 예측시스템과 해양기상 부이의 파랑 특성 비교 연구 (Research on Wind Waves Characteristics by Comparison of Regional Wind Wave Prediction System and Ocean Buoy Data)

  • 유승협;박종숙
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2010
  • Analyses of wind wave characteristics near the Korean marginal seas were performed in 2008 and 2009 by comparisons of an operational wind wave forecast model and ocean buoy data. In order to evaluate the model performance, its results were compared with the observed data from an ocean buoy. The model used in this study was very good at predicting the characteristics of wind waves near the Korean Peninsula, with correlation coefficients between the model and observations of over 0.8. The averaged Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for 48 hrs of forecasting between the modeled and observed waves and storm surges/tide were 0.540 m and 0.609 m in 2008 and 2009, respectively. In the spatial and seasonal analysis of wind waves, long waves were found in July and September at the southern coast of Korea in 2008, while in 2009 long waves were found in the winter season at the eastern coast of Korea. Simulated significant wave heights showed evident variations caused by Typhoons in the summer season. When Typhoons Kalmaegi and Morakot in 2008 and 2009 approached to Korean Peninsula, the accuracy of the model predictions was good compared to the annual mean value.

Study on hydrodynamic performance of Heavier-than-water AUV with overlapping grid method

  • Li, Xiang;Zhao, Min;Zhao, Faming;Yuan, Qingqing;Ge, Tong
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2014
  • Hydrodynamic coefficients strongly affect the dynamic performance of autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs). A novel kind of underwater vehicle (Heavier-than-water AUV) with higher density than water is presented, which is different from conventional ones. RANS method and overlapping grids are used to simulate the flow field around the vehicle. Lifts, drags and moments of different attack and drift angles in steady state are calculated. The hydrodynamic performances and how the forces change with the attitude are analyzed according to the flow field structure. The steady-state results using overlapping grid method are compared with those of software FLUENT and wind tunnel tests. The calculation results show that the overlapping grid method can well simulate the viscous flow field around the underwater vehicle. Overlapping grid skills have also been used to figure out the planar-motion-mechanism (PMM) problem of Heavier-than-water AUV and forecast its hydrodynamic performance, verifying its effectiveness in dealing with the dynamic problems, which would be quite helpful for design and control of Heavier-than-water AUV and other underwater vehicles.

해양플랜트 의장품 조달관리를 위한 배관 공정 리드타임 예측 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study of Piping Leadtime Forecast in Offshore Plant’s Outfittings Procurement Management)

  • 함동균;백명기;박중구;우종훈
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2016
  • In shipbuilding and offshore plant construction, pipe-stools of various types are installed. Moreover, these are many quantities but they must be installed in a successive manner. Due to these characteristics the pipe-stool installation processes easily tends to cause the schedule delays in the overall production processes. In order to reduce delay, the goal of this study is to predicts production’s lead time before manufacturing. Through this predictions it’s expected to reduce total production’s lead time by improving it's process. First of all, we made MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and PLSR(Partial Least Square Regression) model to predict pipe-spool's lead time and then compared predictability of MLR and PLSR model. If a explanatory variable is added, it will be possible to predict results precisely.

열대 해수면 온도 분포와 북서태평양 태풍의 계절적 활동 시작일 변동 사이의 관련성 (Relationship between the Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Distribution and Initiation Timing of the Typhoon Season in the Northwestern Pacific)

  • 김동희;김형석
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2017
  • This study examined the relationship between the initiation timing typhoon season in the Northwestern Pacific and the tropical sea surface temperature (SST) using a numerical simulation. The initiation timing of the typhoon season is closely associated with SSTs over the Indian Ocean (IO) and the eastern Pacific (EP) in the preceding winter and early-spring. The experiment based on the Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) model showed that the start date of the typhoon season is delayed for about one month when the SSTs over the IO and the EP increase in the preceding winter. The forced tropical SST pattern induces anticyclonic anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific, which is an unfavorable condition for typhoon development, and hence it could delay the initiation of the typhoon season.

Ka-band 구름레이더와 천리안위성으로 관측된 운정고도 비교 (Comparison of Cloud Top Height Observed by a Ka-band Cloud Radar and COMS)

  • 오수빈;원혜영;하종철;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2014
  • This study provides a comparative analysis of cloud top heights observed by a Ka-band cloud radar and the Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) at Boseong National Center for Intensive Observation of severe weather (NCIO) from May 25, 2013 (1600 UTC) to May 27. The rainfall duration is defined as the period of rainfall from start to finish, and the no rainfall duration is defined as the period other than the rainfall duration. As a result of the comparative analysis, the cloud top heights observed by the cloud radar have been estimated to be lower than that observed by the COMS for the rainfall duration due to the signal attenuation caused by raindrops. The stronger rainfall intensity gets, the more the difference grows. On the other hand, the cloud top heights observed by the cloud radar have been relatively similar to that observed by the COMS for the no rainfall duration. In this case, the cloud radar can effectively detect cloud top heights within the range of its observation. The COMS indicates the cloud top heights lower than the actual ones due to the upper thin clouds under the influence of ground surface temperature. As a result, the cloud radar can be useful in detecting cloud top heights when there are no precipitation events. The COMS data can be used to correct the cloud top heights when the radar gets beyond the valid range of observation or there are precipitation events.

