• 제목/요약/키워드: non-fiscal variables

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재정변수 및 비재정변수가 지역경제에 미치는 영향: 16개 시도를 중심으로 (Effect of Fiscal and Non-fiscal Variables on Regional Economy: The Case of 16 Wide-area Autonomous Communities in Korea)

  • 박완규;김두수
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.554-566
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 1998년부터 2012년까지 15년간의 16개 시 도 패널자료를 이용하여 자치단체의 세입 세출 등 재정변수들 및 인구, 고령인구비율, 실업률, 부양비 등 비재정변수들과 1인당 GRDP로 정의한 지역경제력 간의 관계를 분석하였다. 구체적으로 그랜저 인과관계 분석을 시행하였고, 지역경제력으로 일 방향 또는 양 방향 인과관계가 존재하는 변수들을 설명변수로 한 회귀분석을 시행한 후 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미치는 변수들에 대해 누적적 영향 유무를 검정하였다. 그 결과 1인당 지방세액, 1인당 사회개발비, 중위연령 등은 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나 부양비는 음(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 1인당 보조금, 1인당 지방세액, 1인당 사회개발비, 중위연령 등은 지역경제력에 누적적 영향을 미치고 있다.

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DSGE 모형 추정을 이용한 2000년 이후 한국의 거시경제 분석 (Analysis on Korean Economy with an Estimated DSGE Model after 2000)

  • 김태봉
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.1-64
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    • 2014
  • 본고는 소규모 개방경제를 상정한 동태확률모형을 통해 2000년 이후의 한국 거시경제의 변동요인들과 금융위기 기간의 통화정책과 재정정책의 변화요인을 추정하였다. 실증분석을 위해 동태확률모형은 경제성장률을 결정하는 두 가지 다른 추세요인과 다양한 구조충격요인 그리고 다양한 형태의 마찰을 포함시킴으로써, 거시변수들이 어떠한 요인에 의해 변화했는지를 정량적으로 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과, 금융위기 기간 동안 통화정책은 주로 테일러 준칙을 따른 것으로 나타난 반면, 재정정책의 반응은 재정준칙보다는 상대적으로 큰 폭의 재정충격요인에 의해서 설명된 것으로 추정되었다.

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Factors Affecting Job Performance: A Case Study of Academic Staff in Pakistan

  • TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;AGHA, Amad Nabi;SALMAN, Faryal;ULLAH, Imran;NISAR, Asad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.473-483
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    • 2021
  • This study's fundamental purpose is to examine the personality factors of business school faculty members in job satisfaction and job performance. Results show the significant impact of multicultural faculty members' job performance in a diverse environment in the Business schools of Karachi. The data is collected through the multi questionnaires from the various teaching, non-teaching staff, and students of private business schools of Karachi in Pakistan. The data has been tested through the Jamovi-by-medmod, and the regression model is to scrutinize and find the effect dependent variables to mediation. Simultaneously, results are calculated by mediation estimates and path estimates through the medmod technic and regression test from data. It provides a comprehensive insight into various factors such as personality traits, self-efficiency, Psychological diversity climate, self-esteem, and human resource management practices. These are the primary evaluated factors that affect multicultural faculty members' job satisfaction and job performance. However, results show a positive relationship between diversity climate and job performance, which mediates by job satisfaction. Similarly, personality traits show a positive relationship with job performance that mediates by job satisfaction. Correspondingly, self-esteem spectacles are a positive inter-relationship with job performance which is mediated by job satisfaction.

Financial Distress Prediction Using Adaboost and Bagging in Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;DING, Yi;AGHA, Amad Nabi;AGHA, Kinza;PANHWAR, Hafeez Ur Rehman Zubair
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.665-673
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    • 2021
  • Default has become an extreme concern in the current world due to the financial crisis. The previous prediction of companies' bankruptcy exhibits evidence of decision assistance for financial and regulatory bodies. Notwithstanding numerous advanced approaches, this area of study is not outmoded and requires additional research. The purpose of this research is to find the best classifier to detect a company's default risk and bankruptcy. This study used secondary data from the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) and it is time-series data to examine the impact on the determinants. This research examined several different classifiers as per their competence to properly categorize default and non-default Pakistani companies listed on the PSX. Additionally, PSX has remained consistent for some years in terms of growth and has provided benefits to its stockholders. This paper utilizes machine learning techniques to predict financial distress in companies listed on the PSX. Our results indicate that most multi-stage mixture of classifiers provided noteworthy developments over the individual classifiers. This means that firms will have to work on the financial variables such as liquidity and profitability to not fall into the category of liquidation. Moreover, Adaptive Boosting (Adaboost) provides a significant boost in the performance of each classifier.

기업지배구조와 실제이익조정의 관계 연구: 외국인투자자와 성장성을 중심으로 (A study of the relationship between corporate governance and real earnings management: Based on foreign investors and growth)

