• 제목/요약/키워드: normal model

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비정규분포를 이용한 표본선택 모형 추정: 자동차 보유와 유지비용에 관한 실증분석 (An Alternative Parametric Estimation of Sample Selection Model: An Application to Car Ownership and Car Expense)

  • 최필선;민인식
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.345-358
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    • 2012
  • 표본선택 모형을 최우추정법으로 추정할 때 오차항의 분포를 제대로 가정하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 표본선택 모형의 선택 방정식과 본 방정식의 오차항 분포를 일반적으로 이변량 정규분포로 가정하지만, 이 가정이 오차항의 실제 분포를 과도하게 제약할 가능성이 있다. 본 연구는 표본선택 모형의 오차항 분포로 $S_U$-정규분포를 도입한다. $S_U$-정규분포는 분포의 비대칭성과 초과첨도를 허용한다는 측면에서 정규분포보다 훨씬 유연하면서, 동시에 정규분포를 극한분포의 형태로 포함하고 있다. 또한 정규분포처럼 다변량 분포함수가 존재하기 때문에 표본선택 모형과 같은 다변량 모형에서도 활용할 수 있다. 본 논문은 $S_U$-정규분포를 이용한 표본선택 모형에서 로그우도 함수와 조건부 기댓값을 도출하고, 시뮬레이션을 통해 정규분포 모형과 추정성과를 비교한다. 또한 자동차 보유 가구들의 자동차 유지비에 관한 실제 데이터를 이용하여 $S_U$-정규분포 표본선택 모형의 추정결과를 제시한다.

비정규 오차를 고려한 자기회귀모형의 추정법 및 예측성능에 관한 연구 (A Study of Estimation Method for Auto-Regressive Model with Non-Normal Error and Its Prediction Accuracy)

  • 임보미;박정술;김준석;김성식;백준걸
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.

BAYESIAN ESTIMATION PROCEDURES IN MULTIPROCESS DISCOUNT NORMAL MODEL

  • Sohn, Joong-Kweon;Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Heon-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 1995
  • A model used in the past may be altered at will in modeling for the future. For this situation, the multiprocess dynamic model provides a general framework. In this paper we consider the multiprocess discount normal model with parameters having a time dependent non-linear structure. This model has nice properties such as insensitivity to outliers and quick reaction to abrupt changes of pattern.

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Improve the Performance of Semi-Supervised Side-channel Analysis Using HWFilter Method

  • Hong Zhang;Lang Li;Di Li
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.738-754
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    • 2024
  • Side-channel analysis (SCA) is a cryptanalytic technique that exploits physical leakages, such as power consumption or electromagnetic emanations, from cryptographic devices to extract secret keys used in cryptographic algorithms. Recent studies have shown that training SCA models with semi-supervised learning can effectively overcome the problem of few labeled power traces. However, the process of training SCA models using semi-supervised learning generates many pseudo-labels. The performance of the SCA model can be reduced by some of these pseudo-labels. To solve this issue, we propose the HWFilter method to improve semi-supervised SCA. This method uses a Hamming Weight Pseudo-label Filter (HWPF) to filter the pseudo-labels generated by the semi-supervised SCA model, which enhances the model's performance. Furthermore, we introduce a normal distribution method for constructing the HWPF. In the normal distribution method, the Hamming weights (HWs) of power traces can be obtained from the normal distribution of power points. These HWs are filtered and combined into a HWPF. The HWFilter was tested using the ASCADv1 database and the AES_HD dataset. The experimental results demonstrate that the HWFilter method can significantly enhance the performance of semi-supervised SCA models. In the ASCADv1 database, the model with HWFilter requires only 33 power traces to recover the key. In the AES_HD dataset, the model with HWFilter outperforms the current best semi-supervised SCA model by 12%.

Robust Image Watermarking via Perceptual Structural Regularity-based JND Model

  • Wang, Chunxing;Xu, Meiling;Wan, Wenbo;Wang, Jian;Meng, Lili;Li, Jing;Sun, Jiande
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.1080-1099
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    • 2019
  • A better tradeoff between robustness and invisibility will be realized by using the just noticeable (JND) model into the quantization-based watermarking scheme. The JND model is usually used to describe the perception characteristics of human visual systems (HVS). According to the research of cognitive science, HVS can adaptively extract the structure features of an image. However, the existing JND models in the watermarking scheme do not consider the structure features. Therefore, a novel JND model is proposed, which includes three aspects: contrast sensitivity function, luminance adaptation, and contrast masking (CM). In this model, the CM effect is modeled by analyzing the direction features and texture complexity, which meets the human visual perception characteristics and matches well with the spread transform dither modulation (STDM) watermarking framework by employing a new method to measure edge intensity. Compared with the other existing JND models, the proposed JND model based on structural regularity is more efficient and applicable in the STDM watermarking scheme. In terms of the experimental results, the proposed scheme performs better than the other watermarking scheme based on the existing JND models.

