• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.33 no.7
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• pp.29-41
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• 2017

There are uncertainties about the seismic load caused by seismic waves, which cannot be predicted due to the characteristics of the earthquake occurrence. Therefore, it is necessary to consider these uncertainties by probabilistic analysis. In this paper, procedures to develop a fragility curve that is a representative method to evaluate the safety of a structure by stochastic analysis were proposed for cut slopes. Fragility curve that considers uncertainties of soil shear strength parameters was prepared by Monte Carlo Simulation using pseudo static analysis. The fragility curve considering the uncertainty of the input ground motion was developed by performing time-history seismic analysis using selected 30 real ground input motions and the Newmark type displacement evaluation analysis. Fragility curves are represented as the cumulative probability distribution function with lognormal distribution by using the maximum likelihood estimation method.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.39C no.11
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• pp.1042-1049
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• 2014

In Military MicroWave communication, the distance of link, availability, transmission capacity is the important point in order to design the circuit. Currently, operated by fixed modulation, in the future it will be evolved to the modulation techniques enabled to increase the transmission capacity. It would be hard to consistently guarantee the transmission quality of the high-availability because the occurrence probability of fading increase in terms of the link distance for the case of the long distance. In the case of the modulation techniques for the transmission of high-capacity, as the distance is long, a falling-off in the fade margin from the link budget analysis cause the decrease in the availability. It is difficult to provide QoS guaranteed connection. In this paper, we propose the performance improvement technique of transmission by the variable allocation of the bandwidth and the higher priority transmission technique using setting the ratio of the higher priority capacity in association with the distance of link. Also we suggest the alternative of the calculation for channel transmission capacity to design the circuit.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.21-40
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• 2015

Heat waves are not new, but due to climate change, the probability of occurrence and severity of heat waves increases, which results in more adverse impacts and damages on local community. Accordingly, the need to tackle heat waves in a more comprehensive and precautionary manner increases. Our study therefore lays emphasis on 1) a long-term plan which not only includes short-term plans in response to the observed damages, but also incorporates relevant sectors to deal with potential impacts in longer term perspective; and 2) a mechanism to manage and adjust the plan in a sustainable manner. In doing so, it examines the impacts of heatwaves and existing plans to tackle them. Based on that, two key conceptual frameworks, namely policy integration and adaptive management, are applied to provide strategies for the development and management of a long-term adapting heatwave plan addressing climate change.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.65 no.7
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• pp.1236-1241
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• 2016

Cancer has been the most frequent in Korea, and pathogenesis and progression of cancer have been known to be occurred through various causes and stages. Recently, the research of chromosomal and genetic disorder and the research about prognostic factor to predict occurrence, recurrence and progress of chromosomal and genetic disorder have been performed actively. In this paper, we analyzed DNA methylation data downloaded from TCGA (The Cancer Genome Atlas), open database, to research bladder cancer which is the most frequent among urinary system cancers. Using three level of methylation data which had the most preprocessing, 59 candidate CpG island were extracted from 480,000 CpG island, and then we analyzed extracted CpG island applying data mining technique. As a result, cg12840719 CpG island were analyzed significant, and in Cox's regression we can find the CpG island with high relative risk in comparison with other CpG island. Shown in the result of classification analysis, the CpG island which have high correlation with bladder cancer are cg03146993, cg07323648, cg12840719, cg14676825 and classification accuracy is about 76%. Also we found out that positive predictive value, the probability which predicts cancer in case of cancer was 72.4%. Through the verification of candidate CpG island from the result, we can utilize this method for diagnosing and treating cancer.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.19 no.11
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• pp.2576-2583
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• 2015

In a full-duplex (FD) wireless cellular network, uplink (UL) users induce the severe inter-user interference to downlink (DL) users. Therefore, a user scheduling that makes a pair of DL user and UL user to use the same radio resource simultaneously influences the system performances significantly. In this paper, we first formulate an optimization problem for user scheduling to minimize the occurrence of outage, aiming to guarantee the quality of service of users, and then we propose a suboptimal user scheduling algorithm with low complexity. The proposed scheduling algorithm is designed in a way where the DL user with a worse signal quality has a higher priority to choose its UL user that causes less interference. Simulation results show that the FD system using the proposed user scheduling algorithm achieves the optimal performance and significantly decreases the outage probability compared with the conventional half-duplex cellular system.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.350-362
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• 2015