  • 강신애;김태중
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study conducted empirical research on non-financial corporations listed on the stock exchange from 2001 to 2010, focusing on the effects of corporate governance on real earnings management of corporations. In particular, this study examined primarily the impact of the largest shareholder who could use earnings management to pursue his own self-interest, and foreign investors who played a checking role against the largest shareholders. The study also reviewed the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management while also considering corporate growth. Research design, data, and methodology - As for the measurements of real earnings management, abnormal operating cash flow and abnormal production cost were utilized. As for the independent variables, share ratio of the largest shareholder and affiliate person (M) and share ratio of foreign investors (FT) were leveraged. This study excluded those organizations that had changed their fiscal years, those that had not submitted an audit report, corporations under supervision, delisted corporations, corporations that had changed their business type, and so on, from the non-financial corporations out of the publicly traded corporations whose fiscal year ended in December from 2001 to 2010 in addition, KIS values were utilized for the corporate financial data in the study. To verify whether management structure and growth had an impact on real earnings management of a corporation through empirical analysis, a multiple regression analysis model was applied. Result - First, as a result of the analysis, the share ratio (M) of the largest shareholder and affiliate person was found to have a significant positive correlation with abnormal cash flow from operations(ACF) and abnormal production cost (APD). When controlling the growth, the share ratio (M) of the largest shareholder and affiliate person was found to have an insignificant correlation with abnormal cash flow from operations(ACF) but a significant correlation with abnormal production cost (APD). Second, foreign ownership (FT) was found to have a significant positive correlation with abnormal cash flow from operations(ACF) and abnormal production cost (APD) at the confidence level of 1 percent when not including the growth dummy. When controlling the growth, foreign ownership (FT) was found to have a significant negative correlation with abnormal cash flow from operations (ACF) and with abnormal production cost (APD). Conclusion - The results imply that the largest shareholder is closely related to earnings management through real activities regardless of corporate growth. It is also possible to determine from these results that foreign investors are related to earnings management through real activities when not considering corporate growth, but that they would reduce earnings management in the case of considering the growth. Thus, this study verified along with the existing studies that foreign investors were conducting the control function on controlling shareholders.

기부금 지출과 기업 가치: 기업지배구조를 중심으로 (Donation Expenses and Corporate Value: A Focus on the Corporate Governance Structure)

  • 김수정;강신애
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권8호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Recently, the number of corporations that practice environmental and social responsibility, besides engaging in traditional profit-seeking activities, has been growing steadily, as interest in Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) is increasing. Recent research on CSR practices has identified the relationship between CSR activities and corporate value as one of the main issues in this respect. Considering that donations constitute a large proportion of a company's charitable activities, we considered the extent of donation expenses as a charitable activity in order to mitigate sample selection bias. Specifically, we analyzed the impact of donation expenses on firm value, while investigating if this impact varied in response to the level of corporate governance of firms. Research design, data, and methodology - We used non-financial firms listed on the Korean Stock Exchange, having their fiscal year end in December, and the sample period was 2006-2013. For the dependent variable, Tobin's q was used as the corporate value, and for the independent variable, donations were measured as the donation-expense-to-sales ratio. Corporate governance scores, as rated by the Korea Corporate Governance Service, were used to measure corporate governance levels because they consider the overall aspects of governance, including ownership structure, the board of directors, and the audit mechanism of individual companies. To examine the impact of donations on a company in relation to the level of corporate governance, we estimated regression models using the interaction terms of the governance dummy and donation variables. Then, we further estimated the regression models of two sub-samples that were classified according to the level of corporate governance. Similar to previous studies, the study uses variables that affect firm value, such as R&D expenditure, advertising expenses, EBITDA, debt-to-equity ratio, sales growth, company age, and company size as control variables. Results - The empirical results show that firm value significantly increased in response to an increase in donation expenses. Upon including the interaction terms of governance level dummy variables and donations, the coefficients of the interaction terms show significant positive values, while those of donation variables show significant negative values. In the strong governance sub-sample, the relationship between the donation expenses and corporate value was statistically positive (+) and significant. However, in the weak governance sub-sample, the relationship between the donation expenses and corporate value was statistically insignificant and negative (-). Conclusions - The empirical results suggest that donation expenses are significantly linked to an enhanced corporate value if firms have a good corporate governance structure. However, if the corporate governance structure is weak, the same relationship is not necessarily observed. The results of this study show that if a firm has high corporate governance, CSR practices enhance the company's reputation such that it has a positive (+) relationship with corporate value. If a firm has weak corporate governance, on the other hand, CSR practices are recognized as an agency cost and do not increase corporate value.

경제자유화가 외국인직접투자 유치에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Economic Liberalization on Foreign Direct Investment)

  • 김남수
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study analyzed the correlation between economic liberalization and foreign direct investment. The purpose of this study is to seek ways to attract foreign direct investment from developing countries. Design/methodology/approach - This study analysed with observations of 19 from 2000 to 2018 using a fixed effect model, a random effect model, and a two-way fixed effect model. Findings - First, it was found that economic liberalization had a positive effect on attracting foreign direct investment in the early stages of economic liberalization. Second, it was found that economic liberalization in the deepening stage of economic liberalization had a negative effect on attracting foreign direct investment. In general, it was found that the higher the level of economic liberalization in developing countries is not accompanied by innovative changes in the industrial structure, the higher the level of economic liberalization is likely to decrease the inducement of foreign direct investment due to negative factors such as an increase in labor costs. Overall, this study approved that Economic liberalization have a non-linear (inverted U-shape) relationship with the inflow of foreign direct investment. Research implications or Originality - First, this study attempted to expand the variables for the determinants of FDI by analyzing economic factors which is a determinent of FDI. Second, economic liberalization generally has a positive effect on foreign direct investment, but it proved that it does not have only positive effects as a factor of attracting foreign direct investment in developing countries. The advantage of low wages in ASEAN countries acts as a factor for foreign direct investment, but as the degree of economic liberalization increases, the environment such as government size, guarantee of property rights, international trade freedom, fiscal soundness, and regulations change positively. On the other hand, it can be suggested that if the industrial level is less, it may lead to a loss of comparative advantage and a decrease in investment.