A phenomenological approach to suspensions with viscoelastic matrices

  • Tanner Roger I.;Qi Fuzhong
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2005
  • A simple constitutive model for viscoelastic suspensions is discussed in this paper. The model can be used to predict the rheological properties (relative viscosity and all stresses) for viscoelastic suspensions in shear and elongational flow, and the constitutive equations combine a 'viscoelastic' behaviour component and a 'Newtonian' behaviour component. As expected, the model gives a prediction of positive first normal stress difference and negative second normal stress difference; the dimensionless first normal stress difference strongly depends on the shear rate and decreases with the volume fraction of solid phase, but the dimensionless second normal stress difference (in magnitude) is nearly independent of the shear rate and increases with the volume fraction. The relative viscosities and all the stresses have been tested against available experimental measurements.

A Predictive Two-Group Multinormal Classification Rule Accounting for Model Uncertainty

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.477-491
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    • 1997
  • A new predictive classification rule for assigning future cases into one of two multivariate normal population (with unknown normal mixture model) is considered. The development involves calculation of posterior probability of each possible normal-mixture model via a default Bayesian test criterion, called intrinsic Bayes factor, and suggests predictive distribution for future cases to be classified that accounts for model uncertainty by weighting the effect of each model by its posterior probabiliy. In this paper, our interest is focused on constructing the classification rule that takes care of uncertainty about the types of covariance matrices (homogeneity/heterogeneity) involved in the model. For the constructed rule, a Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrates routine application and notes benefits over traditional predictive calssification rule by Geisser (1982).

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Variable Selection in Linear Random Effects Models for Normal Data

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.407-420
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    • 1998
  • This paper is concerned with selecting covariates to be included in building linear random effects models designed to analyze clustered response normal data. It is based on a Bayesian approach, intended to propose and develop a procedure that uses probabilistic considerations for selecting premising subsets of covariates. The approach reformulates the linear random effects model in a hierarchical normal and point mass mixture model by introducing a set of latent variables that will be used to identify subset choices. The hierarchical model is flexible to easily accommodate sign constraints in the number of regression coefficients. Utilizing Gibbs sampler, the appropriate posterior probability of each subset of covariates is obtained. Thus, In this procedure, the most promising subset of covariates can be identified as that with highest posterior probability. The procedure is illustrated through a simulation study.

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Bayesian inference for an ordered multiple linear regression with skew normal errors

  • Jeong, Jeongmun;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2020
  • This paper studies a Bayesian ordered multiple linear regression model with skew normal error. It is reasonable that the kind of inherent information available in an applied regression requires some constraints on the coefficients to be estimated. In addition, the assumption of normality of the errors is sometimes not appropriate in the real data. Therefore, to explain such situations more flexibly, we use the skew-normal distribution given by Sahu et al. (The Canadian Journal of Statistics, 31, 129-150, 2003) for error-terms including normal distribution. For Bayesian methodology, the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is employed to resolve complicated integration problems. Also, under the improper priors, the propriety of the associated posterior density is shown. Our Bayesian proposed model is applied to NZAPB's apple data. For model comparison between the skew normal error model and the normal error model, we use the Bayes factor and deviance information criterion given by Spiegelhalter et al. (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology), 64, 583-639, 2002). We also consider the problem of detecting an influential point concerning skewness using Bayes factors. Finally, concluding remarks are discussed.

Normal Mixture Model with General Linear Regressive Restriction: Applied to Microarray Gene Clustering

  • Kim, Seung-Gu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.205-213
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the normal mixture model subjected to general linear restriction for component-means based on linear regression is proposed, and its fitting method by EM algorithm and Lagrange multiplier is provided. This model is applied to gene clustering of microarray expression data, which demonstrates it has very good performances for real data set. This model also allows to obtain the clusters that an analyst wants to find out in the fashion that the hypothesis for component-means is represented by the design matrices and the linear restriction matrices.