• Title/Summary/Keyword: multinomial logit

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Usefulness of In-store Spotting Survey in Developing a Supermarket Location Analysis Model (내점객 인터뷰에 근거한 슈퍼마켓 입지분석 모델의 실용성 평가)

  • 서성무;고윤배
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.5.1-5.11
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    • 1998
  • 이 연구는 2차자료가 부족한 우리나라 슈퍼마켓 업체의 여건을 감안하여 간편하게 활용할 수 있는 입지분석 모델의 가능성을 탐구하였다. 연구모델은 두 가지 기준을 근거로 모두 네가지 모델을 설정하고 비교검토했다. 먼저 표본추출방법에 의해 내점객표본과 지역할당표본으로 분류하고, 이것을 다시 포함하는 변수의 범위에 따라 축소모델과 확장모델로 구분하였다. 공간상호작용모델의 추정에는 MNL(Multinomial Logit)방식을 이용했다. 분석결과 내점객표본으로 조사해서 얻은 응답자의 주거지와 주로 찾는 점포, 그리고 사전적으로 입수한 경쟁점포의 매장면적, 인접점포까지의 거리에 대한 자료만을 이용해서 추정한 가장 간단한 모델이 비교적 만족스러운 결과를 나타냈다.

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Improving Methods for Estimating Transportation Mode Choice Model in Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan Area (부산·울산광역권 교통수단 선택모형 구축 방법론 개선)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.4580-4587
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    • 2014
  • This study provides an improved transportation mode choice models applicable to the Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan area by scrutinizing previous study results developed using the multinomial logit model. Although the previous model has an appropriate modeling structure in terms of the sign of coefficient estimates and goodness-of-fit, the model ignores the total number of trips and traffic congestion condition between the two zones and partially reflects zone-specific variables and choice set. Therefore, this study considered all of these modeling faults by re-constructing the representative utility functions. The modeling results show that travelers in Busan-Ulsan metropolitan area tend to choose their mode using mode-specific characteristics rather than the classical travel time and/or cost variables.

Prediction of box office using data mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 박스오피스 예측)

  • Jeon, Seonghyeon;Son, Young Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1257-1270
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    • 2016
  • This study deals with the prediction of the total number of movie audiences as a measure for the box office. Prediction is performed by classification techniques of data mining such as decision tree, multilayer perceptron(MLP) neural network model, multinomial logit model, and support vector machine over time such as before movie release, release day, after release one week, and after release two weeks. Predictors used are: online word-of-mouth(OWOM) variables such as the portal movie rating, the number of the portal movie rater, and blog; in addition, other variables include showing the inherent properties of the film (such as nationality, grade, release month, release season, directors, actors, distributors, the number of audiences, and screens). When using 10-fold cross validation technique, the accuracy of the neural network model showed more than 90 % higher predictability before movie release. In addition, it can be seen that the accuracy of the prediction increases by adding estimates of the final OWOM variables as predictors.

An Analysis of University Students' Trip Destination Choice Behavior focusing on the Influential Factors (대학생 목적지 선택 행태 분석: 선택 영향 요인을 중심으로)

  • Yang, Ji-Hyun;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.68-82
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    • 2016
  • Destination choice analysis is an important issue of transportation demand research. The current study analyses the influential factors for university students' trip destination choice. The university students differ from other population groups in many aspects. The study is concerned with shopping, leisure and amusement purposes of trips, other than obligatory trips such as going to school. University students' daily life differs from those of employees and middle and high school students in the sense that a lot of flexible activities are mixed with fixed activities such as work and school attending. A multinomial logit analysis investigates the significance of the impact of a set of variables including residential location, gender and income of the university student. The results show that these variables affect the destination choice of shopping, leisure and amusement. The analysis also provides interesting interpretation of the relationships of the variables with the location choices, which are particularly relevant to the university students.

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Impact of Price Control on Drug Expenditure and Factors Associated with the Drug Switch among Statins: Analysis of HIRA-NPS Data (스타틴 의약품의 약가인하 효과 및 약물 교체 관련 요인: 건강보험심사평가원 환자표본자료를 이용한 분석)

  • Lee, Hye-Jae;Lee, Tae-Jin
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.112-123
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    • 2013
  • Background: Under the risk of financial sustainability of National Health Insurance, Korean government attempted a series of regulations over pharmaceutical prices. The first price-cut was implemented to the hyperlipidemial treatments, and the prices of statins were reduced on 15th, April in 2009. The purposes of this study are 1) to investigate the impact of this price-cut on pharmaceutical expenditure, and 2) to identify the factors associated with drug-switch among statins. Methods: Using the national patients sample data, this study conducted time series analysis on the expenditures, prices, and volumes of statin drugs. To understand the factors associated with drug-switch, the multinomial logit model was analyzed at the patients level. Results: The results of time series analysis demonstrated that the price-cut of hyperlipidemic medicines did not lead to the reduced expenditure, suggesting the increased volume was the major cause. The multinomial logit analysis identified the switch of healthcare provider as the significant factor that was highly associated with drug-switch, implying the physicians' preference was the major motivation of drug-switch. Conclusion: Without control of utilization, price regulation itself could not reduce pharmaceutical expenditure. This suggests that the pharmaceutical regulations should be implemented on the basis of understanding of provider behaviors. The findings of this study will form the first step for further empirical studies.

