• Title/Summary/Keyword: moving average method

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A Study of Digital filter for context-awareness using multi-sensor built in the smart-clothes (멀티센서 기반 스마트의류에서 상황인지를 위한 디지털필터연구)

  • Jeon, Byeong-chan;Park, Hyun-moon;Park, Won-Ki;Lee, Sung-chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.911-913
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    • 2013
  • The user's context awareness is important to the reliability of sensors data. The sensor data is constantly change to external temp, internal& external environment and vibration. This noise environment is affecting that the data collected information from sensors. Of course this method of digital filter and inference algorithm specifically request for the use of ripple noise and action inference. In this paper, experiment was a comparison of the KF(Kalman Filter) and WMAF(Weight Moving Average Filter) for noise decrease and distortion prevention according to user behavior. And, we compared the EWDF(Extended Weight Dual Filter) with several filer. In an experiment, in contrast to other filter, the proposed filter is robust in a noise-environment.

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A Study on Prediction of Attendance in Korean Baseball League Using Artificial Neural Network (인경신경망을 이용한 한국프로야구 관중 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jinuk;Park, Sanghyun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.12
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    • pp.565-572
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    • 2017
  • Traditional method for time series analysis, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) allows to mine significant patterns from the past observations using autocorrelation and to forecast future sequences. However, Korean baseball games do not have regular intervals to analyze relationship among the past attendance observations. To address this issue, we propose artificial neural network (ANN) based attendance prediction model using various measures including performance, team characteristics and social influences. We optimized ANNs using grid search to construct optimal model for regression problem. The evaluation shows that the optimal and ensemble model outperform the baseline model, linear regression model.

Herding Behavior and Cryptocurrency: Market Asymmetries, Inter-Dependency and Intra-Dependency

  • JALAL, Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din;SARGIACOMO, Massimo;SAHAR, Najam Us;FAYYAZ, Um-E-Roman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates herding behavior in cryptocurrencies in different situations. This study employs daily returns of major cryptocurrencies listed in CCI30 index and sub-major cryptocurrencies and major stock returns listed in Dow-Jones Industrial Average Index, from 2015 to 2018. Quantile regression method is employed to test the herding effect in market asymmetries, inter-dependency and intra-dependency cases. Findings confirm the presence of herding in cryptocurrency in upper quantiles in bullish and high volatility periods because of overexcitement among investors, which lead to high volume trading. Major cryptocurrencies cause herding in sub-major cryptocurrencies, but it is a unidirectional relation. However, no intra-dependency effect among cryptocurrencies and equity market is observed. Results indicate that in the CKK model herding exists at upper quantile in market that may be due when the market is moving fast, continuously trading, and bullish trend are prevailing. Further analysis confirms this narrative as, at upper quantile, the beta of bullish regime is negative and significant, meaning the main source of market herding is a bullish trend in investment, which increases market turbulence and gives investors opportunity to herd. Also, we found that herding in cryptocurrencies exits in high volatility periods, but this herding mostly depends on market activity, not market movement.

An Overview of Flutter Prediction in Tests Based on Stability Criteria in Discrete-Time Domain

  • Matsuzaki, Yuji
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.305-317
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents an overview on flutter boundary prediction in tests which is principally based on a system stability measure, named Jury's stability criterion, defined in the discrete-time domain, accompanied with the use of autoregressive moving-average (AR-MA) representation of a sampled sequence of wing responses excited by continuous air turbulences. Stability parameters applicable to two-, three- and multi-mode systems, that is, the flutter margin for discrete-time systems derived from Jury's criterion are also described. Actual applications of these measures to flutter tests performed in subsonic, transonic and supersonic wind tunnels, not only stationary flutter tests but also a nonstationary one in which the dynamic pressure increased in a fixed rate, are presented. An extension of the concept of nonstationary process approach to an analysis of flutter prediction of a morphing wing for which the instability takes place during the process of structural morphing will also be mentioned. Another extension of analytical approach to a multi-mode aeroelastic system is presented, too. Comparisons between the prediction based on the digital techniques mentioned above and the traditional damping method are given. A future possible application of the system stability approach to flight test will be finally discussed.

A Study on Improvement of Aiming ability using Disturbance Measurement in the Firing Vehicle (사출 차량에서의 외란을 이용한 정밀 지향성 향상 연구)

  • Yoo, Jin-Ho;Lee, Dong-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2007
  • The aiming ability is a to improve accuracy performance of the firing vehicle. This paper describes the detection method of chatter vibration using disturbance acceleration in the pointing structure. In order to analysis vibration trends of the pointing system occurred during vehicle drive, acceleration data was processed by using data processing algorithm with moving average and Hilbert transform. Specific mode constants of acceleration were obtained under various disturbances. Vehicle velocity, road condition, property of pointing structure were considered as factors which make change of vibration trend in vehicle dynamics. Finally, back propagation neural networks have been applied to the pattern recognition for the classification of vibration signal in various driving conditions. Results of signal processing were compared and analysed.