A disease forecast model for bacterial grain rot (BGR) of rice, which is caused by Burkholderia glumae, was developed in this study. The model, which was named 'BGRcast', determined daily conduciveness of weather conditions to epidemic development of BGR and forecasted risk of BGR development. All data that were used to develop and validate the BGRcast model were collected from field observations on disease incidence at Naju, Korea during 1998-2004 and 2010. In this study, we have proposed the environmental conduciveness as a measure of conduciveness of weather conditions for population growth of B. glumae and panicle infection in the field. The BGRcast calculated daily environmental conduciveness, $C_i$, based on daily minimum temperature and daily average relative humidity. With regard to the developmental stages of rice plants, the epidemic development of BGR was divided into three phases, i.e., lag, inoculum build-up and infection phases. Daily average of $C_i$ was calculated for the inoculum build-up phase ($C_{inf}$) and the infection phase ($C_{inc}$). The $C_{inc}$ and $C_{inf}$ were considered environmental conduciveness for the periods of inoculum build-up in association with rice plants and panicle infection during the heading stage, respectively. The BGRcast model was able to forecast actual occurrence of BGR at the probability of 71.4% and its false alarm ratio was 47.6%. With the thresholds of $C_{inc}=0.3$ and $C_{inf}=0.5$, the model was able to provide advisories that could be used to make decisions on whether to spray bactericide at the preand post-heading stage.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.10
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• pp.877-885
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• 2016

In this study, the Standard Precipitation Index(SPI), meteorological drought index, was used to evaluate the temporal and spatial assessment of drought forecasting results for all cross Korea. For the drought forecasting, the Multi Layer Perceptron-Artificial Neural Network (MLP-ANN) was selected and the drought forecasting was performed according to different forecasting lead time for SPI (3) and SPI (6). The precipitation data observed in 59 gaging stations of Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA) from 1976~2015. For the performance evaluation of the drought forecasting, the binary classification confusion matrix, such as evaluating the status of drought occurrence based on threshold, was constituted. Then Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) score and F score according to conditional probability are computed. As a result of ROC analysis on forecasting performance, drought forecasting performance, of applying the MLP-ANN model, shows satisfactory forecasting results. Consequently, two-month and five-month leading forecasts were possible for SPI (3) and SPI (6), respectively.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.81-89
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to assess the risk and predict the contingency for modular plant construction projects. Considering the work characteristics of the modular plant, The adapted research method is that suggest models for assessment impact of risk and predict the contingency considering risk. Based on the proposed models, It is selected one modular plant construction project and assessment impact of risk factors and predicted the contingency. The results of this study are as follows: Assessment the probability of occurrence of risk factors and intensity of impact, and extract 15 important risk factors. These are classified as Engineering, Procurement, Fabrication, Transportation, Construction phases to consider the work characteristics of the modular plant. The predicted contingency is that 6.739%(Engineering 2.850%, Procurement 6.225%, Fabrication 6.211%, Transportation 4.165%, Construction 8.168%) to prepare the basic business expense. The model is used as a way to derive quantitative results in the decision-making process for risk management in construction projects.

• Journal of Radiation Industry
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.123-132
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• 2014

After the nuclear accident of the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plants (FDNPPs) on 11 March 2011, a large amount of radioactive materials has been released into the atmosphere and the ocean. A compartment model is used to evaluate the circulation characteristics and the spatiotemporal concentration distributions of radionuclides in the ocean. In the comparison with observed concentrations of $^{137}Cs$ in seawater, calculated concentrations by the compartment model were well agreed with them. On the basis of these results, we performed evaluation of the effective dose and the cancer risk. In the early stage of the accident, the effective doses from ingestion of the seafood near the Fukushima region were much higher than 1 mSv which is the value of the annual effective dose limit to individual recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP). However, the effective doses by ingestion of the seafood decreased below 1 mSv as distance from the FDNPPs increased and time passed. In addition, it was estimated that the cancer risks by intake of the contaminated marine products were less than natural occurrence probability of cancer. Consequently, it was inferred that the health risk due to the $^{137}Cs$ was low after since mid-term period of the accident.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 2008

Steam and advection fogs are frequently observed in the Yellow Sea from March to July except for May. This study uses remote sensing (RS) data for the monitoring of sea fog. Meteorological data obtained from the Ieodo Ocean Research Station provided a valuable information for the occurrence of steam and advection fogs as a ground truth. The RS data used in this study were GOES-9, MTSAT-1R images and QuikSCAT wind data. A dual channel difference (DCD) approach using IR and shortwave IR channel of GOES-9 and MTSAT-1R satellites was applied to detect sea fog. The results showed that DCD, texture-related measurement and the weak wind condition are required to separate the sea fog from the low cloud. The QuikSCAT wind data was used to provide the wind speed criteria for a fog event. The laplacian computation was designed for a measurement of the homogeneity. A new combined method, which includes DCD, QuikSCAT wind speed and laplacian computation, was applied to the twelve cases with GOES-9 and MTSAT-1R. The threshold values for DCD, QuikSCAT wind speed and laplacian are -2.0 K, $8m\;s^{-1}$ and 0.1, respectively. The validation results showed that the new combined method slightly improves the detection of sea fog compared to DCD method: improvements of the new combined method are $5{\sim}6%$ increases in the Heidke skill score, 10% decreases in the probability of false detection, and $30{\sim}40%$ increases in the odd ratio.