항해지원을 위한 해양환경정보 실시간 예보시스템 개발 (Development of Real-Time Forecasting System of Marine Environmental Information for Ship Routing)

  • 홍기용;신승호;송무석
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2005
  • 대양을 운항하는 선박의 최적 항로계획 수립에 중요한 해양환경정보를 실시간으로 예보하는 시스템(MEIS)을 개발하였다. 예보정보는 위성관측 대양환경 자료를 기반으로 유럽중기기후예보센터가 처리한 실시간 자료를 바탕으로 하며, 장기 관측자료 데이터베이스에 근거한 통계적 정보와 함께 제공된다. MEIS시스템은 육상 기지국에 설치되어 해양환경정보를 취득하고 처리하는 육상자료처리시스템(MEIS-Center)과 선박에 탑재되어 가공된 해양환경정보를 화상으로 구현하고 최적항로 선정을 돕는 선박탑재화상구현시스템(MEIS-Ship)으로 구성되며, 운항중인 선박과 육상기지국간의 정보 송수신을 위한 위성통신 시스템을 활용한다. 해양환경 요소는 바람, 파랑, 기압, 폭풍을 포함하며, 바람은 풍향과 풍속 정보를 제공하고, 파랑은 너울과 풍파로 구분하여 파고, 파향, 파주기 정보를 제공할 수 있다. 실시간 정보는 0.5°해상도로 5시간 간격의 10일 예보치가 매일 제공되며, 통계적 정보는 1.5° 해상도의 15년 관측자료를 이용하여 월평균 및 재현주기별 최대값이 산정된다. MEIS-Ship은 항로 시뮬레이션 기능을 제공하며, 설정된 항로에 대해 예보 및 통계적 해양환경정보를 그림 또는 표의 형태로 제공한다. MEIS는 예정 항로상의 정확한 실시간 해양환경 예보를 제공하므로 선박운항자가 항로의 위험도와 운항경제성을 고려하여 최적 항로를 선정하는 것이 가능하다.

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Evidence of Vertical Mixing Caused by High Frequency Internal Waves along the Eastern Coast of Korea

  • Han, In-Seong;Lee, Ju;Jang, Lee-Hyun;Suh, Young-Sang;Seong, Ki-Tack
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2008
  • Internal waves and internal tides occur frequently along the eastern coast of Korea. During the spring-tide period in April 2003, the East Korean Warm Current (EKWC) flowed near the Korean East Coast Farming Forecast System (KECFFS; a moored oceanographic measurement system), creating a strong thermocline at the intermediate layer. Weakened stratification and well-mixed water appeared frequently around the KECFFS, with duration of approximately 1 day. The results suggest the following scenario. Baroclinic motion related to the internal tide generated high frequency internal waves around the thermocline. The breaking of those waves then created turbulence around the thermocline. After well-mixed water appeared, a current component with perpendicular direction to the EKWC appeared within the inertial period. The change in stratification around the KECFFS locally broke the geostrophic balance as a transient state. This local vertical mixing formed an ageostrophic current within the inertial period.

여름강수량의 단기예측을 위한 Multi-Ensemble GCMs 기반 시공간적 Downscaling 기법 개발 (Development of Multi-Ensemble GCMs Based Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Scheme for Short-term Prediction)

  • 권현한;민영미
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2009
  • A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

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THE USE OF QUICKS CAT WIND TO ESTIMATE THE VERTICAL VELOCITY IN TYPHOON AND SNOWSTORM

  • Heol Ki-young;Ha Kyung-Ja;Lee Dong-Kyu;Jeong Jin-Yong
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2005년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2005
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    • pp.54-57
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    • 2005
  • This study examines moisture supplement from the warm ocean in snowfalls of two cases and heavy rainfall of Typhoon case. The QuickSCAT wind is used to evaluate the convergence of moisture fluxes in the storms from the sea in estimation of the amount of heavy snowstorm and rainfall. The results show that enough water vapor transport from ocean to atmosphere induced the severe storms, because strong QuickSCAT -derived vertical velocity nearly concurred with heavy snowfall and rainfall. In the present study, we attempted to show that QuickSCAT wind can be used to forecast the severe weather events, such as heavy snowfall and rainfalls.

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신라 시대 항해술에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Art of Navigation in the Era of Silla)

  • 김형근
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2003년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2003
  • In this study the writer would like to study the art of navigation in the Era of Silla. For the purpose of this study, the writer studied ship's log book of Ennin's Diary, the ancient ship's structures of Korean, Chinese, Japanese, winds and ocean currents around Korean Peninsular which effect the navigation of sailing ship, and ancient reference books and materials. The result of this study. in the ship's structure in the Era of Silla. bottom structure is considered flat and V-Shaped type, and sailing ship had anchor, sail, considerable deckhouse, transverse bulkhead. And the ship's main materials of sailing ship was wood. partially used irons in the panting structures. In the art of navigation, navigators used winds, ocean current, anchor, sail, depth and color of sea water, lights, ballast. Especially navigators used astrologers and geomancers for astronomical observation, weather forecast, natural phenomena.

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