Search for an Optimal-Path Considering Various Attributes (다양한 경로속성을 고려한 최적경로 탐색)

  • Hahn, Jin-Seok;Chon, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2008
  • Existing shortest-path algorithms mainly consider a single attribute. But traveler actually chooses a route considering not single attribute but various attributes which are synthesized travel time, route length, personal preference, etc. Therefore, to search the optimal path, these attributes are considered synthetically. In this study route searching algorithm which selects the maximum utility route using discrete choice model has developed in order to consider various attributes. Six elements which affect route choice are chosen for the route choice model and parameters of the models are estimated using survey data. A multinomial logit models are developed to design the function of route choice model. As a result, the model which has route length, delay time, the number of turning as parameter is selected based on the significance test. We use existing shortest path algorithm, which can reflect urban transportation network such as u-turn or p-turn, and apply it to the real network.

Evaluating Proton Accelerator in Korea (양성자가속기시설의 편익분석)

  • Jeong, Kiho;Cho, Jinsam;Kim, Jeeyoung;Kim, Junyeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.741-760
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    • 2006
  • As a part of the 21st Century Frontier Projects, Korea is building a proton linear accelerator complex. Using the discrete choice conjoint analysis method, this study evaluates the complex. Multinomial logit model is employed as an econometric model and Hicks' compensating variation is adopted as a welfare measure. The results show that an average willingness-to-pay (WTP) of a would-be user measured by the compensating variation is estimated by 1.93 million Korean won per hour for the specification of the complex being built.

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Study of the Determinants of R&D Cooperation : Empirical Evidence from Korean Manufacturing SMEs (기술협력 유형 결정요인에 관한 실증연구: 중소제조기업을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyung-Soo;Yang, Dong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.6587-6598
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    • 2014
  • This study tested the hypothesis from the previous research issues and empirically investigated the determinants of cooperative strategy for technological innovation, using the multinomial logit model. The meaningful conclusions from this study are as follows. First, the characteristics of the company and product are not the significant determinants for cooperative strategy for technological innovation. Second, formal R&D organization characteristics are significant factors in determining the type of cooperative strategy for technological innovation. Third, the support of government is a significant determinant and if a company receives more government support, it is likely to accept public type cooperation. Fourth, the characteristics of industry are significant determinants and if a company belongs to a higher technology industry, it is likely to accept vertical type cooperation with private enterprises. This study analyzed the hypotheses raised in a variety of studies empirically. This paper presents the basis of various studies concerning technological cooperation strategies.

A Review on Dynamic Changes of Consumer's Attributes and Marketing Mix Strategies of Cut Roses in Korea (장미에 대한 선호속성의 동태적 변화와 마케팅 믹스전략 탐색)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.4328-4336
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study is to find changes of the attributes that influence the purchase of cut roses during recent five years(2007~2011) and suggest some implications on ways to promote cut roses marketing. For this purpose, a survey was conducted through the Internet among 1,100 randomly chosen people living in Seoul, Inchon and Gyeonggi Province in 2011. A total of 1,023 valid replies were received for the analysis of the survey which was carried out by the subsidiary consulting firm. The survey panels and estimation models to analyze changes of consumers' preference attributes during recent five years are same to them of Kim, et al.(2007). That is, empirical analysis tools such as ordered probit model, multinomial logit model, and conjoint analysis were used according to Kim, et al.(2007). This paper suggests several policy implications to set up the target market of cut roses and marketing mix strategy to specify the best 4P(product, price, place and promotion).

Segmentation and Characteristic Analysis of Urban Farmers Behavior (도시농업 활동 유형화 연구)

  • Hwang, Jeong-Im;Choi, Yoon-Ji;Jang, Bo-Gyung;Rhee, Sang-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Community Living Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.619-631
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to segment and examine urban farmers behavior by applying a two-step cluster analysis and multi-nominal logit model. The data were collected by a telephone survey with two-staged stratified random sampling in the cities around the country for the purpose of acquiring representative data. Respondents were asked to describe their awareness of urban agriculture, their agricultural activity, and sociodemographic characteristics. Among 2,000 cases, 381 cases(19.1%) which were of participants in urban agriculture were analysed in SPSS. From the findings, 27.3% of respondents had heard the word 'urban agriculture', and 25.5% of them regarded themselves as urban farmers. Four different clusters were derived from two-step clusters based on motive, place, companion, area and hours. They were 'Large scale hobby farming(cluster 1)', ‘Weekend farm/ hobby farming(cluster 2)', 'Land/ Self-supporting farming(cluster 3)', and 'Small scale hobby farming(cluster 4)'. The result of multinomial logistic regression showed that there were significant differences among these four segmented groups in terms of age, city size and housing type. In other words, there is quite a possibility that urbanites select different urban farming types according to their socio-demographic profiles. Therefore, the urbanite profiles can be used as the basis for promoting policy of several urban agriculture types. According to the result, policy directions for facilitating urban agriculture were presented.