Comparison study of SARIMA and ARGO models for in influenza epidemics prediction

  • Jung, Jihoon;Lee, Sangyeol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1075-1081
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    • 2016
  • The big data analysis has received much attention from the researchers working in various fields because the big data has a great potential in detecting or predicting future events such as epidemic outbreaks and changes in stock prices. Reflecting the current popularity of big data analysis, many authors have proposed methods tracking influenza epidemics based on internet-based information. The recently proposed 'autoregressive model using Google (ARGO) model' (Yang et al., 2015) is one of those influenza tracking models that harness search queries from Google as well as the reports from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), and appears to outperform the existing method such as 'Google Flu Trends (GFT)'. Although the ARGO predicts well the outbreaks of influenza, this study demonstrates that a classical seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model can outperform the ARGO. The SARIMA model incorporates more accurate seasonality of the past influenza activities and takes less input variables into account. Our findings show that the SARIMA model is a functional tool for monitoring influenza epidemics.

Vision-based Reduction of Gyro Drift for Intelligent Vehicles (지능형 운행체를 위한 비전 센서 기반 자이로 드리프트 감소)

  • Kyung, MinGi;Nguyen, Dang Khoi;Kang, Taesam;Min, Dugki;Lee, Jeong-Oog
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.627-633
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    • 2015
  • Accurate heading information is crucial for the navigation of intelligent vehicles. In outdoor environments, GPS is usually used for the navigation of vehicles. However, in GPS-denied environments such as dense building areas, tunnels, underground areas and indoor environments, non-GPS solutions are required. Yaw-rates from a single gyro sensor could be one of the solutions. In dealing with gyro sensors, the drift problem should be resolved. HDR (Heuristic Drift Reduction) can reduce the average heading error in straight line movement. However, it shows rather large errors in some moving environments, especially along curved lines. This paper presents a method called VDR (Vision-based Drift Reduction), a system which uses a low-cost vision sensor as compensation for HDR errors.

Electric Vehicle Technology Trends Forecast Research Using the Paper and Patent Data (논문 및 특허 데이터를 활용한 전기자동차 기술 동향 예측 연구)

  • Gu, Ja-Wook;Lee, Jong-Ho;Chung, Myoung-Sug;Lee, Joo-yeoun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we analyze the research / technology trends of electric vehicles from 2001 to 2014, through keyword analysis using paper data published in SCIE or SSCI Journal on electric vehicles, time series analysis using patent data by IPC, and network analysis using nodeXL. also we predicted promising technologies of electric vehicles using one of the prediction methods, weighted moving average method. As a result of this study, battery technology among the electric vehicle component technologies appeared as a promising technology.

A Study on Detection of Underwater Ferromagnetic Target for Harbor Surveillance (항만 감시를 위한 수중 강자성 표적 탐지에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Minho;Joo, Unggul;Lim, Changsum;Yoon, Sanggi;Moon, Sangtaeck
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.350-357
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    • 2015
  • Many countries have been developing and operating an underwater surveillance system in order to protect their oceanic environment from infiltrating hostile marine forces which intend to lay mines, conduct reconnaissance and destroy friendly ships anchored at the harbor. One of the most efficient methods to detect unidentified submarine approaching harbor is sensing variation of magnetism of target by magnetic sensors. This measurement system has an advantage of high possibility of detection and low probability of false alarm, compared to acoustic sensors, although it has relatively decreased detection range. The contents of this paper mainly cover the analysis of possible effectiveness of magnetic sensors. First of all, environmental characteristics of surveillance area and magnetic information of simulated targets has been analyzed. Subsequently, a signal processing method of separating target from geomagnetic field and methods of estimating target location has been proposed.

A Study on the Forecasting of Container Volume using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 컨테이너 물동량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Young;Lee, Chul-Young
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.183-188
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    • 2002
  • The forecast of a container traffic has been very important for port and development. Generally, Statistic methods, such as moving average method, exponential smoothing, and regression analysis have been much used for traffic forecasting. But, considering various factors related to the port affect the forecasting of container volume, neural network of parallel processing system can be effective to forecast container volume based on various factors. This study discusses the forecasting of volume by using the neural, network with back propagation learning algorithm. Affected factors are selected based on impact vector on neural network, and these selected factors are used to forecast container volume. The proposed the forecasting algorithm using neural network was compared to the statistic methods.